For me, those two facts are signals that this downtrend is coming to an end, thoughts? 

We will go below the long-term exponential trend, which is now at $450, and spend a long time there.
Although the trend rises fast (double every 99 days), I have a full conviction that we will go below $500 again, likely $400, unlikely $300.
Of course the capitulation can only come after "everybody" has bought back in, so please do as you wish
I am prepared to wait until March. If it happens next week I am all good, but then the price will again go up, and there will be yet another crash later, before we resume uptrend.I always like to see what you have to say and I am pretty impressed by your call on the last dip and bounce. What is your take on the bear chart on the other thread in regards to coin days lost?