All posts made by PaivanTreidi in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 29445404 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.41h):
Long time follower, first post.
I'm not going to say much.
8000 will hold
10k by Monday.
ATH April 12th.
2.
Post 29446175 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.41h):
Long time follower, first post.
I'm not going to say much.
8000 will hold
10k by Monday.
ATH April 12th.
is there news on april 12th or is it based on some tradingview retard prediction ?
Wow.
First post.
Make a prediction - - - - > get called a retard. I guess I had it coming. Should have realised that I actually have to KNOW what will happen next to post.
Yes. Just my retard prediction. And no. There is no news I'm aware about then. It just happens to be about 70 days from now. I figure that is enough for the winds change significantly. Again... Just a retard prediction though.
3.
Post 29447750 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.41h):
correction : realistic predictions are welcome, backed by logic or a bit of fact if possible
That buy wall on gdax makes me think 8k holding is perfectly realistic. We might stay between 8k and 8.5 for while. Once 8 has been tested for long enough and has held the bulls will wake up again. This is mainly FUD in my retard opinion.
4.
Post 29448381 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.41h):
correction : realistic predictions are welcome, backed by logic or a bit of fact if possible
That buy wall on gdax makes me think 8k holding is perfectly realistic. We might stay between 8k and 8.5 for while. Once 8 has been tested for long enough and has held the bulls will wake up again. This is mainly FUD in my retard opinion.
you're stupid...this walls get removed the moment someone sells into them, oldest trick ever
7960$ on GDAX
- you're welcome
I don't have any significant holdings in crypto. This is just my honest retard view on how this will play out. Might be wrong. And I will be happy to admit it. Mostly joined to have someone to share my views on crypto with.
Edit: I was wrong. ... For now.
5.
Post 29568591 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
Slightly off topic but still.. I'm not German. But I have to ask... WTF is wrong with Merkel? A civilised answer backed with facts please. You never know... I might agree if the evidence is there.
6.
Post 29644133 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
So... sell a bit to take profit next week ?
Next week we could be fighting over the bones. I'd say run now.
I am buying now. The price is right and it won't be for long.
7.
Post 29677050 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
Now it's just pushing it.
Any time the price will reverse and everybody gonna start buying
Here it comes...
8.
Post 29678232 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
Now it's just pushing it.
Any time the price will reverse and everybody gonna start buying
Here it comes...
not strong enough yet.
Dunno. Looking stronger by the moment...
9.
Post 29698218 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
8k will be touched today. We are way overdue a bigger bounce. Not saying it will stay above it though.
10.
Post 29711352 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
The big idea behind crypto and blockchain aside, and purely from a speculative viewpoint, I see this spot as a lottery right now. Are the odds there to buy buy buy...? Do you think there is a more than 10-15% chance that bitcoin will break 60k in the future? If so... Buy buy buy.
11.
Post 29718457 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
was the bottom in or not? I bought back, then sold again, now buying back... or.. not?!
The bottom was 6200
Been told by who...?
Lots of random internet people.
12.
Post 29748193 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.42h):
SMA 200 is roughly 8000. Would be weird if we are below it for long. Bitcoin is very weird though.
13.
Post 30357991 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.44h):
10
14.
Post 42948020 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.02h):
I just think it’s kinda cute how most of the Republican administration seems to be in bed with Russia. Quite literally.
It’s also fun to point out how many right wingers are traitors, prepared to sell democracy down the river for a few bucks.
I just hope all of us deplorable traitors can steer America away from socialism, lest we become a failed state like Britain.
Yep. All them social democracy countries just keep on failing.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Fragile_States_Indexhttps://youtu.be/A9UmdY0E8hULOL
15.
Post 48527660 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.19h):
I wonder if and when bitcoin price will surpass the page number on the forum.
16.
Post 48578126 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
Now that I have 12 buy orders in all the way down to EUR2100 i guess it's pretty much safe to say that the bottom was in a few days ago.
17.
Post 48608802 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
Yes, but the question still is WHO. From the sentiment it doesn't look like the buying is coming from retail investors at all. Traders, whales... maybe. Don't really know, thus my question.
Whatevs. Price goes down -> I buy. Mechanically. As always.
Same. I dunno what the fudge everyone is waiting for. I'm buying. I guess I'm all alone with this but I feel completely fomoed... Everytime I see a green candle I get scared... what if my knife catching 10 (retail) buy orders down to EUR2300 will never fill?
I'm calling it... NOW is the time.
18.
Post 48649850 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
Still buying. Have all the rest of my ammo on buy orders between EUR 2940 and 2800. It's going to the moon from the 200wk moving avg. ...
I know. Just blowing my mouth off.
But...
Sooner or later others will be thinking the same though and then it WILL start going back up again and we wont see this low for years.
Yes. I do think it will go close to 0 some day.... In the mid 2030s
19.
Post 48666924 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
we are on the 200 wk right now. it's make or break... not much of a bounce.
20.
Post 48667335 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
based on feeling alone and just so that I can quote this later... i don't think we'll be below 3200 for very long.
21.
Post 48682995 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
Still think 200wk SMA (3100-3200) is as low as we are going to go in the big picture. We should be in for a serious bounce very soon.
22.
Post 48683148 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.20h):
LOL .
I see 4400 in 10 days.
I think we are all just seeing things at these levels though.
23.
Post 51008979 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.45h):
Calling that the top! at least for now
Dunno man. 7.5k on stamp
24.
Post 51051197 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.46h):
By the logic of some of the idiotic maximalist comments in this thread, once gold nuggets were dug out of the ground there was no further need for diversification - not minted coins, not account based trading, not paper notes and not lightweight metals. Popular music need not have bothered itself further after the Beatles. The sovereign bond didn't need to be hedged by equities, commodities nor currencies, Fine Art investments were all "scams" after Da Vinci.
Don't you nuttheads get markets or what ? The whole point of them is that they're not tyrannies. There is diversity to address everything from taste to hedging requirements to technical deficiencies and vertical sectors.
Without diversification in the crypto-asset market bitcoin would still be in 3 digits.
jeez. imagine there were no airplanes invented yet. satoshi invents a full functioning modern airplane. it works. provably. and now there are 2 or 3000 others that build "airplanes" that are much cheaper (no wings), much lighter (no engines) or are made out of bamboo. you are saying that people should use those fake airplanes. that is not diversification. just pure scamming of people. alts offer no use case. they don´t fly. the idiotic comments are yours. amazing.
I think he is saying that helicopters can also fly and are not necessarily always 100% sh1t + they have also brought new things to the table like flying just 1 - 3 people a short distance to a city 200miles away that has no airport with a runway...
25.
Post 51058859 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.46h):
The institutions are finally figuring it out that it really is all about bitcoin and building trading, exchange, settlement and international transmittance layers on top of Bitcoin.
Eh...they're not actually. They're figuring out it's about diversification. Not least because of 3 things:
1. no investor in possession of their senses doesn't diversify their portfolios within any asset class
2. they understand that monetary assets are not a natural monopoly
3. they understand that the most expensive asset in the class does not always have the most upside
The "God made bitcoin so we don't need anything else" delusional hopium in this thread is quaint, but you already lost that war 5 years ago and diversification is a one-way street. That is one genie that does not go back in the bottle.
Tokonormal.
How are competitors against Facebook doing? Against Apple? Against Amazon? Against Netflix? Against Google? Do you want to diversify into second tier versions of the FAANGs?
No you do not.
They each completely dominate their market segment.
As does Bitcoin.
Diversification is about picking the best of each market segment and buying a little of each. It is not about chasing penny stocks.
Are you saying nobody should have bought apple 20 years ago?
I think that is what we are talking about here. You are buying sh1tloads of compaq and IBM and blockbuster... At the time they were the giants.
I don't pretend to know the future but I do know a good saying about the person who laughs last...
26.
Post 51121618 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.47h):
She could soap my Aston any time. Polish my Pagani.
lather my Lada
Shine my Skoda
Or just sit in my Seat.
27.
Post 51137280 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.47h):
The market recently has matured and such news doesn't change anything. In fact, more traders realize that such news trigger short lived bull balloons that pop up pretty quickly. Without ETF, we will see a steady growth beyond 20K. We entered the year-before-the-halving-accumulation zone and everyone who is clever enough, buys and waits at least six months after the halving. That is the reason there are so few bitcoins on the exchanges in the last months. IMO, this is the main reason for the bull run and not some rumors.
In this case you can buy now and hold till Q4 then sell at $20k+ (I'm sure we'll see an ATH this year) which will be a very nice profit. If you're patient enough you can hold up to 6 months after the halving and sell at another ATH ($100-500k+ per BTC). So you can't really lose it's only a matter of how long you're willing to wait and how much money you will finally receive. Win-win
I don't get it
Why is everyone aiming to sell for FIAT? If and when crypto does go sky high late in 2020 then why would you turn to something that is losing its value? It just doesn't make sense. Either you believe that BTC will rule or you don't.
I'm just looking forward to the day (ca 2025) I can quit my job and buy a big summerhouse next to a lake for 0.1BTC.
28.
Post 51137759 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.47h):
The market recently has matured and such news doesn't change anything. In fact, more traders realize that such news trigger short lived bull balloons that pop up pretty quickly. Without ETF, we will see a steady growth beyond 20K. We entered the year-before-the-halving-accumulation zone and everyone who is clever enough, buys and waits at least six months after the halving. That is the reason there are so few bitcoins on the exchanges in the last months. IMO, this is the main reason for the bull run and not some rumors.
In this case you can buy now and hold till Q4 then sell at $20k+ (I'm sure we'll see an ATH this year) which will be a very nice profit. If you're patient enough you can hold up to 6 months after the halving and sell at another ATH ($100-500k+ per BTC). So you can't really lose it's only a matter of how long you're willing to wait and how much money you will finally receive. Win-win
I don't get it
Why is everyone aiming to sell for FIAT? If and when crypto does go sky high late in 2020 then why would you turn to something that is losing its value? It just doesn't make sense. Either you believe that BTC will rule or you don't.
I'm just looking forward to the day (ca 2025) I can quit my job and buy a big summerhouse next to a lake for 0.1BTC.
In about three halving (2028), transaction fees would need to be $20 or thereabouts for miners to stay on BTC and stay afloat.
Feel free to explain how to "rule" when fees are crazy high. It only gets worse every 4 years.
Noted.
BUT
I would have to pay my broker EUR35 to buy "gold" today. Any amount.
AND
Fiat value will nose dive like a mf if BTC rules
We'll just have to see.
29.
Post 51139427 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.47h):
Lots of selling & people trying to send the price into the 7500’s or lower.
Bitcoin community & traders -
So someone knows that tomorrow VanEck ETF denial or delay
The upcoming VanEck ETF decision could certainly have a serious impact on $BTC price
Denial = Pull back the current price regardless of how good it looked this wknd
Approval =push the price to new yearly high & create mass FOMO buying
Delay = Expected & likely little change
https://twitter.com/Josh_Rager/status/1130326881859964928?ref_src=twsrc%5EtfwIt is interesting that this ETF thing is so important. This side of the pond I could have invested in crypto ETFs for years now... Nothing new...
30.
Post 51140526 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.47h):
It is interesting that this ETF thing is so important. This side of the pond I could have invested in crypto ETFs for years now... Nothing new...
AFAIK, Crypto ETFs are baskets of shares of selected crypto companies. I think a
cryptocurrency ETF exists already, but it includes ETH and other shitcoins. The ETFs under SEC scrutiny would include btc only. What's more, some of them are designed for settlement in kind, not in cash (that is, bitcoin - not USD). The importance or usefulness of such a financial instrument is debatable, but it can't be dismissed as "nothing new".
Where's the novelty? Everyone would be able to buy (paper) btc through their stock market broker, without having an account at an exchange. Besides, if the settlement is really in kind, the ETF issuer would have to hold/buy/sell matching amounts of the underlying asset (btc) or bear the risk when the ETF holder asks for payment. That is, if fuckery can be ruled out. Which is a big IF.
The swedes have an ETN that tracks Bitcoin only. They call it an etf. As I understand it it is an ETN though.
31.
Post 51282719 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.49h):
8.8 - > 9 - > 10 - > 9.2 incoming in next 48 hours. I don't belive we will blow through 10.
32.
Post 51283187 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.49h):
Here we go go go.
33.
Post 51283341 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.49h):
8.8 - > 9 - > 10 - > 9.2 incoming in next 48 hours. I don't belive we will blow through 10.
Hopefully, you are not betting too much on that.
I kind of agree that BTC has to meet significant and meaningful resistance at some point, but if a lot of people (shorters) are betting on $10k not being breached, then it seems to me that too many stacking of bets in that direction creates fuel for $10k to be breached.. ... which might be premature, but seems that shorters and bear tears are contributing to such ongoing irrationality in bitcoin's ongoing upwards price movements.
So at some point the bears gotta get over their wet dreams of BTC's seemingly "imminent and inevitable" severe downward correction, and give into bitcoin's upwards power.. and at that point, she might be ready for the decently severe correction.
No. Permahodl.
34.
Post 51551426 (copy this link) (by PaivanTreidi) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.52h):
Strap in. It's coming.