All posts made by Tstar in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 12831271 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.30h):
Obvious manipulation. Nothing special, nor surprising.
That is obvious for you but not for everybody.
I thought the same but my feeling is that I hate these sort of things.
Once again, as you said, it's not surprising.
2.
Post 12881219 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
Whatever will happen I feel as a spectator/player of something unbelievable.
Maybe I'm too new for this but guys this is absolutely fascinating.
I waited two years to see this again.
3.
Post 12902764 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):
koryu I would like to see and read more from your analysis. Open a different thread because this one moves too fast!
Very interesting to compare what you said in October to what actually happened. Well done
4.
Post 12903379 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):
Forum DDOS are so 2013 ...
This always seems to happen when there's a rally. Half the exchanges and bitcointalk get attacked. There was nothing on the bitcointalk twitter account a few hours ago. If the DDOS attack continues there will probably be an update posted there. My browser has been taking ten minutes to get a page loaded for the last half a day.
The same here. The forum was unreachable since this morning.
Now it is 18.30 Europe time.
Come on bulls, it's time to destroy this fat bears.
5.
Post 12912372 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):
Are we still in bull trap mode? Or what do you think the next general trend is?
Better question is, when, if ever, is the China/US $15-20 spread going to end.
I'm asking this since the dump stopped. Why is there so much difference? And yes is it going to last or not?
I don't like to know there's too much spread between China and USa/EU. That's not healthy
6.
Post 12912400 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.32h):
Are we still in bull trap mode? Or what do you think the next general trend is?
the price will be stagnant until next incredible news and/or halving.
Good thing is that we know there are a lot of money that go to bitcoin trading when there's a good time. These are time accumulate some by playing sideways.
7.
Post 12945200 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):
What gets me is just how brazen and rude it is
Rational people just roll their eyes when Bitcoin goes up and they're alway right
Not really. It's pretty simple; as soon as the demand becomes greater than the supply we're going up. This is just natural and I'm eager to see what is going to happen near and after the halving. Didn't the price always fluctuate (mostly towards down) after the Bitcoin auctions? Both sides are pretty weak depending on where you look. It could go either way anytime (although staying at $300 would be good).
Don't get me wrong: I do not want to compare BTC to LTC but as far as I remember the LTC halving didn't have much impact on LTC prices.
I'm not saying that it will be the same thing with BTC but it seems to me there are other things, much more powerful, that can shake the BTC trading for the good or the bad. So far what I've seen always happening is that when chinese buy, volume and price tend to the sky
8.
Post 12945330 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):
What gets me is just how brazen and rude it is
Rational people just roll their eyes when Bitcoin goes up and they're alway right
Not really. It's pretty simple; as soon as the demand becomes greater than the supply we're going up. This is just natural and I'm eager to see what is going to happen near and after the halving. Didn't the price always fluctuate (mostly towards down) after the Bitcoin auctions? Both sides are pretty weak depending on where you look. It could go either way anytime (although staying at $300 would be good).
Don't get me wrong: I do not want to compare BTC to LTC but as far as I remember the LTC halving didn't have much impact on LTC prices.
I'm not saying that it will be the same thing with BTC but it seems to me there are other things, much more powerful, that can shake the BTC trading for the good or the bad. So far what I've seen always happening is that when chinese buy, volume and price tend to the sky
Actually i think it trippled in value..then stopped on double value
Look at the chart from August 25th onwards: nothing really happened. Only a very tiny increase in volume nothing else
9.
Post 12948061 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):
If you notice, it coordinated perfectly with U.S. stock market bull run in 2013. So keep your eye on the U.S. stock market. Btw, statistics say that during election years, the U.S. stock market has around ~86% of having a bull run instead of a bear run. And 2016 is an election year. So maybe next year is the year, who knows.
on the other hand, gold use to bottom within +/- 6 months from a US presidential election. Then we'll see if btc quacks like a stock or sound money.
Totally agree. Also, we've never seen what happens to btc during a true financial crash, since it was born after one. It could crash just like a stock, dunno. People like to rush to fiat during financial crisis.
Never thought about that! Very interesting: it will be a first time and, of course, an epic one. If the US economy will start to crack a bit no one here can imagine what is going to happen next. You guys gave something to think about. Better be prepared anyway
10.
Post 12954375 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):
Why don't you build bridges, buildings and fountains with CAD instead of tracing lines on a chart?
IMO I don't see 500$ much close these days anymore. We need another China momentum and that does not happen every day.
11.
Post 12954544 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.33h):
Why don't you build bridges, buildings and fountains with CAD instead of tracing lines on a chart?
IMO I don't see 500$ much close these days anymore. We need another China momentum and that does not happen every day.
You don't see 500 these days?
It was 500 literally 7-10 days ago.
I wanted to say for the NEXT days.
12.
Post 12994888 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
@oda.krell
Good reads for the day, actually maybe a week considering the amount of info you're giving here.
This paper provides a model that explains the success of certain trading rules that are based on patterns in past prices. We point to the importance of confirmation bias, which has been shown to play a key role in other types of decision making. Traders who acquire information and trade on the basis of that information tend to bias their interpretation of subsequent information in the direction of their original view. This produces autocorrelations and patterns of price movement that can predict future prices, such as the “head-and-shoulders” and “double-top” patterns.
Interesting
13.
Post 12996318 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
@oda.krell
Good reads for the day, actually maybe a week considering the amount of info you're giving here.
This paper provides a model that explains the success of certain trading rules that are based on patterns in past prices. We point to the importance of confirmation bias, which has been shown to play a key role in other types of decision making. Traders who acquire information and trade on the basis of that information tend to bias their interpretation of subsequent information in the direction of their original view. This produces autocorrelations and patterns of price movement that can predict future prices, such as the “head-and-shoulders” and “double-top” patterns.
Interesting
In this sense, the math (and market understanding) of the research above is way higher than actual TA.
However, for a smaller part of the TA population, the intuitive "algorithms" they rely on are a lot more complex than the crude approximations by the authors in the form of actual formal algorithms. As an analogy I've used before, think of chess opening (or endgame) theory, which for the longest time in the history of chess engine research was a matter of frustration - the best formal algorithms simply never got anywhere near the human-employed "algorithms" (that has changed by now however, as far as I know, in addition to the obvious "outcomputing humans" aspect of computer chess). In this sense, the academic research on TA is
less sophisticated than actual TA.
Sure as hell I can see why and how is "way higher than actual TA". I'm not used to read scientific papers anymore but I'll try to finish it. It's a bit of an headache. Thanks for the valuable contribution. And I agree with the chess opening example: I've always thought that
14.
Post 13011708 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
bacon.
Don't forget eggs! And sausages, what about sausages? Some chips would be nice as well
15.
Post 13020820 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
The problem is they probably won't hear it because the actual reason to limit bitcoin usage has nothing to do with IS or terrorists.
...?
You're new here. What brand of conspiracy theorist are you?
Classic answer when one has no point: BTC has nothing to do with terrorist funding we all know it. I hete this need of labelling everything with "conspiracy".
Let's make it clear: if one wants big money out of BTC one needs to link an exchange account with a bank account and therefore complete AML/KYC!
Or do you think terrosism is funded with satoshis?
16.
Post 13029906 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
Looks like something's happening amongst the Knights of The Round Table. I really don't understand all this. Just give a working
BTC I don't care about all the disputes. Is that so difficult? You see when the human part comes into place, everything goes nuts
17.
Post 13031564 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
Looks like something's happening amongst the Knights of The Round Table. I really don't understand all this. Just give a working
BTC I don't care about all the disputes. Is that so difficult? You see when the human part comes into place, everything goes nuts
I agree, there is more talk about personality and agendas than actual discussion of development. The former can more easily be skewed.
Math actually contains real answers.
That's exactly what I meant: I don't care about those discussions so long as they do not involve active development. I got interested in bitcoin because of what you say here
Math actually contains real answers.
18.
Post 13037742 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
I don't see 360$ anytime soon we still have to wait. Unless some of you poor guys buy some more bitcoins in loads! Do it come on!
19.
Post 13055096 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.34h):
very stable price it's good
It's boring.
It's good for merchants right now: they know what they earn and they don't have to worry about the socalled volatility. For traders, maybe. It depends on what kind of trader one is. But generally no it's quite boring. Even bitcoinwisdom loses interest these days.
20.
Post 13072991 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):
Up we go again, this is it. Let's follow the movement once more, let's find patterns where there are none and let's wait for the skyrocket to jump into the sky.
So........... China again???
21.
Post 13076169 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):
Shorting on the correction at 357.16. Lost a few bucks yesterday after getting stopped out, hope to make it all back for Black Friday.
Ballsy! Good luck to you.
Closed at 352.17. Whew...
nice
Should've left it open
Should is a verb it "should" not be used in trading. You simply ignore it. Take your profit and that's it. No should, I should have ... whatever.
22.
Post 13082509 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):
And we're going up once more. This is a rollercoaster at the moment and we all know it.
Sure thing is fun as hell! Let's see what this Black Friday brings here
23.
Post 13118225 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.35h):
I bought most of my bitcoins when they were around 200$. Until we are above 300$ I really don't care about price movement: I only monitor it to avoid future losses. If we go up better for me
24.
Post 13148796 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.36h):
It [blockchain] has the potential to redefine transactions and the back office of a multitude of different industries. From banking and payments to notaries to voting systems to vehicle registrations to wire fees to gun checks to academic records to trade settlement to cataloguing ownership of works of art, a distributed shared ledger has the potential to make interactions quicker, less-expensive and safer.
Then we can forget something like Florida 2000...remember?
http://www.factcheck.org/2008/01/the-florida-recount-of-2000/
25.
Post 13155977 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.36h):
best case sanrio
snip
I hope you went long Adam..
I like that! That would make us all happy @ Christmas! Those are dates shown in the "best case scenario". Let's find some Bitcoins under the Christmas tree
26.
Post 13163797 (copy this link) (by Tstar) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.36h):
I don't know what you see but I see again a lot of spread between the exchanges. Huobi is trading over 408$ while finex is 395. It seems price is recovering from the 407$ dump
