All posts made by abz99 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 17515961 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Quote from: the artful bodger on January 15, 2017, 09:13:43 PM
Or else this enormous cup requires a proportionally large handle, in which case this clambering up and dripping down could continue for months?

i always thought it could be until may. now i think august or september.

Do you mean august/september 2018, or august/september 2019?

2017

I studied the times between the previous two highs, and speculate we get another spectacular in about 5.5 to 7.5 months.

Recent price action was perfectly aligned with the Fibo Time Zone. From my point of view November 2017 is the next possible climax http://zentrade.online/bitcoin-price-action-update-20170113/



2. Post 17534054 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Quote from: gembitz on January 17, 2017, 03:29:14 PM
If Chinese were actually SHORT BTC perhaps there is a "short squeeze" occurring!?  Cool

The "short squeeze" and its outcome is what we are witnessing now Smiley http://zentrade.online/bitcoinusd-price-action-analysis-bitmex-perpetual-swap-xbtusd-update-20170117/



3. Post 17564295 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Quote from: K~Ehleyr on January 20, 2017, 11:46:53 AM
Just when I think the price has stabilised for a while, we get another little downward bump.  It's all cool though - as long as our stomachs can stand a few more weeks/months of this downward turbulence, we're going to have the most amazing handle to finish off the cup!!!!  Grin Grin Grin

From what I currently can see at the market, sell orders of big players are set at 950 and above. The crowd with its market orders is not able to push due to lack of liquidity. Sideways scenario is most realistic for the next week until 950 level reached http://zentrade.online/bitcoinusd-price-action-analysis-bitmex-perpetual-swap-xbtusd-update-20170120/



4. Post 17565650 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Quote from: [Suspicious link removed] on January 20, 2017, 01:23:06 PM

Why don't you or zentrade setup an rss or twitter feed to alert us of BTC TA updates? I don't want the whole zentrade rss, just the BTC part.

is this would be ok? http://zentrade.online/category/markets/crypto/feed/



5. Post 17573754 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Bitcoin is bullish but the money flow is negative http://zentrade.online/bitcoinusd-price-action-analysis-bitmex-perpetual-swap-xbtusd-update-20170121/



6. Post 17576557 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

USD smart money vs CNY FOMO-buyers, watch the bulls slaughtered http://zentrade.online/usd-vs-cny-bitcoin-battle/



7. Post 17584225 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Next 12 hours is make or break moment for Bitcoin http://zentrade.online/next-12-hours-make-break-bitcoin/



8. Post 17605721 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Bitcoin is on a verge http://zentrade.online/bitcoinusd-price-action-analysis-bitmex-perpetual-swap-xbtusd-update-20170124/



9. Post 17639358 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Chinese New Year is coming, expect n-term wild moves http://zentrade.online/bitcoinusd-price-action-analysis-bitmex-perpetual-swap-xbtusd-update-20170127/



10. Post 17640568 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

According to Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder & CEO, BitMEX

selling pressure will continue until mid-February, until if one of these three following black swan events transpire before the expiry of March 2017 futures:

   1. The PBOC aggressively devalues the Yuan

    2. Marine Le Pineapple Pen is polling well in French elections

    3. Trump passes a massive infrastructure spending bill

source: BitMEX Crypto Trader Digest Jan 27, 2017



11. Post 17672716 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

"the absence of CNY currency volatility may dampen the price of Bitcoin" -- Arthur Hayes, BitMEX Crypto Trader Digest @BitMEXdotcom



12. Post 17672770 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

"A one-off [CNY] devaluation during New Year gives China breathing room" -- Arthur Hayes, BitMEX Crypto Trader Digest @BitMEXdotcom - THIS may send Bitcoin price to the MOON!



13. Post 17673597 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):

Quote from: jaberwock on January 30, 2017, 01:39:26 PM
"the absence of CNY currency volatility may dampen the price of Bitcoin" -- Arthur Hayes, BitMEX Crypto Trader Digest @BitMEXdotcom

why?

with less chinese volatility people that complain about Bitcoin being manipulated by the chinese may be less afraid and enter the market

or just create another excuse about why bitcoin is a bad investment

As far as I can understand position of Arthur Hayes it is because of the current pure speculative nature of Bitcoin.  Here is an excerpt:
"All of a sudden, the PBOC turned on the lights at the club. In response to pressure from regulators, Chinese exchanges ceased offering margin trading on January 11th. The very next day, XBTH17 entered backwardation. Existing loans were allowed to expire, but no new loans could be taken out.

Margin loans had 2 to 30 day terms. As loans expired, credit whales need to unwind their trades. That meant selling futures and buying spot with released CNY. This helped move the futures’ basis into backwardation.

The Fear Uncertainty and Doubt (FUD) surrounding what the PBOC would or wouldn’t do prompted speculators to short Bitcoin via futures. There was no more margin trading therefore futures were the only bearish instrument available. Even today, the PBOC has released no statement as to what policy actions will be undertaken as a result of their “investigations”.

In short:

Margin Book Unwind + FUD = Futures Backwardation"



14. Post 17734189 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):

Next difficulty increase is 7 hours away, bitcoin bulls are making their best, will 1135 be broken? http://zentrade.online/bitcoinusd-price-action-analysis-bitmex-perpetual-swap-xbtusd-update-20170204/



15. Post 17815065 (copy this link) (by abz99) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):

"Who-sells-first-sells-best" time for Bitcoin http://zentrade.online/sells-first-sells-best-time-bitcoin/