All posts made by Chang Hum in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 2355350 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
Sorry I've got no thoughts to contribute at the moment
2.
Post 2356382 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
I interpret that as it's going to edge between 122-123 by the end of the day, with little resistance to a full rebound to 128-130 as cash starts flowing in towards the end of the week!
3.
Post 2358190 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
Well, well, well. How to judge this??
Cheap coins or expect more free fall?
......

If we could all knew 1 hour into the future we'd all be millionaires..... Just go with the opposite of the herd mentality works most the time on open markets.
Edit: as you seem to be apart of the herd mentality or bluffing I'm going for the opposite of what your saying
4.
Post 2358219 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
Ok, good luck with that.
[/quote]
Cheer's Pal wish you good luck too!
5.
Post 2358272 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
I don't know guys...yesterday I said it would pull back some and it did. This just looks like a tremendous amount of downward pressure. I mean look at this trend. Clarkmoody looks like it got bear clawed.

Clark Moody's a miserable fucker, stay positive mate
Disclosure: I've just done my brains buying back in!!!
6.
Post 2358321 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
the way I see it is it's just a bunch of pussies who couldn't handle the psychological impact of a big sell... perhaps the big sell was in part timed to impact on said pussies.
that doesn't mean it's not going down, but what exactly is the reasoning behind it? Just because the indicators say x doesn't mean you should act out x.
I agree but dicks need pussies to fuck so is it really a bad thing???
7.
Post 2358329 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
I don't know guys...yesterday I said it would pull back some and it did. This just looks like a tremendous amount of downward pressure. I mean look at this trend. Clarkmoody looks like it got bear clawed.

Clark Moody's a miserable fucker, stay positive mate
Disclosure: I've just done my brains buying back in!!!
Well for what it's worth, I just read some of the other "panic" posts and I don't see a sell off into double digits. We may however smash through 110 and possibly even touch 105. If any of this proves true, that would be the bottom.
I think so too no need to hit panic stations I think it's somewhere between 105-123 in the next 48 hours, with a following upward trend after that.
8.
Post 2358424 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
Be grateful guys, I sold a bunch of coins like half an hour ago (crashing the EURO market 1,5% BTW, what a joke is this tiny market), and obviously as soon as I took my dump the price immediately rebounded
LOL

I just took a dump as well... outside my butchers in a dirty protest to the recent Turkish clash with police.
9.
Post 2358498 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
the way I see it is it's just a bunch of pussies who couldn't handle the psychological impact of a big sell... perhaps the big sell was in part timed to impact on said pussies.
that doesn't mean it's not going down, but what exactly is the reasoning behind it? Just because the indicators say x doesn't mean you should act out x.
I agree but dicks need pussies to fuck so is it really a bad thing???
of course this is not such a bad thing. Without the yin, the yang is meaniningless... without some down, what would up mean?
so yeah, up down action between dicks and pussies...
Well I suppose without ups or downs you might hit some kind of horizontal Plateau I suppose!
10.
Post 2419468 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
The only reason it's dropped is because someones having a massive sell off, news is good, Chinese are buying and every big sell off makes the market more dispersed.
11.
Post 2419539 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
In other news we're still in the 109.9999 area.
Weekend is on and Bulls and Bears are already wasted.
But , there is still hope , remember what happend last Sunday morning?

yaaawn ... so it actually happend..
It's gonna be interesting if we hit the real price trendline (13-30 area ?)
Where in the world did you come up with this price? I've always said 50-60 but 13-30??

cut march/april out of the price graph , and see the trend for the last 2 years
Also when there is a panic drop, we will hit for a few the minimum of minimum , the dip , thats why the 13

A lot of other people are thinking the same by the looks of the bids - just look how many bids are on the order book between $10 and $14
A lot of people are wishing the same I don't believe they're thinking
12.
Post 2420985 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
Are you guys clocking whats happening to the order book. Multiple, and i mean multiple 0.0100 are being repeatedly entered onto the book at every possible price. Watch the orders close at the current price, increasing and decreasing by 0.0100 every second.
It's Bot spasms
13.
Post 2844642 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):
[/quote]
The volume has fallen at each buying period.
[/quote]
This could be a reflection of MTgox users cashing USD by purchasing Bitcoins on gox to sell at other exchanges. I think this will carry on for another couple of weeks pushing prices artificially higher, therefore maybe until Gox sort there problems out it's better to look at human behavior than lines on charts.
14.
Post 2859162 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):
With a faint wind and tumbleweed blowing across the floor of Gox this Saturday, looks like we're waiting for the first draw between Bull and Bear before we can predict the trend this weekend!
15.
Post 5373397 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
can anyone succesfully log in and see the order book on bitcoinbuilder? think it's been hacked due to maliability
16.
Post 5405081 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
Thanks no-ones read that yet.
17.
Post 5405105 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
thanks no-ones read that yet.
18.
Post 5405642 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
Thanks no-ones read that yet.
Note to self: Chang Hum has yet to discover Google or the search option on this forum.
Note to self: Learn to add the sarcastic smiley at the end of sarcastic posts.
19.
Post 5405766 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
I wonder why the bitcion builder price is as low as it is my thoughts are:
-Even if the crisis document is true than liability's/assets puts goxcoins at about 5-1, not 20-1 as is the current price.
-There's a speculative chance and good reason to believe that document was highly exaggerated or a takeover could be on the cards.
-The market fluctuates wildly I've got roughly 8k USD on that exchange after having pulled out my original 5k stake.
Any thoughts as to why it's so low?
20.
Post 5409407 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
So let me get this straight, it only took a simple check of addresses associated with MTgox to completely undermine the credibility of the crisis plan document and show that Gox is in fact solvent.
Woah bit hard to get my head around this but that logically means that pre-announcement Gox coins should be trading at around .5 , yet are being traded for just 0.06 at the moment on Bitcoin Builder.com. 1000% profit? yes please I'm going to get over there now!!!
21.
Post 5409523 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
There's some bloody funny public notes on those gox addresses just reading through them now!
Public Note: Hi! My name is Preet Bharara and I'm homeless Indian junkie. I'm accepting donations to buy crack for me and my ugly wife. Please help me. Thank you.
22.
Post 5409705 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
So let me get this straight, it only took a simple check of addresses associated with MTgox to completely undermine the credibility of the crisis plan document and show that Gox is in fact solvent.
Woah bit hard to get my head around this but that logically means that pre-announcement Gox coins should be trading at around .5 , yet are being traded for just 0.06 at the moment on Bitcoin Builder.com. 1000% profit? yes please I'm going to get over there now!!!
It however doesn't prove that they still have the private keys to access them. Effectively they are still lost, and won't help their solvency, if that is the case.
I really don't get why people are speculating that gox has lost keys to wallets containing massive fortunes!!! there's absolutely no news to suggest this so it's like people can't handle the shock of the good news and are trying to stop the party.
The fact is it completely discredits what was laid out in the crisis document and is an ultra bullish sign for anyone holding GoxBtc now!!
23.
Post 5410292 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
Wow I'm really bullish on Goxbtc at the moment I think once this latest news gets widespread I can really see the price rallying back to .33 in the next 12 hours!
24.
Post 5410476 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
I think twobitidiot got news of the gag order and took full advantage of it to manipulate the market knowing his story couldn't be disputed.
25.
Post 5411841 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
People are off their heads gambling on that toxic gox shit! If there was really a silver lining don't you think everyone in the know and there familys would be buying and the price would be 5x higher now??
26.
Post 5421963 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
It's very interesting that despite it being public knowledge that within the next few hours Mark Kapeles is going to announce bankrupsy proceedings with enough capital to potentially pay out at 1:30, that the price on Bitcoin Builder has rallied to almost 1:10

.... looks like people that haven't lost shit loads of money already want to join the party, be interesting to see how fast/low this falls post announcement.
27.
Post 5422293 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):
There are surely some extremist groups among Ukrainian protestors but you don't topple a government if you don't have support of people overall. Those extremist groups were just one part of protesting movement, whole Ukrainian people were behind it (and I mean Ukrainian people, not Ukrainian citizens who are putting Russian flags on government buildings in some prorussian areas these days, they don't give a rat about Ukraine anyway, they care about Russia only=
Surely protest were supported by USA and EU but when you give Ukrainians choice of picking West or Russians who ruled them for decades and still want to be the boss in their country, then that's not a big choice for them, they'll pick West any time.
I don't think they were a majority, but even if it was, you'd be surprised at how a bit of propaganda can steer a population, there have been endless coups driven by outside powers, just about any that you can name in recent years have been based on lies.. Iraq, Libya, Syria, Egypt, Venezuala (2002).
a recent attempt in Guinea where 4 Israeli's arrested for plotting coup:
"According to the intelligence files dated September 13 and quoted by the French newspaper, the mercenaries aimed to provoke the Guinean police and armed forces to hurt citizens in order to incite political unrest in the West African republic ahead of the elections."
They've used this same method countless times, you should watch confessions of an economic hitman to get a better idea of how and why.
I absolutely agree and it's obvious that this was driven and supported by Western powers, I'm just stating that it's also obvious that Ukrainians would rather turn them self to the West and not to the Russia, and considering their history I think it's fair to support them in that.
They are just buying that MTV, Mcdonalds and Rihanna crap... What they dont understand is their Taxes are going to surge as well as unemployment and misery. Plus, making Russia their enemy will have dramatic effects on their energy costs too... Fools.

Totally disagree Rihanna is hot!
28.
Post 5422927 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):
has the comment about the loss of bitcoins been verified?
29.
Post 8002449 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):
Quick question: We have some decent support at 605 on Stamp. Will it hold or will we eat right through that?
How exactly do you expect anyone to know the answer to this?
I know as do all other members of the BitMasons. Few people understand the degree to which secret societies like the BitMasons wield power and control behind the scenes in our world.
30.
Post 8154240 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.02h):
Pointing to the smartphone, Kurzweil says, devices like the iPhone are 100,000 times smaller than the computer that he used as an MIT student. "It is also several thousand times more powerful," he says. "It is a million times cheaper. That is a several billion-fold increase in price performance." Technology is being reduced at a rate of "100,000 in 3-D volume per decade," says Kurzweil. "That is another predictable exponential trajectory, so computers of this capability will be blood-cell size in 2030.
Phone size is increasing again.
30 Years Of Cell Phones

i like phones but not all the people like phonez, phones connect more than two peoplenow through webtronics and such an interesting formular used by bell and jacobs to determine number of people and people within proximity was p=c+ir when p is equal to total people, c is connected people and ir represents people in the room. phones r also larger now in terms of volume this can be described as bigger
31.
Post 8990073 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
is dis coin dead yet?
32.
Post 8990572 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Wow very interesting comparison! You probably know, but if you layer Google trends over Bitcoin price charts it's startlingly similar!
33.
Post 8994007 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Oh dear i really think someone here that's better connected, needs to call the emergency line to let the bitcoin foundation know it's all heading south.
34.
Post 8994869 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Make a calculation of EV based on assumptions of different price targets and their chances of materializing. Make them conservative to to safe. The EV calculated will be extremely higher than current price.
Gotcha.
Calculated for $.05, and $200. Sort'a stuck calculating $2,000. How do I convert "snowball's chance in hell" into numbers?
Well, "the market's EV" is 400$. Therefore, "the market" thinks, rightly or wrongly, that the chances of BTC being worth 2000 USD at any time in the next 5 years are somewhat less than 35%. An investor who thinks that there is a 35% chance of selling for 2000$ within 5 years should be buying BTC for 400$, since the expected profit would be at least 12% per year. Since there are bitcoins for sale at 400$, and no one is buying them, the market's opinion is that the chances of "2000$ within 5 years" must be less than that.
To be sure, that must be the opinion only of all those who have looked at bitcoin and still have investment money on hand. Those who have higher expectations for the price should have already all their money invested in BTC already.
Actually, the 12%/year ROI above assumes that the only alternative to "2000$ within 5 years" is "price will immediatel crash to 0$". But the market must not be that pessimistic about the alternatives: the price may do many other things, with significant probabilities, besides crashing to 0$. So, the market's probability for "2000$ within 5 years" must be much less than 35%.
You're substantially over estimating the thought capabilities of over 99.87% of market participants, I would really struggle to believe this overwhelming statistical majority even understand which way to hold their toothbrush.
35.
Post 8994899 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Make a calculation of EV based on assumptions of different price targets and their chances of materializing. Make them conservative to to safe. The EV calculated will be extremely higher than current price.
Gotcha.
Calculated for $.05, and $200. Sort'a stuck calculating $2,000. How do I convert "snowball's chance in hell" into numbers?
Well, "the market's EV" is 400$. Therefore, "the market" thinks, rightly or wrongly, that the chances of BTC being worth 2000 USD at any time in the next 5 years are somewhat less than 35%. An investor who thinks that there is a 35% chance of selling for 2000$ within 5 years should be buying BTC for 400$, since the expected profit would be at least 12% per year. Since there are bitcoins for sale at 400$, and no one is buying them, the market's opinion is that the chances of "2000$ within 5 years" must be less than that.
exactly, the price is always right, because it consolidates all estimates of all market participants at any given time. the only way to forecast prices is via technical analysis - and this can only work when done in an unbiased wayCommon sense beats technical analysis every time.
36.
Post 8994968 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Common sense beats technical analysis every time.
What's your common sense telling you now?
Dell, Paypal that I would have had wet dreams about joining bitcoin a year ago, have little to no impact on the price as it continues to edge it's way down. A lot more people have money in Bitcoin they want to get out then money exists on the order book. There is a bottom to it somewhere but pissed of panic stricken investors will severely overshoot that mark on one dark day soon. Low buy orders doubling up as you go further down from i'd say a starting point of about 200-250 depending on how much of a gambler you are!
Also be aware their could be regulatory repercussions proposed (under the guise?) to protect investors as a result of a big burst in Bitcoin.
(I'd look for the average value(s) of about 5 decent feeds of clean, logical common sense and use your own judgement too)
37.
Post 8995058 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Dell, Paypal that I would have had wet dreams about joining bitcoin a year ago, have little to no impact on the price as it continues to edge it's way down. A lot more people have money in Bitcoin they want to get out then money exists on the order book. There is a bottom to it somewhere but pissed of panic stricken investors will severely overshoot that mark on one dark day soon. Low buy orders doubling up as you go further down from i'd say a starting point of about 200-250 depending on how much of a gambler you are!
Also be aware their could be regulatory repercussions proposed (under the guise?) to protect investors as a result of a big burst in Bitcoin.
(I'd look for the average value(s) of about 5 decent feeds of clean, logical common sense and use your own judgement too)
Agreed (mostly), but sadly your common sense isn't so common. Going below $200-250 is more bearish than I.
Agreed that's not today's bet that's post panic, but there's no point dabbling in a falling market to try and catch the small swings up, so I'm saying if you want to keep playing you might as well leave those orders in now and adjust as the landscape changes.
38.
Post 8995772 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Another way to look at it is by saying there are really two major driving forces at play confidence, greed pushing the price up and loss of confidence/ fear pushing it down and although the underlying tech is very interesting it's very hard to stamp a value on to define a bottom on the market. And I'd say if you agree about the two driving forces you'd probably also agree we're currently being driven by the latter.
There's unfortunately around $5,324,220,489 (market cap) that wants to come out of a pot that's likely to be around $24,220,489 (
guess to sum of combined order books)
Now some fear mongering fudsters could say that the pot is actually then 99.5% short and as bitcoin is 0 sum (no extra money is introduced to the chain outside of market participants) that that 99.5% loss must be realized by those currently in the game.
Of course the loss I'm talking about above is only relative to fiat and as Bitcoin beats the damn heck out of sillly real life money who cares! get more tokens representing an arbitrary figure on the way down!

39.
Post 9534453 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):
ne1 no wen is da 2 da moon!?

40.
Post 9549599 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
bitcoinz just a stupid ponzi scheme
41.
Post 9549705 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
bitcoinz just a stupid ponzi scheme
So who is collecting all the money?
market participants
42.
Post 9549787 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
this coin dead yet?
43.
Post 9549908 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
this coin dead yet?
No.
Hopefully you will be soon.
You're wishing death on me?

44.
Post 9550198 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?
Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.
Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises. As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.
As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.
All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.
45.
Post 9550318 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?
Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.
Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises. As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.
As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.
All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.
Bitch pleaseeeeeee go ask 10 people in the street wtf a Bitcoin is and they will give you a blank look or comment on SR.
Buy buy buy!
Rally this mofo back to $410 and futures $420.
Your mums a bitch.
46.
Post 9550321 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?
Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.
Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises. As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.
As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.
All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.
Ok so tell us, Why are you here?

Be serious and don't waste time, boy.......get a life, go out, run after a blondie......enjoy life and don't bother us.
Thank you, boy.

47.
Post 9550359 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
lol got the feeling I may have touched a nerve!

48.
Post 9550399 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
yet another hero on "ignore"
How much does a hero account go for these days?
I didn't ask to be a hero.
49.
Post 9550669 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
yet another hero on "ignore"
How much does a hero account go for these days?
I didn't ask to be a hero.
Registered Aug 2012, lemme guess you bought under $10 sold for over $1000 like all the other really convincing bears
Wish I did I'd be a millionaire!! I was actually using them for my business as it was a cheap albeit a bit risky way of moving small payments from customers without paying international fees. That was around the $5 mark, sold at $110 and converted them into 2 condos both with swimming pools (could have bought 4 if I sold a week later but hard to guess the top of a bubble). Sat out for a year then got back in last November with a small amount of cash at about $800 during crypto mania and sold at $1200 a much more accurate guess at where the bubble was bursting. It's hard to judge at the moment where the price is going in the short term I think $500 isn't out of the question but I don't think it's worth the risk now. I've got some buy orders placed doubling down from under $100 to $2 although there's a good chance they'll never get filled.
50.
Post 9550689 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
ignored
mr hero- if you really believe that in a market where the price rises due to demand being larger than supply, anyone is losing money or trying to make money because of others losing money, than you are mistaken by an order of magnitude that i cannot express without getting offensive.
if 10 people hold 10 apples and there are another 10 people want to have some of those apples- what will happen? Price rises. Who the fuck lost money? you say that apple scheme is a ponzi, being a hero in a BITCOIN forum. wow.
No you're mistaking my comments I absolutely agree that when demand is larger than supply the price will rise.
51.
Post 9550723 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?
Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.
Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises. As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.
As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.
All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.
You described the stock market.
close you could fairly say I'm describing a lot of penny stocks, however a typical stocks value isn't an arbitrary figure as a profitable company adds value to the stock in terms of re-investing in the underlying business and to share holders in the form of dividends.
52.
Post 9550801 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
ignored
you really believe that in a market where the price rises due to demand being larger than supply, anyone is losing money or trying to make money because of others losing money, than you are mistaken by an order of magnitude that i cannot express without getting offensive.
if 10 people hold 10 apples and there are another 10 people want to have some of those apples- what will happen? Price rises. Who the fuck lost money? you say that apple scheme is a ponzi, being a hero in a BITCOIN forum. wow.
Dear @Chang_Hum, I hope you are enjoying the warm welcome that this thread reserves for those who have the bad habit of pointing out the obvious.

lol the defensiveness investors is an odd characteristic across all markets. My words aren't having any effect on the price of such a large market so it stands to good reason that an intelligent investor would be wise to listen to all viewpoints and decide for themselves what they see as a probable outcome whether they agree or not. However it's usually the case when investors are confronted with analysis different then their own (blind-sighted?) viewpoint they become extremely hostile.
53.
Post 9550830 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?
[...] a giant ponzi scheme.
You described the stock market.
close you could fairly say I'm describing a lot of penny stocks, however a typical stocks value isn't an arbitrary figure as a profitable company adds value to the stock in terms of re-investing in the underlying business and to share holders in the form of dividends.
It is still the same. For each seller there is a buyer. Its a zero sum game depending on how people value the item traded. No more, no less.
No that's what I'm saying although bitcoin is a zero sum game (participants gain or loss is exactly balanced by other participants gain or loss) that is not the case with stocks as the underlying book price of a profitable company grows with time and dividend payments are paid from the company's profits.
54.
Post 9550909 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
ignored
you really believe that in a market where the price rises due to demand being larger than supply, anyone is losing money or trying to make money because of others losing money, than you are mistaken by an order of magnitude that i cannot express without getting offensive.
if 10 people hold 10 apples and there are another 10 people want to have some of those apples- what will happen? Price rises. Who the fuck lost money? you say that apple scheme is a ponzi, being a hero in a BITCOIN forum. wow.
Ignored
Ignored
you were accusing bitcoin buyers to try to make money by others losing in a ponzi. THAT is insulting and it is wrong.

I've clearly said I've made a lot of money from later market participants losing in a ponzi, when I made 1000% profit the money didn't magic out of thin air it was from people that bought in after me.
55.
Post 9550916 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
People should and do gets hostile to stupidity.
I certainly do.
Call bitcoin just Ponzi scheme not considering all the potential in which the price will reflect is stupid. Or a stupid try to manipulate price.
Cryptos should get rid of childish troll to get into a higher level.
It's just amazing. And this should be the standard forum?
Of course everyone have the right to write free, but please try and be serious. And this is direct also to people who writes "tomorrow bitcoin will be at 10.000"
Thank you boys.
ok you win

56.
Post 9551034 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?
Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to
make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.
Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises. As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.
As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.
All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.
The one I bought from was happy - the one I sold to was happy - I am happy; where is the loss? This is value creation, to some it seems magical.
Do you agree that your loss or gain is exactly balanced by the loss or gain of the wider market? if so then I hope you can appreciate that wild gains already made or made in the future must be balanced by the market.
57.
Post 9551043 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Of course boy, I always do.
at being a complete dickhead

58.
Post 9551131 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
ignored
you really believe that in a market where the price rises due to demand being larger than supply, anyone is losing money or trying to make money because of others losing money, than you are mistaken by an order of magnitude that i cannot express without getting offensive.
if 10 people hold 10 apples and there are another 10 people want to have some of those apples- what will happen? Price rises. Who the fuck lost money? you say that apple scheme is a ponzi, being a hero in a BITCOIN forum. wow.
Dear @Chang_Hum, I hope you are enjoying the warm welcome that this thread reserves for those who have the bad habit of pointing out the obvious.

In case you didn't notice, I quoted his post from 2012 saying bitcoin was useless
No it didn't

it was a post relating the events and news at the time which were silk rd (reference to drugs) in the press, and a mass of idiots handing money over to Pirate40s Ponzi Scheme (reference to Ponzi). as I've previously stated I was bullish on Bitcoin at the time as I was actually USING it as a part of my business (so I found it USEFUL).
59.
Post 9551536 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Of course boy, I always do.
at being a complete dickhead

This confirm who you are. I had no doubt, boy.
Sorry I don't get that joke, you winning at being a complete dickhead confirms who I am, what does that mean exactly? and I'm 32 so don't know why you keep writing boy? are you trying to patronize me or do you have some sort of personality disorder?
60.
Post 9551665 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Of course boy, I always do.
at being a complete dickhead

This confirm who you are. I had no doubt, boy.
Sorry I don't get that joke, you winning at being a complete dickhead confirms who I am, what does that mean exactly? and I'm 32 so don't know why you keep writing boy? are you trying to patronize me or do you have some sort of personality disorder?
I would have bet you wouldn't understand, boy.............and please go on, You are fascinating me with you clever way to write. Boy.
Listen to me, get a job and be serious...................boy.
fascinating you with the clever way I write, do you mean asking a question? specifically why you're calling a 32 year old man a boy? it doesn't bother me it's just a bit odd and I'm curious why?
Also why do you presume I don't have a job? You're correct I don't, but it's also odd as I don't believe you know me or why you think I'd take any sort of advice from you as you come across as a complete fucking idiot!
61.
Post 9551722 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Getting nervous, boy?
nervous why? please can you try and clarify what you're getting at, you're an extremely confusing individual to have a chat with as I'm not entirely sure you understand what you're thinking yourself, so when you try and translate that across with words it comes off terribly.
Me, I'm turning my attention back to my own business.
of putting little boys penises in your mouth.
62.
Post 9552070 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
close you could fairly say I'm describing a lot of penny stocks, however a typical stocks value isn't an arbitrary figure as a profitable company adds value to the stock in terms of re-investing in the underlying business and to share holders in the form of dividends.
When there *are* dividends, it is possible to fairly value a stock but when there are not and the price is based on reinvestment, you may be using some similar indicators to value a company but you are still basically relying on "greater fool".
I do agree there are a lot of stocks that rely on the greater fool and investing in them often times ends badly, but I think that's a bit of a simplistic view. Although it can be nice as a shareholder to get paid a dividend (there can also be tax drawbacks), a company should really only use it's profits to pay one as a last resort after considering whether the money could be more wisely spent re-investing back into the business, making acquisitions or buying back their own stock if they consider it undervalued. The growing tangible value of a company is just as relevant to a stocks price as whether or not a dividend is paid as are a company earnings.
63.
Post 9560121 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):
Time for a new poll?
64.
Post 9634320 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):
Wow! very first post on page 10000

65.
Post 9801164 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):
EDIT: to elaborate further, the problem is that exclusive storage of FIAT on a data structure isn't possible
can you please explain why it wouldn't be possible?
Because fiat is backed by gold, and gold can't be stored as a series of 0's & 1's as data. maybe?
This is really bullish news for fiat

66.
Post 9801840 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):
In theory it would make much more sense to back fiat with chickens, so increases in money supply due to QE could be balanced with an extensive breeding program.
67.
Post 9803579 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):
Anyone ever read the Intelligent Investor by Graham (with additions from W. Buffet and Zweig)? I feel although most of us are very emotional investors.
I haven't read the whole book yet, but was wondering what you guys think about that. I'd bet a lot of people are selling in this bear market (obvious?) as an emotional response to market movement.
I understand that shorting can definitely make a profit in bear markets, but the actual sellers have to either be emotional or they lost confidence in bitcoins fundamentals?
Just thinking out loud here

I've read it, the book doesn't relate to Bitcoin in anyway as would analyse Bitcoin as having no fundamental value.
68.
Post 10151602 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
If you love the technology it doesn't matter what the price in USD because the technology is free

The big problem is 100000 people bought bitcoins off 10000 people and made them super rich

this incentivised 1000000 to buy the coins off them so their coins 2 da mooned.
Many people didn't stop to consider where the next wave was coming from because they're thick as shit and blind greedy! Kama for suing Zuckerberg Winklevosses he's a business genius you're not

69.
Post 10154116 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
I bet Satoshis pissed he didn't sell at 1k now!
70.
Post 10174946 (copy this link) (by Chang Hum) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
If anyone is feeling uneasy about the market, I suggest you consult the FAT twitter oracle, he should be able to feed you small snippets of vague meaningless information to boost his social media whilst predicting nothing particularly then after any likely positive or negative event twist to be an I told you so!
