For me, those two facts are signals that this downtrend is coming to an end, thoughts? 

We will go below the long-term exponential trend, which is now at $450, and spend a long time there.
Although the trend rises fast (double every 99 days), I have a full conviction that we will go below $500 again, likely $400, unlikely $300.
Of course the capitulation can only come after "everybody" has bought back in, so please do as you wish

I always like to see what you have to say and I am pretty impressed by your call on the last dip and bounce. What is your take on the bear chart on the other thread in regards to coin days lost?