All posts made by Roccker in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 4065310 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):
If someone wants to explain a noob what this wall means, it's appreciated.
My nooby guess right now:
So ok, he sells 4500 coins at a certain prize, and keeps lowering so people buy them.
This seems noobish cause you would not sell so many coins this way cause it lowers the price you get for them putting it that into the open.
Therefore it could be 'fake' just to make the price go down.. for some reason.
2.
Post 4065805 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.44h):
Worst trader stories:
I was the guy that sold at the absolute bottom for 490 some hours ago.
Today i was the guy that sold at the bottom at 610.
I am just laughing now.
I feel someone is just waiting for me to sell and then everyone buys again.
But i was happy buying at 580 from this wall-guy!
I feel great now (for now:))
3.
Post 4105448 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.45h):
very good article thanks for that........ i wonder if the fiat holders have read that....
i might be wrong but most of the times i had a feeling was 100% right....
the same feeling i had before 2 years to enter BTC world.......
It says
"Press release - Economic and monetary affairs − 12-12-2013 - 10:16
Parliament and Council Presidency negotiators reached a political agreement Wednesday on the draft bank recovery and resolution directive, the first step towards setting up an EU system to deal with struggling banks. This directive will introduce the “bail-in” principle by January 2016, thereby ensuring that taxpayers will not be first in line to pay for bank failures."
I am a noob, but this sounds like: People have to fear LESS that their bank-money is taken away by them (therefore less interest to put money in bitcoin, not more). (?)
4.
Post 4105901 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.45h):
very good article thanks for that........ i wonder if the fiat holders have read that....
i might be wrong but most of the times i had a feeling was 100% right....
the same feeling i had before 2 years to enter BTC world.......
It says
"Press release - Economic and monetary affairs − 12-12-2013 - 10:16
Parliament and Council Presidency negotiators reached a political agreement Wednesday on the draft bank recovery and resolution directive, the first step towards setting up an EU system to deal with struggling banks. This directive will introduce the “bail-in” principle by January 2016, thereby ensuring that taxpayers will not be first in line to pay for bank failures."
I am a noob, but this sounds like: People have to fear LESS that their bank-money is taken away by them (therefore less interest to put money in bitcoin, not more). (?)
You didn't understand the whole thing I guess.
Bail-in basics
The directive establishes a bail-in system which will ensure that taxpayers will be last in the line to the pay the bills of a struggling bank. In a bail-in, creditors, according to a pre-defined hierarchy, forfeit some or all of their holdings to keep the bank alive. The bail-in system will apply from 1 January 2016.
Now is it clear?
Ah, thanks a lot! People who have money on that bank will pay before the state/taxpayers.
5.
Post 10750904 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.04h):
What is happening
Did i miss some good news?
A few weeks ago it was like 'it will go down to 120!'
6.
Post 17376292 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.00h):
Saw bitcoin-news-statement to the break of 1000 at cnn-app on my mobile, but now i don't find the article anymore.
7.
Post 17459306 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
Was this a bubble or not
So where are we..
I guess 'Return to normal'?
Like almost always i will just hold
This bubble by comparison to the last one felt very short. (Perhaps my feeling is not right here)
I was waiting for the cracyness of the forums, 'to the moon' and 'new paradigm!' and 'we did it!' but just feeling-wise there was not much of it.
The same with the screaming when it went down, it didn't seem so severe to me. (I have no metrics, just reading the forum)
Did we grow up?
So, this 'Mini-bubble', does it destroy confidence - meaning everybody expects the next bubble always being like 4 times the last one. But this one was the same.
(So next time people don't hope for so much anymore but really sell at 1000. ?)
Right now i guess the sentiment is it will go down a bit (700-800) but recover quickly in some months to go over 1100. Or is it just me.
Afraid of 600 a bit, thinking that it could mean bitcoin's normal range is in the 200-1200 range. I am a newb.
8.
Post 17464617 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
So, a baseless prediction just by feeling: it will go down
This is just my brain having saved some experience of sideways - and then mostly down
9.
Post 18004275 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.04h):
10.
Post 18097571 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.04h):
What's the news again?
11.
Post 18142439 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.05h):
From 1200 to 1140 right now - and in-between a roller coaster
12.
Post 19196278 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.11h):
I don't think this is the big dump yet. Too weak, so far.
agreed its not a proper dump until the 3day candle goes red
3rd candle - what timeframe is meant by that usually? 1 hour?
Biggest downward action so far this month?
13.
Post 19196396 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.11h):
Right now going down to 2420 is a fall of 12%
Right now not the freefall i vaguely remember at 2013
14.
Post 19200178 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.11h):
Cant't wait for the - 2 pizzas = 2 billion dollars - story in 2020.
This one was as epic
What is this?
Someone lost 16 million dollars on a bet?
How does this work?
15.
Post 19579744 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.12h):
inside noob mind:
2300 i am thinking about selling all for now.
Deciding in the emotional moment what you wanna do is probably very bad.
I am worst trader/investor ever
Not the total worst. But i have a hard time sometimes deciding what i order in restaurant. Now decide sell all for now or not. 20 at 550.
There is few hope for me resolving this. Mostly i just hold.
---
sell: Bitcoin is a bit in danger with the scaling issue and possible hardfork, other coins are technologically better, etherum wants to be nr1, i'll just make a buy order at 2000 and make a 5k profit from that
hold: daily sentiment is bullshit, read that only 3% of 'investors' (yea, i know, would be useful to know what they meant by that) invested in a crypto, there was always a next bubble, next halving in 2020 could be 15k bubble or something cracy
---
16.
Post 19611778 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.12h):
So i guess
bottom was 2120 (71%)
rebound was / will be about 2550 (85%)
(bitstamp high was 2980)
Now before i was thinking a nearly 30% fall is surely a sign that a bubble is over.
But this theory was destroyed just some days ago with fall to 1850 from 2700.
So right now i guess it could go on
(Theory that bubbles become bigger and longer than before, i can imagine a 6 month bubble)
17.
Post 19637391 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.12h):
We are in 'return to normal', it seems to me
[Argh. I am a total newb.
I am pretty sure it goes under 2100 again in the next days.
The weekly red candle seems a strong sign bubble is over. Rebound was to 2650, and now it will go down.
For tax reasons i can only do one sell per year. So one sell and one rebuy.
But i am paralyzed looking at the bars and don't do anything.]
18.
Post 23737347 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.24h):
are we rich yet??
All kidding aside, how many millions are enough for a lifetime near age 50 ? I mean, I'm sitting on a huge theoretical pile of "Fuck You" money, and thinking of starting to tell some people "Fuck You" at these prices north of $6k USD...
Go off and become a professional harmonica player for the rest of my natural life...
really depends where you live. I´d say 3 should do it.
and yes: live your dreams. bitcoin makes it possible. congrats. well done.
3 million?
With 200 000 euros, at 6% yearly interest rate (stock market), this gives a yearly interest of 12 000 euros. This is actually the same as my yearly expenses. So i could stop working right then.
With 400 000 euros, at 6% yearly interest rate, that is 24 000 euros per year. 2000 per month. Double of what i am spending now. So that would be very comfortable living. (+ another 10k yearly to spend from 70-110 years old so i spend everything)
With 500 000 i would have 100k to burn in addition.
btc x3 please in next 10 years
Now, to buy useless status symbols, i am much too greedy for that. Hm. Perhaps it's not so useless for the women. But will buy plastic surgery instead.
19.
Post 28242066 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.38h):
So much hope still on the forum - does this mean we go down much more, till there is despair?
What gives me hope is the huge influx of newbs coming to the exchanges in the last 2 months (some exchanges are still closed because being overwhelmed by signups?)
I think this will not prevent any fall, but makes for a good rebound after good news + price starting to rise again happens (Question if in days / weeks or months)
20.
Post 29994863 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.43h):
There was the most Volume since 2016 in the last few days? (bitstamp usd)
21.
Post 34535598 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.52h):
Still in the downtrend channel, but just barely?
Sorry, am a TA newb.
(at 10k it would have broke the channel line and the 2 ema's and we would definately broken the trend?)
22.
Post 38384479 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.56h):
The majority in the poll always seems to be wrong )
23.
Post 40062670 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.58h):
Am out of fiat now, bought every time it went under 8k..
24.
Post 44534367 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.05h):
So,
SEC rejected 9 ETF-Proposals 4 hours ago.
https://www.coindesk.com/sec-rejects-7-bitcoin-etf-proposals/So far no reaction in bitcoin price. (Everybody sleeping?)
Hopefully it stays above 5800. Hardly anybody seems to believe that anymore.
25.
Post 46628874 (copy this link) (by Roccker) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_16.09h):
