All posts made by Bronstad in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 5390925 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):

Quote from: fotosonics on February 26, 2014, 07:04:56 PM
Silk Road effect.

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/rational-exuberance--bitcoin-soars-as-feds-close-in-on-mt--gox-182310577.html


The Reformed Broker Josh Brown proves he has no clue.



2. Post 5407015 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: thanksmark on February 27, 2014, 02:51:06 PM

That could be a way to move the market.

You want to move the market?  Its not on the site yet..hoax maybe!!

Edit: Hoax surely
Seems that they removed it fast! Maybe it wasn't meant to be published today.

Yeah?, and then why date it Feb 27? Dude....



3. Post 5409590 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: Chang Hum on February 27, 2014, 05:08:57 PM
So let me get this straight, it only took a simple check of addresses associated with MTgox to completely undermine the credibility of the crisis plan document and show that Gox is in fact solvent.

Woah bit hard to get my head around this but that logically means that pre-announcement Gox coins should be trading at around .5 , yet are being traded for just 0.06 at the moment on Bitcoin Builder.com. 1000% profit? yes please I'm going to get over there now!!!

It however doesn't prove that they still have the private keys to access them. Effectively they are still lost, and won't help their solvency, if that is the case.



4. Post 5412012 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.21h):

Quote from: kkaspar on February 27, 2014, 07:34:50 PM
The chart seems to be in a desperate hold again. No one is buying and the hodlers are waiting for something to happen so the price starts rising. Soon someone will get tired of waiting and will sell, that will in turn trigger more sells and we will probably see another drop that goes lower then 400.


The chart seems to be in a desperate hold again. No one is buying and the hodlers are waiting for something to happen so the price starts rising. Soon someone will get tired of waiting and will buy, that will in turn trigger more buys and we will probably see another rise that goes higher then 700.



5. Post 5486177 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):




6. Post 5489682 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):

Quote from: seleme on March 03, 2014, 08:35:57 PM
Almost 50 minutes since the last block. No wonder you didn't get a confirmation yet.

Hm only 4 blocks the last 2h. And over 4000 transactions are waiting. The last 6 blocks had a average of 932 transactions...

90 minutes here without single confirmation.

Sorry guys, my jalapeno was offline. I got it connected again, I'm sure the extra hashing power should get them confirmed for ya.



7. Post 5644737 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):

Quote from: cdooer on March 11, 2014, 05:47:01 PM
Its a shame this forum doesn't have an off topic section.   Undecided

I'm pretty sure that is what this thread is for  Tongue



8. Post 5801999 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: joburgtaxi on March 20, 2014, 11:34:19 AM
Quick question, how does one add an avatar, I am now a full member but am still getting a red message saying that I am not able to add an avatar.

You can't. They turned off the ability. Apparently it was used as an attack vector to hack the site or something, so they just disabled the ability for people to update them. I suppose one day they will actually update the website, and you can add one then.



9. Post 5804957 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):

Quote from: oyvinds on March 20, 2014, 03:12:05 PM
...

"I think Putin is doing the right thing" you causually write on Facebook and there goes your bank account and your house and your car and if you think that's acceptable then you'll love the FEMA camps.





10. Post 5911902 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Anyone know the logic as to why some images are blocked as invalid and some are not on this website?



11. Post 5912942 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

At one point this thread had 5689 pages... someone must be deleting their old posts or something. I wonder if they are trying to hide their admission of mining/buying from big bro.



12. Post 5931693 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 27, 2014, 02:07:52 PM
Could be a tripple-ish bottom
Don't look for a pattern here, this is a FUD correction, not a typical one created by lack of price support. The same as when people found out Karpeles stole their money. Nobody can predict something like that.

I predict ~564 in the next 8 hours  Cool




13. Post 6057558 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):




14. Post 6072067 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):

Quote from: ShroomsKit on April 04, 2014, 05:23:06 PM
I assume that the next real dump will be a brutal one. A few chinese exchanges might go dark overnight and even
leave customers back MtGox style, most of them will shutdown completly at least(without stealing). I expect total chaos,and nothing less. This right now is truly the calm before the storm.
But at least we might see a reputable bounce after the upcoming chinese desaster flash crash.


either this, or they will relocate to Hong Kong.

Are you new here?

Don't quote the troll.

Don't requote the troll  Wink



15. Post 6128420 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.34h):

Quote from: KFR on April 08, 2014, 04:54:47 PM
Anyone notice that now $458 is compared to Mt. Everest, by a Bull!  My estimate that $400 will hold is back up to 60%.

FWIW mine is 70%.

I've been at 80% all along tbh - might nudge that up to 90% soon. Cool



Mine's 100%

Satoshi take the wheel!



16. Post 6157103 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):




17. Post 6213154 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 1%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 10%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 15%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 100% (already happened Apr 13th [yes I'm being pedantic])
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 =100% (already happened as recent as Apr 1st)
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 100% (Feb 9th)
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 87%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 =86%
i) In 2014, price will visit above 2000 = 85%
j) In 2014, price will visit above 3000 = 81.432%
k) In 2014, price will visit above 4000 = 60%
l) In 2014, price will visit above 5000 = 55%
m) In 2014, price will visit above 7000 = 5%
n) In 2014, price will visit above 10000 = 1%
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS



18. Post 6213610 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: p0peji on April 14, 2014, 01:55:55 PM
LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 1%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 10%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 15%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 100% (already happened Apr 13th [yes I'm being pedantic])
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 =100% (already happened as recent as Apr 1st)
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 100% (Feb 9th)
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 87%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 =86%
i) In 2014, price will visit above 2000 = 85%
j) In 2014, price will visit above 3000 = 81.432%
k) In 2014, price will visit above 4000 = 60%
l) In 2014, price will visit above 5000 = 55%
m) In 2014, price will visit above 7000 = 5%
n) In 2014, price will visit above 10000 = 1%
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS

Want to bet 1 btc that price will not visit above 5000? You have a 5% edge according to your estimations.

Nah, there's a 45% chance it doesn't happen until Jan 1st, 2015. Not worth the risk  Tongue



19. Post 6213747 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: p0peji on April 14, 2014, 02:11:19 PM
LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 1%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 10%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 15%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 100% (already happened Apr 13th [yes I'm being pedantic])
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 =100% (already happened as recent as Apr 1st)
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 100% (Feb 9th)
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 87%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 =86%
i) In 2014, price will visit above 2000 = 85%
j) In 2014, price will visit above 3000 = 81.432%
k) In 2014, price will visit above 4000 = 60%
l) In 2014, price will visit above 5000 = 55%
m) In 2014, price will visit above 7000 = 5%
n) In 2014, price will visit above 10000 = 1%
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS

Want to bet 1 btc that price will not visit above 5000? You have a 5% edge according to your estimations.

Nah, there's a 45% chance it doesn't happen until Jan 1st, 2015. Not worth the risk  Tongue

Either you stand by your estimations or you admit they are complete BS.

Dude, calm down. There are plenty of people responding to this mini-poll, go bug them. I have no insider knowledge, so like everyone else my estimates are "BS".



20. Post 6218111 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 14, 2014, 06:44:22 PM
Since it is free, why not:
LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 10%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 20%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 30%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 40%
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 = 40%
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 10%
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 3%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 = 1%
i) In 2014, price will visit above 2000 = 0.1%
j) In 2014, price will visit above 3000 = 0.01%
k) In 2014, price will visit above 4000 = 0.001%
l) In 2014, price will visit above 5000 = 0.0001%
m) In 2014, price will visit above 7000 = 0.00001%
n) In 2014, price will visit above 10000 = 0.000001%
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
These numbers were picked while wearing by bull mask.  Grin

Your horns fell off your mask there buddy.



21. Post 6218264 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JayJuanGee on April 14, 2014, 06:50:36 PM
Sloppy would truly be an understatement if someone is actually paying you (highly?!) for financial analytics. It's more probable that you're plain out lying, because you can't be this thick even if you understand just the basic of finance.

If you would dig around the forums a bit, you should find that aminorex is one of the most knowledgeable posters around here. His way of stuffing tons of abstract concepts into one sentence might seem like pseudo-intellectual gibberish to some, but that's just because they don't see what the hell he means. I, too have my troubles with that sometimes Smiley

(I think he's the only poster ever whose intelligence got acknowledged by AnonyMint, that's got to count for something lol  Cheesy )


Well, then the account of this highly intelligent individual has been compromised by an moronic jackass who he can't even understand how USD is actually THE thing that gives value to BTC? Smiley

Another example of your truly either NOT knowing what da fuck you are talking about or that you are purposefully just attempting to incite other posters.




22. Post 6218811 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 14, 2014, 07:21:33 PM
You're more of a bear than my cute avatar Smiley

My bear-masked estimates are

LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 40%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 60%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 70%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 80%
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 = 30%
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 5%
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 1%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 = 0% (for practical purposes)
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS

That's no bear mask, that's a full on troll-mask. Just completely giving up on the "researching" schtick I see.



23. Post 6234510 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):

Quote from: fonzie on April 15, 2014, 05:19:08 PM
I can smell a dumpload of chinese coins incoming.

Might want to check your pants first.



24. Post 6354892 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Quote from: Cassius on April 23, 2014, 12:52:34 PM
just makes more coins go from unbelievers to believers

...troll snip...

Rpietila, hire me as an outside consultant, who is not an True Believer, but who knows exactly how the Unbelievers think.

...more troll snipping...

Join me and we can rule the galaxy as father and son...

 Cheesy

This thread is a total troll dump, but still has its moments.



25. Post 6359144 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):

Stock up now!







26. Post 6370767 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

This day in Bitcoin price history:

April 24th, 2011 : 1BTC = $1.7
April 24th, 2012 : 1BTC = $5.10     (+300% from 2011)
April 24th, 2013 : 1BTC = $154.20  (+3024% from 2012, +9070% from 2011)
April 24th, 2014 : 1BTC = $485.00  (+314% from 2013, +9510% from 2012, +28529% from 2011)

Hey there hodler, that's a mighty big percentage you got there.





27. Post 6371152 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: TERA on April 24, 2014, 12:20:46 PM
This day in Bitcoin price history:

April 24th, 2011 : 1BTC = $1.7
April 24th, 2012 : 1BTC = $5.10     (+300% from 2011)
April 24th, 2013 : 1BTC = $154.20  (+3024% from 2012, +9070% from 2011)
April 24th, 2014 : 1BTC = $485.00  (+314% from 2013, +9510% from 2012, +28529% from 2011)

Hey there hodler, that's a mighty big percentage you got there.



It looks overbought.

Is what people thought exactly one year ago.



28. Post 6373658 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 24, 2014, 02:49:58 PM

Note that the percent changes (not increases) from year to year were

 2011 -> 2012  300%
 2012 -> 2013 3024%
 2013 -> 2015  314%

Neither constant, not uniformly increasing.

What will be the percent change 2014 -> 2015?

The simplest formula that will fit the three data points above is a parabola.

...


A even more simple formula would be to average the numbers -> +1212% (1BTC = $5820)
Or you could take the median -> +314% (1BTC = $1522.90)

 Wink



29. Post 6373695 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 24, 2014, 03:12:34 PM
Note that the percent changes (not increases) from year to year were

 2011 -> 2012  300%
 2012 -> 2013 3024%
 2013 -> 2015  314%

Neither constant, not uniformly increasing.

What will be the percent change 2014 -> 2015?

The simplest formula that will fit the three data points above is a parabola. Working in log scale, this is what I get:
http://www.ic.unicamp.br/~stolfi/temp/2014-04-24-april-prices-extrap.png

Horrible chart, because you ignored valid data. You can't just ignore previous years.

I just used the data that the quoted post used.  What were the percentage changes 2009 -> 2010, 2010 -> 2011?

According to research by rpietila (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=322058.0), it was roughly 1BTC = $0.005 in 2009 and 2010.

2009 -> 2010 + 0%
2010 -> 2011  + 34000%



30. Post 6374267 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 24, 2014, 03:40:32 PM
I can find you some threads that demonstrate that was the approximate exchange rate during that period.
Hey, my goal was just to make some salutary fun of price extrapolations.


Nah, your goal is to try and squash any positive sentiment in this thread.



31. Post 6374627 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on April 24, 2014, 03:56:37 PM
Hey, my goal was just to make some salutary fun of price extrapolations.
Nah, your goal is to try and squash any positive sentiment in this thread.
Salesmen want optimistic estimates; traders should want realistic ones. (But I am not claiming that mine are realistic.)

That statement means nothing. Other than to imply any positive opinions are merely sales tactics. You're a FUD spreader, don't act like you're doing anyone any favors.



32. Post 6438635 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

There are some grade A assholes posting in this thread. Its much more fun in a bull market when everyone is happy, not this pit of shit bear market.

Bull trolls > Bear trolls



33. Post 6440009 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: p0peji on April 28, 2014, 02:41:37 PM
Why else would you use an avatar on an anonymous forum on the internets, of you wearing a business suit, if it is not for the sole purpose of luring in those who actually think that people in suits are generally right?




34. Post 6442119 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.41h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on April 28, 2014, 04:54:33 PM
So where do you guys think are current support and resistance levels?

TA threads seem dead on this forum now Sad

800 major resistance
600 resistance
400 support
300 major support

could go lower still, but bitcoin always seems to have more upside potential, i'm still confident in time we will break over  major resistance and skys the limit again, and then ban the sky fall at 7295$ down to 1987$  then a "stable" 3K Cheesy Cheesy






35. Post 6489756 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

I see we have are having a little "spreading of the word" about NXT from the marketing department. Its like the jehovha witnesses showing up at the threads doorstep, "Do you have a minute to talk about our lord and savior BCNext?"



36. Post 6559091 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):

Why is everyone all butthurt in this thread yet again? All this bickering is such a downer. It's a beautiful day, Bitcoins are great!

People are willing to give you over $400 for just one!!

Ripple got a bank, doge got a car, crypto-currency is becoming more and more a normal daily thing.

Brighter days are ahead my friends, just be mindful of the bumps.



37. Post 6574161 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Wow another day above $400. The sun is rising on the United States of America and the blockchain is still as strong as ever!

I hear China banned Bitcoin


NA, Europe, India, and Antarctica plenty enough for $20K/BTC  Wink



38. Post 6575336 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote
At the end of 2013, OKCoin closed a Series A round of funding led by Ceyuan Venture Capital, raising $10 million USD. A large portion of this funding will be invested in team building activities, R&D and security improvements.




39. Post 6578378 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Hey Guys look what I found on pastebin, looks like someone leaked some marching orders from the puppet masters.

How embarrassing!

Quote
Troll Talking Points
 May 6th, 2014

Greetings gentlemen, first let me start off and say you have been doing very good work lately.
However we would like to remind you that you need to post in other forums besides Speculation,
as it is becoming quite apparent when you purchased your account from a real member since the account
stopped posting in other forums. Remember keep up your appearances, so as to not blow your cover.

Also some of you have been posting too much in "TOTAL TROLL" mode. Remember you need to dial it back
every now and then and post like an actual moderate bear would. This lends you creditability for your
"TOTAL TROLL" mode, when it is deemed necessary by the powers that be. And also keeps the actual bears
on your side, and they will even back you up sometimes... LOL.

Now onto today's talking points:

* OPERATION FUD - People were starting to react positively to the term FUD being thrown around, and it was
  starting to dilute our message. As you know the effort to re-term it to mean Fact U Dislike has worked moderately.
  Please keep mentioning it when someone points out our actual use of FUD.
  
* CHINA, CHINA, CHINA - The powers that be are coming to the end of the China ban milking. Now that China's actual
  influence on the markets has dwindled its time to switch tactics. Let's try "China is the only thing that makes
  Bitcoin worth more than $100". Find correlations between events in China to price rising and failing. Nevermind
  the growth outside of China, keep them focused on China. We want maximum panic when the exchanges finally mention
  they are leaving China.
  
* CHARTS - Now that you've all been through "negative slope" training, don't forget throw up a couple trendlines
  that point out how Bitcoin is going down to $0. Remember its not you making the numbers go down, its just what
  the trend it pointing out. Don't forget an emoticon for an effective reaction Wink
  

That's it for today. Your Bitcoin payments are on their way. Don't forget to put your shorts in, as you know we
definetely will let YOU know when the squeeze begins.



40. Post 6590908 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: conspirosphere.tk on May 07, 2014, 11:33:16 AM
just in from reddit:
Chill out, we're exactly where we're supposed to be v2 - Chart based on Bitstamp price up to today (This chart holds even better).
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/24xtjt/chill_out_were_exactly_where_were_supposed_to_be/



Ughhh, the fact that they choose the 13th day of the month to use in that date line makes my brain hurt trying to read it.



41. Post 6614062 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):

Quote from: oda.krell on May 08, 2014, 02:43:10 PM
Is the trend line broken yet?

Knocking on the door @Stamp I think.

Currently knocking at a safe $35 distance Cheesy





I assume, from above you mean  Wink




42. Post 6685776 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: lemonte on May 12, 2014, 11:16:59 AM
Today Bitpay is coming with a huuuuuge announcement right?

We will see. It is the new crypto trend to pre-announce announcements and not deliver.

It will just hurt bitpay to tweet about something big and then go silent.
They don't want to ruin their reputation  , I hope.

Where did you hear this? I couldn't see anything about an incoming announcement on their Twitter. If they do have anything to announce they'd keep it until the conference this week surely?

https://twitter.com/bitpay/status/465206481474686976

Quote
When we say big things, we mean big things #bitcoin #tothemoon



43. Post 6689497 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Live feed from inside rpietila's mansion (don't act like you aint jealous)



44. Post 6691057 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.44h):

Quote from: T.Stuart on May 12, 2014, 04:29:05 PM
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/travel/article-2626208/GuestLeader-worlds-booking-engine-accept-bitcoins-payment-hotel-stays.html

This must be the Bitpay news. Guess some noob social network employee got over-excited.

"In its heyday, bitcoin’s value soared passed $1,100 (£650). But last month it was revealed that the currency’s price had plummeted."

"Revealed"? As in, "Displayed in real time by the exchanges"? Oh, Daily Mail...

In other news, anyone care to comment on this analysis? (Not mine)
http://bitscan.com/articles/btc-update-11-may-has-btc-formed-a-bottom


The link is not working.

No, weirdly the link includes a full stop at the end and it gets ignored by the forum software/browser.
Copy and paste "http://bitscan.com/articles/btc-update-11-may-has-btc-formed-a-bottom." and it seems to work fine.
Basically it suggests this is the bottom based on rising support dating back to late 2013.

Still can't get it to work. Sorry if my fault. Can you perhaps shorten the link with bitly and send that?

try this

http://bitscan.com/articles/btc-update-11-may-has-btc-formed-a-bottom%2E



45. Post 6764630 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: bigdave on May 16, 2014, 02:56:42 PM
I'd love to see one more drop to the 430-435 range before we go back up again.

Don't get greedy.  Wink



46. Post 6838593 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Watch out Bears!




47. Post 6841003 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: fonzie on May 20, 2014, 07:35:01 PM
.... don't quote the troll




48. Post 6852064 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):

Quote from: magicmexican on May 21, 2014, 10:54:57 AM
there is clearly an urgent need for some dinosaurs



you sir, are an artist.



49. Post 6874758 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on May 22, 2014, 02:13:53 PM
How much do you expect to pay for your lunch a year from now: in euros, and in bitcoin? 

I clipped the context, since your question was non sequitur, presumptively because you found directly addressing the point to be inconvenient.

Today I would expect to pay 15 euros.  In 1 year, between 16 and 18 euros.
Today I would expect to pay 0.04 btc.  In 1 year, between 0.004 and 0.002 btc.
The methods used to arrive at both results have similar numerical and statistical qualities, including p values and precision.  
The most notable differences are the relative deviation and the scale and direction of the trend.
I see.  I definitely do not share your faith in blind extrapolation.

I basically agree with your euro estimate; not because of past price history, but because there are very large players who are supposed to keep its price stable, apart from a little inflation, and have at least some reason to want to do that.

There are no such entities for bitcoin (that is one thing that the charts do prove).  There is no capital or dividends, so its value is entirely based on short-term speculation and the hope of it being adopted as medium of exchange.  Speculation is holding itself in mid-air by its bootstraps, and its price may jump up or down unpredictably by external events, that are clearly not tied to the price history.   Adoption may well not happen, and if it happens no one can tell how much or how soon.  So the bitcoin price of a meal in May 2015 can be anything.

Sorry Georgey-Boy, your FUD is losing steam.




50. Post 6898342 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 23, 2014, 05:20:26 PM
every bitcoin is 100% coin and 100% bit, that's 100% more than regular coins!

1

LET'S GO!




51. Post 6899304 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):

Quote from: aminorex on May 23, 2014, 06:06:34 PM
Quote from: BFW
Bitcoin Exchange Guarantees Clients Crime-Free Trade in Denmark
By Niklas Magnusson

CCEDK Crypto Coins Exchange Denmark ApS CEO Ronny Boesing
May 23 (Bloomberg) -- Denmark is about to get a new Bitcoin exchange, promising future clients a crime-free platform on which to trade the virtual currency.
The CCEDK Crypto Coins Exchange Denmark ApS, which is due to open this month, is offering its trading platform to people across the globe, Chief Executive Officer Ronny Boesing said in an interview. The exchange will initially provide customers with the possibility to trade Bitcoin and Litecoin against each other, as well as in exchange for Danish and Norwegian kroner, British pounds, dollars and euros.


Fortræffelig!
   



52. Post 6970904 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: KFR on May 27, 2014, 02:21:05 PM
So we make a $150 move upwards, then retrace ONLY $30 back, and everyone is calling for new lows again? Are you guys mental?
lol

the move up is justified, if you keep up with bitcoin news...
its bullish out there

buy the dips
buy all the dips

Buy all the dips; hodl all the bits.   Cool




If you're gonna buy the dips, you can put them in this Glamour Gold 2-piece Chip and Dip Set only 0.125 BTC from overstock.




53. Post 6976495 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.47h):

Quote from: rezurect on May 27, 2014, 06:45:41 PM
Exponential growth analysis: My Ass
The worst part is that i'm supposed to be a Bull.

It's gonna be alright man...Take a deep breath.

We are up 11% in 3 days, 19% in a week, and 32% in a month. It's all good.



54. Post 6991832 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: redjedievolution on May 28, 2014, 01:08:09 PM
Why this thread is fully of trolls? there is a lot of people writing shit, and short messages like "pump & dump" etc...?

The unique reason is because they are trolls, or want to buy more? I don't understand why they write shit because we lost lot of time reading shit.

I must ignore i think...

They are doing it for the lulz. I've been hitting the ignore button on quite a few accounts lately. It just got to be too much.



55. Post 7018372 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: maximum on May 29, 2014, 05:13:35 PM
I got a small deposit (100€) in yesterday at Bitstamp and now they want me to answer 5 questions.

1. How did you learn about Bitcoin?
2. What is the purpose of your trading on Bitstamp? Please describe in as much detail as possible how you intend to use your trading account.
3. Which banks do you intend to use? Please provide the complete addresses and SWIFT codes.
4. Estimated amount that you would be depositing/withdrawing to/from your Bitstamp account per month (in USD and BTC)?
5. What type of trading will you conduct? Buying/selling/both? Estimated trade volume per month?

Huh
How are we supposed to reach new prices when no one can move money in?

You just said you moved money into Bitstamp. Who can't move money in?

Answer the questions or goto BTC-e.



56. Post 7020658 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on May 29, 2014, 06:46:18 PM


bitcoins going places, and doing shit.

poeple need to wake up and price this shit in.

but again they will wait, and wait, and they all rush in at once and cause a bubble.

with that said, Mars!

You get to drink from the firehose!



57. Post 7042104 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):




58. Post 7144950 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: kodtycoon on June 05, 2014, 11:16:53 AM
when you guys cash out big bucks.. do ye pay the capital gains or what? im wonderin how to get around that lol

JUST PAY YOUR TAXES!


Hold on to them long enough that it becomes a short term capital gain at least.

oh and
PAY YOUR GODDAMN TAXES!!

You can't buy cigarettes in the joint with Bitcoins.



59. Post 7146315 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 05, 2014, 12:44:09 PM
What a boring week.

when you guys cash out big bucks.. do ye pay the capital gains or what? im wonderin how to get around that lol

I have a bank account that only my bank and me can see. No 3rd parties like the tax people or the government.
You should be able to make that in any bank in the European Union.
What kind of bank account is that?
I am pretty sure in my country, France, there is no such thing.

In Croatia it's called "tekuci devizni racun". No idea what's it called in English.

offshore account

Could be. But I'm from Croatia and this bank is Croatian. Although it's a part of a Swiss bank.


wow, you are so naive to think that your account in Croatia is invisible to the authorities and croatian central bank.


It's in the agreement. The authorities need a warrant to check, and it's pretty hard to get it when you have proper lawyers.

That's a pretty big risk you are taking. Good luck to you, but I know I couldn't sleep well at night knowing that the hammer could come down at any moment.

If I might suggest, maybe you should try to change your laws, instead of ignoring them and hope that other laws will protect you.



(ignore the "asshole" part of the gif, I just thought the first part was funny Smiley)



60. Post 7230601 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):

What a piece of work is a man, how noble in reason,
how infinite in faculties, in form and moving,
how express and admirable in action, how like an angel in apprehension,
how like a god!



61. Post 7255759 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: Parazyd on June 11, 2014, 06:09:50 PM
The poll was too bullish again.

The week's not over yet  Wink



62. Post 7270459 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: MatTheCat on June 12, 2014, 12:50:36 PM
Seriously? W00t. Then my order passed. Hello 20 BTC Smiley
If you were kidding, then I have no comment. Pure evil Cheesy

w00t nothing. My order also triggered but I sold em back cos we are going further down.

If you want to get excited about getting 20 BTC at $620, when we are currently hovering around at $625 on a very thin order book with all the pressure coming from above then that is up to you.

I'm sure he appreciates your permission for him to be happy.



63. Post 7277198 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: blatchcorn on June 12, 2014, 07:44:31 PM
I would pay a good amount of BTC for fonzie and his troll friends heads on stakes. This thread would be so much better without their stupidity and ignorance. Hell, the world would probably be a better place if they are that stupid in real life.
Yup (my last post was sarcastic).

I don't understand how we can have a small correction and then everyone is back to claiming we are in a bear market  Huh

The trolls feed on the fears of bulls. Stay strong.  Cheesy



64. Post 7277301 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):




65. Post 7296391 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):

Quote from: fonzie on June 13, 2014, 07:08:53 PM
... pile of crap ...

Love that you added that ghash.io link to your signature...master troll stroke.




66. Post 7472121 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):

Quote from: dgarcia on June 23, 2014, 05:22:50 PM
Yes. Because the sheep need something to panic about. If it wasn't this auction they'd find something else. 
It's a minor event but it completely controls the price at the
Moment. Traders are idiots.
Probably on the day of the auction the idiots will start selling because people might start selling. The news has to be really damn good for the price to go up.
Anything not extremely bullish and the traders will totally completely fucking panic and sell.
When we recover a week later they'll find the next event to panic about.

More and more I get the impression, that you are a bot. A posting-bot! An algorithm loaded with a few constants like sheep, panic, ignore, traders, idiots...

...fullfilling these constants with random words to sentences.

Maybe someone could find a shutdown sequence for this amok running algorithm?

ShroomsKit speaks the truth. NO DISASSEMBLE SHROOMSKIT FIVE!

P.S. I'm buying too.



67. Post 7509116 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

That's quite commendable of you JayJuanGee to actually try and have a conversation with Trollzie, instead of just telling him to fuck off.



68. Post 7532132 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):

Quote from: fonzie on June 26, 2014, 04:57:47 PM
I´m feelin a bit bullish lately, anyone else? Shorts closed, BTC bought, tempted to hit leverage long if we should break 590-600$  Cool Smiley




69. Post 7642770 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on July 02, 2014, 04:24:04 PM
>800 next week I guarantee it, not kidding.



70. Post 7643093 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

mr. pumpkinhead,

Your attention seeking troll account has run its course. No one is laughing anymore, and to put it bluntly, your act is tired.

Please kindly and gently sod off into the night.



71. Post 7720739 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: gizmoh on July 07, 2014, 04:31:51 PM
Sorry to break the party, but there is too much optimism/bulls in here.. Roll Eyes

I don't know what thread you're reading, but this place is still bear central.



72. Post 7720965 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):

Quote from: gizmoh on July 07, 2014, 05:02:19 PM
More lows to come i'm afraid.

Shorty be shortin'

You ain't fooling anyone!  Cheesy



73. Post 7892070 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on July 17, 2014, 12:04:21 PM
My bear-masked estimates are

LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS
a) In 2014, price will visit below 100 = 40%
b) In 2014, price will visit below 200 = 60%
c) In 2014, price will visit below 300 = 70%
d) In 2014, price will visit below 400 = 80%
e) In 2014, price will visit above 500 = 30%
f) In 2014, price will visit above 750 = 5%
g) In 2014, price will visit above 1000 = 1%
h) In 2014, price will visit above 1250 = 0% (for practical purposes)
/LET'S GIVE PROBABILITIES TO THE FOLLOWING EVENTS

Is there more than one Jorge??
I also had a set of bull-masked probabilities. And I prefixed them with something like "what the heck, everybody is playing, why not me too".

And I refused to bet on those probabilities at the time, too.




BTC was $457 that day. Just imagine Jorge how much money you would have made if you bought then! Its still not too late, there are plenty of tickets available for the BTC ride of a lifetime!!



74. Post 7970071 (copy this link) (by Bronstad) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.00h):

Quote from: aminorex on July 22, 2014, 02:05:19 PM
Can anyone make a case that the price will not be at least twice this level within 90 days after COIN lists?

If not, let's assume it is so.  If there is a 50% chance of listing by November 8th, and the best estimator of the February 8th price without COIN is the current price, then the expected gain by 8 Feb is 50%.

That's roughly 100% annually.  It is a very very low estimate of the expectation of holding.  It may underestimate holding time however.

If you know anyone who can do without some non-zero amount of cash today, with the expectation of a 50% gain by 8 Feb, you should inform them, or you are no friend.

In other words, I'm done accumulating BTC for a while.  (Still working on XMR though.)


I think my brain might be a bit fuzzy today. But why does your last sentence read like you spent the previous sentences explaining why you think the price is going down? If you think the price is going up, why be done accumulating?