All posts made by nakaone in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 4964934 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):

but seriously - this apple stuff is fuckin bad news



2. Post 4996828 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.04h):

them volume  Shocked Shocked Shocked



3. Post 5132180 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):

I'll probably be hated for this post, but that is why a free market relying on trust does not work properly - maybe future with trustless p2p fiat/btc market solve this issue.  

the decrease in prices is a joke. who is seriously selling now with the intention not to buy back immediately?



4. Post 5227565 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):

Quote from: fonzie on February 18, 2014, 11:46:51 PM
Wow i just checked Google Maps and noticed that Canada is right next to the US of A.

So the USA might be the next one banning BTC? Roll Eyes Shocked Shocked Shocked

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



seriously are you paid for doing this?

if I get wealthy I contact you for spreading FUD in my interest



5. Post 5269563 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):

Where there significant news over the day except the probably stupidest announcement i have ever read on gox?



6. Post 5272350 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.14h):

ololol how much would i appreciate having money on gox Sad - imagine you sodled at around 850 hodl fiat and buy back now.

do these people really think they go bankrupcy?



7. Post 5298780 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.15h):

Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on February 22, 2014, 12:18:10 PM
More bad news:

http://www.coindesk.com/documents-goldman-sachs-discussing-bitcoin/

"New York-based global investment banking giant Goldman Sachs has completed an initial assessment of digital currencies that concluded they are currently too volatile for serious investors."

Au contraire dear fonz ... GS are notorious for recommending/downgrading assets against the best interests of their clients, for the very purposes of front-running them. Typically on the juiciest of plays.

The very fact GS are covering bitcoin in a report is the news. Their statement that it is "too volatile for serious investors" ... means stay away until we establish our positions first. Volatility is life blood for these guys.

+1

had to smile when i read that THEY say it is too volatile for investing for SERIOUS investors. Guess these guys are buying, especially with regarding to the TIMING of their assessment



8. Post 5423006 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: raid_n on February 28, 2014, 10:12:54 AM
I believe the most important news now is what happened to the 750k btc (+120k gox)

Did they confirm they were in fact stolen and when it happened?

it makes absolutely no sense that 750k coins are stolen



9. Post 5443775 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

is there evidence now that the coins are STOLEN (not lost or unavailable)? - for me it makes still absolutely no sense that a company can be abused by a thief on that scale.




10. Post 5444133 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

for me there are two legitimate options regarding the "unavailable" coins

1) confiscation by some authority (most likely after all the stuff i read) - short and long term extremely bullish

2) he lost the private keys (even thogh supply is much shorter that is extremely bearish due to the public picture that even the oldest exchange cannot handle the technical issues around the currency, how should average joe do that?)

and one option that does not make sense

3) 840k (!) coins are stolen (without noticing), that is almost 1000 coins per day since the time mtgox is operating



11. Post 5447576 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

http://pastebin.com/LPm3jBG7

fake?



12. Post 5447649 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.22h):

Quote from: dreamspark on March 01, 2014, 03:42:46 PM

hahahaha Read every second word.

 brilliant Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



13. Post 5896625 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

670.000 coins back to the market ?  Grin



14. Post 5896736 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

Quote from: windjc on March 25, 2014, 06:19:05 PM
Any predictions what will happen if this is true?
https://twitter.com/CanarslanEren/status/448418452701974528

If its true and assuming they refund people's bitcoins, then what will happen is that there will be a lot of happy people. Beyond that, not much will happen. A few people might sell some, but most people will hold. And overall community sentiment will be more positive. Probably not much difference in regards to price.


imagine just 10% of the coins are sodled - I do not get the redditors who say that that is bullish

I am happy for the guys having coins in mtgox



15. Post 5931478 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):

not a trader so probably wrong here but the funny thing is that panic buying is always faster than panic selling. every fuckin time I hodl money for btc I'm just afraid to miss the latest news and buy back when price is already up - so HODL



16. Post 6042285 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.32h):

Quote from: silverfuture on April 02, 2014, 09:53:17 PM
You will see the end of this bear market by these following indicators.

1) The price will go lower then most expected
2) The price will remain low longer then most expected
3) The loudest and the most enthusiastic bulls will start to blame bitcoin and everyone involved for the situation and then write dramatic final speeches of them leaving.

If you will get tired of seeing indicator 3, then it's time to buy, not before.

#3 spotted in the wild!

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=554625.0;topicseen

 Grin

btw why don't you expect a fast rebound? - if I observe this place properly all guys are playing "who gets the most bitcoins" - and they are wondering where the bottom is - probably not for selling at the bottom....



17. Post 6164736 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):

is there a technical issue with bitcoin or why do all people get full retard?



18. Post 8416337 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

this does not really make sense - what is happening?



19. Post 8416375 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.06h):

Quote from: fonzie on August 18, 2014, 01:20:51 PM
this does not really make sense - what is happening?

U got fooled, sold at the bottom, and need to buy back higher, lol.

I am not in the selling business - just in the buying business Wink



20. Post 9022713 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

seriously can any one make sense of the movement of bitcoin prices?

maybe I missed something in the news but fundamentally it is complete bullshit what is happening?!



21. Post 9022764 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on September 29, 2014, 11:08:10 PM
seriously can any one make sense of the movement of bitcoin prices?

maybe I missed something in the news but fundamentally it is complete bullshit what is happening?!

its the market figuring itself out, while being fondled by wall street... its really messed up...

my doctorate supervisor in economics always says markets are non-existent, it have to be people who interact, anyway I know what you are saying but even that is not an answer. there have to be people who are willing to sell at that prices.



22. Post 9089316 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):

today or tomorrow capitulation

finally

this slow dying sucked much more



23. Post 9141521 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):

when do bears get burned? *g*

do not fully understand their shorting games played on bitfinex



24. Post 9247098 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on October 18, 2014, 05:32:48 PM


People who try to sell bitcoin as a way to protect one's investment from inflation should be jailed, IMHO.

can you explain that? or is this just from observation of the chart over the last 10 months?

Or is this a question of timeframe? I really want to understand that attitude.



25. Post 9247665 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on October 18, 2014, 06:39:41 PM
People who try to sell bitcoin as a way to protect one's investment from inflation should be jailed, IMHO.
Surely everybody who has a different economic opinion than yours deserves to rot in jail.....

No, just those who try to swindle others by selling them shares of dry oil wells, water-powered cars, ponzi schemes, etc..

No sane person would invest in cash, unless the money came from some illegal activity, or one is trying to evade taxes.

Real estate, and stocks of large, established and diversified companies are usually a safe investment.  Even if they are overpriced at some point, and may crash eventually, there is a limit to how much they can go down before hitting their fair price.  Since they are material property, their real value will not be affected by inflation.  For those who are too lazy or small to use those investments, there are many bonds and investment funds that are somewhat riskier and offer smaller returns, but will still protect from inflation.

I don't have much to say about gold, except that it seems to be vastly overpriced, and its price charts are not nice at all.

No one can honestly predict the future of bitcoin.  It may rise again to thousands of dollars, or it may be superseded by something else and go down to zero.   It is a big gamble, a lottery ticket with unknown odds.  People should be free to gamble, but must know that it is gambling and not investment.



assuming you invest in a currency of country which has a limited supply of money and you can be pretty sure that it will never be changed.

assume further that this country has the possibility to fill some niches in the global economy

you think it is insane to invest in the currency of this country?



26. Post 9247958 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 18, 2014, 07:10:08 PM
...
assuming you invest in a currency of country which has a limited supply of money and you can be pretty sure that it will never be changed.

assume further that this country has the possibility to fill some niches in the global economy

you think it is insane to invest in the currency of this country?

If the currency is inflating @ 10% a year, and its dollar exchange rate has fallen by more than 50% in 2014?  Let's just say "not very smart."

the dollar exchange rate has increased by around 150 times in the last one and a half years - very smart investment Cheesy

induction as an indicator over time is stupid.

you can argue that my assumptions are wrong or that the niche is very small but arguing over charts is beyond stupid

if these assumptions are true and the niche is big enough you can say that investing in this "currency" is sane.



27. Post 9248235 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.25h):

Quote from: NotLambchop on October 18, 2014, 07:49:56 PM
...
assuming you invest in a currency of country which has a limited supply of money and you can be pretty sure that it will never be changed.

assume further that this country has the possibility to fill some niches in the global economy

you think it is insane to invest in the currency of this country?

If the currency is inflating @ 10% a year, and its dollar exchange rate has fallen by more than 50% in 2014?  Let's just say "not very smart."

the dollar exchange rate has increased by around 150 times in the last one and a half years - very smart investment Cheesy

induction as an indicator over time is stupid.

you can argue that my assumptions are wrong or that the niche is very small but arguing over charts is beyond stupid

if these assumptions are true and the niche is big enough you can say that investing in this "currency" is sane.

Bitcoin's exchange rate has gone up infinitely over the past five years.  There once was a time when it was worth exactly nothing.  Extrapolating from that, your future profits should also be infinite.

If you wish to get back to reality, you may consider Bitcoin's performance in recent past.  Since December of 2013, the price has been steadily declining.

If your reasoning proves anything, it proves entirely too much.  It proves that any investment which did well in some distant past is bound to be profitable in the future.  Regardless of its recent performance.

I hope I do not need to dwell on the folly of such assumptions.

Re. "induction as an indicator over time": wat?

what I said is that you cannot take the price as an indicator of the quality of an investment - you cannot build a theory from observation if the observation is constantly changing (as the price or the chart of bitcoin).

what you can do instead is build a set of assumptions and say if they are valid or not valid.

to be fair you need a point of reference - according to this http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1sowur/how_is_a_2600000000000_market_cap_for_btc_possible/

the market cap of gold is 8 trillion, the one of us bonds is 35 trillion - bitcoin at this point of time is 5 billion [I think most people do not realise how small this on a global scale].

so golds market cap is more than 1000 times higher than the one of bitcoin - I assume that bitcoin never catches up, but to assume that there is place to grow is definetely not insane.

at this point we do not know how big the niche of bitcoin in the financial will be and let us not end arguing about pascals wagers, but that the niche is potentially existent is reasonable.




28. Post 9333410 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.26h):

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2kctwh/there_are_no_btc_available_left_to_short_on/


massive insider knowledge?

I do not understand the latest downtrend from ~480$ to now - all trends before were information driven. this stuff looks suspicious.



29. Post 9344089 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: tarmi on October 27, 2014, 09:39:46 AM
Meanwhile, the total amount of BTC swaps (read: shorts) at Bitfinex has reached a historic high of 16.2k BTC.

17,254


and growing.

Guess something big going to happens

Just thinking... how will all that shorts close their positions? I see only two options: short or long squeeze.


time for a long squeeze.  Grin

growing ...

speculation on what is happening?

no etf? etf?  Grin

regulation to death? fungibility crisis?



30. Post 9346973 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: rebuilder on October 27, 2014, 03:24:24 PM
Short interest now at 17k (all time high), and piled on huge the last 2 days.  Somebody must know something.

Well, we've been following a pattern of attempted breakouts to the upside followed by more downward movement for a while now. Since people seem to consider trend continuations more likely than reversals, shorting on upspikes must seem more and more tempting the longer that pattern continues.

if this is really the explanation and they know nothing more they will have a binary chance of burning on next monday maybe even this friday - I still think that it is not a crowd buying but a few individuals who know more and we hodlers will burn.

who cares I am in for the long walk Smiley



31. Post 9359776 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.27h):

Quote from: Richy_T on October 28, 2014, 05:47:55 PM
I will leave this place soon. Bitcoin is dead, it's only down from here and i sold everything i got quite a while ago so there is nothing for me here anymore.
I tried to help the few delusional bulls who just won't give up but they don't appreciate my warnings very much. Ah well, your money. I don't care really.
I'll come back every 50 dollar drop for some entertainment. So long and thanks for buying my coins at 400. Poor schmucks.

Good luck with your pump and dump coin.

And who said there's been no good news recently?

should at least be +5% not to read this depressing bullshit any more.

the biggest weakness of decentralisation is that you cannot exclude any one



32. Post 9455566 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 06, 2014, 01:16:52 AM
THIS is what Bitcoin is. The ability of Random Matrix Math to solve the human greed factor. The flaw is not the money. It's US.
People often suggest there is a greater "Math" behind why bitcoin is limited in supply.
Basically it is a few lines of code in the protocol an the fact that the majority of miners and users follow that protocol.
It is horribly trivial to change the supply of bitcoin to an arbitrary amount if there was enough backing by the community for it.
Saying it is impossible to change is having a fundamental misunderstanding of how or why bitcoin works
What you say may be true. But bitcoin's value proposition lies in those few lines of code. And that is why they will never be changed.

Bitcoin was meant to be an e-payment method (decentralized, trutless, etc.).  A fixed bitcoin supply is not necessary for that goal.  Indeed, bitcoin is being used in that role, in spite of still having 10%/year inflation (and even higher in the past).  And dollars and euros work fine as payment methods, in spite of their "horrendous" 1-2%/year inflation rate.

Thus, the argument that "raising the emission limit would destroy the value of bitcoin" does not sound convincing.  Hoarders would be very unhappy, of course.  Miners, however, may someday find it advantageous, especially by the time they are expected do depend on transaction fees instead of block rewards.  Block reward is steady and predictable, whereas fees depend on transaction volume -- which will probably shrink substantially if fees became mandatory.   People who use bitcoin for payments may not care, or may prefer block rewards because they provides "free" transactions.

It has been argued that, if some miners tried to change the protocol, the rest of the network would stick to the old one.  However, this correction mechanism has never been tested, and it seems difficult to predict what would happen, in all possible scenarios.  (After all, it was "proved", with the same certainty, that altcoins would die as soon as they were born.)  What if those "some miners" had 70% of the hash rate?  What if a large subset of the users became convinced that the change was necessary for the health of the network, or got some immediate benefit from it (such as no-fee transactions)? What if payment processors and merchants accepted only the "new" bitcoin?  

(By the way, some bitcoiners seem to be trying to convince people to adopt bitcoin by telling them that money sucks.  I sense a problem with that marketing strategy: it seems that many people have used money sometime in their lives, and may even have enjoyed the experience -- unlikely as that may sound.  Wink)

you are a well respected academic in your field of study - but please do this place a favour and step a little bit back when you are speaking about fields of study which are not your profession. your understanding of economics is at best narrow minded and at worst simply wrong. this is partially true for this comment as well.

I assume that 95-99% of this forum would not have heard of bitcoin if the emission would have been infinite from the beginning. satoshis incentive design for bitcoin is from an economics perspective the schumpeterian wet dream for raising awareness for an invention.






33. Post 9455683 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

what do you guys think of changetip?


I think we probably now have THE first power app - look at reddit etc. and imagine what is happening when we start spreading love on facebook etc.



34. Post 9455848 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.29h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on November 06, 2014, 11:47:25 AM
I assume that 95-99% of this forum would not have heard of bitcoin if the emission would have been infinite from the beginning. satoshis incentive design for bitcoin is from an economics perspective the schumpeterian wet dream for raising awareness for an invention.

For all I know, computer types were first attracted to bitcoin for the pleasure of helping to test a smart solution to an old technical problem.  Then libertarians got interested because they saw in bitcoin a way to build an economy independent of  government and banks.  Then drug users and sellers adopted it as a way to pay for drugs without the DEA knowledge (so they thought).  At some point, others noticed the value going up like crazy, and bought into it as a get-filthy-rich-quick scheme.

I suspect that a majority of the people in this forum are from the latter group.  The finite supply of bitcoins is important only for that group, because it is part of the argument that "proves" that the price will be astronomical one day.  But it is not essential, even to them; that argument would have been only a little less convincing if the supply was programmed to increase 5%/year, forever.  So much so, that they are not bothered by the current 5-10% inflation rate.


you completely underestimate the power of market capitalization - even the get rich quick guys do their job. a higher market capitalization leads to higher level of investment around the technology, it leads to a better usability of the tokens aka "currency" - schumpeter once called a piece of gods work that money always moves to a place where it leads to the highest benefits (we can argue about that - but regarding technology and invention this probably true).

the point is that the market capitalization does its job - bitcoin is a value network with the function to transfer money. the first does its job in creating the latter.


even your investment in spam avoidance aka ripples would not be existent without this effects, this would probably be better for your personal wealth - but at least you are financing the development of quite a sound network aka ripple Wink



35. Post 9519444 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on November 12, 2014, 01:37:50 PM


 Grin Grin Grin



36. Post 9520461 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):

to the comets?



37. Post 9537307 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.31h):

lol at that shakeout


ah btw hodl + popcorn these days seems to be quite a solid strategy.



38. Post 9550841 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.32h):

Quote from: DeadCoin on November 15, 2014, 11:46:39 AM
Why are there people so damn desperate to keep the price below 400? What are they afraid of? What do they want?

Most people purchase Bitcoins in the speculative hope they can later profit by selling them at a higher price to other market participants. As it's mathematically impossible for this to continue ad infinitum it's foolish to think you can continue to make money at the expense of other market participants (of which you yourselves are among) beyond the peak of adoption.

Once adoption rates have peaked, which they more than likely did last year, there's little left but a massive downside caused by an imbalance of those wishing to cash out vs new money coming in from those wishing to speculate on further price rises.  As the imbalance becomes more apparent new adopters are likely to become fewer and fewer thus escalating the downside.

As more people start to realize risk/reward is a bad bet and that the coins are gradually becoming worth less vs USD, a cash grab situation is likely to arise in which people will become aware coins are actually only backed by buy orders amounting to about 0.01% of the arbitrary market capitalization. This situation could be immensely profitable for those buying into the next round of folly.

All those who have become rich from Bitcoin have simply done so at the expense of later market participants, many of whom are likely to realize large losses on the flip side at some point. Hence why it's reasonably comparable to a giant ponzi scheme.





it is sad to see how little people here understand of the economics of network effects as well as the economics of bitcoin.

tell me what is the value of a global scale value ledger which can only be changed a consensus of its participants and is immune to any other intervention? additionally this ledger also has a function and is scarce. at this point of time the market capitalization is 0,05% of the gold market cap....



39. Post 9634089 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

a page full of fear and uncertainty

probably we will laugh at page 20000 about bitcoins current state



40. Post 9638020 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

regarding the fed auction - I assume it will be as bearish as the last one was  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

at these prices I assume they will change hands with a 10-20 % mark-up - gl to the shorters Wink



41. Post 9638154 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.34h):

Quote from: brg444 on November 24, 2014, 09:04:08 AM
regarding the fed auction - I assume it will be as bearish as the last one was  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

at these prices I assume they will change hands with a 10-20 % mark-up - gl to the shorters Wink

I'm hoping some big pocket swoops all of them in one set a la Draper and advertises the purchase and its price

Too bad we're not likely to have a leaked list of bidders like last time  Undecided

these auctions will be a bullish thing as long as there is no ther place to buy 50000 btc without an insane counterparty risk - once we have these places it will probably turn bearish



42. Post 9706085 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: esse83 on December 01, 2014, 09:41:55 AM
The bitfinex bot is simply accumulating to prepare for dumping once the markets goes bananas after the SR auction (expect +$450 then dump). It's a gamble though, he is assuming that all the coins will be sold (we won't ever know the price though), but most likely they will be and the market will react in a positive way.  Simple strategy. Most likely the markets will start going up before the auction is finished (anticipation).

Are you sure ? Or is it only a theory ?   However will bitcoin reach 500 $ before the end of the  year ? or must we wait the next year?

I am 100% sure (lol). No, but really it makes a lot of sense considering the circumstances. This is how you make easy money.

the only thing that makes sense is that the owner of the bot knows what he is going to bid regarding the confiscated coins on the auction - therefore it makes sense for him to accumulate for a price lower than his own bid



43. Post 9715765 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: shmadz on December 02, 2014, 04:40:04 AM
I am certainly enjoying accumulating more XMR at this level.  At some point I will just buy it all.  Not there yet, however.

Really?

I've been enjoying the up and downs, and taking advantage when I can, but I've not seen much development taking place. I was getting the impression that it's a dead coin...



if there is a place in the cryptosphere for an altcoin in the future it is probably this one - I think long term it is more risky to not have some monero than to have some



44. Post 9717452 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: 600watt on December 02, 2014, 01:28:24 PM

pokerstars soon adopting btc ?



http://www.pokerfirma.com/news/pokerstars-bitcoin-poker/274522

sry, it is in german. there is a link to http://gamblingcompliance.com/premium-content/news_analysis/bitcoin-push-gathers-strength-pokerstars-interested

but i cannot access the article.



if this turns out true and works out....    Cool

this is gentlemen if true



45. Post 9737522 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

notlampchop is one of the best trolls I have ever seen. I hope he get paid well, in case he isn't he should seriously consider professionalizing his abilities.

kudos to him



46. Post 9737566 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):

Quote from: Torque on December 04, 2014, 01:14:07 PM
notlampchop is one of the best trolls I have ever seen.

Seriously?  A great troll is one who finally get put on ignore by everyone?  Hell, I could make a new account and probably achieve that in about 5 seconds flat.  It took him months of trolling.

I think he is here for some time and we still discuss this guy - his techniques are excellent, he is much smarter than the low-paid trolls and shills and basically knows what he is talking about.

I detest trolling, but his methods and techniques are really brilliant.



47. Post 9776032 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

do we expect to hear something regarding fridays auction today?



48. Post 9777331 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

get a little the feeling that auction went gentlemen.

but I can be horribly wrong.



49. Post 9778002 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

Quote from: empowering on December 08, 2014, 05:30:58 PM


Maybe they had the 100k BTC in an address, and the idea was going to be to send 50K split to the new winners, and 50K to a new storage address..... maybe one of the 2000 blocks did not sell? and so is being returned with the 50 k to a storage address?

(who knows though, i have not looked at this, nor thought about it very hard tbh ^ just first thing that comes to mind + I kinda lean towards thinking the lots would all sell, so probably some other explanation, actually thinking out loud here, but what is with the 4999.95 BTC amounts, if they were all going to be distributed to winners, would that mean that winners all won 5K ie 2k+3k bids? if that is the case then seems all very symmetrical to me)

I thought of that, but did not want to come across as a permabear troll FUD spreader! Like you, I also think it is unlikely. Why hold back 2k?
Yeh, the distribution is also wierdly symmetrical  Undecided

hah... do you read this thread very closely ? I am certainly not a perma bear, nor a fud spreader lol... but then I am not here to fanfare  either, if there is a chance a 2K block did not sell (or did not get paid for)  then that would be interesting , is all.. and yes I know it sooooundsss FUD like/perma-bear talk, but it ain't , just speculation bro.  Like I said, I tend to lean towards the blocks all selling.


Did the US marshalls say they had 144K of Bitcoins from Ross himself?

so the 99,999 just split into 11 lots (there were 11 bidders?) could have been split 52K back to storage , and 48k sent to winners (the 11 addresses add up to is the 100k and then the 44 K in the address 12pfPVkSNPb49Ez6GDuc4DuDdw4WCDCVef is the remaining of the 144k from Ross??)

I dunno,pure  speculation tbh




draper said he won a lot with 2k - do not find in the transaction - but I also assume we have more than 1 winner



50. Post 9787300 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

Quote from: jonoiv on December 09, 2014, 03:49:57 PM
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2014/12/09/secondmarket-nearly-sweeps-latest-bitcoin-auction/

186 internal bids from the syndicate

I assume we get to know the price with that amount of bidders



51. Post 9788022 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

Quote from: billyjoeallen on December 09, 2014, 04:51:01 PM
Hey billy well played sticking to your guns.

Thanks. I think $320 is a false bottom. Even if it is the bottom, it will be tested several times so there is no need to jump on the train the first time. Don't expect help from the BearWhale's millions above $300.

For those of you who say you're holding no matter what- why are you watching the charts? Do you enjoy pain? Let me spare you the suspense: It's prolly gonna creep up enough to give what-ever's left of the permabulls and the naive a false sense of security, and then we're gonna hammer you again.



I think we are close to the bitcoin is death phase - maybe very close.



52. Post 9789639 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.38h):

Quote from: dEBRUYNE on December 09, 2014, 07:50:25 PM
I know lots of people like her followed reptilia ardently, but look where he is now. Somewhere pumping some scamcoin and playing some forum-based medieval kingdom RPG to blend out the dire reality. It's sad.

What's important to understand is that it is way worse to make a bad move than to make no move. The easiest way to do this is realize that there are actually hundreds of opportunities you aren't taking every day, where you are missing out on so much money. It's only that you have a limited scope of attention so you will be only psychologically exposed to some.

"There is the plain fool, who does the wrong thing at all times everywhere, but there is also the Wall Street fool, who thinks he must trade all the time. No man can have adequate reasons for buying or selling stocks daily– or sufficient knowledge to make his play an intelligent play." - Reminiscences of a Stock Operater, a great book.

Why do you think Monero (XMR) is a scamcoin? Please give some proper arguments if you are going to accuse a coin of being a scam.


also normally following blitz but this is at least interesting



53. Post 9820704 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on December 12, 2014, 05:02:14 PM


"Growing adoption" would be more people buying bitcoin for the purpose of paying for goods and services.  As has been pointed out many times, there is no reliable data on that parameter.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_9XBWgO2LE

growing adoptions first and foremost means more people having bitcoins



54. Post 9855322 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

we are getting closer Smiley




55. Post 9858015 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):

well ripple would be the last token I would pump but anyway.


this market is gone full retard



56. Post 9889521 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.40h):

the most interesting thing that happened in the last days is that the gap between btc-e and the other exchanges closed.

lol even leading at this point of time.



57. Post 10152489 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.48h):

Quote from: gotmilk_ on January 14, 2015, 02:21:11 PM
What will friday bring. Cheesy
https://twitter.com/AdamGuerbuez/status/555289659958628352
(guy who twitted about stamp problems 24h before stamp went down...)

https://twitter.com/AdamGuerbuez/status/555211459010256897

this does not sound as bullish as the latest post.

I assume some people here know what is happening - I do not.




58. Post 10229590 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

since all this price discovery games are psychological/sociological and at this point completely detached from the fundamentals I think we buttomed - even in the case we did not I think it is a wonderful time to buy because I assume we will not see a long term price level far beyond the current one.



59. Post 10233710 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):

Quote from: jaberwock on January 23, 2015, 07:15:40 AM
Forum back online & we back to up 230.

I wonder how low we would be if site went down for some day

New bitcoin exchange in the USA

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2015/01/22/winklevoss-twins-aim-to-take-bitcoin-mainstream-with-a-regulated-exchange/?_r=0

also the news is probably wrong.


This entire site and post looks like a big hoax to me.


Quote
(an ETF focused on bringing bitcoin investment exposure to main street investors)
WTF is main street?

Quote
(including me and Tyler)
You would rather say "Tyler and me".


The domain is registered at the Scamhost "GoDaddy" with the email "geminiholdingsllc@gmail.com" LoL. (https://who.godaddy.com/whoisstd.aspx?domain=gemini.com&prog_id=GoDaddy)

A quick search for "Gemini IP, LLC" gives multiple results on google from 2013 and before in different states like Wisconsin and Texas LoL.

yep all fake and hoax,

it is so fake that one of the twins posted the news with his verified reddit account



60. Post 10259423 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: gentlemand on January 25, 2015, 09:58:46 PM
First U.S. Bitcoin Exchange Set to Open
Coinbase Has Backing From the NYSE, Banks and Venture Capitalists
http://www.wsj.com/articles/first-u-s-bitcoin-exchange-set-to-open-1422221641

Is this their lunar announcement ?

It's big enough for me.

can someone post the whole article here



61. Post 10259689 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

Quote from: chairforce1 on January 25, 2015, 10:39:44 PM
How is this good news?

My thought is this makes the acquisition of BTC safer, easier, and more available.

yep horrible news - one does not get busted by the exchanges so you only have to buy your bitcoins once, not twice or three times

less demand

sell all your coins  Grin



62. Post 10259881 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.52h):

most interesting question for me now is who was responsible for the crash a week and a half ago ?



63. Post 10266522 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Quote from: gkv9 on January 26, 2015, 02:05:55 PM
And there we go to 270$
People already dumping  Undecided

But what made them start dumping and killing BTC again??? What's in the news that's taking down BTC?

sell teh news - well sheepfarm over here Wink

let us see if we are above 270 or not tonight - I have an assumption but probably the market is more stupid than one could imagine



64. Post 10266632 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

Quote from: mrkavasaki on January 26, 2015, 02:11:55 PM
so the pump is over?

no

it is starting after the kids finished their sheeping




65. Post 10266955 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.53h):

even though this is the trollbox


the difference between coinbases regulated exchange and the other smaller (do not want to be disrespectul) exchanges will be that it is embedded in a financial industry climate. it also does not need to be kicked off as gemini due to having a huge customer base.

but anyway



66. Post 10299078 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):

Quote from: Sitarow on January 29, 2015, 12:58:26 PM
6300 to 220 @ Finex  Grin

Cmon finex traders, show you balls and push china higher this time. Enough of their bear games

The plan is to creep sideways and slightly down so that short sellers will take positions and then we're gonna pump 'til we squeeze 'em.


I would say it is quite the opposite. we are waiting for more longs to open and then we will squeeze them like bugs on our way to 120 $.



I wouldn't dare to open a long position (leveraged) in the current market. Doing so screams for an accident waiting to happen. Going in now is fine, but for the love of Satoshi, please not on leverage!

This has been exploited by malicious actor's back when btc was worth $6 to $9

since when is the market driven by this leveraged trade? any specific point of time?



67. Post 10322924 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: bassclef on January 31, 2015, 08:02:50 PM
Tony Gallippi is just desperately trying to hype.
I wanna remind y'all that Barry Silbert said the same exact thing all throughout 2014. "I know that Wall Street is coming into bitcoin in a big way".

Guess naht lel

Hence the prolonged bear market and recent shakeouts. That is how Wall Street buys.

this is the sad part of the story...

what do the bears expect once btc has a proper regulation? they will hype the shit out of bitcoin and they are already slowly preparing. see the last posts of some well respected financial journals.



68. Post 10323644 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.55h):

Quote from: YourMother on January 31, 2015, 11:22:36 PM

CAPITULATION



now even the beartrolls think we are there Smiley



69. Post 10377444 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=945881.0

whether you are a bull or a bear, I think this guy is probably one of the biggest inherent flaws of the system. the daily inflation by miners could be tiny compared to this


for the long-term bulls. do what he is saying, not just for coin security but also for money supply.



70. Post 10469603 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.58h):

Quote from: JorgeStolfi on February 15, 2015, 04:40:14 PM
bter.com Cold Wallet looks empty, bro.
http://www.walletexplorer.com/wallet/Bter.com-cold/addresses

2 test-withdrawals of 195 BTC followed 7 minutes later by 7160 BTCs!!

2015-02-14 04:32:26   -7160.00011538    0.00028815               f5b0363f03e1ed8bb812…
2015-02-14 04:25:56   -90.                      7160.00040353             f6a3cd44800621cbab9c…
2015-02-14 04:25:56   -105.                    7250.00040353            4a700f46a583d5856833…

That is a bit misleading.  AFAIK there was a single 7170 BTC transaction that cleaned out the cold wallet (minus the fractions of BTC).  This page gives a better view:

http://www.walletexplorer.com/wallet/Bter.com-cold

Apparently the hot and cold wallets were set up so that +15 BTC were typically sent from hot to cold, and -100 BTC were sent (less frequently, of course) from cold to hot.  Perhaps both were automated?  Anyway, the last two -100 BTC transactions are typical, the -7170 BTC transaction is not.

The 7170 stolen BTC have been split into chunks of 1000 BTC or so.  They are worth ~1.7 M USD at current prices.

never had the coins. Fractional reserve is bad apples.

From the above page, it seems that they had those BTC allright.  Whether it is theft or embezzlement, who knows.

It seems that Bter was mostly into LTC and DOGE trading, and they promised to let clients withdraw those soon.  Let's  see.


it is out of question that they had them - what is more interesting is how many coins they issued within the bter system

I have the strong assumption that some exchanges cannot handle increasing prices, due to they fractional reserve banking.



71. Post 10795750 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):

Quote from: fonzie on March 16, 2015, 10:36:05 PM
Now I understand why zuckerberg wiped the floor with them and took facebook for himself. these guys are idiots.

The movie was not flattering to them either Grin
I would not say they were taken to the cleaners. They ended up earning hundreds of millions with essentially having done nothing.

That´s the reason why they are considered heroes among Bitcoiners.  Smiley


 Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



72. Post 11036645 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.10h):

http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/321pb3/paypal_just_filed_this_document_to_the_sec/



73. Post 11044380 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.10h):

seems the mood is close to the 14th of january again

 Grin



74. Post 11044476 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.10h):

Quote from: Biro Bob on April 10, 2015, 04:23:26 PM
Does anyone else think that Bitcoin is losing its appeal because its anonymity is being called into question and people are gambling on other altcoins with better anonymity?

who seriously thinks bitcoin has a high level of anonymity has not spend 20 minutes of using it



75. Post 11177620 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

Quote from: derpinheimer on April 23, 2015, 09:17:21 PM

Could be a lot of things. Perhaps Kraken moving funds in preparation for the MtGox proceedings.

I went back and checked some of the other historical spikes in BDD. They tended to correlate to spikes upwards, not downwards.
(Dec 13, Mar-Apr 14).

I hope we learn more details around this.

There is taint from here (2 yr old though)

https://blockchain.info/address/1BBqjKsYuLEUE9Y5WzdbzCtYzCiQgHqtPN

I don't know so *shrug*

Gox coins is best guess right now i think
How odd. They went into the wallet April 9th.. the day of the MtGox lag price crash..

Maybe this is a stoploss? Price is approaching the original buying price?

this guy/girl just send 101 btc of the 70k coins - the rest is still in the wallet ?!



76. Post 11187000 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.12h):

so gbtc seems to start according to twitter post



77. Post 11455082 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.15h):

https://blog.xapo.com/announcing-xapos-advisory-board/

not a single f*** is given by the market.

maybe we see a 5$ increase in marketprice once they announce it becomes world reserve currency - but I assume even in that case it will drop Grin



78. Post 11633516 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.17h):

mothership is moving ?  Grin



79. Post 11728420 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

greece: it's official Grin whatever the fuck that means.


anyway serious newspapers in the eu are speculating that banks in greece will not open on monday  Grin



80. Post 11729525 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

this is traders place but anyway I am economist and I can tell you that within the next week shit will hit the fan in greece:

I have no idea how this should work out without capital controls, I see no way how they will stop people from running the ATMs: I assume the ECB will stop giving the greek banks fiat over the next days etc. pp.

I really feel sorry for the greece people and I am ashamed of the position my government as well as the rest of the eu have driven: I would really motivate the greek bitcoiners here to sell on localbitcoin over the next weeks - you could really make a difference in the lifes of some people



81. Post 11734150 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):

according to bbc the ecb really stops giving fiat to the greece

mayhem



82. Post 11738747 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):

very interesting week incoming - climax is the referendum on sunday.

syriza and probably all ultra left wing politics in the eu will see its legitimacy on that day.




83. Post 11839618 (copy this link) (by nakaone) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):

wtf is happening on huobi?