All posts made by KieranJones1 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 3731054 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
Maybe one of the reasons people are so keen for mBTC to be adopted as the "industry standard" is that they're scared Litecoin is too attractively priced.
2.
Post 3731195 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
It's just teasing us now.
3.
Post 3731402 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
:-XHere's a question - considering the Mt. Gox high (at the time of writing) is $985, and as far as I can tell, that's an all-time high and easily the highest of all the exchanges, does that mean that whoever places an order to buy at $1000 will be the first ever buyer of bitcoin(s) sold through an exchange at $1000+?
That's gotta be notable, right?
4.
Post 3731448 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
Awesome. Now that you mention it, I do remember it hitting $1000 in Chinese exchanges, but this is way more exciting to follow.
Thanks for answering!
5.
Post 3732384 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
I'm no economist, but wouldn't most BTC owners be holding right now till the price hits $1000, just out of a desire for the psychological satisfaction of receiving 1000*their stock of bitcoin? It seems odd that the price is hovering as if there's an equal volume of buy/sell offers.
6.
Post 3732427 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
Or, alternatively, everyone's going to sell at $1000 and the price will dramatically fall... don't worry, I'm really hoping it keeps rising too, but I can't shake the pessimistic feeling that it might not.
But enough of that. It feels so right that this is happening just before Bitcoin Black Friday - this could be a few days that go down in BTC history

7.
Post 3756740 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
Are 0% trading fees likely to increase or lower the price?
8.
Post 3758462 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
Wow, this company is based in the city just over from mine. They even have a hashtag for escorts in my city.
Needless to say, I don't intend to use their services. ($10,500 for one night with one of their "elite" ladies? Bargain!)
9.
Post 3758781 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
Sausage fest isn't it?
* Hawker wanders off to ponder why he is single.
no matter mate, At least bitcoiners have a sense of humour!

i know this guy. he holds 14000 btc.
* KieranJones1 suddenly finds himself attracted to Silverfalcon7
10.
Post 3760092 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
I'm
terrified about actually exchanging my BTC for fiat, but I managed to persuade myself to order a pizza using BTC a couple of hours ago. The place was out of Coke so they gave me a 70p refund when the food arrived.
Did I just sell someone 1mBTC?

11.
Post 3761229 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
Predicting 1500 in the next 24 hours
We can only dream...
12.
Post 3778880 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
Reckon we'll see a Bitstamp/Gox meeting point somewhere between 1150 and 1200?
13.
Post 3782823 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
So, yeah, all of you are right!!!
If it doesn't always move up, then it's going to crash hard!!!
And we all are very disappointed!!! Sure!!!

Yes that's what going to happen in the coming week!
You mean that it will be stable and we will all be diappointed?

This. People too often forget that there is a third alternative- the price may settle.
14.
Post 3817657 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
It seems Bitstamp is the "bottom" and Gox is the "top". The last settlement (as in, the last time the price came close to settling, given how volatile this market is), it was when Bitstamp and Gox prices came to the closest I've seen them since I started following the market a few months ago.
Experienced, wise speculators, does this make sense or am I talking out my ass?
15.
Post 3818081 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
Anybody else really, really surprised by the poll results? I mean, I'm very bullish (despite not really being a trader, just someone who has a non-life changing amount of BTC) and I think there's a small chance indeed that Bitcoin won't be superseded by the time the price is $30,000.
I'm not saying "sell now" at all - I think there's a long way left for Bitcoin - but $30,000 would be my prediction for, like, 2025, by which time I'm sure that there'll be a more dominant cryptocoin around. But as I said earlier, I'm a novice to this game, so please take my comments as mere speculation, not advice to more serious players

16.
Post 3818848 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
is there a thread that follows the news about the 90k bitcoin stolen from sheep market?
The
subreddit for Sheep follows the news pretty closely.
17.
Post 3819271 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
Gox just touched 1.2 USD/mBTC...
no it didn't. Also stop with dumb mBTC. We don't say google costs 1mUSD.
Don't act like it makes any difference. Nothing's changed. Just keep this tab open:

and you can pretend the decimal point isn't there, if you insist on reading the price of a full BTC.
I think what the bitcoin bandit could do is syphon off couple of hundred coins at a time, and just dump them on some of the latest transactions addresses to appear in bitcoin blockchain.
Imagine if you checked your wallet, and found your balance had 200 extra coins. Would you go and find out where they came from and politely return them. Or would you rush to an exchange and cash em out.
And of course, he now makes a bunch of strangers targets for the bitcoin mobsters whose money he stole.
This would be a good strategy, assuming the person behind Sheep isn't so greedy that they'll try to keep every single BTC they stole. However, all it would take is for somebody to say "hey, I just received 200 BTC from
that wallet, what's up with that?" and as soon as at least one other person confirms it happened, the strategy becomes transparent.
That said, if somebody did the maths and realised that they'd acquired $200,000 in drug money, I wonder if they'd be quite as public about it as I'm suggesting!
18.
Post 3819711 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
itīs the future. no mass adoption without mbtc.

The other day I ordered a pizza for 16 mBTC.
Doesn't that sound more natural to you than 0.016 bitcoins? The name "bitcoin", by invoking the noun "coin", just naturally suggests to people that it is an indivisible unit of currency. I could offer you "half a coin" of US currency, and although that's theoretically possible (I could saw the coin in half), it just doesn't really make sense when we consider what's traditionally understood by "coin".
Really, the ideal compromise would be to rename Bitcoin to "Bitgold" or similar - something that doesn't carry connotations of a whole unit by which trade is carried out - but obviously, at this point, that's almost too ridiculous to even consider. "Bitcoin" is here to stay, but if we're going to make people realise that they aren't limited to paying discrete multiples of one bitcoin, then the transition to mBTC as the principal unit of bitcoins is a good way of achieving that. It's also built into the concept of the infinitely divisible currency that we can continue to do this forever.
If and when a satoshi comes close to parity with the dollar, I'll be an advocate of switching to satoshis - and for some reason, I don't think that transition will be taken as poorly as this one has been. For some reason, people just seem uncomfortable with the term "mBTC".
P.S. the pizza thing is true, it was delicious
19.
Post 3819807 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
For those aiming to get by, 1 satoshi will be worth about $0.01-$0.10 soon, and is a very practical unit, as well as the multiples k and M. No need to deal with decimals.
Soon ?
I prefer to directly switch to satoshis too.
I am currently printing paper wallets of 100 000/250 000 satoshis as a gift/incentive to coworkers.
And also some with "one million satoshis" which sounds great. 10 mBTC is less fun.
That seems like a good bitcoin project opportunity - has anybody made a paper wallet service which allows you to change the unit displayed on the printout?
20.
Post 3819870 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
Gox just touched 1.2 USD/mBTC...
no it didn't. Also stop with dumb mBTC. We don't say google costs 1mUSD.
EDIT: Now it did.
I prefer mBTC... now we're passed it $1,203/BTC, $1.203/mBTC.
Its nice that you prefer it, but the thread title is BTC/USD. If you want to talk in small digits then go play with LTC.
Bitcoin is moving into big boys territory now so just deal with it.

So by that token, if I ask about the value of gold to the dollar, I mean the collective USD cost of every single ounce of gold on the planet? "BTC/USD" doesn't imply the quantity of BTC or the unit in which you're dealing. "1 mBTC" is still a BTC value.
If and when a satoshi comes close to parity with the dollar, I'll be an advocate of switching to satoshis
I don't think most of the world really cares about dollars.
I certainly don't; I'm from the UK. However, since the BTC/USD rate is pretty much the entire focus of the speculation side of bitcoin, and the only way I've ever seen "non-tech" people comprehend its value, I think it's just the most convenient currency to use in this case. I guarantee there'll be
nothing like the celebration there was for 1BTC:1000USD when 1BTC hits Ģ1000, or 1000 of any other currency you like.
21.
Post 3820049 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
One final point in the BTC vs mBTC debate - if you just like to be able to say you own 100 of something that costs $1200 a pop, doesn't it sound even more impressive to say you own 100,000 things that cost $1.20 a pop? Changing to mBTC is a win for people new to bitcoin as well as for people who've already established their fortunes. Showing off your material wealth is the only reason I can possibly think of why people would be resistant to switching.
22.
Post 3820361 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
so at this rate when we are expected to hit $1337?
i think it's time to plan a 1337 party
First we've got to pass that bloody $1200 for longer than an hour

23.
Post 3832890 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
I dont think its over yet, there are a lot of reasons to be afraid, this is just a bull trap, we are back on our way to double digits.
At least try to be a little less transparent, Mr Bear

24.
Post 3832981 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
The only thing sustaining this bubble is the media attention, once it plateaus, which I believe it has now, there will be a huge crash. This may be it...
I think Pokerman
definitely doesn't regret panic selling and
definitely isn't trying to buy back in

25.
Post 3833625 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
It's funny how emotional people get when they panic sold and need to buy back in.
OMG CRASHING TO $0.01 SELL NOW QUICK CHINA BAN ALL GO TO JAIL FOR ILLEGAL CHINESE BAN GOVERNMENT!!~one
This is great!
26.
Post 3833707 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Nearly 25% down... I hope this day doesn't become the "Black Thursday" for Bitcoin.
27.
Post 3833839 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Aaaaaaand we're coming back up!

28.
Post 3833959 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Bears back to caves. I bought on localbitcoins in the UK near the (hopefully) bottom.
Ok sheep-boy, this drop hasn't even started yet, the ramifications of this will lower the price for weeks to come. Bitcoin could essentially loose 50% of its customer base if China cracks down on it.
Sigh... China isn't cracking down on it.
Read a translation rather than just going by what random people tell you this means for Bitcoin.
29.
Post 3834040 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Bears back to caves. I bought on localbitcoins in the UK near the (hopefully) bottom.
Ok sheep-boy, this drop hasn't even started yet, the ramifications of this will lower the price for weeks to come. Bitcoin could essentially loose 50% of its customer base if China cracks down on it.
Sigh... China isn't cracking down on it.
Read a translation rather than just going by what random people tell you this means for Bitcoin.
I've read it, this is not bullish, you cant see your nose because your big dumb horns are in the way. Dude seriously stop talking shit and realize that bitcoin just had a massive blow to one of its largest client bases.
Sooooo the Chinese government making a statement explicitly allowing its citizens to trade in Bitcoin as they would in gold or silver is apparently a "massive blow" to bitcoin?
Lol. All the panic selling is by westerners who simply don't understand the news. At worst, this news means literally
nothing for Bitcoin, and at best it'll result in a steep price climb once people actually comprehend the news from China.
30.
Post 3834056 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Bears back to caves. I bought on localbitcoins in the UK near the (hopefully) bottom.
Ok sheep-boy, this drop hasn't even started yet, the ramifications of this will lower the price for weeks to come. Bitcoin could essentially loose 50% of its customer base if China cracks down on it.
Sigh... China isn't cracking down on it.
Read a translation rather than just going by what random people tell you this means for Bitcoin.
I've read it, this is not bullish, you cant see your nose because your big dumb horns are in the way. Dude seriously stop talking shit and realize that bitcoin just had a massive blow to one of its largest client bases.
So does it mean that BTCChina must close?
From the reddit post I linked, a Chinese person commented:
"This means major Chinese bitcoin exchanges like BTCChina will stay. You just won't see any Chinese bitcoin >ETF anytime soon."
http://en.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1s5ckc/first_official_document_from_chinese_government/cdu381s
31.
Post 3834150 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
So this is good for common chinese folks, but not good for big chinese corps who want to invest, why is government doing something that is not good for big corps? This is not common in western world that's for sure. How is chinese government going to profit from this, from common folk?
According to some articles I've read, it's to do with the government's fear that the CNY will become devalued if business in China begins to primarily use the Bitcoin. So the things to take home are:
1. The Chinese government doesn't hate Bitcoin, but it would rather businesses used its own currency (as all nations with fiat would prefer)
2. The Chinese government wants exchanges to comply with anti-money laundering regulations (US/Japanese exchanges already do this, and it doesn't affect the price of Bitcoin)
3. Individuals are free to trade in Bitcoin, and companies are free to profit from Bitcoin, but Bitcoin is not going to become the Chinese currency anytime soon (who really expected that to happen, anyway?)
32.
Post 3834165 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Wait a second.
Is this just the chinese version of the senate hearings, with almost the same (positiv) outcome but with none getting it because of google-translate-FU?
No it's not, but keep trying to fool yourself.
Please tell me, with complete 100% clarity (not just bearish hyperbole), why this is bad news for bitcoin.
I'm going to bet that you won't be able to do that.
(edit: bearish, not bullish. forgive me!)
33.
Post 3834202 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Wait a second.
Is this just the chinese version of the senate hearings, with almost the same (positiv) outcome but with none getting it because of google-translate-FU?
No it's not, but keep trying to fool yourself.
Please tell me, with complete 100% clarity (not just bullish hyperbole), why this is bad news for bitcoin.
I'm going to bet that you won't be able to do that.
I could sit and cite examples for you and give you an essay but I only do that for my self mate, how about you go do your own research. I'm not doing the hard work for you. If you cant see the wood for the tree's then hell mend you.
I'll translate this for everyone else:
"I have no idea"
34.
Post 3834671 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Virtual currency bitcoin has been banned in Thailand, according to a prominent bitcoin exchange that operates in the Southeast Asian country.
According to Bitcoin Co., a Bangkok-based website that trades the digital currency, it had been in the process of registering with governmental agencies but the application was turned down and the currency has now been made illegal.
Bitcoin is a virtual currency that allows users to exchange online credits for goods and services. While there is no central bank that issues them, bitcoins can be created online by using a computer to complete difficult tasks, a process known as mining.
Thailand's central bank initially bypassed the Bitcoin Co.'s money exchange license on the basis that bitcoin was not a currency, the exchange said. It was given the opportunity to present the merits of the currency to the central bank on Monday but was given news of the move to outlaw it shortly afterwards.
"At the conclusion of the meeting senior members of the Foreign Exchange Administration and Policy Department advised that due to lack of existing applicable laws, capital controls and the fact that bitcoin straddles multiple financial facets, the following bitcoin activities are illegal in Thailand," a statement on Bitcoin Co.'s website said on Monday.
Please ignore this. This is news from July. nocturnal is trying to cause a further crash by posting to the BitcoinTalk forum, which in itself is hilarious.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100923551
35.
Post 3834725 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
I see, sorry for accusing you of bearishness. You can never be too careful

36.
Post 3834791 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
The important thing is that the Chinese government have eventually 'showed their hand', which we have all been waiting for. And it's not good news.
Oh my god, you don't get it, do you? We "bulls" (as you call us) have explained why we think this is good news. If you want to argue, you need to explain why you think this is bad news. If you can't do that, we're going to carry on ignoring you.
37.
Post 3834881 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Brace yourselves market gonna crash. Two reasons -
#1 China banned banks from Bitcoin transactions
Please explain why this is going to destroy bitcoin. Banks are definitely,
definitely not why bitcoin has historically been valuable in the US or in China. This is less relevant than if, for instance, they'd banned fancy dress costume shops from using bitcoin.
#2 Sheep Market place theft of $400 million, much bigger than silk road
This is only an issue if the person who stole the coins sells them all at once, which would be a really stupid idea since it would give away their identity straight away. I think the coins will be slowly sold off. Very slowly.
38.
Post 3834936 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Total received. You can see coins getting out and in .
This isn't the Sheep stolen coins wallet, it's a BTC-E wallet.
http://www.reddit.com/r/SheepMarketplace/comments/1s2upf/the_sheep_market_scam_address_does_not_actually/
39.
Post 3834984 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Simply said, what China bans in this notice does not exists in any country yet. As far as I know no bank is using bitcoin as a currency in all over the world. Even Germany treats it as a private currency. China just officially announced it. On the other hand, previously exchanges are in gray area but now they have chance to be 'white'.
But didn't China ban it as a currency too? In that case probably the main purpose of bitcoin is void. I'm not saying that's the case but that's what I heard. Banning the banks is moot, who cares? But banning the currency aspect of bitcoin is really not cool.
You've misunderstood a little. They banned banks from trading it as a currency (as they would with CNY, USD, GBP, EUR etc etc). This wasn't a source of value for bitcoin in the first place - no banks, anywhere in the world, engage in FOREX transactions in BTC - so beyond this initial wave of panic sales, this shouldn't affect bitcoin's value in the long-term.
40.
Post 3835386 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):

So nearly there!
41.
Post 3835497 (copy this link) (by KieranJones1) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Damn, missed the bloody train! I sold at 950 - a second before that wall appeared, expecting another bounce.

Let's see if it goes back down now that the wall is gone...
I don't blame you, I'm sure it must be nerve-racking to be an investor and to see the price sinking, but learn from this - never sell until the price is at a consistent downturn (i.e. for longer than 12 hours)!