All posts made by erk in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 3647712 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

I don't get it, how did Gox stuff up this bubble, someone explain?



2. Post 3655158 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: solex on November 20, 2013, 07:51:27 PM
I know that china and gox have sticky fiat problems.

But a $100 difference between stamp and btce is a real mystery.

BTC-e has low BTC/USD prices pretty much all the time, good for buyers though. If you have fiat in there you can arb between bitstamp or coinbase. (Don't try Gox)






3. Post 3656218 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):

Quote from: BldSwtTrs on November 20, 2013, 09:39:11 PM
What is happening to BTC-e?

Why they are stuck to 512$ whereas the other are way higher
It's perfectly normal for BTC-e



4. Post 3835187 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

You realize is was the central bank in China making the announcement, all central banks hate Bitcoin as they can't print it, they have to buy it like everyone else, they are not use to that level playing field so they will do whatever they can to hinder Bitcoin or any other decentralized currency, the word central isn't in their name for decoration.











5. Post 3863111 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):

Why has BTC/USD halved in price over the past 24hrs? What news have I missed?



6. Post 3872676 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):

Quote
It's times like these that you are glad that you can read Chinese, and not have to deal with clueless English newspapers. I summarized the PBC announcement

@Is the news out of China about banks & bitcoins good or bad news?

It's excellent news for bitcoin. Essentially bitcoin exchanges in China and bitcoin itself is going to be treated as a "commodity" rather than a "currency" and therefore not going to be subject to banking and currency control regulations. The only restrictions on bitcoin exchanges is that they will be subject to the standard internet censorship rules and they will need to get the identity of all users to prevent money laundering. Existing financial institutions will not be able to trade bitcoin, but this is a great thing for entrepreneurs.

Also, more excellent news out of Hong Kong. An HK bitcoin exchange basically shutdown and stole everyone's money. This is excellent news because within days, they have been caught and are likely going to go to jail. I'm very, very optimistic about Hong Kong "leading the way" for bitcoin.

The other good news is that the Chinese government understands bitcoin. According to the notice.

Bitcoin has the following four characteristics:

1) there is no central issuing authority 2) the total amount is limited 3) it is not geographically limited for acceptance 4) it is anonymous

According to the PBC, bitcoin is not a "true" currency because

1) there is no central issuing authority 2) there is no legal requirement that anyone accept bitcoin

Bitcoin is therefore a virtual commodity, and therefore is not subject to the laws regarding currency transactions, nor should circulate as a currency.

Also here are his thoughts on the overall climate in China regarding Bitcoin:

1) The PBC has basically given the green light for bitcoin trading and exchanges. They are trying to keep bitcoin trading "separate" from the other parts of the financial system so that if bitcoin blows up, then nothing bad will happen. The thing that I think they are worried about is a Lehman style situation in which something blowing up in derivatives brings down the rest of the economy.

The strategy of creating a ring fence around new markets is a very standard one in China. Hong Kong is an entire city that is ring fenced.

2) Not terribly much. It only started to get on the radar screen a month ago.

3) The main driver is that there are tons of money in China and no one knows what to do with it all. The traditional investments (real estate and stocks) have been closed off by government action since the government has made it clear they will kill any bubble in the real estate and stock markets. So the money is going into all sorts of "non-traditional" investments. Bitcoin is just one of them.

4) Geeks. So far it's not the type of thing that random people will buy.

5) It's not very mainstream. However, its taken the Chinese geek community by storm and there are a lot of geeks in China. As with a lot of Chinese things, the fraction of people in China who are geeks is small, but a small fraction times a billion is a lot of people.

6) No harder than it is to buy anything else online.

Bitcoin has not gotten much mainstream attention and its still something that is with geeks, but you have the perfect storm of a lot of other things. The main thing is that bitcoin has hit China exactly at the time where China is looking at restructuring its entire economy and financial system to move out of low tech industries into high tech ones. It also hit China at just the right time in the credit cycle. China has recovered from the 2008 crash and is just starting to enter into another boom phase (which will last about two to three years before the economy crashes again).
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1sbefw/chinese_investment_banker_says_what_nobody_in_the/



7. Post 3998464 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):

Quote from: Cheesle on December 16, 2013, 08:51:54 PM
[...]

nothing is wrong with selling.. a lot is wrong with panic selling.. and that is a majority of what I see pushed

And this is what makes me a little sad. Distribution of bitcoin is already quite unequal, but that's ok. But manipulators actually reach their goal (I didn't expected that...) and make it even worse. I think that is one of the biggest threats to bitcoins future.

I would imagine China and other whales are snapping up cheap Bitcoin as western noobs dump because they don't understand any of the Chinese announcements regarding Bitcoin.




8. Post 4021981 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):

Yeah, its certainly too risky for money tied up in ASIC pre-orders, if you can't get it within a week or two of placing your order better to cancel and stay liquid until we see if BTC is going to stabilize again.



9. Post 4034005 (copy this link) (by erk) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):

Quote from: TERA on December 19, 2013, 12:23:43 AM
I am still waiting to see a recovery that is not led by btcChina.
Although they had the biggest volume lately, that was certainly not more than the combined volume of the other exchanges who have already been though the central bank pressure to restrict fiat flow into BTC, it's just that media sentiment is still following China.