All posts made by Ayle56 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 10815800 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):
What the heck, why are margin longs increasing and shorts decreasing on this drop? I wouldve thought it would be the opposite.
Where are you getting your information about longs and shorts from?
2.
Post 11652923 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
How long will the Finex bid walls grow? 23k now
Until whoever is behind them changes them to identically sized sell walls like yesterday. I don't take any walls there seriously anymore after that stunt from yesterday. Any big walls are just for show.
3.
Post 11653422 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
How long will the Finex bid walls grow? 23k now
Until whoever is behind them changes them to identically sized sell walls like yesterday. I don't take any walls there seriously anymore after that stunt from yesterday. Any big walls are just for show.
Do you think this may be playing a factor here?
Coinsetter and Shift Forex, a leading forex advisory firm, today announced the launch of Bitbroker, a new bitcoin liquidity and market data service for foreign exchange brokers. Bitbroker enables forex brokers to add bitcoin as a trading option within existing margin FX infrastructures, with full support for MetaTrader 4 via an MT4 bridge.
In addition to high performance technology, Bitbroker further supports brokers with margin trading and shorting, providing up to 5:1 leverage to make integration less capital intensive. Brokers can connect via FIX API or MT4 bridge.
Read more about this new product on our blog.
No, that bid wall was up yesterday before that service announced its launch. Besides, the bid wall was pulled so fast that it had to have been controlled by one entity. I don't believe it was numerous different people behind it who were trading independently, it had to be controlled by one entity with a lot of financial muscle.
4.
Post 11654957 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
that "wall" (that looks more like a bank than a wall) is pretty clearly just one person. Done so obviously that it doesn't seem to be an attempt at manipulation, but just a genuine attempt to buy coins.
It looks identical to this one from yesterday.

Whoosh!
Lol, party's over, whale flipped the manip switch.
If yesterday's wall was just a genuine attempt to buy coins how come it was abruptly taken down and replaced with an ask wall? It seems a blatant attempt at manipulation as far as I'm concerned.
5.
Post 11655151 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
If yesterday's wall was just a genuine attempt to buy coins how come it was abruptly taken down and replaced with an ask wall? It seems a blatant attempt at manipulation as far as I'm concerned.
It's actually pretty easy - if you're accumulating and no one is selling you cheap coins, you can just scare them into dumping by flaring up a big enough ask wall.
What if people start buying your "cheap coins" from your ask wall instead of dumping? How can you be sure that someone didn't put up the bid wall to tempt people into buying their coins, and when people stopped buying dumped straight into whatever buy order had built up?
6.
Post 11772924 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):
I'm kinda mystified about how an exchange works.
Am I always buy/selling to a peer?
Or does the exchange sell and buy directly to users also?
Does an exchange adjust its prices in consensus with other exchanges?
Or is it all independent marketing?
The two exchanges Bitfinex and Bitstamp used to have a deal that helped keep the price roughly the same on both exchanges. However, they stopped the deal now as far as I know. There are people who run things called arbitrage bots which look for different prices on exchanges and make profit from buying off a cheaper exchange to sell on a more expensive exchange. They tend to keep the prices roughly the same across exchanges.
7.
Post 11776063 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):
It's up for me so it's unlikely it's been hacked.
What's the problem? Is it chart buddy at fault or coinbase? Every time I see that goxed message I wonder if another exchange has been hacked.
8.
Post 11776615 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):
What happened with Coinbase

They launched with moon rockets saying they are the first insured exchange and now they are in gox mode

Their status page shows they had an exchange system outage today, but that it's resolved now. They don't say what went wrong and I hope it stays online now they have it running again. Off time can damage an exchange's reputation like nothing else except a hack.
https://status.coinbase.com/Past Incidents
Jul 2, 2015
Exchange outage
Resolved - Exchange is up and 100% healthy.
Jul 2, 15:17 PDT
Update - Engineering are making progress towards a fix. Coinbase Exchange still experiencing a partial outage affecting BTC-USD order book.
Jul 2, 14:59 PDT
Update - Engineering are making progress towards a fix. Coinbase Exchange still experiencing a partial outage.
BTC-USD - offline
BTC-EUR - online
BTC-GBP - online
Jul 2, 14:42 PDT
Update - Engineering still working on a fix for the partial Coinbase Exchange outage.
BTC-USD - offline
BTC-EUR - online
BTC-GBP - online
Jul 2, 14:16 PDT
Update - Engineering is still working on a fix for the partial Exchange outage.
BTC-USD - offline
BTC-EUR - online
BTC-GBP - online
Jul 2, 13:56 PDT
Update - The engineering team is working on a fix for the partial Exchange outage. BTC-USD order book is offline, BTC-GBP and BTC-EUR order books are online.
Jul 2, 13:45 PDT
Update - The engineering team is working on a fix for the Exchange outage.
Jul 2, 13:25 PDT
Update - The engineering team is still working on a fix for the Exchange outage.
Jul 2, 13:05 PDT
Identified - We have identified the issue with the Exchange and are working on a fix.
Jul 2, 12:54 PDT
Investigating - We are currently investigating.
Jul 2, 12:43 PDT
9.
Post 11902537 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):
Last bears are becoming bullish


Holy crap, even DanV is posting bullish charts? I don't believe my eyes. Isn't he one of the ones that thought we were going down to double-digits not long ago?
I wouldn't say he's either bearish or bullish at the moment, he's hedging his bets. There are recent quotes of his shown below that show his latest prediction is that we might go up, or we might go down. The final quote shows his last prediction was wrong, and IMO he's got it wrong so often he's now making such vague guesses that they have to work out. Anyone can predict that we might go up, or we might go down and get it right.
https://www.whaleclub.co/posts/u/DanV3 possibilities, till we are able to discount some....
Unless we breakout above 310 the bearish case could still be in action....
The triangle I suggested in the last published chart failed to form.....
10.
Post 12632541 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.27h):
when they said buy the dips is that now?
That's a tough question to answer. Sometimes you can buy a dip and then the price continues to crash. Other times you can buy a dip and then the price shoots up. The same applies to selling the peaks.
They say to buy the bottom, but guessing at what point it has bottomed out is very difficult. People claimed the bottom was in at $270 this time last year and look at the price now.
11.
Post 12634351 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.27h):
Can we get some screenshots of the order book there from someone who has an account?
There's already a bitcoinity page showing the Gemini order book.
http://bitcoinity.org/markets/gemini/USD
This screenshot of their order book was posted by someone in the Bitcoin discussion board.

It's showing more orders than bitcoinity because bitcoinity's default setting is to group all consecutive trades at the same price into one entry.
12.
Post 12637488 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.27h):
wall street money pouring in.
Yup, currently 3.2 thousand dollars bids at Gemini, this looks sooo bullish...

The bid sum / ask sum ratio is about 20$, might be an insight into the future of bitcoin...
And those are probably just nerds from this forum "Taking Part in History!!!".
How do we link to Gemini's exchange (trading and books) information? Do we need to create an account?
Only institutional representatives can create an account, no?
You can see it here, although trading has been very low volume since it started. I think there's only been about 45 Bitcoins changed hands since it opened.
http://bitcoinity.org/markets/gemini/USDMost of the trades are for less than one Bitcoin. The last 3 hours of trades are below.

13.
Post 12882442 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
It's like the Chinese are buying like there's no tomorrow until they catch up to the price where they left off in 2014 when China made it difficult to deposit fiat on Bitcoin exchanges. Now their government has decided to let them freely send money to Bitcoin exchanges there must be an avalanche of cash dropping on them.
14.
Post 12882498 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
I use the Kraken, but haven't logged in for months. I was thinking about depositing some money there. Is their bank transfer system having problems that coincide with their off time? I might choose a different exchange, wasting days dealing with support is the last thing I need.
15.
Post 12883372 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
600 tomorrow
Possibly 700, the price keeps increasing exponentially. OKcoin said they had 24 people processing new KYC documents for new accounts, and it's the busiest they've ever seen. As more of those new customers money reaches exchanges the price will keep increasing faster and faster.
16.
Post 12887905 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
Is there a $50 difference between the Bitstamp price and Huobi's? I'm not great at maths but I worked out the CNY to USD conversion at 6.31805 CNY per USD, and that's what I got. I know its been $20 to $30 higher in China all week, but $50 is excessive.
edit/
Huobi's beginning to go down now, but there's still a big price difference.
17.
Post 12888126 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
about the 50$ difference with CNY and USD
chinese exchange are where traders from all over the world trade, they can't withdraw the money but they don't care they're there to trade with 0% trading fees.
but today, traders actually do want to "see the money" so they BUY with there CNY and then send the BTC over to stamps to sell for USD which they will withdraw.
I get it, this quote had me fooled, I misread it and thought they had opened both bank deposits and withdrawals. If they can only deposit that explains it. The tweet only mentions deposits, it cunningly omits any mention of withdrawals and I thought the two went hand in hand (except for on Gox).
18.
Post 12889131 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):
Was it due to the MMM Ponzi guy cashing out? It was extremely aggressive selling directly into the buy orders without respite. I expected a dump but the speed of it took my breath away.
19.
Post 13085904 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):
Amaclin was responsible for some of the earlier attacks, and his latest posts alarm me. He had a policy of spending nothing to conduct his earlier attacks, but now he's decided to start spending money to conduct them. He says it's his right to spam the blockchain, which makes me think he'll conduct sporadic attacks indefinitely.
I thought this would be against your policy of not spending money on attacks?
I changed my mind
Why would you want to spam the blockchain.
Because I have a right
20.
Post 13425634 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.39h):
We'll get more volatility very soon. Just give the market some time to get past the holidays and back to work.
And let's not forget there has been a nasty dump on Christmas when everybody was celebrating. Stabilty and Bitcoin trading don't rhyme yet and probably never will. So yes, expect some turbulence soon
The Chinese carried on trading at Christmas because it means nothing to them, but they get drunk at New Year so practically nobody was trading then. First the traders need time to get over their hangovers, then after the banks open in two days time volatility should get going again.
21.
Post 13671866 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):
The Pic speaks for it self

This is a Bitcoin thread in the Bitcoin section, so you shouldn't be promoting altcoins here.
Neverheless ethereum had only gone up by 10.57%. Why did you omit dogecoin which has surpassed it by going up by 11.11%? You showed dash at 5th place which has crashed, but omitted dogecoin at 6th place. Is that because a joke like dogecoin going up faster than ethereum doesn't make ethereum look good?

Dogecoin has been pumped numerous times, and ethereum's being pumped like any other altcoin.
22.
Post 13672045 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.42h):
The Pic speaks for it self
This is a Bitcoin thread in the Bitcoin section, so you shouldn't be promoting altcoins here.
Neverheless ethereum's only gone up by 10.57%. Why did you omit dogecoin which has surpassed it by going up by 11.11%? You showed dash at 5th place which has crashed, but omitted dogecoin at 6th place.
Dogecoin has been pumped numerous times, and ethereum's being pumped like any other altcoin.
dash, Litecoin, Dogecoin.... and so many other coins are just a Bitcoin copy cats, Bitcoin's limitations will apply on all the Bitcoin forks, in the other hand you have ETH which is a kick ass platform.
BTW: you don't get to tel me what I can discuss and what not especially in this thread and in this sub-forum. period.
It's not me that tells you what you can discuss, it's the mods. This is what Lauda (a mod) has to say about a post just like yours in the Bitcoin discussion board. He says making a price comparison isn't a discussion related to Bitcoin. That post also starts with a coinmarketcap screenshot.
No it's not. This is Bitcoin related. Far superior tech replacing your precious BTC.
This is a discussion about another useless coin. This is not related to Bitcoin (making a price comparison != related to Bitcoin/B. Discussion).
23.
Post 13974065 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):
market price totally incorrect right now.
Actually, before the latest block size/Mike Hearn ragequit the price was fairly stable in the $430 range. The price dropped at that point.
Now we're back to the safety of that $430 range.
From here the price should slowly rise due to the normal factors.
Hopefully you're right Elwar unless any more self obsessed idiots in public positions want to try & destroy bitcoin AGAIN !!!!
Let's hope this is te only thing able to harm btc. I'm a bit skeptical though, this up trend seems too good to be true...
It's not too good to be true, it's a slow rise that's had a minor correction of less than $25. A small correction was on the cards before going higher, the highest price was only $50 off $500 and that's the next target IMO. The next time it goes to $500 it should keep going up.
24.
Post 14425783 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.48h):
[blablablablablabla]
Some of the data on that site make little sense to me, however. I don't really understand how they are calculating average blocksize as compared with median blocksize, and why there would be a difference between those two concepts (except through their definition of such).
[blablablablablabla]
https://www.vocabulary.com/articles/chooseyourwords/mean-median-average/Hahahahahaha
I will admit that I had a brain fart, and for a moment, I was considering mean and median as the same.
So, O.k. I will agree that reviewing information about the median could be helpful to various analysis regarding whether there are block full problems and transaction time problems that are resulting from block fullness, and blockchain.info charts are providing the mean for blocksize, but so far, seem to not be providing the median. At least, I have not found it, so far.
There's lies, damn lies, and then there's statistics. Any statistician will tell you the average is an awful stone age measure, then start talking about mean, median, and standard deviation to decide whether the blocks are truly full or not. However if you can't get your transaction into a block for hours even with a good fee that's all you need to know.
25.
Post 14608398 (copy this link) (by Ayle56) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.49h):
Morning gentlemen!
What a great day so far!
Woke up, checked the charts, and see we are up ~$12.

Hope to see $440 within the next few hours.Even if it would be just for a short moment.
You got your wish, it went above $440. I want to see it break above this year's $460 high, but I'm not sure when that will happen. If I make a guess it's usually wrong, so I'm just hodling and waiting.