All posts made by jaredboice in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 8944776 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
More like Understater of the Year. In 3 years time, I think you could potentially add an extra zero to his price projection
2.
Post 8944810 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
About the rally itself: I kinda feel that this was orchestrated by a single entity, probably in order to induce a short squeeze. I doubt very much that this was "organic" buying by people who suddenly all decided to buy in unison. Or maybe I'm wrong and it was caused by a bunch of people buying because of the paypal news, but I doubt it...
The rally that started May 20 too consisted of a few episodes of intense buying, 1-2 hour long, that drove the price up by ~50$ each time; separated by "organic-looking" periods where the price just wandered about, often with a downward trend.
Could this rally be the first of another (mini-)bubble like that?
As i said many times in the past (since 2011 bubble), we will have at least 5 bubbles during the price discovery process. So far we had only 3 bubbles, so we got a few more bubbles. During this process, the bitcoin network adoption/development will grow tens folds.
Notice all the idiotic bears in this forum are all registered after the last bubble? 2013 earliest?
I'd say we have at least 3 more arc cycles before optimal price discovery. Possibly 4. Of course, if one ore two of those arc cycles go more parabolic than usual than who knows
3.
Post 8944953 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
based on the amount of memberships looks like bitcoin rally might be for real
track bitcoin price by new members to the forum is it possible
Month New Members
Sep-14 8036
Aug-14 11443
Jul-14 11119
Jun-14 11952
May-14 14264
Apr-14 17948
Mar-14 45800
Feb-14 25448
Jan-14 26625
Dec-13 31775
Nov-13 19683
Oct-13 2927
Sep-13 5156
Aug-13 6052
Jul-13 7413
Jun-13 9373
May-13 15512
Apr-13 18712
Mar-13 7358
Feb-13 3532
Jan-13 3184
Dec-12 2766
Nov-12 2708
Oct-12 3200
Sep-12 2345
Aug-12 2395
Jul-12 2109
Jun-12 2080
May-12 2018
Apr-12 2072
Mar-12 2118
Feb-12 1991
Jan-12 2051
Dec-11 1725
Nov-11 1993
Oct-11 2078
Sep-11 2452
Aug-11 3866
Jul-11 5466
Jun-11 14483
May-11 5959
Apr-11 2924
Mar-11 2538
Feb-11 1379
Jan-11 837
Dec-10 680
Nov-10 374
Oct-10 315
Sep-10 587
Aug-10 515
Jul-10 370
Jun-10 55
May-10 65
Apr-10 73
Mar-10 40
Feb-10 25
Jan-10 9
Dec-09 15
Nov-09 4
So the ATH in new members was 45,800 new members added in March 2014? That's interesting. It suggests a delayed reaction in mass consciousness between a price peak (December) and making the decision to become actively involved in the discussion...
4.
Post 8945227 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
It suggests a delayed reaction in mass consciousness between a price peak (December) and making the decision to become actively involved in the discussion...
I my case it was about half a year, from just before the January-June 2013 bubble until I joined in June 2013.
Good to know. And it makes sense. I've been following bitcoin since before brotherjohnf split off his bitcoin channel from his silver updates. Of course the November/December peak made me realize that it was indeed going to happen. I registered on here after new years
5.
Post 9056813 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):
Good lord, are we ever going to find the fkn bottom of this market? Or just continue to slide $10/week ad infinum?
Unbelievable this crap.
Why is this so unbelievable?
I dont understand why people are so surprised about that. BTCUSD is down about 70% from its high. It is a bear market.
It's always better to follow unbiased technical chart analysis versus letting your emotions "bitcoin love" guide your investment or trading.
I love bitcoin , too. But I have 0 bitcoins right now.I have to call you out on this. You have zero bitcoins? Yet you love Bitcoin? Sorry I don't buy it. Anyone who actually loves bitcoin understands bitcoin. Anyone who understands bitcoin knows that you can't always trust technical analysis due to unforeseen events. Even if you were a perfect chart analyst I don't buy it.
6.
Post 9056884 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):
Good lord, are we ever going to find the fkn bottom of this market? Or just continue to slide $10/week ad infinum?
Unbelievable this crap.
Why is this so unbelievable?
I dont understand why people are so surprised about that. BTCUSD is down about 70% from its high. It is a bear market.
It's always better to follow unbiased technical chart analysis versus letting your emotions "bitcoin love" guide your investment or trading.
I love bitcoin , too. But I have 0 bitcoins right now.I have to call you out on this. You have zero bitcoins? Yet you love Bitcoin? Sorry I don't buy it. Anyone who actually loves bitcoin understands bitcoin. Anyone who understands bitcoin knows that you can't always trust technical analysis due to unforeseen events. Even if you were a perfect chart analyst I don't buy it.
If there is an unforeseen event he'll have time to buy back in. Risk/reward.
"Time to buy back in" is highly subjective. With bitcoin's moves, you could lose 20% in only an hour's time.
7.
Post 9059770 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):
I just picked up a little more BTC, I seriously can't help myself at these prices. I feel like they are at such a steep discount right now. Each time I buy, I am like "ok, now I am good with my holdings..." then a few days later, I want to have like 5BTC more, or 10BTC more.
I now need about 9.5BTC more to get to where I want to be...
What's holdings?
I think you meant "hodlings"
8.
Post 9111173 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):
I guess it just depends on what happens from this point on?
Indeed.
My feeling is that true capitulation was achieved and while we may see one last dip below $300, the trend has turned.
Last night's 30k wall was an expensive way to slow what might have been a dramatic correction on reversal.
I feel strongly enough about this that I bought another 3 coins this morning despite having joked with some dude at Decentral on Saturday about having spent my weekly Bitcoin allowance on that day's 2 coin purchase.
Proud to say I was buying through that wall!
9.
Post 9123794 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):
Confidence is at a low. Gavin could drop a pin and it'd spook people now
Edit: did you hear that?
The CEO of Bitcoin said something:O
first hes not the CEO.
his opinion carries a lot of weight because he's a core dev and knows the system better than anyone. that is all.
this issues has been discussed at length for a long time.
it boils down to poeple saying NO because they want to make some noise...
I can only hope he can get consensus on this, he's got my vote! if not i would say "fork it and let those who disagree get left behind, THIS IS BITCOIN!"
Adam I pay attention to everything you say. I like your reasoning on things.
So, just out of curiosity, what's your take on this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZp7UGgBR0I
10.
Post 9133529 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):
anyone notice the illuminated pyramid at the 16 second mark? lol
11.
Post 9213851 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):
Must feel awful to have money in the stock market this month. Value plummeting every single day. But...
bitcoin users not affected!
The fail of comparing an alleged currency to the stock market
Here's how real money has fared YTD:
...and Bitcoin:
Keep trying
That "bull run" in the stock market has been carried by less and less volume as time goes on.
ie. that market is merely being sustained by the fed, hence it's not much of a real market and there's less and less real investors entering that market.
keep trying
12.
Post 9799254 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):
"NotLambchop: This user is currently ignored."
13.
Post 9799279 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):
The only thing better than an Ignore Feature, might be a stat that showed the number of people ignoring a particular user. And then maybe the ability to auto-ignore users who have been ignored by a specified number of members. That would shut down these trolls and shills REAL fast.
Feature request???
14.
Post 9799858 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):
annnnnnnnnd Blitz got added to the ignore list.
15.
Post 9858643 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
If it's good for the current banking system then it's no good.
16.
Post 9870834 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
NotLambchop: "This user is currently ignored."
Do trolls ever learn??
17.
Post 9917931 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
NotLambchop: "This user is currently ignored."
18.
Post 9918707 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
Such braveness... Very stompfest... Much TrollChop. And YET someone STILL quotes him. What can I say. I will un-ignore him!
bahaha
19.
Post 9918745 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
FreeBambi: "This troll is currently ignored."
20.
Post 9918801 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
^
21.
Post 9918932 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):
<--- Troll Slayer
I now have several of these trolls following me around, trolling me and wasting their employers time and money
The art of trolling a troll
22.
Post 10168494 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.49h):
Since i've been here...
Not a single bull has ever told me why Bitcoin is worth $210 -$1000, $100k and not $30-70$ like it should, yet i'm the one who's considered a troll LMFAO. The stupid fucks watched so many graphs that they forgot that the price is driven by people and their reaction to the technology and not by the lines presented on a chart and some fancy trends posted by delusional amateur traders that were born post "The Wolf of Wall Street". We are not in the past where the MtGox bots were pumping out Bitcoin like lunatics.
Go outside of your pussified geeky world and ask people if they give a shit about bitcoin. Ask them and then you will see the real truth. What you got here is a technology that's failing to take advantage of the power that the internet has to offer, in case you want to talk about a mass adoption situation. That alone should tell you a more realistic price.
^Poster gives impression that he has no interest in Bitcoin (and is certainly not trying to pick up cheap coins)
Spends all his time in a Bitcoin Forum
23.
Post 10416731 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Imagine if you will, internet forum posters who claim Bitcoin is a waste of time, yet manage to waste all their time posting on an internet forum focused on that topic that they claim is a waste of time, all in an effort to try and convince others that it is a waste of time.
24.
Post 10416931 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Look! There he is again! Observe the Troll in his natural habitat, wasting all his time posting on a bitcoin forum trying to convince everyone what a waste of time it is.
25.
Post 10417070 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Just imagining the millions of things I could be doing if I didn't believe in Bitcoin. #1 on the list is
Not wasting my time in a Bitcoin forum.But that's just a hypothetical scenario. I'm going to go count my Bitcoins now
26.
Post 10417160 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Wondering how many posts per day NotLambchop makes...as he is someone who claims Bitcoin is a waste of time.
has anyone ever counted? Should be pretty easy just to glance at his posting history and come up with an approximate daily average
27.
Post 10417275 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Another day, and delusional trolls still think that coming here every 5 seconds to try to convince us that Bitcoin is a waste of time is actually going to convince anyone with more than straw for brains
28.
Post 10417524 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Wondering how many posts per day NotLambchop makes...as he is someone who claims Bitcoin is a waste of time.
has anyone ever counted? Should be pretty easy just to glance at his posting history and come up with an approximate daily average
Assuming posting 7 days a week, every day of the year...19 posts per day.
And not a single one of them in any way useful to anyone.
Geez. Only 19 posts per day?? Elwar, I'm not sure if you're giving the troll enough credit... if true, he may be overpaid after all.
29.
Post 10417687 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Posting History of NotLambchop:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2631096,565 posts so far. Holy moly! That's a lot of posts by someone who claims Bitcoin is a waste of time.
Think you're right though, Elwar. Surprisingly, that only comes out to an average of 19 posts per day.
30.
Post 10417881 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Posting History of NotLambchop:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2631096,565 posts so far. Holy moly! That's a lot of posts by someone who claims Bitcoin is a waste of time.
Think you're right though, Elwar. Surprisingly, that only comes out to an average of 19 posts per day.
And that's just his main account! I wonder how many all his other troll-puppet accounts have racked up..
At 50 cents per post, it takes a lot of posts to buy a bitcoin, even at today's low prices.
Yet at 50 cents per post, he's gotta have at least 10 Bitcoins by now, unless he was buying them all at the 2013 Peak
Edit: On second thought, NotLambchop, specifically, didn't start his account until March 2014
31.
Post 10418034 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
NotLambchop has actually posted 30+ posts already today. That's well above his 19 post per day trolling average. Seems we struck a nerve
Or perhaps he's going for a raise??
32.
Post 10418050 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
OK I'm done calling out NotLambchop for the day. I think I've made my point. Back to Bitcoin
33.
Post 10427823 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Personally i have a hard time valuating Darkcoin at over 300k, but heh. The price is decided by that bull whale and as soon as he will stop being greedy and start taking profit, the whole domino will collapse in a blink of an eye.
The most funny troll ever, who is overjoy from 70$ profit. LOL.
I agree that this forum becomes more and more weird.
judging by the posting history of the couple darkcoin haters over the past few pages of this thread, they also tend to post bitcoin FUD as well. So why are they here? Therefore: Trolls
34.
Post 10428109 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
Personally i have a hard time valuating Darkcoin at over 300k, but heh. The price is decided by that bull whale and as soon as he will stop being greedy and start taking profit, the whole domino will collapse in a blink of an eye.
The most funny troll ever, who is overjoy from 70$ profit. LOL.
I agree that this forum becomes more and more weird.
judging by the posting history of the couple darkcoin haters over the past few pages of this thread, they also tend to post bitcoin FUD as well. So why are they here? Therefore: Trolls
I have an immense respect for Evan Duffield and the team, so no, i'm not a DRK hater. Besides what i wrote, I even posted an image that clearly showed you the manipulation and you still had the nerves to come with this abortion of a comment. Have fun buying at the top of the pump, you useless fecal matter!
I bought at 67 cents you worthless troll. You could post a factual image of Jesus and Moses dumping Darkcoins and judging by your past trolling history, I'd still know that you were trolling. Not to mention your assumptions that anyone who doesn't agree with you is a bag holder (when clearly I'm still up my hundreds of percent). Have fun being a a useless pile of dung
35.
Post 10428123 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
YourMother officially added to my ignore list. I suggest others do the same
36.
Post 10428153 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
YourMother officially added to my ignore list. I suggest others do the same
Ok noted, thanks for your advice! Bagholder!
And fonzie is added to ignore as well. Anyone who uses the term, "Bagholder" or "Bulltard" or "Shitcoin" might as well be walking around with a sign that says, "I'm a paid internet Troll and here's my Bitcoin FUD for the day"
37.
Post 10428178 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
YourMother: "This Troll is Currently Ignored."
38.
Post 12832402 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):
And you think the corrupted people who rule the planet will use something like a decentralize blockchain? lol
Bitcoin will eat them...
Why not? A one world currency that is public and traceable? Isn't this what they've always wanted?
We still dont know who Satoshi is, it coud be very well that the Rothschilds and friends are behind it. If it's true then 100% succes guaranteed and we'll all be rich.
But i rather see those corrupt ''rulers of the world'' ----->
DEAD<----- ore atleast in jail for life when you sonsidering what they have spread over mankind.
I could see the Rothschilds being behind bitcoin if they were all like, "You know, this unlimited power to control the world's currency is kinda old. How about we give people back their freedom and let them choose what type of digital currency is best for them..."
39.
Post 12920022 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):
That chart analysis talks about leveraged shorting as the reason why this recent rally didn't go up to $1200 and why it's going down from here. Do we not also have leveraged long trades now too lol? I'm not understanding this point at all.
I can't predict what direction we go from here. But I will predict that there's not going to be much more time spent under the $300s. If we revisit those levels at all, it will be brief IMHO
40.
Post 15323730 (copy this link) (by jaredboice) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.54h):
If you believe that the Bitcoin market tends to be fractal and you compare the previous bull/bear cycle to this one, it's apparent that prior to the nov 2013 run-up to $1,000+, there were several bear traps on the way up. If this is a fractal, this particular correction looks visually similar to the correction around $150 or the one at $200 in November 2013. If that were the case, buying in now (around $620-ish) likely wouldn't be a bad entry point as long as you can wait out the volatility for 2-3 months. While it could go lower, I wouldn't expect it to stay there for long. That's my best guess. But I do believe that we are in a bull market now and that there is therefore more upside potential than downside risk at this point in the cycle.
