All posts made by Kj1 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 2704492 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.10h):
Those stock exchange guys with their 'end of trading' each day don't know how easy they've got it
^^
2.
Post 2795265 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
good combination for the others for some instant profit at bitstamp
3.
Post 3019019 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):
hey how did they get that much fiat into gox for that huge buy?
4.
Post 3136745 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):
i feel like we are going over 150 this time or soon, but i'm way more anxious about buying in at 140 than when we were at back in the 90s and contemplating whether we would hit 100 in July. I'd rather we just go back down to 110 before i buy again, but hopefully that will happen before too long and i loose my nerve and buy in above 140.
You had your chance to buy cheap coins when the price was artificially below 130 during the recent beartrap.
Hm, what do you mean artificially? To me that implies manipulation. The only potential manipulation would be a cash whale wanting a lower price.. which isnt... really manipulation.
After systematically pushing the price up for almost two months with well-placed periodic large buys accompanied by immediate bidwalls to prevent slippage, then after letting market inertia carry for a couple of days without intervention, using a couple of 5k-6k dumps to panic the price down by over $20, they spent a similar amount to return it to where it started, buying and hoarding an unknown amount of coins when the price was down below 130.
Not manipulation? This whole market is a manipulation circlejerk.
This is why outdated 19th-century/early-20th-century technical analysis is futile in the world of Bitcoin. It's time to think outside the box or get stuck in the tarpits like dinosaurs.
I earned bitcoins daytrading back in March/April by anticipating dDOS attacks on MtGox. The smart money now is on anticipating whale manipulation.
Of course the smart people don't publicize their predictions, or at least not precisely.
What a dick
He might be a dick but he's not wrong. I've been saying it for a long time, but I'll say it again. Tech analysis can work well in larger markets, but bitcoin is simply far too small for it to be of much use (I use it in some situations, but mostly stick to fundamentals).
Noone is obliged to follow technical analysis
But for those who want better results than buy and hold , they are invited to try the technical analysis for bitcoin.
The bitcoinbullbear service has outperformed buy and hold by orders of magnitudes over 3 years consistently
You must be extremely rich?
It's not about me but about helping making our subscribers richer
Ah yes, obviously. How did i miss that part.
This is no joke.
The customer is always the number one priority in our philosophy. Egoistic goals and business success comes thereafter.
Ofcourse. Your mission in life is to make other people rich. Yourself you don't really care about getting rich. Eventhough it must be extremely easy for you.
I absolutely don't doubt this.
Your service is 100% free i assume. Otherwise your story wouldn't make much sense.
You guys are a bunch of dickheads lol
stop quoting 15 posts :d
5.
Post 3343432 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
curious about the 2K wall at bitstamp @ 140
6.
Post 3367324 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
what will happen if gox runs out of btc's?
will it just continue to rise on other exchanges in even higher tempo ("get the last ones")
or will the whole thing just collapse on other exchanges too?
just wondering, if btcs are becoming so sparse, how the heck can a viable economy be established around our favorite virtual currency?
and the last thing: if gox takes our money and bitcoins (24h btc delay issue my **); it will just disappear with all our btc and money. The disappointment with bigger investors might be so great the whole thing also just collapses, no?
7.
Post 3367476 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.17h):
im pissing my pants
8.
Post 3381361 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
so if the price keeps rising, how would we ever use it as a real currency to buy stuff?
i'm pretty sure everybody who has them has them for buy and hold or making profit, not for purchasing goods - I certainly don't because in two months the price might have doubled, and I would curse myself for giving them away "back then" instead of using real currency.
9.
Post 3385507 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
hahha and back up, now i feel sorry for those who sold to 194...
sold at 194 at stamp, bought back at 180.5
i got lucky, for once!
10.
Post 3386475 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
the spread between gox en stamp is betting smaller? Any ideas why?
Used to be 15$ spread when in 100-150 range, like >10%, now its 10$ around the 200 range, so about ~5%...
11.
Post 3401357 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
just a 2K buy, it happens on stamp, back to 187
12.
Post 3404435 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
sell sell sell!
then I might have a chance in making back my losses of today
13.
Post 3404478 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
dilemma: i have only fiat at stamp. where should i place buy oders?
(going to sleep in an hour)
risk waking up with the chinese going berserk again and missing a 190$ buyin point
or just missing another massive dump and be able to buy back at 160 or so
pff this kinda sucks about bitcoin: the exchanges never close.
14.
Post 3408193 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
dilemma: i have only fiat at stamp. where should i place buy oders?
(going to sleep in an hour)
risk waking up with the chinese going berserk again and missing a 190$ buyin point
or just missing another massive dump and be able to buy back at 160 or so
pff this kinda sucks about bitcoin: the exchanges never close.
place a bid at the very top.
buy now if u dont want to play risky
Great advice, thanks!
Glad I didn't listen
The thin orderbook is perfect for small increases of my fiat: buy at 181.5, sell at 184.5, its only a .25% fee or so at stamp => 1% profit per trade. Managed to do 5 or so succesful.
15.
Post 3408207 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
Why are we going down?
I think there is a group of people who speculated in the last bubble and only check things like bitcoin over the weekend, and they see this as an opportunity to get out.
Anyone remembers the friday seller from the slow decline? He might be back!
16.
Post 3426479 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
17.
Post 3428283 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
I almost did this back in 2011 when I was drunk. Why, oh why, didn't I.
For highly analytical people like me, we make some of the best decisions when drunk.
Do you have an explanation for this?
Yeah, it stops second-guessing, lets you go with your gut, keeps you from getting bogged down in the details and missing the forest for the trees. It's a corrective for over-analysis, so it only works if you're actually prone to over-analysis. (The right amount of alcohol. Too much is eventually worse, of course.)
18.
Post 3438212 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
you can buy like 100 mBTC for merely 20$
you'll be a millionaire in 2016!
just change BTC to mBTC and it will feel like 2009 all over again
19.
Post 3506820 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
ATH 300 @ gox, and this is what bitcoinity has to say:
20.
Post 3540569 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
ouch!
Number? Hash? Time? Transactions? Total BTC? Size (kB)?
268861 45cfd7571a... 2013-11-10 16:08:57 469 19461.57057709 247.521
268860 5ca67e7f15... 2013-11-10 15:57:23 371 12132.8603931 187.936
268859 db9fcddda9... 2013-11-10 15:49:20 102 4549.8214365 65.753
19461 BTCget ready!
what is this? Incoming transactions to gox?
21.
Post 3540995 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
Which stage best matches the current/recent market sentiment?
doubt
22.
Post 3572686 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
more then 1/3rd of bitstamps asks are below 400.01, and the price is now 395.
?
23.
Post 3573494 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
Get off the track or you'll be killed when it comes back....
there shall be a bloodbath
24.
Post 3590500 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
dont we expect a weekend dip eh? After this rise and ATH?
sell!
25.
Post 3611534 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
the lack of volume pushing us here is disturbing.
at the april peak, the volume was like 10 times bigger but price only doubled...
so I'd assume maybee half the volume of april would be a good thing?
26.
Post 3614317 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
What is going on with Bitstamp ? Aren't they reporting anything for the past ~4 hours or was their trading engine really down ?
https://www.bitstamp.net/ - scroll down - you see the live trades there. Its working
ps gox has less BTC asks (7.8K) then bitstamp(7.9K)!
Thats a first?
And the definite end for gox!
27.
Post 3679135 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
What about the weekend dip? Or will it be a weekend crash?
That is so last week
28.
Post 3728126 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
how about the 10K (!) wall at bitstamp around 1K$?
there does not seem to be alot of support now
29.
Post 3777196 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
noticed a pattern, just before the april correction, there was a huge LTC pump. (from .05 to .5 in 2 days).
Then a steady selloff; like one increased their btc stash significantly.
After huge LTC dumps at higher prices, the selloffs at gox started (like one day later).
Now, LTC was pumped from .08 to .5, now steadily dropping with huge (several times >5K btc) selloffs.
Pattern? Bad sign? Or just coincidence?
It looks logical to increase your BTC amount by playing altcoins, if you have a decent amount of btc you can really manipulate the altcoin market. Then cash out the profit using btc (gox), causing a drop and hopefully a panic sell. Then buy back low. I guess you'd be able to make at least x10 using this in a few days, if you are lucky and have the balls. Anyway, by only gambling with profit from the altcoins the gambler doens't risk anything...
30.
Post 3854285 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):
looks like a big sawtooth synth
awesome 90s sound
31.
Post 3857202 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):
where is all the choo choo now?
32.
Post 3980754 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
Something tells me I should have bought at 815 this morning...
my oversimplified analysis:
everybody expected a drop, so they were ready to buy in the dip.
ran out of patience, got trigger happy, rising the price.
basically the price does often the opposite of what people expect, something you have expressed alot here
The more "to the moon" yells here the more chance of a price drop
and we're waiting for a drop means it won't come when expected.
33.
Post 3989116 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
rpetilia stop dumping at stamp!!
Please, carry on, as you were...
indeed.
drop! Wanna buy cheap coins (back)
34.
Post 3996909 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
CHOOCHOOO MOTHERFERS
To the moon!
Buy Buy Buy!
It'll be a weekend rally!
Glad i didn't listen to you guys
35.
Post 3998079 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
notice how everybody ignores gox now in this thread?
36.
Post 3998305 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
Yay!
Made 4 BTC
with $36 left over.
explain
37.
Post 4000990 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
maybee it is shutoff
i'm waiting like 50min on a btc transaction which only has 2 confirms yet (from the first 2 minutes) with a fee of 0.001
38.
Post 4021811 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
really itchy to grab those cold storage coins currently.
ps the chinese came, made the price increase 5 fold, cashed out, the chinese went, crashed the price. Buy back. Repeat.
Thank you come again!
39.
Post 4022051 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
Who here moves their coins from cold storage?
me now
2 confirmations... wait for it
40.
Post 4022107 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
Who here moves their coins from cold storage?
me now
2 confirmations... wait for it
You guys think you can buy the same amount back?
at least double.
41.
Post 4112364 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.45h):
one day rise and the whole sentiment changes here?
aint falling for it.
42.
Post 4124258 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.46h):
if I could I would just sell 10K btc now each holiday & sundays, just to watch the horror unfold during these peaceful times when no new fiat can enter.
Also, at all dinners, you'll see who has bitcoins & alarms setup on their phone.
43.
Post 4153123 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.46h):
i broke the 720 wall now we can go up
having cleared major resistance by breaking 770 (gox) 725 (stamp), there's not much in the way to 850/900 now (looking at past volume).
or a trip back down. it should fit the pattern of december.
going on computer-and smartphoneless holiday for one week. Awesome timing, i'll have some withdrawl symptoms. Still doubting what to do: all in btc, 30% fiat + buy order at 500 & 70% btc.
44.
Post 4159780 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):
I like the notion of panic hold.
Going offline (really, no smartphones or wires or pcs) for one week.
Probably I'll miss a dip and a huge spike, but in the end the panic hold will have been good
45.
Post 4464486 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):
what is happening ? the price every weekend rise a bit than drop back to where it was for 2 weeks now
gallifrey falling
<soon>
no more
damn a tardis would be handy
46.
Post 4668601 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):
I can see the future!
so everybody is waiting for a drop.
So it aint gonna come when expected (the next weeks). Nothing is gonna happen in china.
So the price will rise when its in this "stable phase" long enough - a lot of btc'ers are trigger happy panic buy/sellers which buy due to 'no negative news when expected'.
So they'll buy, when the price starts to rise. It might go up to 1000 or more, even ATH if we are lucky.
then the large and patient btc holders will sell alot due to the fear which is currently present. They will profit. Significant price drop to lets say 750 or so.
Then the ones above who panic bought, panic sell at a lower price. Driving price down to 500'ish
The patient ones then buy back and we're back at 800 again.
At that point I will consider the December crash & fallout over, and see it as the starting of the consolidation phase. Slow rise/decline, whatever, untill something big happens (btc's as part of "risky investments portfolio's with banks or sth). That something can and will not be some retailer accepting BTC, we've had enough of that to influence the price significantly.
47.
Post 5034478 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
wtf @ stamp?
710 -> 755 with a 1000 buy
48.
Post 5034530 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
wtf @ stamp?
710 -> 755 with a 1000 buy
Someone with inside information for tomorrow? Who knows.
or someone did market order instead of limit. Or buy instead of sell. that would be awesome
49.
Post 5034564 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
and other markets are not following. Awtch
50.
Post 5051238 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
its panic buying at stamp. Time to short
51.
Post 5051363 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
final bull trap
that would be so epic
52.
Post 5051435 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
I've never watched twitter this close
anyone ever did a twitter analysis for movement 'prediction'?
53.
Post 5051638 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
54.
Post 5051647 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
Conclusion
To put things in perspective, it's important to remember that Bitcoin is a very new technology and still very much in its early stages. What MtGox and the Bitcoin community have experienced in the past year has been an incredible and exciting challenge, and there is still much to do to further improve.
MtGox will resume bitcoin withdrawals to outside wallets once the issue outlined above has been properly addressed in a manner that will best serve our customers.
More information on the status of this issue will be released as soon as possible.
We thank you for taking the time to read this, and especially for your patience.
Best Regards,
MtGox Team
55.
Post 5051694 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
So whats the verdict? dump or buy?
dump. sell. Ive lowered my bids
56.
Post 5051872 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
This is actually good news
Agree. cheap coins. Profit!
should have taken a holiday
And the actual good news: we might see the end of mtgox over this. BTC would be better off without all the gox issues. Every time they have an issue the price drops like a rock.
time for bottom calling!
501 @ stamp, 350 @ gox
57.
Post 5052361 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
remarkable how big the influence of gox still is.
It should have been abandoned long ago by all sensible users.
58.
Post 5052445 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
This is the end
Beautiful friend
This is the end
My only friend, the end
Of our elaborate plans, the end
Of everything that stands, the end
No safety or surprise, the end
I'll never look into your eyes...again
59.
Post 5052694 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
turn on log scale for even more dramatic graphs
60.
Post 5052809 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
shame had an order of 525 at stamp that didnt get filled
61.
Post 5052853 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
FINALLY I BOUGHT AT THE RIGHT TIME.
I can't believe it. Nailed that dip! I am so psyched!
you better sell now
62.
Post 5082770 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):
quick quick buy back now.
sigh
time and time again
63.
Post 5158858 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):
If gox withdrawls are enabled, I'd go all in btc (actually, sooner) and transfer immediatly to stamp. Then i'd cash out. Gox price will rise, stamp price will collapse and we'll be back to pre-btc withdrawl problems with gox 100$ above stamp.
Imagine buying 330$ btcs and selling half of them for 650 a minute later.
64.
Post 5159010 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):
Imagine buying 330$ btcs and selling half of them for 650 a minute later.
People will be faster than you and you will fail.
yes. I know. But I still hope others try as I have fiat on stamp and not gox
The idea is to buy now at halfs' stamps price and cash out the amount of fiat you had stuck on gox.
65.
Post 5160794 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.10h):
40kBTC are about to be transferred to Bitstamp to crash the market!
src?
66.
Post 5252647 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):
if gox goes bankrupt then you'll better have fiat instead of btc in order to file a lawsuit
sell "b*tc"hes
67.
Post 5252834 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):
the 1d gox chart is awesome. Rise and fall!
68.
Post 5253704 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):
I want some cheap coins at stamp, comon!
69.
Post 5254701 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):
so what will happen if they don't release a statement?
70.
Post 5254744 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):
7 minutes to 7PM in Tokyo.
The silence is deafening.
Nothing is going to happen.
indeed. Panic like nothings happening!
71.
Post 5255116 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.13h):
at least they didn't give a new date this time for a next apocalypse.
72.
Post 5264245 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):
finally, stamp is following a bit
btc was overvalued anyway
i hope we stagnate around the previous 266 ATH and stay there for at least a year until the infrastructure and child problems of bitcoins are resolved and a decent regulated exchange emerges.
then we can go to new ATH's.
73.
Post 5265506 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):
I'd like to suggest some calming music during these crazy Bitcoin times:
Elvis Costello - I Can't Stand Up For Falling Down
Tom Petty - Freefalling
Tom Waits - Down Down Down
and when it gets really bad:
the doors - this is the end
74.
Post 5265841 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):
thanks, Hans Zimmer just entered my spotify playlist
75.
Post 5266020 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):
Am I the only one who considers that we are still over $500 on stamp very bullish?
it will pass.
76.
Post 5331700 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):
the 10K wall on stamp might be from mtgox
they are getting more fiat for their stash of to buy more more btcs at gox
hey anyone noticed we're observing walls right here!
77.
Post 5355178 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):
the bitcoins started getting stolen after satoshi dissapeared!
I do not believe in coincidence
78.
Post 5431999 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.
awtch
79.
Post 7234128 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):
the whole world is waiting for the game of thrones finale, nothing is gonna happen this week
80.
Post 8414940 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):
fu, i'm on the wrong exchange
81.
Post 9855078 (copy this link) (by Kj1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
is it time to buy yet?
sentiment is turning here (we're going to be rich -> we're doomed), which has been the best indicator in the past as a buy signal. And vica versa (420 wow 440 wow to the moon === sell)
