All posts made by twiifm in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 7996407 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):
The year is 2015. The month is August. Only but a mere 5 months ago, the world witnessed one of the greatest transfers of wealth the world has ever seen. The bitcoin price skyrocketed from 1k to over 100k per bitcoin over the course of 2 weeks. Many pot smoking hippies casually buying weed off the internet were made millionaires overnight. The Winklevoss ETF, as well as sudden bitcoin acceptance announced by large companies such as Amazon, Ebay, Walmart, Exxon-Mobile, BP, Walgreens, Best Buy, and many other companies has been seen as the primary cause of this price rise. Also, Russia has announced that they are making Bitcoin their official reserve currency, and all Russian rubles can be redeemed for bitcoins. The price has settled at around 250k per bitcoin, but rumors that Saudi Arabia is going to drop the dollar and do all oil trading in Bitcoins is threatening to cause even further price increases.
Thousands of people have been able to exit the corporate rat race thanks to their newfound wealth. Bitcoin based businesses are popping up everywhere and stocks of Western Union, Paypal, and Moneygram have dropped in price considerably. It currently costs a thousand dollars to buy a 20TH miner - enough to mine about .0001 bitcoin per day.
It is a glorious time to be a wealthy bitcoiner, but the looming threat of regulations by the USA government to what it sees as a threat to the US Dollar presents an uncertain future.
I cant tell if this is serious or satire.
Its like the kind of reddit/ buttcoin posts that intends to make fun of bitcoiners
2.
Post 8077686 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):
other threads still think we are heading down, hahaha we are one step ahead!
I don't think we can go down very far. Looks like support above 7777 is holding.
As long as we don't dump our posts and HODL. 7777 support should hold
3.
Post 8078543 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):
other threads still think we are heading down, hahaha we are one step ahead!
I don't think we can go down very far. Looks like support above 7777 is holding.
As long as we don't dump our posts and HODL. 7777 support should hold
A crash to 7776 is imminent. Support dwindling

That page dumping theme has run out of steam... ADMIT IT!!!!!!

We'll all remember it fondly as The Great Page 7777 Pump n Pump of 2014. Sigh.... The good ol days.

4.
Post 8198814 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):
It's not economic growth when just the numbers increase. And usually the prices increase much more than the wages.
Nice economic growth when the majority of the people gets ripped of, and only the stinking rich get even richer.
All this so called growth does is increase the gap between rich and poor.
Thats the game. Play by the rules or take your chances
5.
Post 8199610 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.03h):
life should be about sharing and caring, not about hoarding for your own pleasure.
Says the guy who hoards bit coins.

6.
Post 8402218 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):
Bitfinex increases allowable margin from 2.5 to 3.33 on Monday.
That should decrease margin calls and may even spark a rally.
That's pretty awesome news.
if that will spark a rally we all gonna be very surprised and happy :-)
But even without a rally this is a good change.
Why does this sound like a banker or politician wanting to stimulate an economy?
I dunno. I am not a politician I am not a banker.
Do you think that allowable margin at 3.33 is bad for us?
Its not a big margin compared to other markets like forex
7.
Post 8417148 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):
Could someone explain this to me?
I have 18 btc long from 528 on BTC-e. That order was not margin called today. But 40 btc long from 453$ was. How the fuck is that possible.
Which one was bought w margin and which one bought w cash?
8.
Post 8647451 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):
Google "Daniel Masters" and see what his funds did the past.
Also google "Blythe Masters" his famous wife, the inventor of the credit default swap. She was also the head of JP Morgan global commodities. The one that silver investors malign for suspicion of

manipulating the silver market
I bet what they is hold bitcoins for clients and hedge against these positions. I believe thats he did at JP Morgan. He bought physical oil and sold oil futures against it
9.
Post 8659458 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):
I recommend watching this=
http://youtu.be/hpAMbpQ8J7g Slavoj Zizek investigates the surprising ethical implications of charitable giving. It touches on many discussions that have been discussed here in this thread by many (soicety, freedom, (crony) capitalism, property, property is theft, big government,taxation/charity/socialism/welfare state etc) and it reaches a nice crescendo...
Slavoj slaying it... even if you do not agree with everything he says he is a pleasure to listen to...brain nourishment.
I shared this shit out of this back when I first saw it. Cultural capitalism is such an interesting idea.
Yuck. Post Lacanian charlatan. Disconnected from reality. So passe
10.
Post 8660069 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):
I recommend watching this=
http://youtu.be/hpAMbpQ8J7g Slavoj Zizek investigates the surprising ethical implications of charitable giving. It touches on many discussions that have been discussed here in this thread by many (soicety, freedom, (crony) capitalism, property, property is theft, big government,taxation/charity/socialism/welfare state etc) and it reaches a nice crescendo...
Slavoj slaying it... even if you do not agree with everything he says he is a pleasure to listen to...brain nourishment.
I shared this shit out of this back when I first saw it. Cultural capitalism is such an interesting idea.
Yuck. Post Lacanian charlatan. Disconnected from reality. So passe
What are your ideas/thoughts/recommended reading/solutions/specific criticisms may I ask?
I'm not an academic so I haven't written any papers.
But during my undergrad i was neck deep in Post Modernism.
After 9/11 I went to a Zizek lecture at The New School in NYC
He said that 9/11 was a self fulfilling prophecy because Hollywood movies like Independence Day blew up buildings. At that point the audience giggled w nervous laughter. At that moment I just got sick and walked away from PoMo. Just cold hearted not to sympathize with the victims. I guess their hatred of Bush overrode any humanity they had
Just recently a friend of mine did a graduate degree in some kind of 'cultural theory'. Zizek was one of her instructors. She wrote a paper linking debt to violence and sado masochism. Some kind of sexual master slave relationship. Then she asked me to lend her $5000 cause she ran out of student loan money. LOL
This is how delusional and disconnected to reality
If you want an intellectual pursuit I do not recommend any Post Modernism. Its just a waste of time and the people around that scene are nuts
I prefer a more pragmatic philosophy in the British/ American tradition. I currently reading more economics. Mostly MMT/ Post Keynesianism
11.
Post 8660222 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):
I watched a random bit of the video... he was talking about the fact that '
charity does not solve problems, merely postpone their solution', and i agree. But then, all of a sudden, he mention that '
private property is the problem'. WTF? At that point he lost me.
Private property is essential because the difference between us and what we call property are so thin that if we relinquish the right to own things to '
society' then the step toward relinquish the right to '
own ourselves' is short.
Of course this is just my opinion. At everybody his own.
Dont try to make sense if what he says. He just wants to create controversy. He political views are considered post Maoist and he considers himself a post Stalinist.
Serious philosophers like Chomsky thinks hes a charlatans. The people who follow are these bohemian lazy kids
12.
Post 8661731 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):
I watched a random bit of the video... he was talking about the fact that '
charity does not solve problems, merely postpone their solution', and i agree. But then, all of a sudden, he mention that '
private property is the problem'. WTF? At that point he lost me.
Private property is essential because the difference between us and what we call property are so thin that if we relinquish the right to own things to '
society' then the step toward relinquish the right to '
own ourselves' is short.
Of course this is just my opinion. At everybody his own.
Dont try to make sense if what he says. He just wants to create controversy. He political views are considered post Maoist and he considers himself a post Stalinist.
Serious philosophers like Chomsky thinks hes a charlatans. The people who follow are these bohemian lazy kids
I like Chomsky.. but do you think he may be getting a little out of touch these days himself?
I dont that much about Chomsky but I know his writing is properly researched and footnoted. Chomsky is known for criticising institutional power. But his angle is more from an empirical/ academic style of writing. His background is linguistics and hes more like a social scientist
Zizek is more like Neitchze. Hes like the guy that stands on a soapbox and make people angry. His style of writing has alot of flair but theres no meaning to it when you break it down
Chomsky thinks language is for communication so ideas should be expressed in ways that make them simple to understand. Thats because he studies structure of language. Most of the Post Modernists play with language like how a poet does. They make up a lot of words and its hard to decipher what their point is
Thats why i hate postmodernism. Usually its people who think they are clever but when you strip away the obfuscating language they dont seem to be saying anything
13.
Post 8695276 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

in all seriousness, shorts were in real danger last night, we all felt it, it was about to pop, magic fairy bear mother may not come to your rescue next time, cover your shorts, cover your shorts now!
or not
wtv
your choice.
It can breakout either way. Experienced traders know this pattern. This is where you reduce your position and wait for a breakout before confirming trend
14.
Post 8864498 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.13h):
Dipped again, bought again. Cheap coins for everyone who wants them!
Your cheap coins are now expensive.
And no one is buying be ause they know they will get dumped on 10 minutes later.
According to the long term trendline, $450 is our historical support. If there ever was a time to buy, this is it! Price will rise soon, just like last year in September. This is what's called a "bear trap".
No new money and baghodlers have no more dry powder. Bubble burst!
15.
Post 8881162 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
"Increasing support stopping rate of price declines" -- What do you guys think?

Its a wedge. Every TA trader knows this. So what? Either break up or down violently. Gamblers take position here. Everyone else GTFO and wait for trend signal. Whales use small volume to move market one direction or the other. Unless you have inside info GTFO!
16.
Post 8881227 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
If this doesn't pick up momentum to the upside soon, this is actually a very bad sign. A short squeeze is to be expected -- but if this is true and we don't reverse.... add another 2k BTC in leveraged longs waiting to be dumped....
There's not gonna be a short squeeze cause its not easy to short BTC. These are real sellers
17.
Post 8881369 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
If this doesn't pick up momentum to the upside soon, this is actually a very bad sign. A short squeeze is to be expected -- but if this is true and we don't reverse.... add another 2k BTC in leveraged longs waiting to be dumped....
There's not gonna be a short squeeze cause its not easy to short BTC. These are real sellers
There are always short squeezes. If you look at bfxdata, we often see shorts increasing while the price is moving down -- then when we bounce, short swaps spike down. This is a short squeeze. A short squeeze can be just a little spike -- it has nothing to do with a reversal.
What's the short interest then? The only place you can short is bitfinex. And that's just one exchange. If those short positions get squeezed (from rising price). Doubt they would be enough volume to cause lift-off
18.
Post 8882924 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
Yeah... it seems to make sense for a possible explanation... speculators holding off until the last minute to take some funds and push them into the Alibaba P&D... so... question is... how much will come back to mumma Bitcoin and how soon?
Seems like win win, force market down with sell off, walk away with x amount of cash (and a BTC sold figure) profit from Alibaba pump, take profit and either
pop some in the hole in the water fund, or buy back same amount of BTC (at a now lower price) OR buy back even more BTC at a lower price.
You don't sell Bitcoins 1 day before IPO and also IPO is not for small guys. Bullshit mostly this as a reason, this was purely momentum triggered after nice work done the same way as many times before from the same wall-bear. But could still be some guys selling for IPO, but nothing spectacular.
Why not? sell BTC 1 day before the IPO, if you feel that BTC could go up a few more dollars? (or down? fair enough)
Also, many BTC speculators are .... well speculators... and the biggest IPO of all time is enough to draw in speculators, large and small... as long as they are active in trading in general, I can perfectly see traders taking the risk... it is more than plausible imo..
Most rational people would rather own shares of Alibaba than Bitcoins. At least Alibaba has fundamentals
19.
Post 8883000 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
Yeah... it seems to make sense for a possible explanation... speculators holding off until the last minute to take some funds and push them into the Alibaba P&D... so... question is... how much will come back to mumma Bitcoin and how soon?
Seems like win win, force market down with sell off, walk away with x amount of cash (and a BTC sold figure) profit from Alibaba pump, take profit and either
pop some in the hole in the water fund, or buy back same amount of BTC (at a now lower price) OR buy back even more BTC at a lower price.
You don't sell Bitcoins 1 day before IPO and also IPO is not for small guys. Bullshit mostly this as a reason, this was purely momentum triggered after nice work done the same way as many times before from the same wall-bear. But could still be some guys selling for IPO, but nothing spectacular.
Why not? sell BTC 1 day before the IPO, if you feel that BTC could go up a few more dollars? (or down? fair enough)
Also, many BTC speculators are .... well speculators... and the biggest IPO of all time is enough to draw in speculators, large and small... as long as they are active in trading in general, I can perfectly see traders taking the risk... it is more than plausible imo..
Most rational people would rather own shares of Alibaba than Bitcoins. At least Alibaba has fundamentals
Can I pay someone on the other side of world few $ grands in a matter of seconds without/cents of fees with Alibaba? If something is digital it doesn't mean there is no value or fundamentals.
Look up what fundamentals mean.
20.
Post 8883056 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
Isn't it a bit late for selling coins in order to buy Alibaba stock? Exchanges typically do not let you transfer fiat to 3rd party accounts. So I assume you have to transfer to your bank first, then to a stock broker. IPO was Thursday and retail sale is beginning this Friday, so the funds will probably not arrive on time to get in early?
Of course it is stupid story, although it sounds kind of possible on the first sight. Also IPO is not for chinese small people (maybe through some fund).
Are you stupid? Initial Public Offering means anyone w a brokerage account can buy
21.
Post 9058738 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):
He's talking about blockchain. Just means they want to make a Microsoft coin
22.
Post 9874695 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
I haven't seen this one in a while:
Just shaking out the weak hands.
It will start to appear when we reach new recent low prices, that is, when we get lower than 300 for more than a day or two
Strong hands HODL to zero. Take that fiat lovin statists!
23.
Post 10029712 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
Looks like it has leveled out for now but if you look at the 1w charts its obvious Bitcoin is going to continue its downward spiral below $272.
Bitcoin value has come back to roost folks...get used to it.
If your not all fiat right now you will miss the reset when it hits single digits before starting the next bubble.
Personally, I would be more afraid to be all fiat at this point. I have a position in this market and I will not be shaken out by panic moves.
It reminds me of something I once read, I think it went something like this:
"My dear boy," said old Partridge, in great distress "my dear boy, if I sold that stock now I'd lose my position; and then where would I be?"
My point is this, we are all just playing a game, trying to get more of what the other players have. You can play for fiat, or you can play for keeps.
The choice is yours.
What you never heard of stops? Terrible trading advice whoever told you that
24.
Post 10029884 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
You can play for fiat, or you can play for keeps.
The choice is yours.
What you never heard of stops? Terrible trading advice whoever told you that
Right, I guess that Jesse Livermore is just some idiot who had never traded before

Btw, here's some first hand experience of how well stops work in bitcoin land where the exchange operators know exactly where your stops are placed.
Stop losses? LOL!
I deposit fiat to the exchange. I withdraw bitcoins to cold storage. Then I wait.
I tried using stop losses. Once I put one on really low and the price briefly spiked down to half a cent below my stop loss, then shot straight back up to the moon again.

You can start a new position. Only noobs hold their losses too long. Then they get deep in the red they get afraid to take a loss and hope the price comes back up. That's how bag holders are born.
Trust me I've done this like first 2 years when I first started trading. Never fall in love with your trades. Better to stop out out and take a small jab to the chin than hold on til your trade blows up
25.
Post 10030001 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
Only noobs hold their losses too long.
If you're trading on margin, then yes, I'd agree.
If you're holding on to a position in the most volatile asset class the world has ever seen for the last 4 years, and seen the market go from 2 dollars to 1200 and back again now to 300, maybe you'd have a different perspective?
Depends when you started the position. I would not hold a long position that is making new lows. That is suicide.
If you day trade naked options you get 100-400% moves like everyday. Tough as nails to trade unless you are super discipline w cutting losses and riding winners. That and position sizing and risk management. That's the tough thing though. People are more psychologically prone to cut winners and ride losses. It takes a lot of experience to do the opposite
26.
Post 10030008 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
I'm really surprised to see btc under 300.I told myself that I was happy with my long term holdings, but I am so tempted to log on to coinbase and buy 3 or 4 more...
Don't do it man. Breaking Livermore's rule of trading #12: never average losses
27.
Post 10030133 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
Only noobs hold their losses too long.
If you're trading on margin, then yes, I'd agree.
If you're holding on to a position in the most volatile asset class the world has ever seen for the last 4 years, and seen the market go from 2 dollars to 1200 and back again now to 300, maybe you'd have a different perspective?
Depends when you started the position. I would not hold a long position that is making new lows. That is suicide.
If you day trade naked options you get 100-400% moves like everyday. Tough as nails to trade unless you are super discipline w cutting losses and riding winners. That and position sizing and risk management. That's the tough thing though. People are more psychologically prone to cut winners and ride losses. It takes a lot of experience to do the opposite
These naked options sound... exotic.
Where can you trade these naked options on bitcoin?
There are no options on Bitcoin. Just trade Options on equities. Lots of liquidity in the big names like AAPL, TSLA, FB etc.. But be careful of slippage. I like trading TSLA but honestly I'd rather use margin than options because delta 1, no theta and less slippage. However, I sell options on Fridays a lot because speed of decay
If you want to day trade I highly recommend looking up Opening Range Breakout method or sometimes called ACD method
28.
Post 10030502 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
How can there be so many people be shorting at this price?

Because new lows
29.
Post 10030792 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.43h):
is it better to buy back now?
No wait till resistance is broken. IMO it's gonna get ugly. If this gets rejected at 300 again then short the mofo. Then put a stop at 300 and trail it down
30.
Post 10040968 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.44h):
The next 24 hours will determine the future of crypto currency for the next decade.
Real talk bro. Someone with there head working thank god
Is that sarcasm or u really believe in God?

We only believe in Satoshi and we have failed Him because of our greed and malice. For He did say:
"For the love of the Bitcoin is a root of all kinds of evils. It is through this craving that some have wandered away from the faith and pierced themselves with many pangs."
Book of Satoshi: 6:24
Not a cult. Not a cult. Not a cult
31.
Post 10133340 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):
Anyone not panicking now has balls of steel
Why thank you
Balls of steel and brains of cotton
32.
Post 10133509 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):
what exchanges have a stop loss feature? seems dangerous with whales and a thin market.
Why are people even trading btc?
Masochism
33.
Post 10142601 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):
Time to have the bitcoin talk with grandma.
... She's prone to give money to strangers over the phone. ...
She's perfect bitcoin investor. Because safe.
Never did advice bitcoin to anyone in my family or friends. Because i care for them.
I talked my father out of spending 50K on bitcoins around 600. He got the idea from some idiot neighbor pumping it hard on him and trying to convince him it was a small risk investment. Apparently this neighbor spent about 100K when price was 800
I also told my HS friend to stay away when the price was around 800.
The first time I heard about bitcoins economics I knew it was all wrong
34.
Post 10145198 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):
Feels good blocking all the trolls.
People really need to stop quoting and responding to them though. It doesn't help, even if it's "just for fun."
The true trolls were those encouraging people to buy "cheap coins" and that we'll soon see an ATH.
In other words, the guys encouraging newbs to lose money and fall into bull traps.
Yep and the ones who was spreading FUD about dollar collapsing, bad economics, etc.. Bad technical analysis and "log charts"
35.
Post 10145381 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.47h):
how high do you guess are the chance to go sub $200?
I recall there are some sites where you can bet on
BTC price range, right? Kinda like bookies who offer crypto market lines.
I would guess the odds of btc going below 200$ would be something like 1.4, this looks about right to me.
just only 1.4? really?
You're asking what the delta on a 200 strike put is? I don't know how to calculate but you can calculate using black scholes formula
36.
Post 10146252 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
When there is blood in the streets it is time to buy.
Stop. It's hammer time
37.
Post 10146550 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
Support is barely holding w no volume. Looks like massive breakdown will ensue
38.
Post 10146560 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
WOW. I just went full retard (lots of coins) and shorted on 20x leverage all the way from $235 to $223 and made BANK. I have a nice little new found wealth

Who's giving 20x leverage?
39.
Post 10146909 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
Support is barely holding w no volume. Looks like massive breakdown will ensue
Called it!
40.
Post 10146924 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
Done trying to trade this. Lesson learned. Do not trade capitulation, there are no rallies to be had. I've lost about 1% for every 2-3% this has dropped on average.

Short the pops! I love shorting! Escalator up, elevator down!
41.
Post 10146938 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
It is time.....
woah woah.. It. Is. Time. For Stormy Weather
Guess what song?
42.
Post 10146988 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
LOL. Maybe we're from different generations. I was thinking of this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2EX_tHsw1Kw
43.
Post 10147027 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
Holy sh*t.

Wouldn't have called this. All why no FIAT will make it to western exchange for another day or two. We better get some news soon about China closing all exchanges or something to substantiate this madness
You could tell looking at price and volume. Bitcoin price action is so easy to read
44.
Post 10147044 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
LMFAO - 3000 BTC support at $200.
That's like a boss from a video game
If the Chinese exchanges use HFT you'll see a nice flash crash. The wall might be a fake
45.
Post 10147048 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
It's always Huobi leading these crashes. I'm starting to suspect something is going on with them and this is not a 100% legitimate move. They seem to flash down and then everything else follows. Whatever, result is the same in the end - how far down will the margins call.
H...F....T algos dude! its the algos.
46.
Post 10147074 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
If you have no position. Short the pop at 208-209ish
47.
Post 10147127 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):
I'm sitting waiting to pull the trigger to buy another 1 BTC. wait for sub 200 or just pull at 205?
why do that when you can short?
48.
Post 10159073 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):
Too early to call reversal. Probably just short covering
49.
Post 10160752 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):
Price is stabilising in the short term.
I dont think its very likely that it will stabilize in this range for too long, i think it will either go to 160< or chu-chu to 250~ or so and settle down there.
I agree. 190 needs to hold here but no volume
50.
Post 10170145 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
is anyone paying attention to the macroeconomic picture? The Swiss National Bank shocked world markets by removing it's peg to the Euro, causing it's value to skyrocket. Two systemic Greek banks are using an emergency liquidity tool at the ECB to try and prevent a bank run. Oil Tanked and Gold spiked. This is 2008 all over again only worse this time.
How this will affect Bitcoin is anyone's guess, but I'm starting to think even my 2.5% margin long was way too premature.
Bank runs mean extreme DEFLATION of national currencies until the central banks ramp up the printing presses, start accepting used toilet paper as collateral and various other forms of counterfeiting.
Wealth is going to evaporate, credit is going to dry up and markets are going to crash with the exception of the safest government bonds (U.S., Swiss and maybe a few others).
I've warned many times for everyone to get their coins (and even fiat) off the exchanges if you aren't going to trade, but now I am saying it may soon be time to get your fiat out of the banks.
I warned the same thing several days ago, telling them how a debt crisis could occur in Russian, Greece and spill over to the Euro zone. But I only received bashing.
Someone even registered a new account to bash me in red ink.
Another financial crisis is due in 1-2 months.
See the decline of oil price, see the decline of stock index, see the depleting of foreign reserves, see the turmoil in the foreign exchange market, etc...
Why aren't you out there shorting the market?
51.
Post 10191643 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Like clockwork Saturday night the price drops. LOL
52.
Post 10192247 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
53.
Post 10192356 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
Trolling? In US gas stations in some states list prices in cash and credit card. Credit card fraud costs millions each year, doesn't take a genius to realize that someone is paying for that, guess who that someone is

Wow Only one example without citation. They don't do that in my state or any states from NY to VA. By your idiotic logic, I can claim that merchants are passing all their costs to the consumer including rents and payroll insurance, etc..
54.
Post 10192364 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
I assume the merchants are subsidising that in the fees they pay.
Mainly is the " interchange fee" the Visa and MC and AMex, Disc pays to the middle merchant banks to promote their cards,which includes interest 2-3% and per transaction fees.
Yes merchants pay a cc fee. But any proof they pass this onto consumer? I think they just eat it in their margin. I know my business did
55.
Post 10192525 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
I assume the merchants are subsidising that in the fees they pay.
Mainly is the " interchange fee" the Visa and MC and AMex, Disc pays to the middle merchant banks to promote their cards,which includes interest 2-3% and per transaction fees.
Yes merchants pay a cc fee. But any proof they pass this onto consumer? I think they just eat it in their margin. I know my business did
The intermediary bank and association pays for it.
But the "interchange" association will reimburse some of the loss to the final merchant if they used rules like i.d. verification and physical swipe of transaction them from the buyer, online sales are much higher risk than physical location, therefore the higher interest and swipe charges for online merchants.
Thank you.
I also think the claim that bitcoin is cheaper than CC is bogus. Cost per transaction is all time low and it's still around $8-9. A year ago it was almost $80 per transaction
https://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transactionOn top of that there's the 9% inflation from block rewards
56.
Post 10192579 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
Trolling? In US gas stations in some states list prices in cash and credit card. Credit card fraud costs millions each year, doesn't take a genius to realize that someone is paying for that, guess who that someone is

Wow Only one example without citation. They don't do that in my state or any states from NY to VA. By your idiotic logic, I can claim that merchants are passing all their costs to the consumer including rents and payroll insurance, etc..
Try broadening your horizons and getting at least out of your state for starters. Yes they do that's basic business. Covering from their margins lol and where do those margins come from? Ok ok have it your way credit cards cover fraud from their margins, which they get by charging the retailer, who pays it from their margins which they get by charging customers. That's why retailers charge higher fee for credit card use (err give discount when you DON'T use CC) where allowed heres one of the first google results
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/17/business/merchants-consider-credit-card-surcharges-or-cash-discounts.html?_r=0 i didn't really read the whole thing don't have time to entertain every troll
Did you even read the article you linked?
57.
Post 10192616 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
I assume the merchants are subsidising that in the fees they pay.
Mainly is the " interchange fee" the Visa and MC and AMex, Disc pays to the middle merchant banks to promote their cards,which includes interest 2-3% and per transaction fees.
Yes merchants pay a cc fee. But any proof they pass this onto consumer? I think they just eat it in their margin. I know my business did
The intermediary bank and association pays for it.
But the "interchange" association will reimburse some of the loss to the final merchant if they used rules like i.d. verification and physical swipe of transaction them from the buyer, online sales are much higher risk than physical location, therefore the higher interest and swipe charges for online merchants.
Thank you.
I also think the claim that bitcoin is cheaper than CC is bogus. Cost per transaction is all time low and it's still around $8-9. A year ago it was almost $80 per transaction
https://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transactionWhat does this "cost per transaction" mean? The price of 0.0001 BTC? The Btcpay or coinbase fee? I think maybe mining cost / transaction count? Then it has nothing to do with the merchants or customer.
"Cost per Transaction A chart showing miners revenue divided by the number of transactions."
Build in process to distribute decentralized currency taken as a transaction cost, i guess when someone is on the mission to disproof something facts don't matter
The only reason the cost went down is because the price went down. When price is was higher it was way more expensive than CC. Somebody has to pay for that. It's not low cost as many claim
58.
Post 10192682 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
I assume the merchants are subsidising that in the fees they pay.
Mainly is the " interchange fee" the Visa and MC and AMex, Disc pays to the middle merchant banks to promote their cards,which includes interest 2-3% and per transaction fees.
Yes merchants pay a cc fee. But any proof they pass this onto consumer? I think they just eat it in their margin. I know my business did
The intermediary bank and association pays for it.
But the "interchange" association will reimburse some of the loss to the final merchant if they used rules like i.d. verification and physical swipe of transaction them from the buyer, online sales are much higher risk than physical location, therefore the higher interest and swipe charges for online merchants.
Thank you.
I also think the claim that bitcoin is cheaper than CC is bogus. Cost per transaction is all time low and it's still around $8-9. A year ago it was almost $80 per transaction
https://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transactionWhat does this "cost per transaction" mean? The price of 0.0001 BTC? The Btcpay or coinbase fee? I think maybe mining cost / transaction count? Then it has nothing to do with the merchants or customer.
"Cost per Transaction A chart showing miners revenue divided by the number of transactions."
Build in process to distribute decentralized currency taken as a transaction cost, i guess when someone is on the mission to disproof something facts don't matter
The only reason the cost went down is because the price went down. When price is was higher it was way more expensive than CC. Somebody has to pay for that. It's not low cost as many claim
Huh what are you talking about? Do explain why i as a consumer or a merchants care how much miners are getting?
If you pay a merchant directly with Bitcoin the transaction fee goes to miner. So who pays for that? If the merchant pays for it what incentive do they have over CC? The whole argument that merchant have incentive to choose Bitcoin over CC and pass the savings to consumer has no legs
59.
Post 10192690 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):

For reference
What about 95% of other business that don't do this?
60.
Post 10192872 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Because consumers don't like it and they're the voters
61.
Post 10192918 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Ohh Found some good stuff here:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/03/creditcard-surcharges-lawsuit-idUSL1N0HT18B20131003"Even beyond the informational content of surcharges, sellers' inability to effectively inform consumers of the true costs of credit has the effect of artificially subsidizing credit at the expense of cash, increasing overall credit-card usage and consumer debt,"
"The card industry wants to perpetuate the myth that using a credit card is free, or priceless. But the cost is baked into the price of all the goods and services we buy."
argued that the state law protected shoppers by enabling them to rely on advertised prices, rather than be surprised at checkout with surcharges.
tl;dr blah blah blah creditcards companies should get tons of $$$ because we're afraid that dumb people can't grasp the concept of paying 3% more if they want to pay with their credit card
Most consumers prefer to use CC because of cash back incentives and an easy way to itemize their spending record. By surcharging it'll just irritate the majority of consumers. Seems like only the small shops care about this. The big shops like Target rather just have one price
62.
Post 10193061 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Ohh Found some good stuff here:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/03/creditcard-surcharges-lawsuit-idUSL1N0HT18B20131003"Even beyond the informational content of surcharges, sellers' inability to effectively inform consumers of the true costs of credit has the effect of artificially subsidizing credit at the expense of cash, increasing overall credit-card usage and consumer debt,"
"The card industry wants to perpetuate the myth that using a credit card is free, or priceless. But the cost is baked into the price of all the goods and services we buy."
argued that the state law protected shoppers by enabling them to rely on advertised prices, rather than be surprised at checkout with surcharges.
tl;dr blah blah blah creditcards companies should get tons of $$$ because we're afraid that dumb people can't grasp the concept of paying 3% more if they want to pay with their credit card
Most consumers prefer to use CC because of cash back incentives and an easy way to itemize their spending record. By surcharging it'll just irritate the majority of consumers. Seems like only the small shops care about this. The big shops like Target rather just have one price
Ok i can buy the argument that Creditcards are more convenient than cash, and creditcard companies are willing to provide that convenience for a certain fee of course. And they hate for you to know that you're actually paying a 2-3% fee, instead why not give you a 0.5%bonus points and make you feel smart like you're actually making money while at the same time lobby to pass the law that prohibits merchants to directly pass that fee to you and instead just cost average their fees on people who don't even use that "convenience"
That's how the world works. I didnt like it when they banned indoor smoking. But that's what the majority wants
63.
Post 10224503 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
Tell us again how in your view Vikram Pandit is stupid and ill-informed.
How many bitcoins did he buy?
I have no way of knowing that but I am quite certain he did not invest in Coinbase while expecting BTC to tank.
Indeed, it is puzzling why Coinbase, of all bitcon companies, is getting so much investment. Perhaps it is going to be more than just a bitcoin payment processor?
By the way, tell us again how in your view Warren Buffett is stupid and ill-informed.
Also by the way: I still would not dare to guess what will happen to the price of bitcoin in the medium term. There may be another market opening, or there may not be. How would I know?
They are trying to do a USD wallet app to compete w PayPal, Google wallet, apple pay. Their business model doesn't rely on solely Bitcoins price
64.
Post 10224547 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
Tell us again how in your view Vikram Pandit is stupid and ill-informed.
How many bitcoins did he buy?
I have no way of knowing that but I am quite certain he did not invest in Coinbase while expecting BTC to tank.
Indeed, it is puzzling why Coinbase, of all bitcon companies, is getting so much investment. Perhaps it is going to be more than just a bitcoin payment processor?
By the way, tell us again how in your view Warren Buffett is stupid and ill-informed.
Also by the way: I still would not dare to guess what will happen to the price of bitcoin in the medium term. There may be another market opening, or there may not be. How would I know?
They are trying to do a USD wallet app to compete w PayPal, Google wallet, apple pay. Their business model doesn't rely on solely Bitcoins price
There is association indeed.
Price is related with confidence and faith. Confidence and faith will impact acceptance. Acceptance will affect the number of wallets opened at coinbase. There is a well connected chain between price and the success of coinbase.
Not if they can get their USD wallet out there. Their business model takes fees on transactions. They only lose money if they hold Bitcoin while the price drops. Whether they can get user traction is another story
65.
Post 10224773 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
Tell us again how in your view Vikram Pandit is stupid and ill-informed.
How many bitcoins did he buy?
I have no way of knowing that but I am quite certain he did not invest in Coinbase while expecting BTC to tank.
Indeed, it is puzzling why Coinbase, of all bitcon companies, is getting so much investment. Perhaps it is going to be more than just a bitcoin payment processor?
By the way, tell us again how in your view Warren Buffett is stupid and ill-informed.
Also by the way: I still would not dare to guess what will happen to the price of bitcoin in the medium term. There may be another market opening, or there may not be. How would I know?
They are trying to do a USD wallet app to compete w PayPal, Google wallet, apple pay. Their business model doesn't rely on solely Bitcoins price
There is association indeed.
Price is related with confidence and faith. Confidence and faith will impact acceptance. Acceptance will affect the number of wallets opened at coinbase. There is a well connected chain between price and the success of coinbase.
Not if they can get their USD wallet out there. Their business model takes fees on transactions. They only lose money if they hold Bitcoin while the price drops. Whether they can get user traction is another story
USD wallet is NOT a selling point but a safety hedge for coinbase.
It's probably a selling point to the investors more than Bitcoin.
66.
Post 10225414 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
...
By the way, tell us again how in your view Warren Buffett is stupid and ill-informed.
...
I'm a big Warren Buffet fan (at least as far as his evolved value-investing approach goes). I've read his annual reports, several bios, watched many of his interviews, etc.
In my "normal" investing (ie, outside the BTC world), I tend to do mostly value investing, except where I have specific domain expertise that I feel gives me an edge.
Like Bitcoin for example. It has been unfortunate that Warren has chosen to comment in a domain in which he has no expertise, being famously and self-admittedly tech-inept, yet he has done so nonetheless, obviously. And, quite frankly, from the tech-illiterate perspective, Bitcoin can be difficult to understand.
Furthermore, Bitcoin is a play on growth, not on unlocking existing value, and is therefore antithetical to Buffet's core investing competencies even without the tech-literacy requirement. So no surprise that he doesn't see it, and hard to give any weight to his opinion in this area, brilliant though he is.
While bitcoin the technology could be difficult to understand to laymen, then bitcoin the currency isn't hard to understand to most.
The majority of coins are held by unknown people, who in all probability, are criminals or amoral people of different kind. Like hackers, con-artists, drug dealers, insider trading exchange owners etc.
Buffets opinion was about the currency, not the technology. And investing in the technology would mean to invest into companies that use the technology for more practical purposes then the current "bitcoin the currency".
You don't have understand technology to understand why a currency capped at 21M with half already in the hands of neck beard nerds and come into existence by solving puzzles in big jerry rigged Chinese warehouses is not ever gonna work in the real world.
67.
Post 10225552 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
You don't have understand technology to understand why a currency capped at 21M with half already in the hands of neck beard nerds and come into existence by solving puzzles in big jerry rigged Chinese warehouses is not ever gonna work in the real world.
This is as funny as wrong.
Thanks! Glad I made you laugh
68.
Post 10400827 (copy this link) (by twiifm) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
I don't think that there will be an immediate reaction to the mycoin.hk debacle (but I may be wrong, of course).
People have blamed bad press after the MtGOX collapse for the general price decline since Feb/2014. I don't think MtGOX had that much influence, not even when it was fresh news (which is no longer the case). The only clear effects of MtGOX on price were a couple of sudden drops, notably on 2014-02-07 and 02-10, when Mark hinted/stated that there was a "bug in bitcoin". But those drops were soon undone when the claims were dismissed. As I said before, I believe that the general deciine since Feb/2014 is mostly due to the Chinese speculators getting disenchanted with bitcoin and taking their remaining money out of the market.
The mycoin.hk debacle may however convince the Chinese government to impose even stricter regulations about bitcoin trading; and those would surely have a large impact on the price (like the ones in March/April 2014).
Meh. Em Tee Gox was an exchange that was missing a lot of
BTC and it only caused a couple of sudden drops with a market that expected those btc to make it to the remaining exchanges to sell. The mycoin.hk thing will likely have little effect on the market because, as I understand it, it's an obvious fiat ponzi scheme that merely used bitcoin as part of the ruse. Ponzis are already illegal so no further legislation needed.
They use Bitcoin cause the bitcoiners target victim are get rich scheme gamblers who are unsophisticated and generally dumb. They think anything Bitcoin must be good