All posts made by NUFCrichard in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 3062852 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.14h):
http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-surging-2013-9It seems the rise is starting to get noticed outside of the bitcoin world!
2.
Post 3079803 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.15h):
There is room for growth in the Brazilian market! Only 1.34 ฿ in the last 24h!
3.
Post 3480098 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):
bitcoin.de is at the equivilent of $236 now. As it is a marketplace there is no delay for deposits, hopefully this is leading the way!
It usually trades just under the bitstamp price in my experience
4.
Post 3481622 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):
I'd give anything to see Bitstamp leading.
You'd give anything to see Bitstamp leading??? Really!?
5.
Post 3488872 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):
More than bitstamp and gox put together!
6.
Post 3497607 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):
Everyone who has ever bought Bitcoins on an exchange (and not sold out) is now in profit...
7.
Post 3498075 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.20h):
For heavens sake, please give him the usual caveat of 'what your prepared to loose' etc
Not sure if this is trolling or not.
8.
Post 3548611 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
the great thing about bitcoin is that no day traders can offload during after hours because the market is always open!
but for how much longer? surely the suits will not tolerate this much longer and regulate the living daylight out of the exchanges
FX markets are usually open almost all the time..
9.
Post 3549952 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
Gox must have so much money now. They shouldn't go broke but that doesn't mean they'll stop being rubbish!
10.
Post 3550667 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
And people say that bitcoin is too volatile!
11.
Post 3567939 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
If not now, they we will do it this afternoon. The rises seem to be 2 a day at the moment, 1 for China and 1 for the US.
12.
Post 3594998 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
wow - falling fast on Stamp. Not sure if I want to catch this knife...

.
It is very sharp but it keeps bouncing back every time it falls. I expect that only bad news will cause a real crash. I don't know what that could be other than regulations..
13.
Post 3614403 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
What is going on with Bitstamp ? Aren't they reporting anything for the past ~4 hours or was their trading engine really down ?
https://www.bitstamp.net/ - scroll down - you see the live trades there. Its working

ps gox has less BTC asks (7.8K) then bitstamp(7.9K)!
Thats a first?
And the definite end for gox!
Wow, nice spot. Gox really is finished even with the introduction of Litecoin.
Possibly being the second biggest us dollar exchange (probably still the biggest) doesn't sound like it finished!
14.
Post 3625782 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
It can't go up 150 a day for long, this is crazy!
15.
Post 3671956 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
The new normal!
16.
Post 3684220 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
The "non-bitcoin portion of my portfolio" is my ability to earn a living via means that would still exist if Bitcoin goes to zero.
As far as savings goes, I'm only interested in forms that are transportable frictionlessly across international borders. Whatever form I keep my savings in, it should be capable of travelling with me no matter where I choose to live.
People have different subjective valuations for financial security. In my opinion it is entirely astute to have 80% of your net worth in bitcoin, for you it might be 100%. Many find even 5% intolerable.
Life brings all kinds of situations where you cannot earn a living and need savings. It is foolhardy to think you are immortal.
I agree with this. I guess everyone wishes they had been 100% in BTC this year, but it wasn't without its risks. I prefer 25%, then I won't cry too much if it comes crashing down.
17.
Post 3710994 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
Is he still a friend?
18.
Post 3725882 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
single digits are gone forever, double digits too. It's getting hard to imagine $250 BTC now, even though that was the price about a month ago!
19.
Post 3732636 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
Price isn't moving because everyone's busy pumping alt-coins.

I personally learned a lot in the last 36 hours regarding the crypto market and how it reacts to rallys in Bitcoin. I completely missed the boat with this most recent alt rally. And now that it has happened it seems so absolutely obvious to me.
Altcoins are difficult. The price is volatile and the market thin. Look at the bids/asks around $20 for LTC. How do you expect to cash out of 7,000 LTC without disrupting the market? It's no joy working high numbers with altcos.
If you drip feed it on a big exchange you will get out easily. I agree that banging them all at one price, or putting in a market order is a bad idea, but 7000 is very withdrawable. You could also split it between fiat and BTC withdraw if you urgently need to withdraw.
20.
Post 3764159 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
...then cut it in half to make sure it's not gold-plated tungsten.
Beat me to it. This is why I'd never buy a precious metal, especially gold. How can you ever be sure it's real?
Fairly simple XRF + thermal conductivity + resistivity tests will completely guarantee that a bar of gold is what it says on the face. For extra paranoia there's more complex ultrasonic testing.
Thanks guys, I was always interested for real when and if one day gold would be needed but there's bitcoin now

If someone is desperate to sell it to you for bitcoin, it is probably real. Gold isn't doing too well at the moment.
If they don't care too much, it's probably fake.
Gold isn't doing well mostly due to manipulation from the people who derive power from fiat emission and control. Mostly the families that own the banks and the fed.
They will probably come for bitcoin soon but manipulation will be much more difficult. They could buy lots of coins creating a spike and then dumping everything recklessly and crashing it, but I am not sure of their success. Gold is much easier to manipulate and discourage.
Gold is safe, bitcoin isn't. Its amazing that 1 bitcoin can buy an ounce of gold, but no one can put a fair price estimate on Bitcoin. It's either hundreds of thousands or nothing.
Even the crazy Gold bubble looks like a blip next to Bitcoins rise! If bitcoin holders get a bit antsy about the price, they could do much worse than getting into Gold or Silver
21.
Post 3825495 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.31h):
ATH tonight?
Looking very likely, hopefully we can kick through $1300!
22.
Post 3876529 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
So this is actually it! We have the long awaited correction. I have to say, it we settle at about 800, its isn't so bad really. We are still nicely set up for a good run in the new year. This time next year we'll be millionaires!
23.
Post 3932009 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.36h):
Seems to be quite a bit of selling pressure. I think we will get back to $950 and hang around there for a while, before the next push!
24.
Post 3989203 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
well I am really surprised how people are not panic selling, I am sure most of people learnt the lesson the hard way

It is already 25% down, and everytime a panic sell off happens, the bulls buy up the cheap Bitcoins! It seems like we have found our interim level, the question is... where next!?
25.
Post 4102934 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.45h):
It very much looks like we could have a sharp drop soon.
Or a sharp rise. If china is in play, we are $500 under valued!
26.
Post 4120516 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.46h):
As a global currency surely Xmas shouldn't be that important for bitcoin...
27.
Post 4128334 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.46h):
i actually love this week. i tried to only use 10btc to lessen my risk of losing too much and now i'm up to 15. Happy Christmas to all!

Trust your instinct and don't be greedy.
The best baits for making a trap are the following:
*Graphs
*Charts
*Tables
A nice christmas gift for you! Merry Christmas and a happy bitcoin 2014!
28.
Post 9718050 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.36h):
this is gentlemen if true
Well it says they are already well advanced in getting the infrastructure in place to use bitcoin, so hopefully we won't have to wait long.
29.
Post 9826517 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
This is just ridiculous. Fucking Microsoft adopts Bitcoin and people just keep on dumping. Half 2015 Bitcoin will might be 10x as big and the price 10x times as low because of these retarded dumpers and traders.
Its trading in a range now, it's might be a sucky range, but 340-370 seems to be the range. The way the economy is starting to shake, I think a country might make make a bank raid again soon, mich as Cyprus did, that is the sort of move that can really help bitcoin.
Venezuela also looks like it is teetering and could go bankrupt. I think it is a shame that Putin is so anti bitcoin when he is pushing for moving away from the USD, and RT seems to love bitcoin too!
30.
Post 9835042 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
We have a nice little spike on google trends for bitcoin, not exactly to last years bubble levels, but a noticeable move up.
31.
Post 9942429 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):
... Too bad I don't have more available fiat to buy more btc.
If you sold pretty much any time during the past year, you would have fiat to buy now. You let your greed get the better of you and hodleded.
Nobody's fault but your own

You know his life situation very well for someone on a forum. You also have 20:20 hindsight. If you sold at a higher price then be happy, but the price falling wasn't inevitable. Like Baz luhrman said, your choices are half chance, so are everybody elses.
32.
Post 10127929 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.46h):
It would just take one market buy on finex and the orderbooks looks stacked heavily in the favour of the bulls.
But the market keeps moving against us! Well in the long run we will win

33.
Post 10237012 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
Price is rising fast in , hopefully it will rise in $ too soon, then we Europeans get a double win
34.
Post 10345263 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):
finex holding 240
There is still hope
Well, if you're trading on hope I have one advice.
SELL and don't trade anymore.
everything is waiting for the next bull blitzkrieg.
more than 1 year without one

True but it might be more difficult this time with more people leveraged shorting the hell out of it.
35.
Post 10348285 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):
You mean BTMFATH! Well it's easy to say afterwards, you could have bought the all time high at $300 and done very nicely for yourself.
36.
Post 10352906 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.56h):
Drifting down again, I miss 2013. What will give this price a kick?
37.
Post 10666651 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):
when is the auction over?
8 hours and 48 mins from now.
thx....i'm confident there will be no major price drop
You had to ask when the auction was, and are then making a prediction on the market?

Is it any wonder guys like lambchop have a field day in forums like this.
The results of the auction probably won't be today though, and that is far more important. If some nice big industrial investor buys a few tranches, then the price will rise, if no one special buys, and the number of bids is low, then the price will probably stick in this lull.
You can probably guess which one I am hoping for!
38.
Post 10709501 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):
This market is splashed around too much by whales with their own motives to take too much stock in TA. Thankfully we have a professor with academic interest only to run regressions against the aftermath.
Now now, dont be so pessimistic about the market. It has been recovering already.
Pessimism is in the eye of the beholder. I thought my statement was rather neutral.
Generally, I am also of the opinion that the last few months have been a very slow recovery... and seemingly inching our way up. Maybe it is going to take a few weeks to go above $300 and then thereafter, maybe it will take a few months to go above $400.... but generally seems like the trend is on its way to turning upward.. even if BTC prices may be somewhat flat for a while, such as one or two months or even longer.
I agree with that, I don't really feel any obligation to sell at the moment, I think all of the news has been good for quite some time now, the global economy isn't looking great and with currencies racing to the bottom (other than the USD), having money in Bitcoin seems pretty prudent at the moment, and I think more and more will agree with me, raising the price

39.
Post 10814735 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):
wow GBP / USD showing some bitcoin type volatility!
Why does dollar strength equal Bitcoin weakness though?
Soon after the forex markets went crazy, bitcoin fell like $20, that doesn't make sense to me!
All commodities went up strongly, oil, gold, silver, so it Bitcoin not a commodity then? Is it a currency? then it should go up in $ too, like the pound and the did, so we mustn't be a currency either... odd.
40.
Post 10932462 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):
...
If you take paypal for example, it moved $180bn in 26 currencies in 2013. If bitcoin got 10% of that market, say $18bn, it could potentially value a bitcoin at up to $800.
...
Unless the stress is on "potentially," silly.
1. You buy a Bitcoin from me for $200, using PayPal.
2. I use that $200 to buy two bitcoins a month later, again using PayPal.
3. PayPal has handled $400 worth of transactions, with only $200.
4. $200 is worth $400, QED.
That's how fractional reserve banking works!
It's a great way to count the same money multiple times and make your economy look far bigger and stronger than it actually is!
Sooner or later bitcoin will "benefit" from this too.
41.
Post 10972242 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.08h):
Trolls keep trollin', meanwhile bid support at 250 rising steadily...
still relevant
I can't get too excited about being supported at $250 to be honest.
Looking at the number of trades and the amount of investment in bitcoin this year, the price is a bit of a joke.
I guess we should be happy of a good buying opportunity, but only of the market wakes up and reverses the long down treand too, there is no point in being technically right, but losing money anyway!
42.
Post 11074176 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.11h):
It looks like really slow/boring downside movement, where we will test support around 200-220..if we break that support, damn, it will take long time before we will truly reverse the bear trend...my crystal ball told me that this morning
so i am placing buys on 20 BTC @ 180...do you think its too low / or still too high??
Iīd say too high, entire movement since january seems now like H/S pattern, which would point to lower lows 90-130. However 180 is safe bet unless you go in leveraged, bitcoin should recover fairly quickly after crashing to bottom.
Many people predicting 80-120 prices...i somehow refuse to believe that after so great fundamentals and difficulty x times higher than 2013 summer, i would buy in the same range i was buying most of my coins...i will probably go like 80% of my money to 160-180 and 20% i will hide for the final crash to 100-120 but i really don't believe we will go that low...
If we don't find some buying pressure at $200, a dip to $140-150 seems plausible.
As would a rise to $250 again. It's a crapshoot at the moment, the amount of money moving into the Bitcoin environment is rising greatly, but apparently the amount of bitcoin being bought up is low, thus the price is falling. I remain bullish and will buy more at sub$200 if that happens any time soon.
43.
Post 11742897 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):
Ladies and gentleman. --- Fasten your seatbelts. --- We are about to take off in 10,9,8,...
Oh, damn it. I am not ready! Wait, wait wait,... I am not a technical analysis sort of person, but I recognise a change in trend direction, and that chart looks good to me.
I think it is a bit speculative, probably based on the Greece crisis at the moment, but any upswing could get us to a new more reasonable price, then the press and masses will follow.
44.
Post 11751613 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.19h):
yeah , this time to make some profit , i cant believe i can so easily play secondstrade usd/btc predictions , i have converted my 4$ to 12 $ btc , hope i will quit now , with this.
can anyone give me a valid explanation why BTC price is suddenly becoming too high since last 2 days.
please give only serious reply
There's not a specific reason. Some say it's due to the Greeks buying Bitcoin (that's doubtful). I would think it's others taking example from the Greeks and taking out some of their fiat and investing it into Gold or Bitcoin.
But Gold is down from a week ago..
I think people are speculating that last time when Cyprus went crazy, the bitcoin price went up quickly. People don't want to miss the boat, so are getting involved early this time, moving the price.
Some whale might well decide that now is a good time to dump, I hope not though, the price is so low still, I am considering buying more...
45.
Post 12881250 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
I voted for more than $340 for the top.
46.
Post 12882461 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.31h):
this is pure madness. sitting at work. making more in 20 minutes watching the screen than attending here a full month.
They are paper profits unless you sell, but I doubt you want to sell, not yet anyway!
47.
Post 17407488 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.01h):
This is absolute madness, the price is moving $50 up and down every few minutes!
I have the price in CNY showing on Bitcoinity, it was 6850 a few minutes ago, now it is 6370, 5% in 2 mins and still falling.
I experienced the 2013 rise and fall, but this is right up there. Look away, then look back and the price is $100 different!
48.
Post 17528914 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
anyone got any LEGIT TA for us?
For Bitcoin? No.
The technical analysts just say that if the price falls, it will fall a lot more. If it rises, it will rise a lot more.
In stocks and shares there are traditional ideas that fit to established TA, but in Crypto we just draw straight lines on a log scale and say that the price will be something unrealistic in the near future.
49.
Post 17563357 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
Trump inauguration bull run is coming today. All those people thinking its the end of the world and all that good stuff once chaos ensues in DC
Ready to cash out at 1000
Hrrrm, not sure. He and Yellen are at odds. I can see it going either way.
It would be interesting to see the effect on the Bitcoin price (and PMs) if he audits the FED.
I really hope he does, I think there are a lot of skeletons in that closet!
They should do a Gold audit whilst they are auditing stuff. How much does Tungsten cost? Not as much as Gold I'd wager!
50.
Post 17960169 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.04h):
have any of you managed to log in to Kraken or Poloniex since this Cloudfare problem?
I have this morning, I changed my password on Poloniex. I had a strong password and 2FA anyway though.
Back to speculation, the rise over the last 2 weeks had been uninterrupted, I see now that our first whale dump just happened. I wonder if we will bounce off the price of gold for a third time now!
51.
Post 18135260 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.05h):
The price is rocketing, what has happened? Anything or just a big pump?
Maybe there has been a leak, or has something been officially announced?
$100 in a minute suggests something is up!
52.
Post 18135323 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.05h):
100 dollars up in 1minute gg.
ETF aproved or what ?
$200 drop in 5 seconds! what the hell is happening!
53.
Post 18135396 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.05h):
I love that some people say that bitcoin isn't so volatile nowadays and that it can be a store of value!
At 14:20 (in germany) the price was flat. It went up $150 in less than 5 minutes, then dropped $180 in 15 seconds, then went back up $80.
It is several thousand dollars for lots of people, it is scary stuff! Can you imagine getting shorted out, then seeing the price was higher than your buy price 1 minute later??
54.
Post 19171079 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.10h):
Being rich in btc is great but taking a slight bit of the profit you make and put it in dollars can't hurt anyone

A lot of people did that and are already hurt.
This is why I take a slight bit of the profit I make and put it in bitcoins.
If you want to diversify your bitcoin holdings put part of it in gold or silver! Putting it in dollars is stupid.
Done already, but I am considering doing a bit more now. I am really enjoying the price rise, but come on, it was looking bubbly at $1250 in January, we are almost double that now without a correction of note for a while, and every day sees another rrise.
It really seems like a bot is constantly buying, like with Mt Gox. But I wonder if that is the case, or it is just general buying pressure from new investors.
I don't want to miss the top, but a few ounces of gold might be looking pretty good in the future if this bitcoin bubble pops (and it always has in the past - but maybe this is the new normal!)
55.
Post 19223211 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.11h):
I bet the SEC watch this kind of crap and sit pretty happily back, knowing that a ETF should not be investing in Bitcoin.
I mentioned 2 days ago that is was very bubbly, now nearly $1000 lower, I think we can say it was pretty bubbly.
I don't rule anything out, it might be back at $2700 tomorrow, but this volatility is joke. It can't be classed as a serious investment, we can have fun with it, but 40% falls in a few hours without any real reason, that isn't a serious investment.
56.
Post 19228558 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.11h):
At least it didn't take a year to crash like last time. That was brutal.
It sure was =(. Oh, the wailing....
Not if you have been buying every month from 2012-2016

Dollar cost averaging... Gotta love it
Dollar cost averaging is for people who can't see when the prices are high or low, so blindly invest regardless what the price is.
Why not save and invest at prudent moments? Like now instead of 2 days ago. 2 days ago it looked far more dangerous than it doesn now.
It still could go down from here, but it is less likely.
I bought in between $200-300 and haven't bought since.
57.
Post 19321627 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.11h):
I think we might have a weekend dump again like last week.
It seems like when the markets are open, the price rises, but at the weekend crazy stuff happens.
I seem to remember the big falls back in February being on Fridays, and last week it was too. If it does happen, I hope it is less crazy than last week!
58.
Post 19390017 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.12h):
Today could get interesting! Waking up to all time highs at the start of the week, it could go ballistic, or the crazy volatility could return.
I will have my Bitcoin tabs open all week again, although I usually do at the moment!
I'm still wiating for the alts bubble to pop though, it seems like they are flying far too close to the sun.
59.
Post 19569868 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.12h):
and congratz for who sold at 3000 enjoy the holidays
The way things seem to go right now, I think the price will recover over the next few days.
It is obviously a joke that the price can fall 25% for no reason so frequently, but c'est la vie!
I didn't sell at $3000, though I have been looking to sell a very small amount. I keep waiting, then waiting but I am too afraid to miss out should the price continue to rise.
Let's see how it goes from here, even $2000 is a very high price historically.
60.
Post 20152809 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.13h):
Well this sucks, seems like people wait until the weekends to really dump on the market at the moment.
I'm not in a big hurry, so as long as this isn't the beginning of the end, it doesn't matter too much.
I do feel a lot happier when Bitcoin is rising to all time highs though, I feel rich!
61.
Post 20182242 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.14h):
How can you tell that is a bip 91 block?
I thought BIP91 blocks would only be formed when 80% of the miners indicate that they will accept BIP91.
Why are individual BIP91 blocks being created, is it not an all or nothing, we go BIP91 or not situation?
This whole UASF, UAHF, BIPXX stuff is pretty confusing for me as a non-technical person. Even when I look at the current state of affairs with how many nodes indicate what, I have no idea what is winning and what is the most likely end result!
62.
Post 20184930 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.14h):
How sad it is - just another dump by the whales to make weak hands panic so they can buy some cheap coins. As in the real world economy - the rich are getting richer the poor are getting poorer. I guess we're back on the right track though and BTC is recovering...
It's the minnows' fault if they walk straight into whale hands. Anyone with a little gumption should be able to figure out what the score is. I don't have any sympathy for anyone who follows their programming.
In other news there's this -
https://medium.com/@ViaBTC/statement-on-bitcoin-user-activated-hard-fork-6e7aebb67e67If Bitmain does hard fork it's going to be a new coin with another name. I'd say that was rather positive for everyone.
Bitcoin cash even sounds like a crappy alt coin.
It can join BitcoinDark and BitcoinPlus as pointless BitcoinX coins.
Funny that I will be a holder of this Bitcoin Cash if they fork, along with the airdrops of Alts going on, I keep getting given stuff I don't really want, that I then change for 'real money' i.e. Bitcoin!
63.
Post 20227775 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.14h):
So there are 80% backing BIP91 and 13.9% backing segwit.
Why has it taken so long to reach agreement on Segwit if 94% of miners agree with it!
BIP91 could be locked in in 38 hours, exciting times!
64.
Post 20536234 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
When median time reaches 12:20 UTC (a little while, wait) and a block bigger than 1MB is formed, the fork begins. Neither of those things have happened yet. Keep in mind the network median time always lags behind so it is technically not 12:20 yet.
I don't get the median time stuff, the countdowns are over, the bitcointalk time is now 12:39, why isn't the average time also 12:20?
I expected the split already, looking at the alts markets, others did too! I guess some jumped the gun as the fork hasn't happened yet.
I wonder how many other people are frantically hitting f5 a lot today!
65.
Post 20536521 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
When median time reaches 12:20 UTC (a little while, wait) and a block bigger than 1MB is formed, the fork begins. Neither of those things have happened yet. Keep in mind the network median time always lags behind so it is technically not 12:20 yet.
I don't get the median time stuff, the countdowns are over, the bitcointalk time is now 12:39, why isn't the average time also 12:20?
I expected the split already, looking at the alts markets, others did too! I guess some jumped the gun as the fork hasn't happened yet.
I wonder how many other people are frantically hitting f5 a lot today!
Median time is like Network Time- It is never usually the same as the time that we are on for many reasons. Give it ~30 minutes and we will be on our way. Traders always sell early, not much of a surprise to me. It will likely go down more as the real traders start to dump.
Well according to the Bitcoin Fork Monitor, it will be an hour until the median time is 12:20, then they will have to find a large block and mine one, so it could well be 14:00 real UTC before the split actually happens.
People could have done very well buying alts low, selling them now for BTC and getting BTC and BCC at a higher rate in an hour or so when it forks! I considered piling into alts, but didn't want to have so much money on exchanges at this time.
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Post 20537352 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
Apparently someone has opened hundreds of BCC nodes and they are worried that it is a network attack...
BCC chain is also 2 blocks behind now, so it looks like it is go time, they will need to mine their own blocks now, that could take some time!
I don't really get why the new blocks aren't being accepted by the BCC chain, but they aren't.
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Post 20538668 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
There were just 17 minutes between blocks and the block was only 213kb!
Unless they start spamming the blockchain, this split isn't happening for a while. At the rate of fill of the last block, it would take nearly 80 minutes to get an oversized block.
Looking at Bitcoinfees21, there just aren't any transactions happening, I understand why too, I wouldn't risk it yet.
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Post 20543257 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
I had a small amound of BTC on Kraken (1.89 BTC), got Bitcoin Crash and dumped it @ 0.067. Amazing!
I'll dump the rest when I get through the hassle of moving my coins, installing a BCC wallet, importing my old private key and moving the BCC to an exchange. Hopefully I'm on time to dump on the people behind this thing, when they are trying to pump it.
No offense, but I'm not sure that you got a great price there. It has been trading at 0.10-0.15 all week.
You can expect a dump, but there are some deep pockets that want BCH to succeed, so the price can bounce back, and 6.7% is a low bar to pass.
On a different note, I don't get why the first block hasn't been accepted. There have been a few full blocks now. What is the next step? I want to split my coins and forget about it, but instead I am left waiting, not wanting to be too early in case I mess up and miss out on my BCH bonus!
69.
Post 20545565 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
Fuck my Electroncash wallet is showing my balance from the time after I transferred all my BTC, so 0 BCC, even though I transferred all my BTC from my private key an hour ago. It should list the balance I had at the time of the fork.
I guess I have some time to fix that, as no exchange is accepting BCC deposits yet.
Anyone have any idea what I am doing wrong?
I have that to look forward to then, right now it's just the 48 minute wait since the last block that is annoying me!
Then I can import my private key into Electron and try to get that sorted out.
That is, if we ever find another block! Bitcoin is one of those things that I love in theory, but is annoying as hell when you actually try to use it!
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Post 20562654 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.16h):
all of you who are frustratedly waiting to get your BCH deposited are lucky. I took the risk of keeping my Bitcoin on Kraken and Coinfloor, so was able to dump very happily at 0.07. FFS, really kicking myself now!
Trust me, you could have done much worse. Like, not getting any BCH coins because you f@cked up completely out of some sort of confused negligence....
indeed. That said, getting very tempted to buy some BCH now.
Anybody here have any good indications of how long it might be until deposits start getting accepted in the major exchanges?
Good idea on the buying of BCH, buy high, sell low! Or actually it sounds like you want to sell low, buy high, sell low/HODL!
You know that people can't move their coins to exchanges to sell, so there is a buying pressure. You know that this is temporary. Why do you want to buy now?
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Post 20793522 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.17h):
The same reason for which people generally FUD Bitcoin or r/btc FUDs SegWit. They are stupid and/or ignorant to know better.
I think that it has more to do with the fact that they know their victims would know more about bitcoin, be able to easily set up an account and buy it with fiat money. With Monero directly, that's not as easily accessible... hardly anyone has heard of it. I'm 100% sure that you will never see Monero listed for buy/sell on regulated brokers like Coinbase.
Also, the reverse is true with extortionists more easily being able to sell bitcoin for fiat somewhere. Or just convert it to monero themselves.
I'd guess that they actually want to receive the funds from the people they are blackmailing/extorting.
If someone says - pay me $1000, then you might do it, if they say pay me 1000 fluurks, you wouldn't have a clue what they are talking about.
People know about Bitcoin, maybe only a little bit, but they have heard of it. They could buy it if they needed to. Basically no one has heard of Monero, people would'nt know how to buy it, they would probably be more inclined to bin the computer, than pay.
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Post 21314358 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.19h):
Oops I closed Bitcoinity for an hour or so, missed the All Time High!
Those words are starting to become meaningless now though, I mean it was more worrying that the price had stagnated for almost 10 days or so!
A few days ago I looked at the chart and it was flat for the last 24h, I had to show my girlfriend, it was crazy, far rarer than a 5% increase or 15% crash!
73.
Post 21492478 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.19h):
Worthe remembering that Gold and Silver are real things that won't go as crazy as Bitcoin. If you want to buy and get profit, you won't see 25% moves in a week, like with Bitcoin.
You can see that as a positive or a negative depending!
We are $550 down in about 2 days, that is a big old move. We are almost back down to last weeks levels now!
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Post 21523186 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.20h):
What is going on with the price differences between exchanges?
There are hundreds of dollars difference between Kraken and Bitfinex/Bitstamp.
Is there any good reason, or just different methods of buying? They are usually pretty close to each other.
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Post 21785052 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.20h):
We are down on the month now, that hasn't happened for a while.
I think we will see a double top in the next couple of weeks, before a more sustained fall back to a more normal level
I don't know what normal is anymore, but if someone had offered $1500 a year ago, I'd have been very happy!
76.
Post 21867178 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.21h):
$600 swing in 3 hours? Bitcoin be crazy.
$3000 looked bad, I even said I would buy if it went much lower, at $3500 or so I am just holding still.
I won't ask if there is any reason for the 20% rise. The old 'because, go fuck yourself, that's why' meme is usually about right for explaining Bitcoin price swings!
77.
Post 23076397 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.23h):
I hope the CoreCoin drop will be worth something. A slightly inferior coin with 1 miner controlling 80% of the hashing power doesn't sound too tasty.
Actually "CoreCoin" is worth around $4,800 now on Bitfinex, vs "SX2Coin" at $850. The ratio is around 6:1 now, while the high was around 9:1, i.e. Core/SX2 cross rate low is at around 0.11, which is what BCH traded for most of its life before the current plunge.
Since there is no EDA for SX2, it's hard to imagine mining pools want to mine SX2 at 85% to 90% loss if the above price relationship holds. So we are probably going to see good percentage of miners to simply bail the SX2 chain soon after it goes live. Similarly, why would Jihan support a segwit (x2) chain when he has BCH, which he can mine with less loss and possibly with profit via some EDA manipulation. So it's more likely that as some suggested here, there is going to be a "Three Kingdom" type 3 way battle at first for the hashrate. With ultimately the market price (and mining profitability) determines hashrate distribution.
Is there anywhere with a Bitcoin Gold price?
I guess it will be 0.0x BTC but it is interesting to me anyway as I think it would be a step back from the centralization that has been going on for years.
It looks like Sx2 coin will die, it falls between Cash and Core becoming fairly pointless, you either want bigger blocks or you don't.
78.
Post 24349732 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.26h):
Somehow the fear isn't quite the same when the price falls from $7200 to $6700 as when it fell from $2000 to $1500 or so.
It'll probably swing back to $7000+ in the next hour or so. I don't buy at these kind of prices, but I don't think this is the beginning of the end either!
Bitcoin Cash has had a big day though, I guess that was to be expected after 2x was cancelled, strange that it took so long though.
79.
Post 25494801 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.30h):
The only positive change over the last 24 hours on Coinmarketcap (top 100): Tether...
By that logic, all fiat and even precious metals had a green candle against crypto. Lol
Yeah, I'm about as anti-tether as anyone now, but that would be expected if USDT was doing it's job of tethering to the USD.
Bitcoin fell, so the USD(T) went up in comparison.
The real problems will start when that isn't the case, rather USDT falls with Bitcoin out of the 1 USD range, then it could come crashing down.
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Post 25876031 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.31h):
I was just checking out the chart for the Dot com bubble.
The market actually only went up from about 800 to 5000 before falling back to just over 1000.
So it made me wonder, has there been a major market that has risen 10x+ over a year or less and has held its gains i.e. not fallen back near to the start price.
Tulips and the Dot com bubbles are well known, but there must be cases of exploding markets that stayed high. I am looking for a good Bitcoin-esque example to reply to the haters (my brain included!)
81.
Post 26035906 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.31h):
Did anyone else see this on CBC yesterday?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2H6zzWIu7VkIt's a shame that the pro-Bitcoin guy is clearly an idiot! Spread your coins over 4-5 exchanges so that if one gets wiped out, you 'only lose 20%'.
OR how about keep none of your coins on exchanges? He clearly has no idea about crypto, he is just riding the wave higher.
I won't be sad if people like him end up on the wrong side of this. He also failed to answer about when he first bought in or what gives Bitcoin value. Both fair questions. Funny though that he started getting interested in July, so he really is a true believer when he has been in for 5 months!
82.
Post 26318580 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):
142k Unconfirmed transactions and 380 sats/byte recommended fee.
Nothing to see here, Bitcoin is working well.
I also don't get the whole LTC thing, but then I never have. Someone saw Bitcoin and thought, wow if I could make it 4 times the size, then it would be perfect!
Why not 5 times, or 10 times? I'll give them that they implemented LN and Segwit before BTC, but BTC is a slow juggernaut which is slowed by quabbling and politics, so that isn't surprising.
If LTC ever took over from BTC (spoilers, it won't) it would pretty much have exactly the same problems as Bitcoin does now, maybe slightly less due to the 4x thing.
83.
Post 26378503 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.32h):
I'll let you guys in on a little secret. There's a reason why the establishment continues to preach "only invest what you are prepared to lose" or "only invest 1% or less of your savings." And it has nothing to do at all with protecting you from your own stupid decision making.
It's because they know Bitcoin is literally going to go to the moon, and they don't want entire nations of people retiring early. No working = no income = no tax collecting. They desperately need to collect income taxes from everyone until your 65. Without that the whole ponzi system would collapse.
I didn't listen to them back in 2013. Now I'm retiring early.
Use caution Torque. A lot of this is pure chance and us being in the right place at the right time and taking a chance. I've seen a number of people think that because they were in the right place at the right time it was due to their sooper skillz and not chance. Then they think they are super smart and lose everything an investment or two down the road because they know how to pick (stocks, companies, cars, collectibles, etc).
It's easy and fun to look at things in hindsight, but know that you don't bet the farm on every opportunity because most do not pan out. This one did....
This is a great post. People in crypto all seem to think that they are incredibly clever for seeing the potential of Bitcoin and making money out of it.
That also means that people who invested in gold and silver are dumb because they invested their hard-earned there and have lost money over the last few years when basically everything else has gone up.
It is very important to know how big of a role luck plays in this. I have invested in some penny stocks before that have gone bankrupt. In some cases I got out at a loss, in others I held as the ship went down and I ended up with nothing.
I guess now it is important to protect what you have. If you have become rich from Bitcoin, don't piss it away on some new investment that is 'certain' to succeed.
84.
Post 26608953 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):
Yeah I am inconsolable that Bitcoin is 'only' at $17.750
It has been moving sideways for a fey days now, Bitfinex just need to move their new $250mil into the leveraged account and get this show on the road again!
I expect 20k before any big move downwards.
85.
Post 26649462 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.33h):
We've all seen this before, send a few tranactions, the fees go up, sell Bitcoin, buy Bitcoin Cash, the world is going to end, then everything goes back to normal!
I do have to say though, Bitcoin is so easy to attack for Bitcoin Cash. It was already >300sats per byte to send a transaction that you want to arive anytime soon. They can send a few extra transactions and now the fees are 630sats per byte! That's 21 for me to send any amount of money, to be a bank beater I better be sending a large amount of money!
I don't see any short term improvements coming either. Those poor newbies, they buy a few hundred bucks worth of Bitcoin, then lose a big chunk of it when they move it to a wallet (I bet they leave it on an exchange ) then if they get spooked by the fall, they send it back and sell. $300 invested, fee to buy, $25 to send to wallet, $25 to send back, fee to sell and fall from 18k to 16k is 11%, so they'd be down about 1/3rd!
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Post 26741896 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):
920 stinking Satoshis per Byte for a transaction?
I have one wallet with 500 in it, my max spend is 240 with a 260 fee! This really is the future! Bitcoin Cash isn't the answer, I know, but someone needs to come up with an answer, or people will dump this 'currency' hard soon.
I get the idea that the current crash doesn't have anything to do with the fees though, it's just a random correction.
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Post 26764627 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):
This is getting crazy pretty fast!
We'll be back to November prices if this crash continues for long!
The fees are a joke though, I can see why people would jump ship when the fees are 1000sats per byte. I guess only the people with coins on exchanges will dump though, it's too damn expensive to transfer to dump!
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Post 26768139 (copy this link) (by NUFCrichard) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.34h):
Breaking 24777$ prediction game
7th March 2018