All posts made by Tyson95 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 4317904 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):
850 dump
2.
Post 4378705 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
hmmm any comments on whats happening right now?
3.
Post 4378751 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
the..swings today are just so fierce.. big money was made for many with balls and coin stashes
Can normal humans trade like this or is it all bots?
4.
Post 4383776 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
wtf is going on here?
5.
Post 4477010 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):
6.
Post 4477107 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):
Are we talkin' to the moon or hide yo' wife?
7.
Post 4479133 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):
I wish these companies accepting bitcoin would give customers a percentage off when using bitcoin. They are saving fees from their regular payment processors and paypal etc, so why not pass some savings to the customer. Then there would not be this talk of these companies not having a positive impact on bitcoin. I know they are essentially spreading the word, but has anyone bought bitcoin for the first time just to buy from these companies that accept bitcoin?
This is a key reason to buy the rumor, sell the news. You never know how short the peak will be once news like this is out.
Pretty sure they are paying fees to bitpay or similar.
8.
Post 4539322 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
Bitcoin mentioned on criminal minds tonight, that makes 4 TV shows this week talking about it. Maybe we'll see the Friday surge again like the past 2 weeks.
9.
Post 4570960 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
Feels good to sit 100% fiat until the sleeping dragon awakes. I'm guessing selling should resume in about 3 hours.
What if they buy?
10.
Post 4849451 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
11.
Post 4880417 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):
He has multiple confirmed sources stating that 10 days remain.
12.
Post 4968061 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):
WTF is going on?
13.
Post 4968209 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):
Are any of you guys going to continue business with BitFinex after this?
14.
Post 5050444 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
Preparing for an epic dip. No word from Mt Gox and they promised update today JST. Its past 5p JST - if they had a semi-positive update they would have released it by now. Preparing for some cheap coins!
GTFO Coinbull!
15.
Post 5052864 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.05h):
any idea whats going on with bitfinex?
It's really fucking my night up is what it's doing. Get that shit moving........
Bitfinex is dead to me now ! God damn them!
16.
Post 5328193 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):
Is this 1 person playing around with 50K BTC on stamp right now?
17.
Post 5328311 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):
So what is this persons strategy?
18.
Post 5328504 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.17h):
I would be afraid that stamp would gox me or something.
19.
Post 5351095 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.18h):
I'm sure Bitfinex is gonna go full turtle in the next 30 mins
20.
Post 5375354 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
1100btc wall at 348$ at stamp... This could be a toughy...
This guy has been pumping and dumping all day, expect a dump at 545
21.
Post 5375388 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
1100btc wall at 348$ at stamp... This could be a toughy...
You mean $548
Looks like Bid Wall @ $540 is increasing too.
I panic bought earlier and he pulled his wall and dumped
22.
Post 5375444 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
Pretty sure this guy on BFX has at least 3k he's playing with.
23.
Post 5395269 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
Same guy from BFX back for round 2, think he's gonna get it to 620+
24.
Post 5395308 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
And the wall was not pulled but eaten!
By himself, pretty sure he's playing with 5k+ right now
25.
Post 5473068 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):
1500 bid wall at $563. Hmmm.
Yeah this will get interesting
26.
Post 5476862 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):
Was hoping someone would have stepped in front of him...Wake me up if he's back again in the next two hours, kinda doubt it though. Zzzzzz
He did it last monday/tuesday he'll be back.
27.
Post 5495692 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):
Bitcoin mentioned in Almost Human again tonight, expect moon X2
28.
Post 5497496 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.23h):
Last week the pumper stopped pumping on Tuesday so it should be interesting how the rest of the week turns out.
29.
Post 5556223 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
im considering this might be a big publicity stunt for bitcoin and we are instead going up
thoughts?
No, this is really bad news and I'd expect 550 tomorrow.
30.
Post 5598230 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):
implying that anyone cares about the 2bittrash, his 5 minutes of internet fame were over a week or 2 ago.
The pumper may come back, you never know.
31.
Post 5628682 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):
$700 coins incoming
32.
Post 5646806 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):
How much do Americans move the Bitcoin markets? All of the good news that I've seen come from the US doesn't seem to impact prices much.
33.
Post 5682491 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.26h):
Why would people want to use a Mon-Fri 9-5 exchange? I don't see any extra services that would make me want to trade there unless i'm missing something.
34.
Post 5816873 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):
whose buying all the cheaper bitcoins
Yeah holy shit
35.
Post 5835123 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.28h):
Wonder what Monday will bring
36.
Post 5895674 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
37.
Post 5896690 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
With the ruling by the IRS does that mean Americans can start investing in Bitcoin with their 401K retirement plans?
38.
Post 5908213 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
Things are heating up
Confirmed
39.
Post 5908656 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
pump it.. dump it??
No, this pumper is here to play all day.
40.
Post 5935671 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
BFX getting ready to pump
41.
Post 5936618 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
Looks like bad news I'm gonna sell
42.
Post 5955014 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):
anybody seen the 15m ask wall on BFX?
More posturing, I'd love to see a whale eat it whole
A whale can't eat it if it's your exchange and you know that nobody has the funds to do it.
43.
Post 5978878 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):
A weekend dip to 480 by Saturday night, not even seriously testing $466 resistance. We are on the way back up. An official denial of the rumor by the PBoC (should that happen) should take us to $540 in the short run, close to $600 eventually provided no new disasters surface.
I estimate this China ban is 90% priced in since rumors started four months ago, so even if it turns out to be true, the down side is much smaller than the potential upside if again it proves to be false. This is a good time to buy a small amount, IMHO.
Probability the story is fake or just plain wrong I estimate to be 51%, based on no confirmations yet by anybody, despite a market plunge and four days of looking.
Once again, I was too early. We were all expecting this test of support, so my gut was right and my second guess was wrong. There may even be a test of $400 support if $466 doesn't hold.
Now we get to see who's smarter than me and waited to buy.
Hang in there man, I got fiat on the way so the price should skyrocket.
44.
Post 5980333 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.30h):
PBoC has just confirmed that it was not the source of the latest ban FUD. This comes from reliable Chinese news soure Weigo-Xiuxiu Nau. Props to Proudhon for the tip.
Lol took me a minute, I hope this is the case. Good luck to everyone today.
45.
Post 5994403 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):
I like to be optomistic but only 500 to 450 is a bit scary.
46.
Post 5996126 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.31h):
1800 bid on BFX
aaand its gone...
47.
Post 6043397 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
I'm only 15% long and I feel despair. I feel despair over the short that I covered at 490. I cannot even imagine the people who went all in, leveraged, or sold their house.
Do people do that?
48.
Post 6044481 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Can't imagine the margin calls @400
49.
Post 6045366 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
We haven't seen Loaded for a while.
Pretty sure he and his clients got goxxed.
50.
Post 6048432 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):
Possible isn't the same as probable.
Pessimism isn't wisdom. If you think there's a reason to assign low probability, that would be helpful to articulate.
We don't know how well capitalized many of these start-ups actually are.
True. We do know how well capitalized several of them are, however. It's very similar to the Internet in the 90s. Stuff is all over the map. That kind of diversity is messy, and healthy. Some degree of confidence that the population will produce survivors is provided by large numbers.
We also don't know what could happen in the macroeconomy or regulatory environment that could stall a recovery. These are real risks even if they are not probabilities.
Ignorance is not risk. Structural vulnerability is a source of risk, though. Macro is going to go to hell in a hand-basket. QE can mask the underlying cancer with a high fever, but the patient is still terminal. That implies both volatility and a strong upward path for BTC.
The regulatory front is pricing-benign (freedom-malignant), but also it can be routed around. Uncertainties here are few.
I think you underestimate the strength of the fundamental trend, and the inexorable power of the price attractors. It's like if there were no reason for BTC to go up, one would have to be invented, just to keep the universe from annihilating itself with a contradiction.
Is there a fair chance of a sustained price dip? Yes. Do I think it will happen? Not beyond my ability to manage the mark-to-market risk by trading the volatility.
Wisdom is perceived as pessimism by the overly optimistic. I think the risks are higher than you do, but I don't think they are probable. There's no possibility of another flash dip to $400 and quick recovery because we are already there and there is no volume. I am hoping a test of $400 on volume will spring a bear trap, but support may waver if it's seriously tested. If $400 holds, there will be likely be plenty of volatility range trading until the whales who are lurking in the depths give up their hope for cheaper coins and get on board.
Ignorance is not risk, but it prevents you from accurately pricing risk. The future is not only unknown but unknowable. You can be ignorant in this game and still make money if you know that you are ignorant and do what the smart people do. The problem is that it's difficult to tell who's smart until after the fact.
I have no confidence anymore in my ability to day trade. My margin trade wiped out all my day trading profits for the year and I'm lucky to have not gotten wiped out completely. Fortunately all that money originally came from buying and holding long term, so that's what I'm going back to until I can afford more day trading "tuition". This is the best time to buy in the last four months. Coming from me, that may be a sell signal, what the hell do I know? Don't trade long term on a short term trend and don't trade short term on a long term trend. It cost me $6000 to discover that. I don't want anybody else to make the same mistake. The down trend will continue until all the weak hands are shaken out. Volume tells us that hasn't happened yet, but volume could be misleading.
I'm not bearish right now. I'm not bullish. I just don't fuckin know. I am humbled.
Yeah I know the feeling, I've managed to lose 35 BTC between Gox and China news. Good luck on your future endeavors and hopefully you can recover your losses.
51.
Post 6078318 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):
China bans bitcoin
China doesn't give a fuck.
bullish?
Bullish.
Confirmed?
52.
Post 6101449 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.33h):
I'm expecting a big rally after the game of thrones season premier.
53.
Post 6166520 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
What is everyones panic buy prices?
54.
Post 6166562 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
What is everyones panic buy prices?
Around 300$
Sounds good, I panic bought some at 450 and look pretty foolish.
55.
Post 6238198 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
Prepare for liftoff?
56.
Post 6238394 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
I just made a market order with the last of my margin cos of this song
lol good luck
57.
Post 6245566 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
Wow this is pretty stupid
58.
Post 6246019 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
I close a position at a loss and then it goes back up, if I would have rode it out it would have gone down further and my ass would have been margin called. Can't win this sucks
59.
Post 6246710 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
So does this take us back to 340 now?
http://www.coindesk.com/mt-gox-officially-files-liquidation/Get Goxxed and Chinesed in one day
60.
Post 6260779 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
The rally could be due to this notice just posted to Huobi:
关于火币网恢复点卡充值方式的通知
时间 ：2014-04-17 13:10:09 来源： 火币网
尊敬的火币网用户：
为了解决非工作时间充值到账较慢的问题，火币网经过和点卡代理商协商后，我们将于今日17：00恢复点卡充值服务，支持所有主流银行充值，7*24小时即时到账。欢迎各位币友体验。
火币网运营部
2014.04.17
Notice on Huobi.com TOPUP recovery mode
Time :2014-04-17 13:10:09 Source: Huobi.com
Dear Huobi.com network users:
In order to solve the non-working hours recharge slower Daozhang problems after the Huobi and cards dealer network through negotiation, we will resume today 17:00 TOPUP services, supports all major banks recharge, 7 * 24 hours immediately to the account. Friends welcome you to experience the coins.
Huobi.com Operations
2014.04.17
(Google Translate, with "Fire currency/coin net" --> Huobi.com")
Hmmm looks like they're saying its banned, time to sell all my bitcoins.
61.
Post 6262632 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
Who gives a shit about China.
By the time summer rolls around and regulated U.S. exchanges have started operation China will be a distant memory.
U.S. exchanges that run from 8-5 and closed on the weekends?
62.
Post 6263334 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.38h):
I have the worst time knowing when to cut a loss with a trade. What do some of you guys set up a stop loss at?
63.
Post 6278419 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Huobi dump 3 days straight same time, why?
64.
Post 6278864 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Yea okay, looks like its 460 minimum, and most likely testing 440 and below
Doesn't seem to have the same intensity I'm speculating not.
65.
Post 6285139 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
BFX on the pump
66.
Post 6291477 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Nice rally going on right now
67.
Post 6292206 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Largeish hidden buy order on Bitfinex @475 keeping the market up. It just bought 350 btc from me. I wonder how much more its willing to buy from me?
Ouch
68.
Post 6299684 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
CCMF!
69.
Post 6303746 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Holy shit
70.
Post 6305035 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Here it comes
71.
Post 6347445 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
Are we headed for a retest of 472.50? Is a second rejection of that price level what we're waiting for? Do we need a double inverted head and shoulders at this level?
presuure is so weak, this cant go too far today. if this is the best that 600BTC sell walls across exchanges can do to the market, that is quite bullish. even if they were dumped, they would be gobbled up within $10 price range.
Possibly this guy needed some fuel for a rally.
72.
Post 6385333 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Went to sleep at 500 feeling good and wake up to this shit, wow bitcoin.
73.
Post 6385519 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
I wish all the Bitstamp users would band together and not follow the China train of doom each time.
74.
Post 6395613 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Bids on BFX are offering parachutes for those who would like to get out.
75.
Post 6395930 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
This current rally wasn't authorized by Huobi what are these guys thinking?
76.
Post 6396292 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Looks like someone just made their escape and we might not see 470 idk
77.
Post 6396810 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Why would there not be a round the clock liquidation on Huobi if this is the end for the Chinese?
78.
Post 6398531 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Looks like everyone is gonna dump
79.
Post 6398708 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
Another bailout opportunity, looks like windjc called this one.
80.
Post 6398824 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
I see the 2 400's I thought this was the guy that got out.
81.
Post 6398898 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
a lot of action on stamp now
theres been lots of action
solid volume.
now i'm drinking hot brandy tea
looks like we're moving up
This happened 4 hours ago, the guy doing this is gonna need a lot of help.
82.
Post 6400127 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.40h):
How low do you guys think stamp would follow Huobi? I would speculate after about 350 people might stop.
83.
Post 6550185 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.42h):
Four days without deposits on Bitstamp I wouldn't be surprised to see a rally.
84.
Post 6567850 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.43h):
85.
Post 7338247 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
Looks like I got my request in crossing back over $600 this evening
. Hopefully we can sustain it. $600 feels so much nicer than the $590s even though it is only a few dollars more...
1k bid wall keeps moving up, 650 in 24hrs is likely.
86.
Post 7338641 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
Oh man
87.
Post 7338701 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
I was thinking that the Game of thrones finale would trigger a massive buying spree.
88.
Post 7339005 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
I was thinking that the Game of thrones finale would trigger a massive buying spree.
lol, what is the relation between Game of thrones and BTC price.
Winter is coming..
89.
Post 7339077 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.53h):
OMFG Coinbase cancelled my order where I bought at $560.
Wow, how long after the order did you receive the cancellation?
90.
Post 7520261 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):
It looks like the diehard bitfinex traders are just keep taking more and more margin positions, until they all get liquidated somehow.
what happens when they get liquidated? whats the end result of all these traders taking more and more margin positions?
BFX was still linked up with Bitstamp at that time and they had run out of funds. They shut down trading for 2 hours but nobody got margin called or anything because of it, we just lost some really good opportunities during that time frame.
Now that they provide swap insurance themselves if a massive sell off happened again they would probably just do the same thing until it blew over.
91.
Post 7536416 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):
US govt gonna do a 10k market buy at midnight tonight.
92.
Post 7554778 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):
whoa
93.
Post 8414790 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):
Uhhh is BTC-E for real?
94.
Post 8420716 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):
Only Tom Cruise can save us now
95.
Post 8800038 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.12h):
holy sheet
96.
Post 8949520 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
Ouch
97.
Post 9094904 (copy this link) (by Tyson95) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.20h):
So you guys are calling bottom now? I used to be afraid that my fiat wouldn't get to stamp in time and now not so much.
