All posts made by Guinpen in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 6043938 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Two bullish indicators:
1) Level of Doom&gloom. Full absence of train pictures
Talks about previous ATH, double digits etc.
2) On weekly chart - red candle, 23% down, without wisk. Found only one similar one, end of June, before the recovery.
Please forgive my infinite ignorance, but what does ATH mean?
2.
Post 6044046 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Please forgive my infinite ignorance, but what does ATH mean?
Is this the most beautiful capitulation signal ever?
No, that's just me being new.
3.
Post 6044417 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Please forgive my infinite ignorance, but what does ATH mean?
Is this the most beautiful capitulation signal ever?
No, that's just me being new.
At least your being honest and sincere
That too is just me being new
4.
Post 6044992 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Here's hoping BJA either sold a little on the spike or found something to hock.
If the posted bids down to 400.01 were dumped at market, they would buy up to 490.76
I closed my margin long @ $478 and took a good pounding. My biggest loss ever. Note to self: Never hold a margin position overnight.
note to all : NEVER NEVER EVER TRADE ON MARGIN!!!
jmho!!!
I'll play the ignorant n00b card again... could you please explain what trading on a margin means?
In my defense, it does say "Newbie" on the left
5.
Post 6045145 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Thanks to all who replied, I've learned a lot today.
6.
Post 6055189 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
So... are we still in a bull trap or will this go to the moon already?
7.
Post 6055295 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
So... are we still in a bull trap or will this go to the moon already?
Next 8h~ will tell, wonder how 4h macD will form
Pointing out my ignorance again, I don't understand the meaning of "4h macD". Could you please clarify? Huge thanks!
8.
Post 6055400 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
So... are we still in a bull trap or will this go to the moon already?
Next 8h~ will tell, wonder how 4h macD will form
Pointing out my ignorance again, I don't understand the meaning of "4h macD". Could you please clarify? Huge thanks!
Its a largely low % indicator that a lot of people want to use as if its a high % indicator resulting in a large % of losing trades.
Thanks
9.
Post 6100511 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):
I don't get what's happening. There was a brief spike yesterday around midnight (Europe), then it fell back down during the day, and it's up to 460 again at the moment. All while the Chinese are supposedly either sleeping or on holiday.
Does the collective wisdom of this thread (not being sarcastic here) predict another fall to ~440 in the next 24 hours, or are we slowly chooing to the moon already?
10.
Post 6156216 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):
Newbie question again: what is this CCMF meme I keep hearing about?
11.
Post 6156385 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):
Newbie question again: what is this CCMF meme I keep hearing about?
Choo Choo Mother Fucker posted over general pictures of trains being badass
Got it. Something like:
http://i.imgur.com/NpOsPPA.jpg
12.
Post 6157560 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):
I am sorry, but BTC will not survive this night.
Lets remember the good moments we had together...
Who in the living fuck are you? Another "I missed the train.. Now I want it to explode so I can make myself feel better again?"
Dumbass. Go die, or something.
Wow, both of you. Taking this a little too emotionally?
Relax, people. What will happen will happen.
13.
Post 6158603 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):
0.2 BTC. LMAO. What are you even doing in this thread? Go buy a popstickle at the local candystore.
The way things are going, it might not be enough for a popsickle.
14.
Post 6168040 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
~26 hours ago when we first dipped down from 440 to 400 I was sleeping at the time (I'm in Europe), and I lost money by sleeping in BTC. Sold at 400 when I woke up and watched the fireworks. Last night I was up until 3am watching the price go down to 355, went to sleep for 4 hours in fiat, and woke up at 400.
What the fuck.
Am I just really unlucky or am I doing something wrong? Why do massive changes occur at roughly 3:00 am UTC? Am I missing something?
15.
Post 6168230 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
Yes, you are doing something wrong.
Solution: Trade on larger time frames.
Too much noise otherwise, especially in bitcoin. You wont just lose money, you will also lose your sleep and then your sanity.
Fair enough, but having read the last 400 pages of this thread, it is still unclear to me what the long-term trend will be. So it is hard for me to decide whether to wait in BTC or in fiat. Besides, why should I miss out on riding these waves when everyone else here does it? (not arguing, just asking)
I was doing rather well until 30 hours ago.
Anyhow my brain is fried. I just bought BTC, so the way my luck is going, expect a massive downtrend until I'm back.
16.
Post 6168326 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
Fair enough, but having read the last 400 pages of this thread, it is still unclear to me what the long-term trend will be. So it is hard for me to decide whether to wait in BTC or in fiat. Besides, why should I miss out on riding these waves when everyone else here does it? (not arguing, just asking)
I was doing rather well until 30 hours ago.
Anyhow my brain is fried. I just bought BTC, so the way luck is going, expect a massive downtrend until I'm back.
This is your mistake, this is the wall observer, a day-traders thread - for scalping. besides the amount of bashing and bitching that goes on in here puts everything out of context. remember, it's a zero sum game and you are up against everyone.
Well of course I'm not buying everytime I see a train picture or selling every time someone spreads panic and FUD. I try my best to filter the noise and evaluate the overall sentiment, and correlate what is happening to what the people here do, and learn.
17.
Post 6168617 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
I m living in europe too. Same storry, different action. I bought a shitload on 400, was looking very excited as the price heading to my next buy level. Very disappointed to wake up for a 400$ BTC... I wasn t expecting that before the 15th.
Any way,in this market, if you really believe in bitcoin, you shouldn t time the bottom. Once you buy, you have to hodl the line. I can do that by always having fiat ready to go in. 400 was my first buy entry also
Nobody know the bottom. You better be ready to hodl for a whole year, maybe more ( i m ready, even if i think that the next surge is for this summer)
Oh, totally. I am very bullish in the long-term, but I want to increase my BTC holdings by daytrading while the price is low. I have only invested as much as I can afford to lose, so I'm not exactly swimming in fiat
18.
Post 6172856 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
A few pages back I read something about China-related movement hapenning on the 18th. What's up with that? I thought that their ban on exchanges or whatever goes into effect on the 15th, so there should be wild fireworks going around on that date, in either direction. But why the 18th?
19.
Post 6174755 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
I bought more BTC a few minutes ago, so if my recent luck is any indication, it's about to crash so hard, last night will seem like statistical error
20.
Post 6174961 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
* This is not an endorsement of the current upward swing. I think it's a bull trap.
Why do you think that, if you don't mind me asking?
21.
Post 6176515 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
420 being tested again on Stamp... when will it end?!
22.
Post 6177071 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
WTF is happening, why are we plunging again?
23.
Post 6177170 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
420 being tested again on Stamp... when will it end?!
When you sell me your coins for less than you paid for them.
Not gonna happen, sorry
I'm going down with this fucking trainwreck.
BTW newbie question: what does consolidation mean in this context?
24.
Post 6177253 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
WTF is happening, why are we plunging again?
You call $7,- a plunge?
Man, get your shit straight.
Noted. Shutting up now, sorry.
25.
Post 6179017 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
I am so sure that in next 10h we will see ~+30$ that I can almost bet on it
Why?
26.
Post 6184456 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
I feel it is very risky to short now. I bought in the 300s and feel if I short now best case scenario is I buy back at 390-400. Because dinosaur.
What's a dinosaur?
27.
Post 6201209 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
Would someone please explain to me why we see a sinificant price difference between different exchanges? E.g. It's 412 vs 398 on Bitstamp vs BTC-e?
Could one send fiat to BTC-e, buy BTC, send it to Bistamp, sell, and withdraw ad infinitum?
28.
Post 6202107 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
500+ buy wall on Stamp. Reversal?
EDIT: pulled
29.
Post 6203341 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
As expected the price dropped slightly but all in all a fairly stable weekend. Gonna be a rough week though
But an even more stable weekend will follow after the 18th?
30.
Post 6209324 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
Dear bears,
http://i.imgur.com/RILGTaL.jpgYours truly,
Everyone else
31.
Post 6209799 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
Some fiat entered. It will probably be around Wednesday when the dumping continues. Till then, the dumpers are waiting if maybe more fiat will be wired, so they can sell with an better price.
I'm not buying into this because it isn't very probable that much more fiat will enter. There hasn't been any important good news about the markets, so nothing has really changed in the long-term.
It's Monday so could it be that people are waiting for their deposits to hit the exchanges? You know, the deposits they wired when they saw cheap bitcoins at 400 yesterday. And what will these people do Tue/Wed when the fiat is there? BUY!
Just my guess.
32.
Post 6209896 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
You're welcome. I bought most of them for less than $20. I have plenty more in cold storage. How dumb do you think we are?
I don't think you're dumb. I'm just celebrating the rise of BTC price, which is, last time I checked, a Good Thing (TM).
Could be a bull trap for all I know
Show some sense of humor, man.
33.
Post 6211662 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
BTW Jorge, my own wikipedia entry was so regularly defaced that in the end it was easiest to just delete it. It's the Internet. With the very best will in the world, get over it.
And which Wikipedia page might that have been?
34.
Post 6212819 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 10%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 15%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 25%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 50%
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 = >99%
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 75%
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 50%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 = 35%
i) In 2014, price will visit above 2000 = 10%
j) In 2014, price will visit above 3000 = 5%
k) In 2014, price will visit above 4000 = 3%
l) In 2014, price will visit above 5000 = 2%
m) In 2014, price will visit above 7000 = 1%
n) In 2014, price will visit above 10000 = <1%
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
35.
Post 6213427 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 35%
And this is what I am waiting for
I bet it will happen until 1st May 2014. Mark my words - I will check all my predictions later and we will see how many % were correct :p
Marked.
36.
Post 6278877 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
If I cut my losses now it will go up again and I will lose more. Fuck it, I'm hodling.
37.
Post 6278944 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
You ignore the chart indicators because of your belief, and then complain later and ask why you are losing.
I ignore the chart indicators, because I still don't know how to read chart indicators. I'm still learning, so I follow this forum for advice, and then follow the forum's advice not to follow any advice I find on this forum.
I have no idea whether I should be shorting right now and buying back lower. Last time I panic sold, I lost 1/8 of my investment.
38.
Post 6283286 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
I'll just leave this here for all of those who miss Clarkmoody's BingBong sounds:
http://bitcoinsounds.0x3d.lu/This started out as a little dirty hack for myself but as Bitcoin is quite boring today I polished it a little and so with this post consider it as released!
Awesome!!
Would you by any chance consider publishing the source code?
39.
Post 6294473 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
no bans on chinese saturday or sunday likely - maybe another reason why we are rallying.
I think this rally has flattened out, the question now is whether there will be another one or if we'll slowly go down again for a while.
I am all BTC at this point but I'm tempted to short and see if I can increase my coins.
40.
Post 6323919 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Just read over on reddit that Germany classifies BTC as "private money". This is some good news.
Isn't that very old news?
It is.
I still do not understand what that means, though.
41.
Post 6333537 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
42.
Post 6357221 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Looks like that 12h MacD does not fuck around, i wonder if 450 will hold
Could someone please explain this whole MacD stuff for us newbies?
Thanks.
43.
Post 6421991 (copy this link) (by Guinpen) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Nice poll question Adam most interesting in a while, the results so far are surprising.
Yes, but it's missing a valid viewpoint: "I couldn't care less about precious metals", which is not the same as thinking about it.
