All posts made by Loaded in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 1860881 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):
This has been one wild week... I've been dealing with calls and emails nearly 24 hours a day. Managed to keep most of the panic sells between old and new clients and off the market.
2.
Post 1861847 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):
This has been one wild week... I've been dealing with calls and emails nearly 24 hours a day. Managed to keep most of the panic sells between old and new clients and off the market.
So has the panic stopped? Are we going to see more upwards activity again?
Fundamentally nothing has changed, it is my opinion that the crash was caused by gox and those who sold into the lag, only to see their market orders execute much lower than expected. I currently have >$15M waiting to buy, however the vast majority will be off exchange. Many of these private trades are at individually negotiated prices, sometimes significantly different from market.
3.
Post 1862030 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):
This has been one wild week... I've been dealing with calls and emails nearly 24 hours a day. Managed to keep most of the panic sells between old and new clients and off the market.
So has the panic stopped? Are we going to see more upwards activity again?
Fundamentally nothing has changed, it is my opinion that the crash was caused by gox and those who sold into the lag, only to see their market orders execute much lower than expected. I currently have >$15M waiting to buy, however the vast majority will be off exchange. Many of these private trades are at individually negotiated prices, sometimes significantly different from market.
So you operate the biggest Bitcoin dark pool, Loaded?
Not normally and probably not biggest, however at the current time it is more efficient to facilitate trade between existing clients. Over the past couple months, my job has primarily been obtaining and securing bitcoins. Only recently have I had any significant sell volume.
4.
Post 1880881 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):
Just a little arbitrage... nothing to see here.
5.
Post 1882241 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.53h):
A little more...
6.
Post 1914618 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.54h):
This week is gonna be fun.
7.
Post 2206021 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
Had a good time at the conference, definitely met some cool people. This week could be interesting.
8.
Post 2206095 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
Had a good time at the conference, definitely met some cool people. This week could be interesting.
Loaded, are you getting any vibes about whether the Dwolla problem is scaring fiat off Mt Gox, or no real impact?
I have received over $250k in wires from Gox since the Dwolla account seizure with no issues. Hopefully they will obtain the proper licensing and have it all resolved soon.
9.
Post 3506550 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
Bought big today.
10.
Post 3510954 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
Who had fun last night?
11.
Post 3512679 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
Life as a bitcoin whale manipulator with tons of fiat and bitcoins
- place a new giant bidwall lower than previous supporting wall, where you want the price to go
- take a big whale dump on bids and get more fiat while minnows poop lower priced coins into your low wall
- Put a new bid wall at a higher price and watch the minnows panic buy, now you got more fiat, more coins
I get it. Yet I've fallen for it so many times.
Not as easy as it sounds. Other whales eat you.
12.
Post 3522851 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
The amount of coins on sale on the exchange is shrinking fast. Only 6k on sale on BTCChina, 7k on Bitstamp, 11k on Gox.
This is the "all time low" in terms of BTC on sale. Just think about how Avalon holds 65k coins in one address.
In my opinion is not a very good sign, it would be better for the trend to be fueled by new money in instead of scarcity of supply - just because the scarcity can be easily reversed by only one big holder.
I guess this is the nature of "penny stock market", and BTC behaves completely as a penny stock market.
Tighten your seat belts.
Thing is, more coins than ever are locked up for the time being and can't make it to the exchanges in the foreseeable future.
The FBI has 174.000 BTC and probably won't be able to sell them until after the case against Ulbricht
Bitcoin Investment Trust has 60.000+ BTC locked up that they are obliged to hold on to for their customers for probably at least a year (the number is based on the fact that they had 15.000.000 USD invested when the exchange rate was ~250 USD/BTC). This number will probably rise quite a bit in the coming months as they will buy more bitcoins to supply to new customers.
Possibly, the success of BIT will make other high profile individuals/companies imitate them and start buying up coins to start competing businesses. This would lead to additionally 10ks of coins being looked up for the time being. This is just speculation though, but a fairly reasonable assumption as far as I'm concerned.
You also have the Winklevii twins claiming they had 1%+ of all bitcoins in the beginning of the year waiting for their ETF. That's at least 110.000 BTC.
We also have Chamath Palihapitiya, ex Facebook-executive, who claimed to have 5.000.000 USD invested in BTC at the end of october. At the exchange rate back then, that would be 25.000+ BTC. He also said he was still looking to acquire more.
And there is a very high likelihood we have unknown high profile investors who have made private bets but hasn't said so officially. This is hard to quantify, but I belive this is at least a multiple of 10ks of bitcoins being locked up for the time being in anonymous rich investors' wallets.
If you add it all up, far more coins are being "on hold" right now, than ever before.
40000 here that will not be for sale any time soon. Might move more from my active trading wallet.
13.
Post 3534492 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
Averaging $3M in gains daily over the past week. Bitcoin is officially my #1 investment.
14.
Post 3554917 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
PM me an email. I will purchase the drive.
15.
Post 3573315 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
What's the countdown?
I think he's counting down the Bitstamp $400 wall, although it doesn't look like he's on target.
really? well, bad news, it's growing for about half an hour now.
no.
2Tempted to make something actually happen.
But no USD left. Wire transfers
16.
Post 3666613 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
CHOO CHOO MOTHER F**KERS
17.
Post 3679885 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
CHOO CHOO MFs
18.
Post 3725801 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
Large new client incoming.
Hope everyone is enjoying the ride.
Now managing 200kBTC.
19.
Post 3741066 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
It was a good morning, but I am again out of USD on the exchanges
20.
Post 3887375 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
CHOO CHOO!!
21.
Post 3888008 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Have made large profits recently trading against a user I've dubbed BrM2 on MtGox. Please dump again if you're reading this.
22.
Post 3888227 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Have made large profits recently trading against a user I've dubbed BrM2 on MtGox. Please dump again if you're reading this.
Does "BrM2" imply the trader may be brain dead?
BrM2 = Bearish Manipulator 2. May or may not be a single person, or even the same person. Its a signature of a large trade.
This trader/traders used to dump, and then place bids below in similar volumes to what was dumped. I placed bids slightly higher and eventually forced him to buy my ask.
I like to call these trades, "chomping the
[smaller] whale"
23.
Post 3888477 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Another insight:
Above a certain volume, TA is absolutely worthless. Large holders can and do draw whatever pattern they want on the charts, sometimes to push the masses into buying or selling.
24.
Post 3898515 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):
“We decided we should take Bitcoin because we’re an entrepreneurial, forward-thinking, digital-thinking agency. It’s a great demonstration of how we can work in our business,” says Hall.
way to go Mr. Hall, whoever you are!
0
25.
Post 3959649 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
14j6jLececs66ZQ8ew6vTFNiEn2NupacWJ
'reptilia, adam, and goat control this address.. jk. trollolol'
HwCy3o2pf0AxagoISWPOl+PMXR06nsl2yHay0w3WMqMAD2X0i97E22ljTIveDl5nTfNKSVFu+ndyKr3sjT4wbbU=
26.
Post 3959852 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.37h):
Large movement possible soon. Guess the direction.
27.
Post 3974287 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
Ok so RP and his boys gonna dump in like 9 hours? That's when Sunday's dump usually happens. My guess is if he's gonna do it, that's when he will. Hope you all are ready for teh cheap coins! I guess he'll sink it down to the low 700s at best (from his perspective).
Watching. I'm craving more whale caviar. yumm$$$
BTCBTCBTCBTC
28.
Post 3984951 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
Poll needs 100,000 option.
29.
Post 3989222 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
mmmmmmmmmm...whale caviar.
30.
Post 3989325 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
I was about to say this was a point for the bears, with how 5k CNY support was broken marking a lower low on the last mini trend....
But Loaded's here... so umm... let's wait and see right ?
No excitement from me tonight. Just catching some dumpers and selling their coins back to them at my profit...
31.
Post 4002198 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Thanks for the cheap coins y'all, I have a very happy client and several very angry ones.
32.
Post 4022192 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
STOPPPPP!
There is tons of money waiting to buy at these prices, but WE CANNOT GET IT TO THE EXCHANGES.
All this panic does is lead to a longer recovery.
I am boarding a plane for China tomorrow (later today).
33.
Post 4022369 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
USD nearly exhausted.
Been on phone with personal bankers for hours trying to get same day wires into the exchanges. Exhausted and don't see sleep coming soon.
34.
Post 4022471 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
This is why I tell people bitcoin will succeed. Any amount can be moved around the world in minutes. While I'm on the phone for hours with "personal bankers" who are supposed to be there for you 24/7, and still can't get a wire into any exchange in a timely fashion. This is my money, and my clients money, we should be able to move it wherever we want. We're talking 10s of millions, not some small transfer where they'll screw around with you for calling late at night.
35.
Post 4022670 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
One thing bitcoin needs badly right now is a leveraged trading market with real capital. Bitfinex and Icbit are useless to us because a single margin deposit is likely to exceed their available funds.
36.
Post 4022885 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.41h):
One thing bitcoin needs badly right now is a leveraged trading market with real capital. Bitfinex and Icbit are useless to us because a single margin deposit is likely to exceed their available funds.
I will move to China and follow Bobby around with a briefcase full of cash for you. My fee per day would be less then what you consider bitcoin dust.
I would like to slap a couple people with a briefcase full of cash while I'm there.
One thing bitcoin needs badly right now is a leveraged trading market with real capital. Bitfinex and Icbit are useless to us because a single margin deposit is likely to exceed their available funds.
How would that solve the volatility issue? If anything it will create more of it by putting in more capital bottlenecks. The very same ones you are having issues with right now.
Its pretty obvious he wants to buy right now, but has no funds. With leverage he could use coins to buy coins and volatility during a crash is reduced by large bids and buys.
But the issue with bitcoin is counterparty risk. What happens when those leveraged counterparties don't deliver the BTC and that will happen. Currently at least on the exchanges you more certain the bitcoins you are buying exist.
Those counterparties would have to have a billion in holdings as a minimum in order to support multiple clients.
37.
Post 4035336 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
Hello from China.
38.
Post 4038369 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):
Dead/dying now. Going to sleep for 15 hours. Expect some upside IF I had any successful.
Yes, I did specifically have to request a normal toilet in a five star hotel suite. They put it in the bathroom away from where I'm sleeping. I ruined a thousand dollar suit the last time I had to use one of those.
39.
Post 4049502 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):
Picked up a large amount of BTC that would otherwise have hit the market, at the CNY rate.
Its not very difficult to bring large amounts of USD into China on a private plane. I have a close relationship with my A&P.
40.
Post 4049847 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):
Picked up a large amount of BTC that would otherwise have hit the market, at the CNY rate.
Its not very difficult to bring large amounts of USD into China on a private plane. I have a close relationship with my A&P.
Single or multiple sellers?
One so far, but I'm in negotiations with another. I'm still on USA time however, will have to wait until the rest of China wakes up.
The big question is: Is Loaded the Winkledouches?
I'd bet for "no", they seem to have different styles.... But I won't bet too much.
Only one way to find out:
Yo, loaded! Nice try to freeload on Zuckerberg. When exactly did that seem like a good idea?
(see, if he gets defensive, he's a Winklevoss. I'm *great* at psychology, I tell you.)Sure did
I am not, but I've met them on several occasions, pretty nice guys.
41.
Post 4051016 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.43h):
I am buying with cash, gold, and some silver.
I am long term bullish, but sell when clients want to. Inducing panic only hurts my own holdings, which I have not sold a single BTC of.
Edit: (Long term, not trading wallet.)
42.
Post 4067555 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):
Bought out 3 large hodlers off exchange. Enjoying a short vacation in China, still have a few M in assets on me.
43.
Post 4068107 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):
Now buying: dogecoin, only with 2 BTC play money.
44.
Post 4181624 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):
I may regret this in the morning, as it will cause some people to want to trade against me, but I feel that I need to put it out there. Bitcoin TA is heavily manipulated at the moment, by at least 2 parties. Be careful out there.
45.
Post 4182462 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):
I may regret this in the morning, as it will cause some people to want to trade against me, but I feel that I need to put it out there. Bitcoin TA is heavily manipulated at the moment, by at least 2 parties. Be careful out there.
Could you please explain it in more detail? Is it the ask spikes I'm seeing @ 750 and 768 Bitstamp? Or something completely different?
Hint: China.
I may regret this in the morning, as it will cause some people to want to trade against me, but I feel that I need to put it out there. Bitcoin TA is heavily manipulated at the moment, by at least 2 parties. Be careful out there.
I think hes drunk like me
Did I hear someone is drunk...
Oh shit, just got home from the pub and I'm drunk too. Does this mean we're going down hard?
We goin up! but im tryna get gone down on hard tonigt. gotta get off the phone and keep handin this girl dat plat card. #nolimit
Bad idea. Never let a girl have the amex. I nearly lost my Centurion once.
46.
Post 4339598 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):
expect.
47.
Post 4378939 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
The FBI will not be selling on an exchange. Several people easily capable of buying all the coins have approached them with offers.
48.
Post 4822794 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):
Still here and going strong.
Well, not so strong, I'm still recovering from Miami.
49.
Post 4823177 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.00h):
Oh wow. So much happening right now...
First, as confirmed above, big time trader 'loaded' arrested in China (
source), and now, another well known player, forum user rpietila arrested in Finland (
source -- they basically call him "the Finnish Charlie Schrem").
This isn't good. Not good at all.
Please, arrest me and throw away the key if I were to ever get that sloppy.
50.
Post 5068794 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):
The incompetence at gox is absolutely inexcusable, possibly criminal. There may be a lawsuit soon.
51.
Post 5354450 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):
In these times of struggle, I can only
52.
Post 5354675 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):
Tasty wall, no fiat remaining.
53.
Post 5364702 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):
Hearing rumors that gox has been bought out, can't confirm.
54.
Post 5379610 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
Out of USD again. Wires are so annoying after you're used to BTC.
55.
Post 5400369 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
I'm pretty surprised to learn he still has a sizable amount there. There was plenty of chance to arbitrage and get out in the last bubble, even with profit.
It was not sizable enough to warrant a flight to Japan. However, it is sizable enough to ruin my weekend.
56.
Post 8869135 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):
Anyone knows loaded's stance on bitcoin these days?
I know he had a shit load of coins, probably around 80k
Must feel pretty shitty to lose all that money when price is going down lol. unless he sold
He bought the majority of his coins WELL below these prices.
40K of them are still in one address, that I think he still owns, unless he sold them all at once 11 months ago before the bubble.
https://blockchain.info/address/14j6jLececs66ZQ8ew6vTFNiEn2NupacWJHe only verified his ownership of the 40k in that address and if they're still in the same address then he must still own them. He was also managing another 160k for other people. Would be interesting to hear from him again
He disappeared since mtgox's collapse, which "ruined his weekend". He did log-in once in June but said nothing. Actually, I suspect he's among us, posting with a different name.
Anyway, I'd be nice to here from him again. Not for any investment advice, just want to know he's okay after the mtgox mess
Hello.
57.
Post 8869207 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):
Anyone knows loaded's stance on bitcoin these days?
I know he had a shit load of coins, probably around 80k
Must feel pretty shitty to lose all that money when price is going down lol. unless he sold
He bought the majority of his coins WELL below these prices.
40K of them are still in one address, that I think he still owns, unless he sold them all at once 11 months ago before the bubble.
https://blockchain.info/address/14j6jLececs66ZQ8ew6vTFNiEn2NupacWJHe only verified his ownership of the 40k in that address and if they're still in the same address then he must still own them. He was also managing another 160k for other people. Would be interesting to hear from him again
He disappeared since mtgox's collapse, which "ruined his weekend". He did log-in once in June but said nothing. Actually, I suspect he's among us, posting with a different name.
Anyway, I'd be nice to here from him again. Not for any investment advice, just want to know he's okay after the mtgox mess
Hello.
'ello 'ello
How's the "briefcases stuffed with cash" lifestyle treating you?
Not well. Too much whisky.
58.
Post 8877180 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):
For better or worse, no funds available until tomorrow, possibly monday. It'd be faster to fly cash to the exchange in person.
59.
Post 8930973 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
60.
Post 8931288 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
Loaded,
What is your opinion on investing in XRP?
Garbage
61.
Post 8943181 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
62.
Post 8959916 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
63.
Post 9092035 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):
This is not my doing. Its likely that the wall holder is setting up an even larger OTC deal, at least that's what I would do.
64.
Post 9100535 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):
Fiat arrives (finally.)
65.
Post 10728426 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):
root@bitcoin:~# bitcoin-cli signmessage 14j6jLececs66ZQ8ew6vTFNiEn2NupacWJ 'Cold storage update, nothing to see here.'
INpeb+jOvfyXpg9n9hzCzKjZJGzyPzPcvWft+PAB+WXgd3z9qJzsu4gk86SrSCIEhEzaWZ3I2utcMGdCwrn2Ctk=
66.
Post 10728870 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):
soon.
67.
Post 10730060 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):
Auction coins went for a good price. All I can say on the subject.
68.
Post 10743404 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):
Who's ready for the weekend?
69.
Post 17272053 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.00h):
Soon.
70.
Post 17322262 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.00h):
Where is Loaded?
I'd like some more pumps
950 not enough?
I'm hammerd.
71.
Post 17388912 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.00h):
Happy new year everyone!
72.
Post 17436201 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
73.
Post 17437197 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
You been riding this, Loaded?
Hope this ain't a bull trap!
Always along for the ride.
74.
Post 17437378 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
If there was anywhere as much manipulation as I get suspected of, I'd be way richer. It's far harder than you'd think.
75.
Post 17437381 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
Also, I'm hammered.
76.
Post 17437402 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
In 13 it was fun.
77.
Post 17437600 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
Ya win some, ya lose some, and hope the former is greater than the atter. Ya go from preyin on whales to being chewed on these dats.
78.
Post 18280485 (copy this link) (by Loaded) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.06h):
https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/60ozkh/rogerver_lets_make_a_deal_1_for_1_trade_at_least/bitcoin-cli signmessage 19Mz2o9RDABT74SA9njZqMtJXKEzj2qUoH '@RogerVer lets make a deal, 1 for 1 trade. At least 60k, possibly up to 130k, my BTU for your BTC.'
H9ed6z5RgdThRxXXqePmtJbaK1pGvoy6e+aiwUPD6pkrJ6d6TBchOu5OQLEbgq/15YRjcOUC+kMrGVfszUXV5Wc=
