All posts made by prof7bit in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 1996494 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.55h):
Now I can finally post screenshots of my app and they qualify as wall pics
Note the low total_bid/total_ask ratio, this was much higher yesterday.
Ignore the orange dot, that is an order opened by my bot.
2.
Post 2123319 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.58h):
Low volume may pick up as we have come to expect late Sunday.
This will break through the red line $10 lower, I have seen this pattern before.
3.
Post 2154431 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.58h):
[depth vs. time chart]
Would it be possble to plot vol(price) instead of ∫vol(price)?
That way the walls and their size would be much more visible.
4.
Post 2157861 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.58h):
5.
Post 2157892 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.58h):
6.
Post 2167292 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
Another noob question: Why is Mt.Gox<->BTC-e price difference so great? Obviously something's making arbitrage unprofitable, but what?
From what I have read the arbitragers were using dwolla to transfer between MtGox and BTC-e
7.
Post 2170056 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
And regarding "all the cools things come from US": make a poll among citizens of all nationalities and ask which is the country doing the uncoolest things ATM. You will surprised by the results. Hint: Guantanamo, drones and so on.
I think the top uncool things would probably go to the middle east.
Yes, you are right. Israel certainly shares the #1 position on that uncool list together with the USA.
8.
Post 2179583 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
Yeah 120 looks about to break now, went from 6k to only 2k left to break 120 and still shrinking.
Your 2k number is wrong:
9.
Post 2179826 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
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10.
Post 2179854 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
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11.
Post 2179879 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
we have yet to even touch 120
Touched it almost already
│
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│ │
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119.00000 │ ▒│▒▒│─
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118.00000 ││▒│▒▒▒ │▒│▒▒ ││ ││▒│││ ▒│ │▒▒
▒│ │▒│ │▒│▒▒│ │ ││ ▒│▒│││ ▒│ │▒
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117.00000 ▒││▒▒│▒ │ ││▒ ▒▒ │ ▒▒▒▒ │
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115.00000││▒ ▒▒ │▒│▒▒ ││▒▒│││▒
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│
12.
Post 2179929 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
I'm a little confused by the above chart. I can clearly see sell orders for 3377 BTC between $118.00 and $118.99999 on Clark Moody but nothing shows up on your chart in that area.
What does it represent ?
Its a depth chart. Its the same data that clarkmoody would show if clarkmoody would work correctly. I would not rely on clarkmoody at all for trading, it is extremely buggy and shows orders where there are no orders anymore, sometimes you even see asks lower than the highest bid and bids higher than the lowest ask.
13.
Post 2180145 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
120.10000 33.58015687
120.00000 4523.48032917
119.90000 960.47309392
119.70000 1.34000000
119.50000 1.42000000
119.30000 2.84000000
119.20000 2.84000000
118.42152 0.01020000
118.42148 0.01020000
118.40000 7.17892444
118.30000 12.06478520
118.20000 60.85295335
118.10000 148.13102728
118.00000 259.70505141
117.90000 3.12040290
117.80000 13.42360000
117.70000 415.29827963
14.
Post 2214303 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
This is what TradeFortress is doing - people gave him "trusted" status, so he can virtually create money (455 BTC up to date) - because inside Ripple you just trade IOU's - the only thing is not a IOU are Ripples.
This thread from TradeFortress finally made me understand Ripple, especially the last part of the thread
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=206948.msg2209470#msg2209470 where web3er got his 10.15 Bitstamp-BTC exchanged for worthless TradeFortress-BTC because he basically
told the Ripple-System that for
him any Fortress-BTC are equally good as Bitstamp-BTC. And so the system automatically took his Bitstamp and gave him TradeFortress in exchange when the system needed some Bitstamp instead of TradeFortress on someone else's behalf. Highly educational thread! Recommended to read. This made me finally understand how Ripple works.
15.
Post 2214398 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_10.59h):
Thank you, but no further reading needed. As mentiond above the TradeFortress thread explains better than anything else I have seen so far. Especially how web3er now ended up holding 10.15 worthless TF-฿ while someone else at the other end of the world could convert 10.15 worthless TF-฿ into Bitstamp-฿.
16.
Post 2298241 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.00h):
better watch the paint dry webcam, you can even move the cam with remote control:
http://pattiann.com/webcam/paint.html
17.
Post 2327998 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
1st rule of ANY stock-type item is that past performance is NEVER indicative of future performance. It doesn't matter what the eff BCT did in the past. That has no bearing on its future.
This is a myth.
The prices are made by traders and their decisions are influenced by looking at the orderbook, looking at historic prices, looking at indicators, looking at chart patterns, reading forum posts, trying to extrapolate what other traders might think when confronted with all this and most importantly by listening to their own beliefs, dreams, hopes and fears and all that is strongly influenced by past performance.
18.
Post 2339264 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
So... this also means that the walls are bigger than they look?
As in, if the charts say a wall has 1k BTC, and USD was say 50% of the total Gox volume, then the actual wall size is 2k BTC?
No. A 2k฿ order appears as 2k฿ in every market. It just might *look* smaller or bigger because of different zoom factor and the other orders surrounding it when looking at the different charts. Just look at the naked numbers of BTC order size, the orders are identical everywhere.
19.
Post 2347817 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.01h):
Clarkmoody died on me. Bitcoinity holding. Any other sources I can look?
Install the goxtool trading client.
20.
Post 2368391 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
I drew a nice line, not sure if anyone posted something similar yet in here.
Your line is wrong, its already broken. Next target: $50. And soon after that: $30.
21.
Post 2368531 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
I drew a nice line, not sure if anyone posted something similar yet in here.
Your line is wrong, its already broken. Next target: $50. And soon after that: $30.
Ah I see, you've completely convinced me with your compelling arguments.
YOU have drawn the line intentionally wrong (you just choose some arbitrary point on the left side instead of anchoring it at the low), so you know EXACTLY what I mean:
22.
Post 2368594 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
And on the log chart its even more obvious:
23.
Post 2368649 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
Why your first two lows touch the trendline but not the last one?
Because the last one breaks it.
24.
Post 2368734 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
i think you should go back to economic school
Welcome on my ignore list for such an extraordinarily
idiotic reply.
25.
Post 2371755 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
Does gox have alt domains?
Still .com?
They have mtgox.jp that is currently redirecting to mtgox.com.
It would probably be a good idea to stop stop depending on these stupid USA-regulated top level domains that can be seized by the USA at any moment and instead use local country TLDs.
26.
Post 2371895 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
Will these domain names resolve without requiring me to reconfigure anything? If not then its useless (for now).
27.
Post 2377878 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
Something is wrong with that chart. I have seen many log charts (for example the one at bitcoincharts.com) but they all look different.
28.
Post 2377935 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
The first thing that's wrong about that chart is that it's pulled out of the OP's ass. He was drawing a line based on "Mmmm, right about there".
Its not only the line, its the entire curve, the proportions are completely wrong. compare with the log charts at bitcoincharts.com or *any* other log chart of bitcoin price I have ever seen anywhere.
29.
Post 2378487 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
bitcoin price (logged)
Then please explain why your "bitcoin price (logged)" does not look anywhere similar (not even remotely) like any other bitcoin price log chart?
30.
Post 2378611 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
bitcoin price (logged)
Then please explain why your "bitcoin price (logged)" does not look anywhere similar (not even remotely) like any other bitcoin price log chart?
It actually does.
No:
31.
Post 2378700 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
To linearize things (make them 'straight' for analysis) that have points below and above 1, you add 1 to your log (i.e. log x+1).
No you dont!
You might have accidentally done log(x+1)
because log(x) +1 would not matter, it would only shift the entire graph up on the y axis while your log(x+1) totally distorts it.
You could produce even more funny meaningless curves by using log(x+42) or log(x+23) or whatever arbitrary constant you add to the price before logging.
32.
Post 2378734 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
not when it's logged. try it with numbers above and below 1.
No. Add parenthesis just to be sure. Your graph is wrong, the one at bitcoincharts is correct.
33.
Post 2378890 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
edit: just realised I misread you - Log (x+1) is what I did, log (x+1) was what I meant to do.
Why?
It linearizes it like I said, which is one of the main reasons for logging charts.
It noes not "linearize" it, it distorts it until it fits what you
want to see.
Reality (this is what happened):
(a) The price increased 900% from 0.1 to 1
(b) The price increased 900% from 10 to 100
if you add your $1 to all prices to distort the chart then it would seem like it
(a) increased 10% from 1.1 to 11
(b) increased 900% from 11 to 101
So the gains during early period (a) are played down heavily while the gains at later period (b) remain as big as they were. This is neither a linear chart nor a log chart, its something completely meaningless (adding this $1 to all prices does not model any underlying concept or effect from reality, the $1 does not make any sense at all!)
You applying dirty tricks to distort reality, to bend the curve until it matches your line, there is no reason to add the arbitrary amount of $1 to all prices before logging, you are manipulating other people with your made-up nonsense charts!
34.
Post 2378927 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
Produce a chart to show us. then sell all your bitcoins....
I have posted one. There are even more at bitcoincharts.com and many other places. All of them plot prices as they are and dont add arbitrary dollar amounts to the price before plotting them.
35.
Post 2378991 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
Don't take my word for it, go grab your GCSE (or whatever) maths book.
Yes, you should grab yourselfs a maths book and read it before you start posting nonsense plots of made up nonsense series agan. Good idea. Do it.
36.
Post 2379084 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.02h):
and then sell your bitcoins.
My bitcoins are none of your business. But you are free to do whatever you want with yours.
You can even plot log(2 pi cos(price + $42)) or whatever else you want and also make sure to try different values of 42 (maybe 42 Yen or 42 EUR) until the chart looks like you want it to look and then base your trading decisions on it.
37.
Post 2410081 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
Two possible bearish targets:
(the lower pink line is a parallel to the one connecting the tops)
38.
Post 2410697 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
130.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
129.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
128.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
127.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
126.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
125.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
124.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
123.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
122.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
121.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
120.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ (5800)
119.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
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117.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
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106.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
105.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ (11400)
104.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
103.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
102.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
101.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
100.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ (7400)
99.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
98.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
97.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
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86.00 ▒▒
39.
Post 2421034 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
I'm half btc half cash now and don't know if to sell or buy.
Keep it at that ratio. If it goes down 20% buy more coins to bring the ratio back to 50/50, if it goes up 20% then sell some coins, always keep it at 50/50. You can even set this up in advance with limit orders and have more free time for fishing.
40.
Post 2432600 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
41.
Post 2439112 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.03h):
I'd recommend you edit your post for security reasons. Just some friendly advice.
You just quoted his entire post, how is he supposed to edit that away?
42.
Post 2482580 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):
bid/ask sum has just crossed price, bullish signal.
They are both on dfferent scales ... change the scale and you can make them cross anywhere you want
No, they share the same unit - usd per btc and same scale.
I was referring to the first graph, if you disagreee, you'd better go for an eye check.
It's coincidental.
No, its intentional.
43.
Post 2489690 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
I wasn't online at the time to see this happen
It looks like someone put up a huge wall and it was eaten immediately.
This must be wrong.
Here are the volumes for M15 candles for today, all times in UTC as logged by goxtool (comes directly from MtGox)
2013-06-16 12:51:38,343:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 00:00:00 volume: 101
2013-06-16 12:51:38,344:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 00:15:00 volume: 96
2013-06-16 12:51:38,345:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 00:30:00 volume: 151
2013-06-16 12:51:38,346:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 00:45:00 volume: 108
2013-06-16 12:51:38,347:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 01:00:00 volume: 50
2013-06-16 12:51:38,348:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 01:15:00 volume: 40
2013-06-16 12:51:38,350:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 01:30:00 volume: 30
2013-06-16 12:51:38,351:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 01:45:00 volume: 26
2013-06-16 12:51:38,352:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 02:00:00 volume: 62
2013-06-16 12:51:38,353:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 02:15:00 volume: 110
2013-06-16 12:51:38,354:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 02:30:00 volume: 35
2013-06-16 12:51:38,355:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 02:45:00 volume: 16
2013-06-16 12:51:38,356:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 03:00:00 volume: 24
2013-06-16 12:51:38,366:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 03:15:00 volume: 36
2013-06-16 12:51:38,371:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 03:30:00 volume: 450
2013-06-16 12:51:38,378:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 03:45:00 volume: 396
2013-06-16 12:51:38,385:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 04:00:00 volume: 171
2013-06-16 12:51:38,386:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 04:15:00 volume: 3
2013-06-16 12:51:38,390:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 04:30:00 volume: 15
2013-06-16 12:51:38,391:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 04:45:00 volume: 39
2013-06-16 12:51:38,393:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 05:00:00 volume: 14
2013-06-16 12:51:38,396:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 05:15:00 volume: 57
2013-06-16 12:51:38,405:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 05:30:00 volume: 209
2013-06-16 12:51:38,406:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 05:45:00 volume: 90
2013-06-16 12:51:38,407:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 06:00:00 volume: 33
2013-06-16 12:51:38,408:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 06:15:00 volume: 6
2013-06-16 12:51:38,417:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 06:30:00 volume: 73
2013-06-16 12:51:38,418:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 06:45:00 volume: 200
2013-06-16 12:51:38,419:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 07:00:00 volume: 60
2013-06-16 12:51:38,420:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 07:15:00 volume: 166
2013-06-16 12:51:38,422:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 07:30:00 volume: 1
2013-06-16 12:51:38,426:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 07:45:00 volume: 583
2013-06-16 12:51:38,427:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 08:00:00 volume: 155
2013-06-16 12:51:38,430:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 08:15:00 volume: 19
2013-06-16 12:51:38,431:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 08:30:00 volume: 55
2013-06-16 12:51:38,432:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 08:45:00 volume: 75
2013-06-16 12:51:38,434:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 09:00:00 volume: 6
2013-06-16 12:51:38,435:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 09:15:00 volume: 40
2013-06-16 12:51:38,436:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 09:30:00 volume: 20
2013-06-16 12:51:38,437:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 09:45:00 volume: 63
2013-06-16 12:51:38,438:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 10:00:00 volume: 50
2013-06-16 12:51:38,439:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 10:15:00 volume: 69
2013-06-16 12:51:38,440:DEBUG:_balancer.Strategy:time: 2013-06-16 10:30:00 volume: 22
44.
Post 2489951 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
If you look back at the bubble crash, then it's obvious that afterwards when the price went down below 100, every time the price went back up to above 100 in a relatively short time.
This happened several times, indicating that the market will not settle for a price below 100.
The bounces were smaller every time, indicating that the market will not (yet) want to go up. This means it will go down. If it can't go up here it will go down.
This will happen:
-> a little bit more bouncing around here at these levels
-> decisive move below $100, breaking previous lows (huge triangle break)
-> fear and panic
-> $50 -> bounce -> a few weeks of hope -> down again
-> $50 -> smaller bounce -> a few days of (smaller) hope -> down again
-> $50 -> uncertainty, fear ->
break -> stops triggered and n00bs panic
-> $30 -> strong bounce -> a few months hope -> down agan
-> $30 -> smaller bounce - a few weeks (smaller) hope -> down again
-> $30 -> uncertainty, fear ->
break -> more stops and more panic
-> $20
-> me converting most of my Fiat to BTC
-> price goes up again, third bubble slowly beginning.
45.
Post 2518621 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Well so far all TA shown in this thread saying we're going down to 100 has turned out to be completely wrong.
There also has been TA that indicates a drop to $32 and that will turn out to be true.
46.
Post 2532956 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):
{image}
Whatever this image is, it's being blocked by my company's web filter
You are supposed to work for your company and not browse the wall observer thread.
47.
Post 2540411 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):
220.00 ▒▒▒▒
215.00
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145.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
140.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
135.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
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125.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
120.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
115.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
110.00 ▒▒▒▒▒
105.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
100.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
95.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
90.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
85.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
80.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
75.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
70.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
65.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
60.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
55.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
50.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
45.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
40.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
35.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
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48.
Post 2560451 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):
2246 @MagicalTux [05:40:58] <Cusipzzz> they will be awake in a few hours guys, it's still early there <- already awake
and working on the issue since ~1 hour ago
2248 rfish can you confirm if this is a DDOS or not?
2249 TuxBlackEdo sup with mtgox
2249 bad gateway?
2249 @MagicalTux rfish: it's a hardware issue
2249 Subo1978 down from germany
2249 @MagicalTux system was back online for a few secs, then the traffic killed it
49.
Post 2560500 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.06h):
2246 @MagicalTux [05:40:58] <Cusipzzz> they will be awake in a few hours guys, it's still early there <- already awake
and working on the issue since ~1 hour ago
2248 rfish can you confirm if this is a DDOS or not?
2249 TuxBlackEdo sup with mtgox
2249 bad gateway?
2249 @MagicalTux rfish: it's a hardware issue
2249 Subo1978 down from germany
2249 @MagicalTux system was back online for a few secs, then the traffic killed it
2259 @MagicalTux ok, got access back to the system, need to fix one thing and we'll go back up
(time is CEST)
50.
Post 2582108 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):
It doesn't even matter if it is BTC or USD$, if the VALUE goes over US$10K adding ALL foreign accounts of anything you have to file. So if you have US$5K in gold in Switzerland, and $5K worth of BTC, you are at the minimum to file.
The BTC are not in a "foreign account", the BTC are cash in your wallet. And even if you find and apply some definition where it is not cash then it is still not held in a "foreign account", the money is in the blockchain and in your private keys and both are stored in your own country, on your own computer at home and not in a "foreign account".
51.
Post 2602376 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):
If you are not out, get out.
If its going down then the winning strategy is to
buy more. Thats the difference between the winners and the losers. The losers buy high and sell low, the winners do it exactly the other way around.
52.
Post 2638661 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):
So if I want to place a buy order an check within a month or two, what's a good value?
60?
$32 (and two months waiting might not be enough)
53.
Post 2682517 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):
in other words: I played around until it looked good.
Thats the same thing you did yourself a while back with your chart where the y axis was calculated as
y = log(price + C) ; C arbitrarily chosen to make it look "good" (or bad)
54.
Post 2691476 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.09h):
Flashing walls is sonar messaging to other whales:
* prof7bit going to implement a chat protocol to communicate via mtgox limit orders and publish it as a goxtool strategy module.
55.
Post 2755854 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
+1 I have him on ignore & click "unignore" whenever i want him to weigh in. Now it takes two extra clicks & much mouse-dragging.
It needs only one click and no mouse dragging.
The small size is perfectly ok, most often you can see already from the small thumbnail whether it contains any new information (most of the time it doesn't). You only need to click if you need to have a closer look. If you can't perceive enough details in the thumbnail to make that decision you should probably visit the eye doctor as soon as possible, it will probably get worse and you need glasses.
56.
Post 2767595 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
Trotter indicator shows 77 than 55 and even 33.
I don't believe we could go that low, but my wallet is prepared in case we do.
What is "Trotter indicator", I have never heared of it? It seems to make amazingly precise predictions because these are exactly the price levels we are going to see.
57.
Post 2790491 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
LOL@everyone moving coins to Bitsamp. Keeping money on any exchange not registered, or seeking registration, with Fincen is idiotic at this point. Any business intentionally or knowingly offering services to US citizens is subject to laws there.
Only if the business itself is in the US because US laws do not apply anywhere outside the US.
58.
Post 2790536 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
srsly, how would they go about btc-e? Bribe a Russian official?
Just explan to Putin that USA has jurisdiction over Russian territory. I'm sure Putin will agree with this.
59.
Post 2790583 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
What do you mean by "business itself is in US"? What part of US was Liberty Reserve in?
Proably the US did something illegal. The USA has no jurisdiction outside of its own territory and US laws only apply within its own borders.
60.
Post 2802335 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.11h):
I'm the only one who keeps get disconnected from mtgox?
No you are not the only one, this is annoying, 15 extra seconds for password and Yubikey could make me lose an opportunity.
Use a trading client like goxtool instead of trying to trade through the website.
61.
Post 2847198 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.12h):
[...]
Sure, it was only supposed to be indicative.
The volume has fallen at each buying period. The below shows it more clearly:
Anyway, it will be interesting to see how it pans out.
Not being snarky, but honestly wondering: That H+S pattern didn't materialize, right? Or is there something like a double right shoulder?!
A H&S pattern is only valid if everybody can see it in the chart immediately (without having to stare at the chart for 2 Minutes and then still not seeing anything even remotely looking like a H&S). Where exactly do you see a H&S in the above chart?
62.
Post 3159509 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.16h):
Mentioned by wonkytonky elsewhere.
Look what happened on Sept 4th, the last time they kissed.
Bid-Sum and Ask-Sum are on different Y-Axis, they cannot touch or cross each other, they live in totally different dimensions.
63.
Post 3582841 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
I feel a great disturbance in the force.
I'm calling a top here (or very close to where we are now). All that noise about the greenlisting stuff and the fact that even people like Mike Hearn seem to have turned to the dark side is making people increasingly nervous. There will be a huge correction. There will be blood. In order to maximize my profit from the initial shock I'm now increasing the rebalancing threshold of my balancer bot from 11% to 30%.
64.
Post 3583947 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
gox lag 60 seconds -> panic
65.
Post 3589188 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
I feel a great disturbance in the force.
I'm calling a top here (or very close to where we are now). All that noise about the greenlisting stuff and the fact that even people like Mike Hearn seem to have turned to the dark side is making people increasingly nervous. There will be a huge correction. There will be blood. In order to maximize my profit from the initial shock I'm now increasing the rebalancing threshold of my balancer bot from 11% to 30%.
I think your balancer is out of coins. I'm sorry we go up.
It can by definition never run out of coins, otherwise it would not be a balancer.
66.
Post 3589349 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
Target would be the height of the triangle, a last strong spike that brings us close to 500 (but not above it) and then after failing to break (or even reach) 500 a huge correction will begin.
67.
Post 3589383 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
There is no atmosphere on the moon, this image must be a fake.
68.
Post 3594949 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
Triangle break hasn't yet reached its target, no reversal yet. A few more hours until the bloodbath begins.
69.
Post 3611823 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Expect some resistance:
70.
Post 3611892 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Love clarkmoody. Sell bell keeps ringing but price is slowly going up.
How does clarkmoody still work for you? It just gets stuck at "Got xxx asks and xxx bids" for me, and doesn't load any further.
Use goxtool (see my signature) if you want to watch gox realtime.
71.
Post 3611928 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Expect some resistance:
Seems legit.
Anyway, if we follow that purple line indefinitely, I'm not complaining
We might eventually break upwards and then the target is the height of the first bubble-crash added on top of where the line will be at that time. That would put us to around 10k$ (roughly estimated from looking at the chart without measuring, might also be closer to 20k)
72.
Post 3611945 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Love clarkmoody. Sell bell keeps ringing but price is slowly going up.
How does clarkmoody still work for you? It just gets stuck at "Got xxx asks and xxx bids" for me, and doesn't load any further.
Use goxtool (see my signature) if you want to watch gox realtime.
I only have windows installed, what's the easiest way to run linux virtually?
You can also run it with cygwin, I have made a separate page with installation instructions for windows users
73.
Post 3625656 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
I hope you all here are aware what comes after the euphoria (at the very height of the euphoria) in any market.
74.
Post 3625729 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
my trading robot is loaded and unlocked for the bloodbath on the other side, the side where the red candles live.
75.
Post 3625907 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
so does this mean I can't buy on coinbase anymore? I have to buy at future price of nov 22nd? wtf?
yeah, but they give you the option to cancel the order in case you aren't pleased with the price on the 22nd....um I guess that's good? I can't really figure out what's happening. Maybe they all just need a long nap.
It's really not that complicated. They simply ran out of coins to sell.
They intentionally let their stock of coins run empty because they don't want to hold too many coins during the events that will unfold in a few hours.
76.
Post 3625931 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
we have reached the tipping point. sell now!
77.
Post 3626088 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Why did the bid sum and ask sum half on Gox? Or am I seeing things
sum_bid: 26,383,446 USD | sum_ask: 11,104 BTC | ratio: 2,375.85 USD/BTC
78.
Post 3626173 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Bernanke has a private dark wallet already for his retirement. He's on our side.
79.
Post 3661544 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
Every time it's a bigger bubble, bigger losses, and more negative publicity.
Did you even bother to look at the chart before claiming such nonsense? Your so called "bubbles" are becoming
smaller and smaller every time and volatility is decreasing! Look at the all-time chart to see it yourself.
80.
Post 3666230 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
This explains some odd behavior but it's not a big deal.
This is a monstrous fuckup of enormous proportions, if this is true then their "trading engine" is broken beyond repair (it wouldn't even deserve the name "trading engine" anymore) and should be taken down and replaced by something else immediately!
81.
Post 3666525 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
Alice bids 1btc at $10
Bob bids 0.5BTC at $100
Charlie Asks 1btc at $5
In order execution, Alice gets fulfilled, Charlie gets $10 (is that right or does Alice get for $5 or what?)
No.
Alice bids 1btc at $10
Bob bids 0.5BTC at $100
at this moment still nothing happens, $100 is the highest bid.
Charlie Asks 1btc at $5
now the highest bid is filled (charlie sells 0.5 at $100 to bob), then fills the 0.5 at $10
Out-of-order:
Anything can happen: for example charlie fills the 1฿ @ $10 (although the bob 0.5฿ @$100 bid would have been there already because it came in before charlie's ask) and then the $100 bid of bob still remains.
82.
Post 3698621 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
it is hard for the normal people to tell the difference between crazy and brilliant.
Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from insanity.
83.
Post 3713217 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
So how to identify cup & handle vs double top?
Every pattern has two names: a bearish name and a bullish name. Which one it is is decided in hindsight.
84.
Post 3736300 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
I would say, we're heading to double digits.
1 BTC = 80$ by end of the year.
Yes, please make it happen. My bot is loaded with 5 figure dollar amount to buy cheap coins all the way down.
85.
Post 3756218 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
I'd say 2000 is a given now, before christmas...
1800 will be the top of this wave according to my analysis
86.
Post 3819647 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
Gox just touched 1.2 USD/mBTC...
Also stop with dumb mBTC. We don't say google costs 1mUSD.
no, your calculations are wrong: Google costs 1 kUSD. or 1mGoogle costs 1 USD
87.
Post 3836207 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Yes most of their job is that : predicting the present.
And finding excuses for the past.
88.
Post 3877133 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Fiatleak shows money going in - not trade, I think...
Fiatleak counts market orders on exchanges (because that's the only publicly available information) and then in an act of utter stupidity interprets that as money going "in" or "out" which is complete nonsense.
89.
Post 3928094 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):
git pull
./goxtool.py --protocol=pubnub
experimental, coded in a hurry (emergency because of my bot) but seems to work ok already
90.
Post 3976677 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
This thread's sentiment is turning bearish now? I will take that as a bullish sign.
91.
Post 3984784 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
Bitstamp M15 chart, ascending triangle, short term ultra bullish. And if it breaks upward we might also break the down trend on the H6
Edit: and if this happens we might see $2000 before the year is over.
92.
Post 4167437 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):
no I am looking only at gox and it is 52+ million USD look to my post above
and when I zoom out you see this
You must first multiply each *individual* bid with its price to get the USD value of each bid and *then* add the USD values. This screenshot you posted is doing it wrong. Its totally meaningless to add up the sum of BTC on the bid side.
93.
Post 4167571 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.47h):
You must first multiply each *individual* bid with its price to get the USD value of each bid and *then* add the USD values. This screenshot you posted is doing it wrong. Its totally meaningless to add up the sum of BTC on the bid side.
If that is the explanation for how the bid was wrong then what is the explanation for how the ask was wrong?
It was a few hours ago, I did not look at the exact values at that time, so I can't comment on that question. Currently (right now at this very moment) according to the official MtGox API the correct numbers are:
sum_bid: 39,479,189 USD | sum_ask: 24,575 BTC | ratio: 1,606.48 USD/BTC
94.
Post 4190371 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):
The January 31st deadline
What is on January 31st? What deadline?
95.
Post 4190519 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):
The day that BTCChina disallows fiat withdrawals, I believe. Cheers
Why would they want to do this? This would be the equivalent of completely shutting down their operations.
96.
Post 4191284 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):
The day that BTCChina disallows fiat withdrawals, I believe. Cheers
Why would they want to do this? This would be the equivalent of completely shutting down their operations.
its the law.
Really? I read otherwise. I know only of one statement from
official sources and that did not mention something as nonsensical as funding allowed, withdrawl not allowed, it also said that registered exchanges and bitcoin trading are legal and also no mention of a deadline of 31st January. Everything else I have heard since then were only interpretations and speculations by other people and the complaints of the owner of one exchange about how he could not find a payment provider or banking partner. But I have read nothing about a new law since then. Please send a link. Until then I call it market manipulation through FUD.
97.
Post 4202036 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.48h):
50:50 - always.
98.
Post 4271817 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):
Okay so I've been trying to buy and sell at gox. When I set a limit order to lets say but at $795 for example, how come it dose not buy when the last price goes to it?
Anyone?
Because it is likely that a lot of other people also have orders at this same price and if not *all* orders at this price get eaten then then only the ones who were earlier than you will be filled. Once *all* orders at 795 are filled then your order will have been filled too.
Orders are sorted by price and then if the price is the same then they are sorted by time and the oldest orders at any particular price are filled first.
99.
Post 4273330 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):
Orders are sorted by price and then if the price is the same then they are sorted by time and the oldest orders at any particular price are filled first.
I didn't know that. Thanks.
You can try to "front run" the bulk of orders at crowded price levels by placing your order a few odd number of cents below it (if its a sell) or above it (if its a buy order). It helps looking at the order book before placing the order. I also recommend trading with a comfortable trading client application rather than through the website. For Linux and Mac users I recommend goxtool.
100.
Post 4385236 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
hard to believe and digest, but seems it is bearish after all, my bots been selling at 889 - 896
You don't know why your bot is doing what its doing? Stop it immediately and diagnose the code until you understand what is going on.
101.
Post 4386744 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
$140 between stamp and gox... this is getting just ridiculous
Gox seems not to function properly at the moment, high lag and almost no trades coming through.
102.
Post 4398300 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.53h):
On top of that, the withdrawals I've tried to make in USD to my Japanese account
Why don't you trade in JPY and withdraw JPY?
103.
Post 4456960 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):
These type of charts need log-scale or something similar. I would be much more interested in knowing what the average yearly % increase in monetary supply is, than a chart that says "omfg, look how high this goes".
+1
The way they are deliberately plotted on linear scale which is almost always inappropriate with these types of numbers is called "
panic chart":
http://blog.bissantz.com/line-straight-wronghttp://blog.bissantz.com/linear-vs-logarithmic-scaleshttp://blog.bissantz.com/rules-of-thumb-for-eyewitnesses
104.
Post 4467053 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):
Beautiful!
105.
Post 4467466 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):
Yes indeed, and this is not even the volume in USD.
You can't count bot volume as market volume.
There is no difference. It doesn't matter whether a trader's organism is based on carbon or silicon. He/it is still a trader and his/its liquidity is liquidity and his/its trading volume is trading volume.
106.
Post 4467643 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.54h):
These bots and 0% exchanges don't help to see any market trends. You can't see if there are more people buying into bitcoin or leaving the market, because the biggest volume is from bots.
Bots are people too. They have money to lose and they want to make profits from trading. Just like human traders too.
107.
Post 4493751 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.55h):
etoro is well respected in the forex trading world.
LOL. No, not really. Etoro might be a well known joke in the forex trading world but certainly not a well respected one.
108.
Post 4546657 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
P(now) plus a random variable with zero mean
Except that the mean is not zero but
significantly positive. And thats why i'm just hodling (besides some automated risk rebalancing to convert the randomness into profit).
109.
Post 4547410 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
P(now) plus a random variable with zero mean
Except that the mean is not zero but
significantly positive. And thats why i'm just hodling (besides some automated risk rebalancing to convert the randomness into profit).
Well, it depends on when you start to compute the mean...
Start at 2013-01-01
I'm starting at the beginning because I'm trying to find the signal below the noise and not the noise itself, and the only signal I could identify so far that seems to be persistent over the entire past history of bitcoin price is something that looks strikingly similar to something that could be modeled as exponential growth.
In the spirit of Gordon E. Moore I might soon be able to postulate prof7bit's law: "Over the history of Bitcoin the number of USD needed to buy a single unit of bitcoin doubles approximately every 4 months"
110.
Post 4550553 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
Two consolidation patterns to consider:
[ 3 bearish charts ]
this looks bearish to me.
111.
Post 4550764 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
Here is an obscenely bullish desktop wallpaper (for usage as pr0n substitute), concentrating at this multiple times a day for 2 minutes each time will release endorphins and convert every bear into a bull after long enough exposure. I have made it 1024*768 for old laptops, I can make higher resolutions too.
112.
Post 4551339 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
What tool did you get it with`?
R
113.
Post 4551802 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
This would look nice on a wall in my living room. Any chance you can output some vector format eg PS or PDF?
http://prof7bit.no-ip.biz/misc/Rplot03.svghttp://prof7bit.no-ip.biz/misc/Rplot01.pdf
114.
Post 4562091 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
Whoever here has the IP
162.220.65.143
is infected with "morpheus fucking scanner" bot. Requests began appearing in my httpd access log immediately after I posted the 2 images yesterday.
115.
Post 4564646 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
This is my bet for the weekend dip:
116.
Post 4569684 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
Guys did you look at Huobi volume ? It dropped like 1000% ?
Huobi volume is exactly like every day at this time. Look at the chart.
117.
Post 4569958 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.56h):
“The use of bitcoin as payment violates the law.”
"it has no regulations in place to prohibit the utilization of bitcoin." [...] "risk is the primary concern"
does not compute.
118.
Post 4601891 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):
It is actually the same bullshit Gox bot that was identified a couple weeks ago. At least on Gox. People call it the "Willy" bot and is likely run by MtGox since it had trading access while everyone else was shut out of Gox for an hour+ last week. Most of this current rise on Gox is the Willy bot. Buys around 15btc every 7-10 minutes.
There is no indication that anybody is calling the bot "willy" and also you should be aware that there are at least 4 different official channels to send trade requests to gox: The website, the http(s) api, the socket.io API, the websocket API. Also it would not make sense for gox to buy BTC which would make the overall situation even worse, it would make much more sense for them to sell BTC and buy some of the USD that people cannot get out of there.
119.
Post 4603911 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):
This is my bet for the weekend dip:
Damn it! My weekend dip is going in the wrong direction...
120.
Post 4624888 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.57h):
Many are theorizing that Gox owns it since it was the only thing capable of trading last week when Gox went off line. Yet it kept trading for an hour and a half, slowly pushing the price up while no one else could do anything.
Doesn't make sense. Gox wants the price to go down, not up, and they also need USD. If they wanted to secretly buy BTC they would do it at bitstamp.
Also you don't know who was able to trade, bots usually use one of the available APIs to trade, they often continue to work even if the www site is down. Please tell the exact date and time this happened (in UTC) so I can look up the logs of my bot.
121.
Post 4672661 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):
Why did he not point out that bitcoins have other serious risks that credit card users will not expect? Fine to bring up the Target case, but should he not mention SheepMarketplace too?
In what way is SheepMarketplace a
risk to the bitcoin user (or a risk to anybody at all except the users of SheepMarketplace itself)?
122.
Post 4672875 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):
But it does make sense considering the Google / Apple battle going on and Google's position.
And Google already has well tested and thoroughly peer reviewed Bitcoin wallet code for the Android Platform which they could integrate in any of their Apps while Apple still has absolutely nothing of that sort.
123.
Post 4673206 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):
Sheepmarketplace showed the risk of dealing with any exchange.
What has a small illegal marketplace for contraband to do with registered bitcoin exchanges and payment processors? You still did not answer my question why you classify stuff like sheepmarketplace as a risk for ordinary bitcoin users or why it would be relevant at all?
124.
Post 4835791 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
Interesting. I can see why distress in emerging markets would be good for Bitcoin, and I predict a whole lot more distress to come. Not happy about that even if it will be good for my bottom line. Lotta people gonna get hurt. They'll get less hurt if they buy some bitcoin.
All headlines about financial events are
always composed in the following manner:
<something just happened>
[as|after|despite] <something unrelated that happened at the same time>
The second part after the "as" is chosen randomly. Its sole purpose is to make it appear as if they were able to understand or explain what is going on. You will not find a single news source that would ever publish an article about a currency or commodity or stock rising or falling without the obligatory "as"-clause attached to it in the headline, no matter how absurd it may seem:
"Bitcoin drops as emerging market concerns ease"
"Bitcoin drops as Fed is cutting stimulus further"
"Bitcoin drops after disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin drops despite disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin drops as Google Doodle celebrates Year of the Horse"
"Bitcoin drops despite 6-time All-Star Lance Berkman announcing retirement"
"Bitcoin drops as Justin Bieber is charged with Toronto limo driver assault"
"Bitcoin rallies as emerging market concerns ease"
"Bitcoin rallies despite Fed cutting stimulus further"
"Bitcoin rallies after disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin rallies despite disappointing Apple report"
"Bitcoin rallies as Google Doodle celebrates Year of the Horse"
"Bitcoin rallies as 6-time All-Star Lance Berkman announces retirement"
"Bitcoin rallies as Justin Bieber is charged with Toronto limo driver assault"
125.
Post 4856102 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
I read somewhere in the bitcoinwisdom thread that bitfinex API now always returns bitfinex and bitstamp combined orderbook and volume, so its always more than bitstamp alone.
126.
Post 4914105 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):
This horizontal movement is boring me to death.
127.
Post 4972623 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):
bitcoinwisdom stopped working for me. Can anybody tell me what happened on bitfinex?
I had a short that should close at 690 and a bunch of buy orders immediately below that to go long again. Now I logged in and saw "Position #xxxxx closed @ 500.0 on wallet trading" WTF
500
I had buy orders at 690! I made a nice profit due to my short closing at 500 instead of 690 and my longs not executing which probably saved me from a margin call so now I am up 30% on my account instead of being broke, so I won't complain, but wtf has happened? Does anybody have a price chart of trades that happened on bitfinex?
128.
Post 5060602 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):
I am talking about leveraged longs. BTC-E is a leverage trading platform via Meta Trader. Pretty sure this was a string of forced liquidations.
They should not allow monstrous leveraged positions to be build up that are larger than their own thin order book, this is just insane.
129.
Post 5061195 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):
I am providing some USD loans on finex. I was surprised to see that they were still there after the flash crash. Not liquidated and not closed out because they are so under water. I guess I'm glad the exchange dropped their max leverage to 2.5.
Cause the trades were rolled back, else all lenders would have gone bankrupt..
I had a short closed at 550 (where I had my take-profit limit to close it), my profit is still there.
130.
Post 5061356 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.06h):
I am providing some USD loans on finex. I was surprised to see that they were still there after the flash crash. Not liquidated and not closed out because they are so under water. I guess I'm glad the exchange dropped their max leverage to 2.5.
Cause the trades were rolled back, else all lenders would have gone bankrupt..
I had a short closed at 550 (where I had my take-profit limit to close it), my profit is still there.
I think it halted trading right after that point (when stamp hit 530).
such precision... wow!
* prof7bit slaps himself on the shoulder
131.
Post 5108248 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):
132.
Post 5127646 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):
Its time to quote myself:
133.
Post 5137567 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):
EUR
Thats all I can do currently, I wish I had more fiat in gox to buy even more.
134.
Post 5178177 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.11h):
Looks like I was right a few days ago:
Now since we have reached the predicted target its time to buy.
135.
Post 5305783 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.16h):
The fear that yesterdays fear might have been groundless.
136.
Post 5360650 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):
How can they still trade without being able to move goxBTC between users or are they only trading imaginary goxBTC instead of realgoxBTC? Will there soon be yet another market on top of this where one can trade bitcoinbuilder account balances for BTC?
137.
Post 5374586 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
@thelema93
[10:58] <JonWickedFire> Is that Crisis Strategy Draft even legit?
[11:04] <MagicalTux> more or less
[11:05] <MagicalTux> as the name suggests it's a draft, and it's a bunch of proposals to deal with the issue at hand, not things that are actually planned and/or done
which channel is this from?
138.
Post 5375995 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.20h):
From reading this chat log (if its authentic) I immediately come to the following conclusions:
- They did not have a cold wallet, it was one huge hot wallet, implemented by MT.
- Occasionally it lost (or failed to store correctly or deleted¹) private keys of its own change outputs ('not "lost" just yet, just temporarily unavailable')
- He seems to believe the keys are still there somewhere buried deeply somewhere in his database server ('We haven't given up')
_____________________
¹) This is how I imagine their wallet worked (and how it fucked up):
User initiates withdrawal:
* debit amount from user account
* generate new private key for change address and create tx
* store tx in database (indexed by txid)
* store private key in database (indexed by address, foreign_key=txid)
* push tx to network
a week later (cron job)
* for all unconfirmed tx older than 1 week:
* credit BTC back to customer account
* delete "invalid" tx
* ->
cascaded delete "unused" change address and its private key (ouch!)
run 2 years until wallet is dry, all supposed UTXO turn out to be STXO and all real UTXO are in nirvana already.
139.
Post 5512924 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
ok now im just wetting my pants.
->
http://huvrtech.com/buy buy buy
edit: OFF TOPIC BUT SERIOUSLY... Wowowowowowow
fake. Totally obvious fake.
140.
Post 5513328 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
Been away for a few hours and I see this:
What happened? Bulls retaliated preemptively?
Stamp glitch...
This is why there can't be a goxtool for bitstamp (that could live up to the promises of the old goxtool) until they [bitstamp] fire the idiots who are in charge of this mess, hire some competent programmers and get a properly functioning trading engine.
In the meantime the occasional "glitch" will probably make wallets bleeding and coins magically disappearing (and rematerializing somewhere else) for many years until it finally all decompresses with a loud "PFFfffftzz..t....oops!"
141.
Post 5513379 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
Now why this Stamp bashing? Do I need to know something? Have a lot of Coins there...
Are you serious?
It's not wise to keep
a lot of value into an exchange account.
And especially not in an exchange that is running such shoddy malfunctioning code as bitstamp.
142.
Post 5513534 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
WTF everybody [...] hail Stamp... And now its bullshit code?
Yes, and it has been like this for quite some time. This is how coins go "missing". If they cannot even get a trading engine working correctly (even gox was able to do this, their engine was slow but at least it was correct and deterministic) then I would not trust them with any significant amount of money.
143.
Post 6306610 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
there's 12 words they give you that you're supposed to memorize that you can use to recover them.
There is no "they". Its the application itself that generates the 12 words and gives it to you, no 3rd party involved anywhere. No "they", only you and your computer, nobody else.
144.
Post 6330319 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.39h):
is NOT realized until the asset is cashed out.
Bitcoin *IS* cash.
145.
Post 9003914 (copy this link) (by prof7bit) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
I can see $300 now very clearly (in my proprietary crystal ball whose exact inner workings I will not disclose).
Its even showing some subtle hints of $100 but these are still behind clouds and shadows and behind the mighty $266 barrier, maybe only meant as some kind of warning about possible futures. But the $300 is very bright and clear!
