All posts made by BitThink in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 3439157 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
Why on earth do you think large growing companies SPLIT their stocks? Is this is not obvious to you?
I think we cannot buy 0.5 share of a company, but we are free to just buy 0.001 BTC, or one day even 0.00000001 BTC.
2.
Post 3477125 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.19h):
For the first time in btc-history Mt.Gox lost his 30day volume leadership.
This IS historic! Poor Karpeles

With free trading, anyone could. You could build an exchange on your notebook that trades with itself and have beaten gox with free trading.
Without free trading, you could do the same thing. It's your exchange, and all the transaction fees go to your wallet anyway.
3.
Post 3526619 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
The problem is that there's only 3000B in BTCChina, less than 10000B in bitstamp, and 10000B in Mt.Gox. I think currently the main reason of sky-rocketing is short of supply. Where're the sellers? Is it true that those who have huge amount are afraid to sell in the open market due to the identification verification?
4.
Post 3526725 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
The problem is that there's only 3000B in BTCChina, less than 10000B in bitstamp, and 10000B in Mt.Gox. I think currently the main reason of sky-rocketing is short of supply. Where're the sellers? Is it true that those who have huge amount are afraid to sell in the open market due to the identification verification?
If you look carefully, Gox's wall was always reinforced after it has been eaten into, at a time I saw only about 6000 BTCs on the ask side.
It's possible that the coins bought are put back in the ask side with a much higher price.
5.
Post 3526764 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
This looks a lot like a pump and dump.
told ya
Well, we'll only know for sure in a few weeks...
...
...
I can't keep staring at charts for several weeks goddamn it!!
Could be a bad one over the weekend, looks like this has steadied out though. Wondering about BTCChina, there seem to be a lot of back and forth trades doing nothing but create volume, maybe just invisible walls there :/ That exchange is strange that way, it's nearly empty yet it stays more stable than the USD exchanges.
Seems no one want to sell in BTCChina, and there're only less than 2274B in the ask side, but the daily volume is 66693B. Really interesting.
Edit: back to 2623B in ask now.
6.
Post 3527197 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
Can any Chinese get money onto BTC-e or Bitstamp? If they could, we would see those prices soar in days.
Very difficult due to the strict currency policy. That's also the reason why not so many westerners sell BTC in BTCChina now. It's quite isolated in this sense, so the supply is extremely low compared with the demand in BTCChina now.
7.
Post 3527283 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
is somebody here trading on btcchina?
how are they dealing verification and withdrawals as european?
You can only withdraw to a china bank account. Not sure about the verification, but seems the account name has to be the same as the bank account name. Therefore, I think it relies on the bank's verification.
8.
Post 3527623 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
BTCChina website does not respond now.
9.
Post 3527628 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
Maybe the crash is due to DDos attack to BTCChina.
10.
Post 3527663 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
BTCChina website does not respond now.
opens for me
I can only see the error page provided by 'Incapsula'
EDIT: maybe just my browser. Changed to another and it works now.
11.
Post 3528046 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
Finally comes the correction. I guess many people here are happy with that.
12.
Post 3529013 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
I have to take off my hat to BTCChina, it's a weekend and how do they process 200 million CNY? They must have immense clout.
They processed 200 million CNY? Did I overlook something?
BTC 80000 volume in a day, 2000-2600 CNY range, mostly up, some significant amount of money must get in I guess, it's very easy to withdraw in China so I guess hardly anyone keep their fiats on the exchange.
Zero trading fee means a large part of the volume is just inside the exchange and no depositing and withdrawing. Moreover, BTCChina currently is using TenPay (a PayPal like service provided by TenCent) for depositing and withdrawing, which is instant and running 24/7.
13.
Post 3529113 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.21h):
The total ask orders is still around 10000B on Mt.Gox, but it increases from 2000 (couple of hours ago) to 5500 on BTCChina. I'm not sure what it means, but could be a sign that BTCChina is going to slow down.
14.
Post 3554680 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
Did you save your recovery key/recovery password somewhere when you enabled Bitlock?
15.
Post 3565216 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.22h):
*checking chinese subforum*
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=329534.0Remember how BTC-E has always had low prices? There's a reason for that: hard to get money in.
And you know how now BTCCHINA has really high prices? There's a reason for that, too: hard to get money out.
If it was easy to do, people would already be doing it and we wouldn't see as large a gap as we do. China is a Communist country, and they have a strong hold on their currency. Just doing some quick Googling, Chinese residents can only send $50,000
per year overseas.
So, let's say you put up $45,000 to buy 150 coins. Send them to China, sell for $340 each, split the $6,000 profit with your Chinese partner, and have them wire back $48,000 (while also possibly paying taxes and bank fees, etc).
Oh, and don't forget to add in your trip to China

So you might make $3,000 for the year. You could exceed the limit by having your Chinese contact's friends and relatives send you transfers in their names, but it seems like that would require even more trust. And if the price of bitcoins goes way up and the price difference stays the same, you'll hit your limit earlier and make less profit.
It's a nice idea in theory, but I don't think it will pan out as well as it looks. Please let us know if you do try it, though!

But I don't understand why CHINESE people don't do this. You don't need an American partner or a trip to America to open a USD-denominated bank account.
Pretty much every Chinese Bitcoiner should be cashing in on their 50k right now...
The price difference is around 10%, and the internet wire fee and exchange rate loss (RMB -> USD -> RMB) can be more than 5%. Then after all the trouble, you can only get $2500 for a year. Those guys who will spend $50k on bitcoin can easy make that amount in couple of days by just staying in BTCChina (considering the 0 trading fee and high volatility).
16.
Post 3621062 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Why are the USD exchanges not following China? ^^
China exchange has a coin shortage.
What happens if they run out?
It's an exchange, not a store to buy BTC. So short of coin means no one want to sell at current price. Seems only around 1000 BTC in the ask side.
17.
Post 3621108 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Currently, BTC transaction takes much longer (it shows 2 hours in blockchain.info) than fiat transferring. Ironic.
EDIT: seems the prediction of blockchain.info is far from accurate.
18.
Post 3621179 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Why are the USD exchanges not following China? ^^
China exchange has a coin shortage.
What happens if they run out?
It's an exchange, not a store to buy BTC. So short of coin means no one want to sell at current price. Seems only around 1000 BTC in the ask side.
I suppose if there were all buyers and no registered sellers on an exchange and the buyers placed all their coins in cold storage the exchange could run out of coins the same way bitstamp seems to have run short of fiat.
Yes, I am just saying it's not exactly like a store out of stock, but an exchange out of sellers.
Bitstamp short of fiat because the banks closing at weekend. But short of BTC only means no sellers (more precisely no one put ask orders) since BTC transactions are 24/7.
No ask orders does not mean there are no selling pressure. Sellers could be hesitating at predicting the trend. They may keep watching the market and put the mouse over the 'market sell' botton now. Some sellers may also set the selling threshold on their trading bots.
Therefore, crash may happens anytime. Just needs some one pull the trigger.
19.
Post 3621284 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
BTC transaction is way too slow. I should've transferred 30 minutes earlier.
20.
Post 3621344 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Kinda glad GOX doesn't have the market now, with China we might have a chance
BTCChina is very laggy now. So it takes time for it to adjust.
21.
Post 3621403 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Bitcoinity appears to be very, very broken. Btcchina is showing about 400 CNY higher than it actually is right now.
try bitcoinwisdom, much better.
22.
Post 3621443 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Funny... bitstamp and gox climbing, but btcchina is going down ...
Due to the lag, orders in BTCChina takes couple of minutes to be processed.
23.
Post 3621789 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Just half an hour ago, the whole ask orders are around 1000 BTC in BTCChina, but now there're 1600BTC up to 3990 CNY now. It seems a quick small correction attracts quit a lot sellers.
24.
Post 3621967 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Just half an hour ago, the whole ask orders are around 1000 BTC in BTCChina, but now there're 1600BTC up to 3990 CNY now. It seems a quick small correction attracts quit a lot sellers.
Just wait to see what happens when 60k coins are rapidly dumped as it happened on April, 10th.
Considering the current bid depth and daily volume, dumping 60k coins at once may drop the price to almost 0, but meanwhile you could dump it carefully for couple of days without affecting the price much.
For someone has 60k coins (that's more than $30M now), I doubt he will choose to dump at once and lose half of his wealth.
25.
Post 3622006 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Mining will get ROI in fiat, yes. Mining will get ROI in BTC, no. Just that simple. People have different definitions of ROI.
26.
Post 3622016 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Just half an hour ago, the whole ask orders are around 1000 BTC in BTCChina, but now there're 1600BTC up to 3990 CNY now. It seems a quick small correction attracts quit a lot sellers.
Just wait to see what happens when 60k coins are rapidly dumped as it happened on April, 10th.
Considering the current bid depth and daily volume, dumping 60k coins at once may drop the price to almost 0, but meanwhile you could dump it carefully for couple of days without affecting the price much.
For someone has 60k coins (that's more than $30M now), I doubt he will choose to dump at once and lose half of his wealth.
Guess you're new here

Last weekends dip was about 60k dumped and it crashed the price to... where it was 3 days before. No one knows where the hell this is going but in terms of volume on the exchanges and panic buying we're at about $120 on the April rise.
I mean sell it to the wall immediately (the order book of BTCChina is not so thick anyway), as the most extreme case, but yes I admit no one will do something like that.
27.
Post 3622222 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
Just half an hour ago, the whole ask orders are around 1000 BTC in BTCChina, but now there're 1600BTC up to 3990 CNY now. It seems a quick small correction attracts quit a lot sellers.
Just wait to see what happens when 60k coins are rapidly dumped as it happened on April, 10th.
Considering the current bid depth and daily volume, dumping 60k coins at once may drop the price to almost 0, but meanwhile you could dump it carefully for couple of days without affecting the price much.
For someone has 60k coins (that's more than $30M now), I doubt he will choose to dump at once and lose half of his wealth.
Guess you're new here

Last weekends dip was about 60k dumped and it crashed the price to... where it was 3 days before. No one knows where the hell this is going but in terms of volume on the exchanges and panic buying we're at about $120 on the April rise.
I mean sell it to the wall immediately, as the most extreme case, but yes I admit no one will do something like that.
Large scale dumping tends to happen in stages.
For example someone dumps about 4000 BTC like we just saw.
The price will then quickly recover on low volume and everyone runs around congratulating themselves and patting each other on the back because they were strong and for 'holding' their coins instead of selling.
The wealthy guy just made a shit load of money off the back of those who didn't sell.
As soon as the bids fill in it happens again.
This is if one person is dumping. If another whale is watching (and they will be) it will be a race to see who holds out the longest before dumping.
As far as I'm concerned this is how a mass dumping event happens. All it takes is one or two to play the dumping game at the same time then others join in. Before you know it there's a free for all and everyone who's actively trading dumps their coins, exchanges get overloaded and the price bounces around like a ball bouncing down a stairway.
Yes, exactly. So why daily volume is important here to evaluate the effect of a dump. With the current daily volume around 50K in average, dump 60K does not seem so scary at all. For example, today's volume is already more than 86K in BTCChina.
28.
Post 3622306 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.24h):
There are some major differences now vs april. The most important one:
- Volume is spread in different exchanges
I highly doubt that we well see same kind of superpaniccrash that took place in %80 volume leading shitgox. Base in stronger. There were maybe 20k sold now and it didn't make a big dent and thats over 10 000 000 USD...
Sure, but the increase/day was so damn high last time. We didnt see this yet, so no reason to crash anyway. But if we see that increase again, it won't matter if you have 5 exchangers or 1. People will panic the fuck out of it, for human reasons, not for shitgox-lags.
...but the panic/crash is not nearly as big, that's the thing, all is relative.
How do you know ? the crash has not started yet....
Another difference is the average cost of the coin. It is much higher now than April. Many current holders bought at above $100 - $150, therefore, it will be really reluctant for them to sell below that price. So I believe bids under $150 don't have a good chance to be filled in all cases. $600 to $150 crash seems huge enough to me.
29.
Post 3633116 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
Managed to put some bids along the way in the supper laggy exchange, waiting for the second round of dumping.
30.
Post 3633140 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
question: why don't we open account on btcchina and make some arbitrage with bitstamp? 30% guaranteed..
am i missing some point?
You need a Chinese bank account and then you need someone help you to convert CNY back to USD.
31.
Post 3633767 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
More and more am I starting to believe that BTCChina is (for a large part) fake.
- Their volume reports are ridiculous. On the 3 minute chart they have almost exclusively 300 btc per candlestick.
- The whole rise-up at BTC-China seems orchestrated. Every sharp rise is nicely crafted into a short dip which then recovers in order to make others believe that it's safe to buy
And most compellingly
- During the crash the volume stays _THE SAME_ throughout. There is a sharp drop, but no panic selling at all! The volume is constant. This does not make any sense to me.
- Notice how every downward candle towards is also attempted to be caugt immediately - many many intermittent recoveries during a crash. It just doesn't make sense.
It's almost as if the whole exchange is scripted to make fake orders to amplify any movements seen on Gox. Zero trading fees would allow this.
=== I'm just speculating here ===
What's the motivation of this fake?
About the crash volume, it's most likely due to the lag. During the panic time, orders were pending for minutes. So the volume is restricted. Whether this is due to system capacity or manual manipulation is the question.
32.
Post 3633914 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
A couple days ago, when the Gox guys fell asleep and trading was down for like 7-8 hours I noticed that during most of that time volume in BTCChina completely mimicked that of Gox and went to almost 0.
It is true that everyone kind of put everything on hold till Gox restarted, but the same thing did not happen on Bitstamp nor BTC-e.
I remember having all 4 bitcoinity screens open and noticing this. I will try to go back and see if I can find that moment.
EDIT: My conclusion at the time was that the same big money players are heavily arbitraging everywhere.
Yes, I saw that happening too. BTC-e and Bitstamp had some normal organic trades, while BTCChina ground to a halttogether with MtGox. Good that you bring it up. It fits my hypothesis (which is only a hypothesis at best)
As a reply to the guy asking what they would benefit: it's evident this rally is based upon "CHINA IS GOING CRAZY BUY BUY BUY". Knowing that, and having the power, and having money at the other exchanges, you can influence the movements and make a killing.
Even the BTC market is small, the attempt to manipulate the whole world with one exchange is too ambitious IMHO.
33.
Post 3633972 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
Even the BTC market is small, the attempt to manipulate the whole world with one exchange is too ambitious IMHO.
I don't think so. Everybody knows what everybody looks at: price and volume. It is general consensus (wrongfully) that the exchange with the highest volume is the 'leading' exchange.
Both price and volume can be easily faked. Make it onto the generic chart indexers, and you have yourself a perfectly orchestrated fake 'leading' exchange.
Also, notice how nobody is actually able to access btcchina.com at all, apparently for several days now.
volume may be fake, but if you make fake bids, how about they get filled? I never failed in selling my BTC there (now I wish I had failed).
FYI, I just bought 0.18 BTC there one hour ago. It was slow and laggy in processing, but still can be accessed.
34.
Post 3634141 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
Both Gox and BTCChina have very thick bid orders. High volatility will be expected today. I've put some bids downward and hopefully they get a chance to be filled.
35.
Post 3634770 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
Everything I read is literally bullshit, still nobody can explain why we went from 3000 to 7000 in 26hs
its funny i predicted this exact market behavior would happen, months ago.
i should dig up that post..
i call it " the dash for digital cash "
you have to understand that USD can still buy things and their are early adopts....
that's your explanation?
Can you do a better job of explaining why that SHOULD NOT have happened?
We just had a US Senate meeting that basically legitimized Bitcoin.
Are you seeing a double top, or am I losing my mind? Still momentum in your opinion?
It all depends on how far you look forward. It's possible a double top and there's no momentum already, but it is just for today, or this week at most. I think most people here believe the price will exceeds $1000 eventually this year. So in this long term (BTC world meaning) perspective, it does not matter whether there's a double top or triple top. That's for day traders.
36.
Post 3648579 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
It's still trading at these prices, though. They volume may be "fake", but not the price.
I'm not saying the volume is faked, because I really have no idea, but couldn't a big player use the lack of trading fees to their advantage by setting up big sell walls, buying them out, and creating the illusion of incredible buying pressure at no cost? Or vice versa, I suppose.
Someone gets it!
How about someone put bids under your big wall? Buy all of them?
Put a huge ask wall and then buy, and then what? You haven't moved the price yet. Most day traders following systems watching the price movements. Big selling wall being eaten is a bullish signal, but the appearance of big selling wall in the first place is a bearish signal. So who knows how people interpret it?
If someone really want to manipulate the market, they have to move the price by eating up the real walls. They will do it even without 0 trading fee. A trading fee as 0.3% or so just lower a little bit of their income by manipulating market.
That said, 0 trading fee definitely increases the volume. But that's mainly caused by the large number of small day traders. They can do more small scale and very frequent buy/sells using the API to get some small money.
37.
Post 3648611 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
Can I also add to the conversation that fact that one of the most popular (and profitable) btc gambling sites went down MOMENTS into the first big crash from 900 levels on gox? I refer to primedice.
Some suspect he absconded with the funds and sold when he could
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=208986.2140 (I know some may think of the commenter as a troll, but there is often truth hidden within the "spam" of some people). If that and the fact that some very established members have sold the majority of their holdings tells you nothing about what is will happen within the next little while... Well you are on your own.
You have emphasized that this is just for the 'next little while', so most people will not care so much. Yes, it may crash to $300, but it was the price just 3 days ago. What's the big deal?
If you want to sell now and buy back low enough, You have to watch the market 24/7 because no one could know when it will suddenly shoot up again.
38.
Post 3648647 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
It's still trading at these prices, though. They volume may be "fake", but not the price.
I'm not saying the volume is faked, because I really have no idea, but couldn't a big player use the lack of trading fees to their advantage by setting up big sell walls, buying them out, and creating the illusion of incredible buying pressure at no cost? Or vice versa, I suppose.
Someone gets it!
So, while the manipulators were hard at work at Gox, why did they not paint red tape in China, creating the illusion of incredible selling pressure? That would have helped drop the price quite a bit more. It could be done, but how much is it actually done? All we can do is speculate, and speculation by very nature is wrong at least as much as it is right.
This last sell off was not market manipulation nor was it intended to drive prices down to buy the dip... It was stated earlier that the gox errors were due to a fail-safe put in place to protect against large dumps. What this last day or two represents is an actual transfer of major btc holdings to fiat as large holders sold into the demand built up over the last week.
Let me put it this way. In a market in which holding is more profitable than shorting, driving price up significantly requires actual people buying into the market, which means it requires a lot of capital $$. Driving price down however, requires dumping a "few" (what were once very cheap and plentiful) coins into the market.
Ask yourselves, how can it be that BTC increases in value? It is none other than more people ($$) entering the system.
For BTC prices to increases further, a lot of early adopters (holding with 2 digits cost BTCs) have to sell out their holdings. If they don't sell now, they will sell at $1000, $2000, ... eventually. Therefore, dumping actually means coins exchanged from people buying them at low price to those buying them high. Then the average cost of coins increases significantly, and that means we can expect stable increase to next height.
39.
Post 3648738 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
you guys think this rally has steam left? we havent broken 400 yet. im holding but cant help but think this might be a long slow slide to <300
Then it will be a great chance to increase the holding.

40.
Post 3648791 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
It's still trading at these prices, though. They volume may be "fake", but not the price.
I'm not saying the volume is faked, because I really have no idea, but couldn't a big player use the lack of trading fees to their advantage by setting up big sell walls, buying them out, and creating the illusion of incredible buying pressure at no cost? Or vice versa, I suppose.
Someone gets it!
So, while the manipulators were hard at work at Gox, why did they not paint red tape in China, creating the illusion of incredible selling pressure? That would have helped drop the price quite a bit more. It could be done, but how much is it actually done? All we can do is speculate, and speculation by very nature is wrong at least as much as it is right.
This last sell off was not market manipulation nor was it intended to drive prices down to buy the dip... It was stated earlier that the gox errors were due to a fail-safe put in place to protect against large dumps. What this last day or two represents is an actual transfer of major btc holdings to fiat as large holders sold into the demand built up over the last week.
Let me put it this way. In a market in which holding is more profitable than shorting, driving price up significantly requires actual people buying into the market, which means it requires a lot of capital $$. Driving price down however, requires dumping a "few" (what were once very cheap and plentiful) coins into the market.
Ask yourselves, how can it be that BTC increases in value? It is none other than more people ($$) entering the system.
For BTC prices to increases further, a lot of early adopters (holding with 2 digits cost BTCs) have to sell out their holdings. If they don't sell now, they will sell at $1000, $2000, ... eventually. Therefore, dumping actually means coins exchanged from people buying them at low price to those buying them high. Then the average cost of coins increases significantly, and that means we can expect stable increase to next height.
What?
It makes perfect sense. Coins that could have been acquired for much less, who knows maybe even pre 2013 prices, are sold for a handsome profit. Those coins now have a burden at the new purchase price. They are no longer $10 coins, they are $500 coins.
Right... And as soon as those people who bought the coin for 500-1000-10000 whatever don't get 501-1001-10001 in return after X time then what happens? You see again, the system needs new $$ to operate.
Yes, you are right. So the key is whether you are bullish or bearish in the long term, or in other words whether you believe BTC will finally go to mainstream (means much more $$ than now). If you believe in that, then all these up and downs do not matter so much and we know that all these big dumps along the way are inevitable. They are only meaningful to traders.
For trading, since BTC market is 24/7, it is better to rely on bot softwares. Otherwise, it's not worth sacrificing our life on it.
41.
Post 3648855 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
Well the only reason i can think of why someone would try to sell BTC10k around midnight US east coast time (and 0500 - 0600 in Europe) is to manipulate the market. Think we can all agree that if he wanted to cash out he could slowly sell of in smaller chunks and get MUCH more $ out. The sell brought gox down from 590 to 500 and subsequently to 475 on lower volume following up. If the goal was to induce panic so the whale could reenter at lower position think it's safe to say that so far he failed as the market held out pretty reasonably so far, and i feel will recover soon. Now if Gox had 70% of the market as in April this would've been much uglier. So unless the price drops down to $400s that manipulation stunt will cause our whale A LOT of $, and hopefully will deter other a$$holes from trying to manipulate the market (and we can get back to a more natural mass panic snow ball effects instead of one person instigating the avalanche) just my 2c
Yes, I agree. In my opinion, this kind of dump could be explained by one of the follows
1) failed manipulation
2) desperate for cash in urgent (doubt it due to the withdraw problem there)
3) insider trading (I don't know which news can dramatically crash BTC market now)
4) stolen BTCs (I heard Gox needs identification?)
5) arbitrage (are there some big buys that time in other exchanges?)
6) ... just crazy.

Any more explanations?
42.
Post 3648927 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
Right... And as soon as those people who bought the coin for 500-1000-10000 whatever don't get 501-1001-10001 in return after X time then what happens? You see again, the system needs new $$ to operate.
Yes, and the amount of interest drummed up in the last few days has assured that many people are trying to get money in. They may wait to see where we land, but everyone knows we will be back up to $900+ eventually. It would be awesome to consolidate for a few weeks, but I doubt we will be so lucky. You are new, listen to the likes of Nemesis. Not Blitz, he is not so bright with his "2011 all over" talk. Everything is crazy bullish right now. This is the best buying opportunity we will have for quite a while. Watch closely if you are waiting for a bottom, they happen fast and are gone. It may take a few days to sort this correction out, but it will be history soon enough. If I had any more fiat handy, I would be getting it ready to spend, alas I spent the last little bit I had at $180 after the crash from $233. At least I still have some $2 coins

Seriously though, be careful, what you want is more BTC, not more fiat. Don't miss the boat because you are too bearish.
It is late and my apologies if I sound over-all bearish - I am but momentarily a bear. Crypto currencies are the future of commerce, that is clear, for many technical reasons. The question I wrestle with is will it be BTC in which the value of that technology will be stored?
It's difficult to predict the price when it goes mainstream, but we can be sure that mainstream is still far away. So nothing to worry until then.

43.
Post 3651667 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
900 to 450 is much smaller loss than 36 to 4, or 226 to 70. It's the percentage rather than the absolute difference matters.
Moreover, now the price is still higher than coulpe of days ago.
44.
Post 3651739 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.26h):
Looking an awful lot like that was a bull trap.
Yes, before ema 30 hours crosses ema 7 hours, no reason to think the trend is turned around.
45.
Post 3658240 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
Any chance of this turning southward tonight? I want to go to sleep but not sure if I should. Seems like when I go to bed the opposite happens from what I want it to do.

No one can be sure about that.

Recommend to use a reliable bot to set up stop loss hidden orders.
46.
Post 3658723 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
Any chance of this turning southward tonight? I want to go to sleep but not sure if I should. Seems like when I go to bed the opposite happens from what I want it to do.

No one can be sure about that.

Recommend to use a reliable bot to set up stop loss hidden orders.
What bot would you recommend?
Sorry, I am not using one. My suggestion is to traders with frequent buy/sells.
My way to handle this is just put some small bids along the way down to a reasonable bottom during the sleep time, and watch the EMA and MACD for buying/selling signals during the daytime. But all these are just for a small part of my holdings, and the majority is just in the storage and I will never sell them unless something really bad happens.
BTW: I found that I could've earned more if I put all my BTC in cold storage. So apparently I am not a good trader and please take my advice with a grain of salt.

47.
Post 3658734 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
icbit.se leaderboard. Dayyyumm.

How did they get these data?
48.
Post 3675531 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.27h):
I think we're at or approaching 1 tx a second.. so we need 7x as many were getting now before we start to worry about that.
Imagine the utopian mass adoption that's being fed to the public.
Take a small country (or a large American city) with about 15 million inhabitants, or 5 million households.
Every household will have to do groceries about each other day, so that's 2.5 million customers in supermarkets each day countrywide.
Day has 24 hours, so that's 104166 transactions per hour
= 29 transactions per second
And this is for one small country only, for only the basic needs (food), and that's already 4 times what the Bitcoin network can physically handle.
You're not going to convince me that the Bitcoin protocol will ever be able to sustain a world economy for day-to-day transactions.
Hence why I'll always be bearish, even though it's a great market to profit from atm.
Just like not all the transactions are using cash, majority transactions will not use in blockchain transaction then. There will be many bitcoin banks (yes although seems ironic, but I am sure there will be a lot) to provide out-chain transactions. There will even be BTC credit cards and debit cards, etc...
Moreover, the 7 per second limit will be increased certainly that time.
49.
Post 3683627 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
it usually makes sense
Bitcoin isn't usual.
All it takes is one mistake when it moves against you and you've permanently ended up with half the BTC you could have owned if you'd have just held.
For most people, holding 100% of the initial amount is not a wise choice. It is good to diversify by selling into strength to account for the possibility of a black swan event in Bitcoin technology. This way you steadily accumulate also non-BTC assets, and can learn how to handle wealth. You sleep better and don't see dips in price as an opportunity to panic, but rather an opportunity to buy back if you really feel like so. The selling plan must be based on percentages, which means that no matter how high bitcoin goes, you still have more value in your remaining BTC.
If you have
BTC1,000 and you absolutely want to have the same number when it hits $million, then it is best to just bury the paper wallet into ground and wake up when you are a billionaire. Trading only makes you lose the most of it over time with no gain. But it is not healthy for anyone to suddenly become a billionaire.
If instead, you flex your Excel muscle and devise a plan to sell
BTC900 in decreasing increments at exponentially rising price points, you will already be rich and well-established when bitcoin hits $1 million, and totally content with the idea that your remaining stash is still worth a cool $100M.
That is incredibly sage advice and I just might take it. Really. Some people should read this carefully. You are absolutely right, being a billionaire overnight is not healthy. Not even being a millionaire overnight is healthy.
I kind of don't believe BTC will be $1M but still cannot be used as a real currency. In other word, if BTC cannot be used as a real currency, I don't think it's price will increase a lot further.
50.
Post 3683728 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
In other word, if BTC cannot be used as a real currency
Should I take a picture of me eating a meal cooked exclusively from ingredients produced by local farmers who accept Bitcoin?
You know what I mean. I mean it is used widely so we don't need to say 'sell' it anymore.
51.
Post 3684744 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
I have too much fiat compared to BTC holdings
Do you think 850 is a fair entry point ?
Could it be the last time we see 850 ?
No one can predict the future, but I'll say it's unlikely to be the last time. We will see a lot of up and downs in the following months.
The question, however, is will you buy the next time you see 850? Say if it drops from $2000 to $850, will you buy or on the contrary just panic sell?
So it does not matter what's the current price, but what's the price you believe it will be in the future. If you believe it finally will be $2000, or even $10000, you can safely buy now and just hold it. For example, in 2001 people panic buying at $36 my regret for more than one year, but they will laugh now if they keep holding.
52.
Post 3731190 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
Which thread are we in? I thought I entered a wrong thread.
53.
Post 3733535 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.29h):
I am thinking about those who are doing arbitrage on BTCChina will laugh now. They don't need to worry about transferring CNY out of China any more. Now BTCChina < Bitstamp < Mt.Gox. They can do the arbitrage in the other way now.
54.
Post 3748527 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
And China just broke out over resistance. That was the biggest resistance point from here to ATH. The chart there is starting to look very bullish.
If they start to move, maybe Europe will get its ass in gear in a few hours.
Maybe something will happen on Thanksgiving after all.
I wasn't expecting that. China has pretty much been dead for well over a week then out of nowhere they smash straight through 6000. What happened?
There's little volume when it passed 6000, really interesting. Seems the sellers just pulled their asks.
55.
Post 3761340 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
I wonder if China will dump their LTC and jump back on the BTC train...
China is more than enough for two trains.
56.
Post 3761595 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.30h):
Kind of.
1) It's the branch of China Telecom in Jiangsu Province.
2) It's a one time event for buying the new Samsung Smartphone.
2) Bitcoin (0.1BTC) is only used as a pre-order deposit, and will be deducted from the total price on the purchase day based on the exchange rate then.
This is just an attempt or a signal of the merchants to test how the government handle it. I don't think the government will allow BTC paying in general cases, at least in near future.
57.
Post 3832201 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Is no one else here seeing the possibility of a correction or down turn here??
I said 3 days ago I was bearish. Based on basically 1 thing - the correction looked like real market tiredness and the ensuing recovery looked weak.
Then yesterday when we caught fire, starting to go up on higher volume. I said I was a bull again.
But here we are again, on Thursday, and the top is stalling out below ATHs. Look at the weekly and 3 day chart and they look suspicious. Just look at those charts. It 85% angles. And where are those red candles?
If we dont break ATHs in the next 24 hours I think the rally may have topped out.
I know, I know, that's crazy talk. But that's also one huge massive bear wedge on the 1 and 2 hour charts.
Only A market with thin bid orders will crash or significantly correct simply because of tired. Otherwise, it will be consolidated.
58.
Post 3833820 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
My understanding is that now China government clarified their policy towards bitcoin:
1) Bitcoin is a virtual commodity. It's not a currency so it cannot be used as a currency.
2) Bitcoin exchanges have to take some measures to verify users' identities and avoid money laundering.
3) Avoid using 'virtual currency' in the media to avoid misleading investors.
Actually it is not a bad news. Bitcoin has never been used as a currency in China (except two attempts did by a branch of Baidu and China Jiangsu Mobicomm). People buy them mainly for speculation and transferring funds to overseas.
Previously people may worry about the legality of bitcoin exchanges. Now this notice actually almost officially announces that all bitcoin exchanges following the rules will be legal.
59.
Post 3834196 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Bears back to caves. I bought on localbitcoins in the UK near the (hopefully) bottom.
Ok sheep-boy, this drop hasn't even started yet, the ramifications of this will lower the price for weeks to come. Bitcoin could essentially loose 50% of its customer base if China cracks down on it.
Sigh... China isn't cracking down on it.
Read a translation rather than just going by what random people tell you this means for Bitcoin.
I've read it, this is not bullish, you cant see your nose because your big dumb horns are in the way. Dude seriously stop talking shit and realize that bitcoin just had a massive blow to one of its largest client bases.
So does it mean that BTCChina must close?
No, on the contrary that means now BTCChina has a chance to be legal for a long time.
60.
Post 3834221 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
So this is good for common chinese folks, but not good for big chinese corps who want to invest, why is government doing something that is not good for big corps? This is not common in western world that's for sure. How is chinese government going to profit from this, from common folk?
Can Chinese corporations not invest in commodities?
In this notice, only financial institutions are forbidden to treat bitcoin as currency. Nobody is forbidden to buy/sell bitcoins.
61.
Post 3834343 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
It seems when the market has no direction, the China news triggered a long-waiting correction. If this is again a flash crash, then it is super bullish. If not, then a longer period correction is beneficial in the long term. Anyway, I don't think there's any reason to sell unless you are a day/week trader. (Personal opinion only)
62.
Post 3834397 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
So guys , explain it to a newbie , will it go down further? :p
I don't know what's the price tomorrow, but pretty sure it will be higher than current price next year.

63.
Post 3834912 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Simply said, what China bans in this notice does not exists in any country yet. As far as I know no bank is using bitcoin as a currency in all over the world. Even Germany treats it as a private currency. Could you tell me any bank is doing bitcoin transactions? Do you really believe any bank will accept bitcoin as one of the currencies in the near future? The announcement of China has no surprise at all.
On the other hand, previously exchanges are in gray area but now they have chance to be 'white'.
64.
Post 3835071 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Simply said, what China bans in this notice does not exists in any country yet. As far as I know no bank is using bitcoin as a currency in all over the world. Even Germany treats it as a private currency. China just officially announced it. On the other hand, previously exchanges are in gray area but now they have chance to be 'white'.
But didn't China ban it as a currency too? In that case probably the main purpose of bitcoin is void. I'm not saying that's the case but that's what I heard. Banning the banks is moot, who cares? But banning the currency aspect of bitcoin is really not cool.
For small merchants, they can just accept bitcoin as 'exchange commodity for commodity'. For large merchants, they can use bitpay like service. Customers pay bitcoin and the merchants get fiats.
Actually this does not matter much. People cannot use gold to buy things too.
65.
Post 3836581 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
What are the chances of Chinese banks boycotting btcchina and other exchanges now? I can imagine the banking partners of btcchina getting antsy at this news.
Btcchina is using TenPay, a Paypal like service in China. TenPay is used for depositing and withdrawing fiat to and from BTCChina, so they don't touch bitcoin at all. No one will boycott bitcoin, and on the contrary, everyone will find a way to enter bitcoin market if it's profitable.
66.
Post 3844701 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Maybe a little bit obsolete already, but anyway here's something I read from Chinese media:
In China, bitcoin enterprises all think the notice of government published yesterday were very positive news to them. Bitcoin is not recognized as currency means they don't need to get currency related license, which is almost impossible for them to apply. In other words, if bitcoin was recognized as currency, then all the exchanges would have to close immediately because then don't have and will have no way to get currency exchange license. In China, currency exchange is strictly restricted and only some state banks can provide limited service.
Since the government officially announced the bitcoin is a 'virtual commodity', so there's much less policy risks now. More mainstream enterprises are considering bitcoin related business more seriously now.
67.
Post 3844900 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
What about merchants? Can they still accept bitcoin without any problems?
They can only accept them as a commodity, which are not so convenient in accounting and taxing. Therefore, there will be not so many merchants will considering bitcoin as a direct payment currently. There're, however, always work around.
According to the same report I mentioned, some merchants are considering using third-part services. I think Bitpay-like services will emerge in China soon. If Merchants only receive fiats from the Bitpay-like services, then they don't have anything to worry about. Bitpay-like services themselves are just doing something like buying 'commodities' and giving back fiats, which is totally legal too.
68.
Post 3848414 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
The daily charts look horrible - EMA violated, MACD down, parabolic sar flipped, RSI below 70. But it looks like perhaps we're still being supported by "choo choo mofo" trendline we've had since day 1 of ATH break. I wonder if this trendline could slowly drive us to ATH? This would probably be the last breakout since that trend would be moving too slow to keep up with any significant higher levels.
Technical people have done absolutely horribly in the past in this forum. I don't know of
anyone who has made more bitcoins compared to buy&hold over any extended period of time (even 12 months, which does not prove anything really).
Yes - I mean it: I don't know any technical trader who has not lost money, meaning that all his effort has been in vain and harmful, compared to one who just holds.I now have 50 times as many bitcoins as I did in April. No deposits. Yes I am up 25,000%.
It might not be due to TA though, but more about quick reactions and having a feeling about the flow the order books are moving in and when they're reversing.
Maybe you are the one behind coin.io scandal, or you are the guy turn JustDice to negative?

Otherwise, you doubled your coin every month for a row for 8 months. That can be a record.

69.
Post 3848472 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Discovering margin trading helped a lot too. I don't even really have to sell or think about when to sell my core position. I just wait for any kind of a sharp drop and then as soon as high volume support starts kicking in I buy a huge margin position using my btc as collateral. Then as soon as the immediate bounce is over I close the position, take the ~15% profit, and buy more bitcoins to add to my core position. I might not be getting the most profit on the margin position possible but it covers my ass both in event of an uptrend or a downtrend. It's kind of a compromise between buy and hold, since I'm never actually selling any 'real' bitcoins.
You need to earn 15% profit in a row for 40 times to get 25000%. That's really amazing.

How many flash crashes do we have since April?
70.
Post 3848511 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
I don't give a shit about owning 5 or 10 bitcoins. I'll have hundreds of them or none.
So you don't
"give a shit" to be among 10,000-30,000 world's richest. Top 100 or top 300 is the way to go. Yes, you seem to be a megalomaniac and a player. I think I could easily adapt to any of the levels, as could most of us.
* top 30 would have BTC5,000 or more (100 billion USD)
* top 300 would have BTC500 or more (10 billion USD)
* top 3,000 would have BTC50 or more (1 billion USD)
* the top 29,000 people would have 5,000mBTC or more, a huge fortune comparable to 100 million of today's dollars.
* the top 1 million people would have 500mBTC or more, corresponding to 10 million or more dollars
* 29 million people have at least 50mBTC, which puts them among the most affluent 0.6%, previously called 'millionaires'
* the upper middle class of 350 million people worldwide, owns 5mBTC or more
* lower middle class consists of 1 billion people is characterized by ownership of 0.5mBTC or more
* the lower class of (3+ billion) owns less than 0.5mBTC including people who don't have any or have negative worth.
I like your way of breaking it down.
I have been advocating to new comers to strive to attain the Bitcoin Millionth Club. Basically you need to own 21 btc, this will make you 1 in a million people on the earth who could possibly own 1 million of all future available bitcoins. Obviously we know the numbers will be massively different due to mining time and bitcoin loss over the years, but its an attainable number and would offer massive wealth in the future. Imagine you owned 1 millionth of several of the worlds largest countries currency? Happy days!
Although being a bull myself. I still don't think this kind of analysis makes sense. It's only meaningful if BTC is the only wealth in the world. Otherwise, it may help you to be rich, but these kind of ranking does not make sense. Bill Gates may have 0 BTC, but billions of fiats or microsoft shares. Kings in the middle east may have no BTC but have plenty of oil.
71.
Post 3858674 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.33h):
Not sure whether it is related to the correction or not, BTCChina now requires ID/Passport number, but no scan is required yet. I think this is the first step of KYC. I don't think this matters much because depositing/withdrawing CNY both requires TenPay or bank account, and they both require ID/Passport already.
This correction is not a surprise. Previously the flash crash has significantly weaken the bid side of the order book, so we can see that the recent drop did not introduce high volume at all.
IMHO, as long as fundamental has not changed significantly, corrections are beneficial in long term and also gives chances for those still have fiats to buy more BTC.
72.
Post 3871872 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
We are simply returning to "pre china" numbers. Chinese are dumping hard. They controlled the huge price increase now they control the decline.
BTCChina price is more than 10% higher than other markets now.
73.
Post 3887920 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Sold at 1200. Bought at 600. Doubled my bitcoins from 2 to 4. I wish I had more, but I'm not complaining.
A hero member has only 2 BTC? Interesting. Most likely you mean you have only 2 BTC in the exchange?
74.
Post 3888030 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.34h):
Sold at 1200. Bought at 600. Doubled my bitcoins from 2 to 4. I wish I had more, but I'm not complaining.
A hero member has only 2 BTC? Interesting. Most likely you mean you have only 2 BTC in the exchange?
It's not about who has the most BTC.
Just curious. Off topic perhaps, if there's a topic in this thread.

75.
Post 3900927 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.35h):
Unless you dont sleep and watch the market 24/7
This is exactly what I do. A hefty price to pay for making insane gains on my btc. I'll stop and just go long once I've collected 1000BTC.
I've lost lot of sleep in last few days too. Bitcoin going crazy and my wife and mom having surgeries in same time made me to sleep very unregularly. I sleep when I find time to do it, there's no part of day I do it regularly in last 10 days. 2-3 hours, then wake up for few, then 2-3 again and so on, lol
Why you spend so much time in watching the price? Why not just buy and hold? I bet the gain from frequent trading does not deserve the time and energy you spend. Let's live our life and forget about the price for at least couple of months.
76.
Post 3986524 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=372267.0;topicseenCould this guy be considered as a whale?
EDIT: my bad, I thought he was selling 40K coins.

77.
Post 3989942 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
If no bank and payment institutions can provide services to BTCChina and other exchanges, how could people freely trade BTC as virtual commodity on the exchanges? That does not make sense to me. Nonetheless, sometimes the Chinese government does do something making no sense.
Anyway, no confirmation up till now and the original post has been deleted and it seems it is a false news (or a leaked news, who knows).
78.
Post 3990087 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
IMHO, most likely that's a false news.
No bank and payment services for exchanges simply means killing all exchanges, then it makes the previous official announcement (allow people trading BTC as virtual commodity and add more regulation to existing exchanges) a joke.
More likely the original version of the news is just reiterating that banks and payment institutions cannot use BTC in their accounting, and someone spread the false version for their own interest.
79.
Post 3990221 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
IMHO, most likely that's a false news.
No bank and payment services for exchanges simply means killing all exchanges, then it makes the previous official announcement (allow people trading BTC as virtual commodity and add more regulation to existing exchanges) a joke.
More likely the original version of the news is just reiterating that banks and payment institutions cannot use BTC in their accounting, and someone spread the false version for their own interest.
Nonetheless, to be honest, BTCChina did remove the TenPay option and now all payment and withdraws are through yeepay, another much smaller 3rd party payment service. Keep an eye on it and to see what will really happen in China.
80.
Post 3990320 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.38h):
you should also remember mtgox, what will happen when you cant withdraw money from exchange eh? Sounds familiar?
According to that 'fud' news chinese investors will have till spring festival to withdraw their funds from the exchanges, from what i can decrypt on google translate. So it won't be similar panic buy if ever this news is confirmed..
If this news is true, most likely the price will drop back to where it started this August and we could buy some more coins at other exchanges. Anyway, I've withdrawn all cash and BTC from BTCChina and just watch sideway.
81.
Post 3990448 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
you should also remember mtgox, what will happen when you cant withdraw money from exchange eh? Sounds familiar?
According to that 'fud' news chinese investors will have till spring festival to withdraw their funds from the exchanges, from what i can decrypt on google translate. So it won't be similar panic buy if ever this news is confirmed..
So what would this mean? No more chinese investors?
Is that worse case scenario?
Because I don't think that's such a horrible thing. Always seemed short lived to me.
If this news is true, my understanding is that all current services are stopped and only licensed exchanges will get new services. License will only be given to a few exchanges under regulations.
82.
Post 3990614 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.39h):
you should also remember mtgox, what will happen when you cant withdraw money from exchange eh? Sounds familiar?
According to that 'fud' news chinese investors will have till spring festival to withdraw their funds from the exchanges, from what i can decrypt on google translate. So it won't be similar panic buy if ever this news is confirmed..
So what would this mean? No more chinese investors?
Is that worse case scenario?
Because I don't think that's such a horrible thing. Always seemed short lived to me.
If this news is true, my understanding is that all current services are stopped and only licensed exchanges will get new services. License will only be given to a few exchanges under regulations.
Moreover, if there're licensed exchanges, they will have no direct control of fiat fund and all the deposits will be managed by the third party institutions, most likely a government affiliate.
83.
Post 3998979 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
To those who haven't know, it's confirmed third party payment services are forbidden to provide services to BTC/LTC exchanges in China. Whether bank service is allowed or not remains uncertain.
For those who still have fund and coins in China exchanges, please be alert the risk of sudden close of some of them.
Finally, the chance to buy cheap BTC becomes very high now.
84.
Post 4002796 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Anyone that can read Chinese, what does the yellow sticky note on OKCoin.com say? That's new I think. Its an image and I can't translate it.
A notice that 0 trading fee policy is stopped.
85.
Post 4002817 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Good thing about this is that now we can concentrate on promoting and earning BTC now. Trading becomes more and more difficult. First Mt. Gox and then BTCChina. What's the next?
86.
Post 4002848 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
It may be interesting to guess why Chinese exchanges stop 0 trading fee policy.
1) grab some money before closing
2) requirement from the government
if 1, that's really bad sign. If 2, it is not so bad.
87.
Post 4003154 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Good thing about this is that now we can concentrate on promoting and earning BTC now. Trading becomes more and more difficult. First Mt. Gox and then BTCChina. What's the next?
What's wrong with BTCChina?
Deposit and withdraw fiat will become very difficult without support from large 3rd party payment services.
88.
Post 4003208 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
It may be interesting to guess why Chinese exchanges stop 0 trading fee policy.
1) grab some money before closing
2) requirement from the government
if 1, that's really bad sign. If 2, it is not so bad.
I don't think it was 2...far too precise, micro and descriptive a move for the Chinese govt. I think it was introduced to take advantage of the sell-off they knew was coming with the announcement re. money-transfers and to take some heat out of the market. I wouldn't interpret it as a sign of closing.
I don't think so. Bobby Lee has promised in public that the 0 trading fee is permanent. I don't think they will eat their words just for some trading fee, especially just after they got VC. It has to be something big happened forced them to change policy without a prior notice.
89.
Post 4003238 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Good thing about this is that now we can concentrate on promoting and earning BTC now. Trading becomes more and more difficult. First Mt. Gox and then BTCChina. What's the next?
What's wrong with BTCChina?
market has been trading on this all day.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=373667.0So that's what is going on.
Thanks.
That thread was out of date. It has been confirmed 3rd party payment services cannot be involved in any BTC exchanges in China. BTCChina has to rely on the banks, and who knows how supportive banks could be.
90.
Post 4003272 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Well ladies and gents, this flushing is going to tell us A LOT about the state of bitcoin and where the money has come and is coming from.
We won't be able to see the full picture for months or at least weeks, but when we can see it, we will know much better about what kind of investors made up the rally in the East, which ones are long term and where future money can and can't come from there - AND maybe more importantly, we will know how much of the rally really came from the East and how much really came from the West.
And I suspect we will never have to worry about China "leading" the markets again. Which is A - O - K with me.
I was with you up until the last sentence, Honey Badger, why the antipathy towards China?
I was never quite confident that China had any real long term future with bitcoin. And I would rather, in an ideal world, have bitcoin be driven by people in countries that have more freedoms, because from a PR standpoint it makes bitcoin appear more solid as well.
For BTC price to rise, you need capital. You know where the capital is.
91.
Post 4003285 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
Would the damn Chinese just go and not let the door hit them in the ass on the way out?
Yes please, can't wait for that.
really? is this how you say "thank you china"? if they hadn't panic bought a few weeks ago the price wouldn't even be above 300 right now
^ this.
92.
Post 4004021 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
without deposits coming in and withdraws still going out, BTCChina will become the opposite of gox and always be 2-5% lower?
or btcchina crashes to zero?
We still have no proof that BTCChina is shutting down, correct?
Here are the possibilities as I see them:
1. All yuan transfers to BTCChina are banned.
2. Only 3rd-party payment processor transfers are banned. That is, you are still permitted to deposit and withdraw to/from BTCChina using your bank account. (This change was made so that China could keep a better track of capital flows for AML purposes.)
3. This is all FUD and nothing has changed.
It's most likely 2, but meanwhile bank support will be strictly controlled.
93.
Post 4004030 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
without deposits coming in and withdraws still going out, BTCChina will become the opposite of gox and always be 2-5% lower?
or btcchina crashes to zero?
this gana be weird.....
they should just halt trading and give everyone their monies back, but they wont do that, so this is gana be weird....
It won't crash to zero. For example, the exchange operator could buy up all the cheap coins, and sell at a higher price overseas.
And also, theoretically, people could deposit with cash.
Deposit is still possible, just the daily limit of the new 3rd part service is small, at least for me.
94.
Post 4004051 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
without deposits coming in and withdraws still going out, BTCChina will become the opposite of gox and always be 2-5% lower?
or btcchina crashes to zero?
this gana be weird.....
they should just halt trading and give everyone their monies back, but they wont do that, so this is gana be weird....
WTF? where did you get this FUD?
BTCchina users have already said bank withdraws still work...
Only the specified payment networks are no longer available...
This is why you should just lock this damn thread. All FUD and BS.
the news was saying withdraws will still work but deposits will stop
no?
No from what i read the "news" (not even a news but rumours), after Chinese New Years all institutions will halt business with btc exchange awaiting for rules and regulations.
3rd Party payment network decide to stop on their own.
so we bounce now?
we need more info to move, price needs to stop moving on this FUD
i'm pretty sure buying the dip was a good idea....
I still dont get why there is no official statements from either CCCP or payment networks or exchanges.
Bitcoin is way beyond China anway. I dont expect any future services/features built on BTC coming from China. As for speculative vehicle, btc will be used for anything from tax evasion to capital leaking in China if this the way CCCP choose to handle btc.
As much as they want to control Internet content, the best they could do was steal Google and forced Baidu..... well not very effective is it?
It's an internal meeting between central bank and 3rd payment service providers. It's not necessary needs to be public, but it has been publicly reported in the media already. Moreover, Tenpay has been removed from all exchanges already.
What remains uncertain is only whether bank service will be allowed and how supportive the banks could be.
95.
Post 4004963 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.40h):
If you were a true believer, why not celebrate when the price goes down?
It seems most people here are just like those speculators whom they claim they hate.
96.
Post 4035044 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
Sold at 900, bought at 450. Doubled my coins again.
How big is your stash? It's quite different to double 100+ or 1000+ coins than 10.
Last time he doubled from 2 to 4, now he has 8 BTC.
97.
Post 4035053 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
For those have not known yet:
"Dear BTC China valued customer: Due to new government regulations, BTC China will temporarily suspend CNY deposits. BTC deposits/withdrawals and CNY withdrawals are not affected, and will continue to operate in the interim. Rest assure that BTC China will continue to operate normally. Please pay attention to our notices for updates, as we find other ways to allow for CNY deposits. We deeply apologize for any inconvenience. BTC China, December 18, 2013"
98.
Post 4036377 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
The movement originated on btcchina. How do you feel about this?
Maybe the answer to this is coming soon........
BTC China told CoinDesk it is expecting to reinstate deposits in RMB soon. Bobby Lee said he is now working with another third party payment company to try and reinstate RMB pricing, and is hoping to make an announcement on the Weibo account in the next few hours.
This will now be the firm’s third payment provider relationship inside a week. Lee brushed off worries that the new relationship could also be placed in jeopardy by PBOC’s most recent move.
“If this keeps happening, ten times later, will I keep going? I don’t know. I can’t predict the future. But for now we’re going to try one more time, to see,” he said.http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-price-falls-btc-china-exchange-shuts-fiat-deposits/I don't like his response. This sounds not serious enough from a CEO. He should find a reliable way to enable depositing or just close it instead.
99.
Post 4036479 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
Every exchange is now following the movements of this one exchange which is seeing liquidity cutoffs, government action, a reducing order book, and a reducing volume, and has led us to 3 crashes this month (in a downtrend) - who knows what their government will put of of their ass next. Yet all the exchanges still follow it move by move and tonight it does something and every goes 'yay rally time to the moon'. I dont get it.
The answer is arbitrage.
100.
Post 4036650 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.42h):
The answer is arbitrage.
Tell me how you'd do it, please.
Buy coins privately and sell them at bit stamp or btce. I cannot do like this bit there're plenty of people can do.
101.
Post 4949336 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):
Bitstamp has the best liquidity of all exchanges. Its where most people actually enter and exit the ecosystem. If you have or want cash in a bank account its most likely going to be based on that price. Bitstamp is also a very important hub for nearly all of bitcoin's commercial integration and services. The trendy thing to do right now is to integrate your service with bit stamp to perform all btc to fiat conversions.
By the same note I also consider bitstamp to be btcs single point of failure (centralization). Any FUD involving bitstamp would be really bad - much worse than even huobi/china. This is probably not how satoshi envisioned bitcoin working.
Agree on the first half. For the second half, I think the failure is just on temporary price, not on BTC itself. Other exchanges will take its position quickly in case bitstamp collapses. As long as BTC system itself works, there's nothing to be worried for Satoshi.

102.
Post 4986402 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.03h):
PS. Still hypothetically speaking, suppose that you own an exchange and your clients have entrusted you with 100.000 Bitcoins.
Suppose further that the Bitcoin price is 100$ and has been stable for a while.
Thus your company's current assets include a pile of bitcoins worth 10 million $. But that is a totally unproductive asset, like having a pile of cash locked in a safe.
So you decide to sell most of those coins at other exchanges and invest the money into stocks or something that will yield a return. You take care to leave a reserve in a "hot wallet" for the occasional withdrawals. You also pick an investment that can be quickly liquidated, so that you can buy back the coins you sold if the hot wallet is not enough.
But then there is a big unexpected rally, and the Bitcoin price eventually stabilizes at 800$.
Some of your clients eventually want to withdraw their bitcoins; some sell them at your exchange, for 800$, and want to withthdraw the money.
Either way, you now owe 80 M$ to your clients, but still have only 10 M$ invested in stocks...
It's impossible to sell your most BTC in other exchanges without crashing the market.
103.
Post 5011201 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.04h):
I've heard MtGox has changed their bank partner, and maybe now or soon the money withdrawn will be better? Then everyone is hurrying in selling their coins and try to get their cash back?
104.
Post 5210140 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):
Why people keep trying to persuade others here? How about just bull longs, bear shorts, and others hold?
105.
Post 5210209 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):
It makes me laugh that "experts" here are actually saying that this is an permanent upwards trend, even if it's not still sure if MtGox can return it's customers $ and BTC.
do you think the fate of gox bears strongly on the long-term value of btc? if so, why?
It's because that's what most have been waiting for. A solid reason to call bitcoin an Ponzi scheme. If Gox goes bad, then it will be played out like bitcoin is actually just a tool for people like Karpeles to prey on their victims.
You have vision. Bitcoin has been through WAY worse than this. And it keeps on keeping on.
You are just caught up in the moment with no historical vantage point. Its laughable that you think a healthy market means one with no risks. Go trade rocks for sand if you want no risk.
Otherwise be quiet please.(personal and historically unsubstantiated angry opinion) f.a.c.t.
I bought at 200$, when bitcoin was actually covered by an famous news program in China that is known for representing the Chinese government stance. I sold at around the start of December, when there were no volume to support the price going up and it got clear that China won't have any legal potential with bitcoin. I only bought back once around 800, for couple of hours after I sold again. The last reason was only because I was intoxicated and bored.
So, you religious/lying sack of excrement, don't tell me about having no vision. Pricks like you have been telling me 2 month, that NOW it seems like the price is picking up again, making up childish reasons like "China doesn't even matter!". And for all those two months I held my own decision with only winning by doing this. The slow downfall just continues and continues and it's not difficult to see why.
Delusional pricks like you make me feel shame of my interest in bitcoin, because you do make this place look like a cult or a gang of crooks.
No offend, but a speculater like you contributes nothing to bitcoin, no matter you win or lose money. Therefore, your interest on BTC really matters no so much. If everyone interested in bitcoin is just want to buy low and sell high, then BTC better to die now.
106.
Post 5210500 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):
No offend, but a speculater like you contributes nothing to bitcoin, no matter you win or lose money. Therefore, your interest on BTC really matters no so much. If anyone interested in bitcoin is just want to buy low and sell high, then BTC better to die now.
So why do you buy Bitcoin, and not just donate to Bitcoin related start ups, if it´s not about making profit?
I buy bitcoin because I believe it have a chance to be a reliable store of value, so that I can hedge the risk of inflation. Moreover, I also want to be rich, but prefer to be rich because bitcoin is more successful, not because someone unfortunately buy BTC from me at a large loss.
107.
Post 5210621 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):
No offend, but a speculater like you contributes nothing to bitcoin, no matter you win or lose money. Therefore, your interest on BTC really matters no so much. If everyone interested in bitcoin is just want to buy low and sell high, then BTC better to die now.
But speculators who chant Choo Choo and are delusional about the future contribute more?
For instance how do you contribute to bitcoin? or how does windjc?
Don't take me wrong, I am not saying that everyone should contribute to BTC or stop speculating. I am just saying that BTC is not a pure zero sum game for speculators. Therefore, its destiny is not determined by speculators.
Bitcoin has a great potential to grow up due to a lot of those who contribute to the codes and create businesses on it. Those are the one who really determines the future of the bitcoin, not us (no matter we are bulls or bears here).
108.
Post 5210699 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):
No offend, but a speculater like you contributes nothing to bitcoin, no matter you win or lose money. Therefore, your interest on BTC really matters no so much. If anyone interested in bitcoin is just want to buy low and sell high, then BTC better to die now.
So why do you buy Bitcoin, and not just donate to Bitcoin related start ups, if it´s not about making profit?
I buy bitcoin because I believe it have a chance to be a reliable store of value, so that I can hedge the risk of inflation. Moreover, I also want to be rich, but prefer to be rich because bitcoin is more successful, not because someone unfortunately buy BTC from me at a large loss.
If you buy bitcoins to store value, then you probably don't know much about money.
Bitcoin value is only held up by speculation, so trusting bitcoin to hold your wealth is giving your money to the bitcoin hodlers and trust that they won't cash out. That is naive as an investment and a naive way to deal with wealth.
If you want to store value, then buy resources like rare-earth metals, that are in constant demand together with technological advancements and their supply is constantly getting tighter. Bitcoin is not rare, it's only decided by a group of people that it is rare. And you are also trusting a group of unknown people that it will stay rare.
I think you have confused value with price. The price of bitcoin now is manipulated by a few people with the help of the exchanges. The value of Bitcoin, however, lies in that it's the only scheme which provides a reliable accountant system without requiring trust on any centralized authority, shared all over the world, and backed up by a huge computing power.
You can speculate on its price as much as you want, but the value of bitcoin is much more than that. How it will change the world is still largely unknown and we just see the tip of the iceberg. That's again why I said the speculators really do not matter to the future of bitcoin.
109.
Post 5280060 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.15h):
I guess Mark can sell his real BTC on other exchanges and buy a lot of Mtgox BTC to cover the loss. He can easily double or even triple his BTC holding in this way. I don't think his loss will be more than 1/3 of his holding.
110.
Post 5357164 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.19h):
"At this point 744,408 BTC are missing due to malleability-related theft which went unnoticed for several years."
This simply can't be right unless a few insiders were stealing them.
This simply cannot be right. Nobody will overlook this for years. Therefore, this is definitely not the truth, or at least not the whole truth.
111.
Post 7140452 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.50h):
On page 4, that article by Academic Prof. Kristoufek says
For examination of the relationship between the USD and Chinese Renminbi (CNY) Bitcoin markets, we use prices and volumes of the btcnCNY market which is by far the biggest CNY exchange.
But "btcnCNY" is BTC-China, which at the time the article was written (after MtGOX was found to be insolvent) was essentially dead. No wonder his fancy wavelet method found no influence of "China" on the USD price.
He must be excused however, since his source for price series is
www.bitcoincharts.com -- which STILL refuses to admit the existence of any Chinese exchange other than BTC-China.
Yes, that's true. BTC-China's volume is less than 1/10 of Huobi and only contributes less than 5% of China Volume now. If that paper really only looks at BTC China's volume, then I have to doubt it's 'scientific-ness'.

That is, they may have a reasonable method, but the data source is wrong.
112.
Post 7284483 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):
Ghash.io is a 50%
Fuuarggg
Maybe they intend to redistribute the Fed's coins before the impending sale?
They cannot. 51% attack can only change one's own transactions, plus the coins newly mined. Ignore me if you are just joking.

113.
Post 8923931 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
I think this will be the last couple of days that 400 holds, I think we will be visiting 300-360 soon enough.
same, generally, but the time part is so hard to nail down. it's impossible to get the short term details right, but everything has been pointing for me to that general range. we could bounce a bit, hell, given all the shorts taken out at 400, we could bounce 30 or 40 points, but i think low-mid 300s are coming in the next couple weeks.
There are no buyers. It's that simple. The result of 9 months of dumping and chasing cheap coins.
Everybody thought that after crashing down tons of buyers were dying to get in with cheap coins. Nope. There is nobody.
Now of course i keep reading we need to hit 350 before we can get back up. And after that 260. Well, these new buyers won't suddenly appear then. Also there is no guarantee we will go back again. As i keep saying one day it will stop. People will get tired of losing money. Of getting dumped on by traders every time they invest some money.
For now the Bitcoin hype is over and we better hope for something good to happen or all your cheap coins will be just that. Cheap coins.
The question is will we learn from this situation. And the answer is most likely no.
There has been tons of buyers that is why the price recovered to 600$ + a few months ago and there is still a lot of buyers but there is a lot of sellers as well and a lot of new coins hit the market
The Bitcoin hype will come back when the fiat currencies will show what they truly are : manipulated, inflated and unreliable for store of value
But this is not a few months ago. A few months ago tons of people started buying because they expected the price to go up. Instead they got dumped on, day after day. They sold and left and won't make that mistake again. Neither will all the people who watched it happen from the sidelines. You see, that's the "problem". These people actually do learn from their mistakes.
Keep in mind that pretty much everyone who invested in Bitcoin this year lost money. Almost a full year. Exactly at the time everyone expected something great to happen. This damaged Bitcoin so much. So many here underestimate this. They think they just can keep crashing the market, pick up cheap coins and go back up again. You can't.
After 5 or 6 years now investors are gonna say fuck it. I'm not gonna put money in something and get dumped on day after day by greedy traders obsessed with cheap coins. The previous years was ok for that. Not anymore. This year was the year to get serious. But everyone who tried to invest lost their money because of traders and dumpers. What do you expect them to do? Invest again?
From what you wrote, BTC seems a pure bubble and people buy it only because it will rise overnight. If that's sure, it's better to see BTC dies now than later. Maybe your account was newly bought, otherwise really sad to see a Hero Member saying such thing here.
114.
Post 8966491 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
Anybody remember when the price went up and you thought shit I should have bought more coins while they were cheap...
... well now you can !
When they WERE cheap, not when they ARE cheap.

115.
Post 9127698 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):
One thing may help us to know why the price does not go up. There are so many people here hate the dumper but almost no one thanks the dumper for the cheap coins.
116.
Post 9183096 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.23h):
Can you idiot traders just stop dumping after it goes up 5 dollars? Just give it some damn room to grow for once. Don't worry, you won't get poorer if the price goes up.
Yes, they will. They are shorting BTC (maybe with 5x, 10x, or even 20x level) and will definitely lose a lot if the price shoots up.
117.
Post 9857043 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
sorry if already answered, but do you care to share why you think @220 will be the "real" bottom? (serious question)
It's because the triangle cult has blind faith in their trendlines. Of course if the lines fail, they will have a crisis of faith, which leads to dumping.

It's how markets work.
So current price is determined by the price of 2 to 3 years ago?
118.
Post 9857130 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
sorry if already answered, but do you care to share why you think @220 will be the "real" bottom? (serious question)
It's because the triangle cult has blind faith in their trendlines. Of course if the lines fail, they will have a crisis of faith, which leads to dumping.

It's how markets work.
So current price is determined by the price of 2 to 3 years ago?
Since some people from 2 or 3 years ago are still around, I think it have some influence.
Also the TA people use the same technique, so it in certain sense influence them too, even if they are not here since 2 or 3 years ago
To me 2,3 years to bitcoin is like 10 years, and the price of 2 to 3 years ago ($1 to $10) cannot have any influence to current price. Therefore, to draw a such line in such a scale is meaningless. This is not TA in my understanding.
119.
Post 9857230 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.39h):
sorry if already answered, but do you care to share why you think @220 will be the "real" bottom? (serious question)
It's because the triangle cult has blind faith in their trendlines. Of course if the lines fail, they will have a crisis of faith, which leads to dumping.

It's how markets work.
So current price is determined by the price of 2 to 3 years ago?
Since some people from 2 or 3 years ago are still around, I think it have some influence.
Also the TA people use the same technique, so it in certain sense influence them too, even if they are not here since 2 or 3 years ago
To me 2,3 years to bitcoin is like 10 years, and the price of 2 to 3 years ago ($1 to $10) cannot have any influence to current price. Therefore, to draw a such line in such a scale is meaningless. This is not TA in my understanding.
if that line get broken? better watch out. in no way "meaningless".
I'd rather to look at lines drawn based on these two years prices.

120.
Post 9945679 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):
I remember dec 25th to dec 26th last year, we went +70usd and pumped into 1000s shortly after. Will the history repeat itself this year ?
Nope, learn about history; Mark Karpeles pumped every 10x pump of bitcoin

He is gone now and you have all year seen the effect of it. Enjoy your cheap coins and dreams of becoming a millionaire by sitting on your ass. I will tell you a bit about the future price of bitcoin, if it stays over $100 it will be a miracle (in 2015). Mark Karpeles is gone and also most of the deepweb sites which was the only true incentive to purchase bitcoin.. so do the math (hint: no demand at all, except traders (btw, the whales you guys talk about is pretty much the exchange operators)).
No demand at all, then how about the 80K auction coins?No coins were really sold?
121.
Post 10192557 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Most credit cards and banks cover for unauthorized losses, which BTC does not have this insurance.
But they pass this cost of fraud onto the consumer, effectively raising the price of everything you buy. BTC insurance could become a fairly large industry.
Citation please? People here say that a lot but I've never seen any proof that fraud is a line in COGS
I assume the merchants are subsidising that in the fees they pay.
Mainly is the " interchange fee" the Visa and MC and AMex, Disc pays to the middle merchant banks to promote their cards,which includes interest 2-3% and per transaction fees.
Yes merchants pay a cc fee. But any proof they pass this onto consumer? I think they just eat it in their margin. I know my business did
The intermediary bank and association pays for it.
But the "interchange" association will reimburse some of the loss to the final merchant if they used rules like i.d. verification and physical swipe of transaction them from the buyer, online sales are much higher risk than physical location, therefore the higher interest and swipe charges for online merchants.
Thank you.
I also think the claim that bitcoin is cheaper than CC is bogus. Cost per transaction is all time low and it's still around $8-9. A year ago it was almost $80 per transaction
https://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transactionWhat does this "cost per transaction" mean? The price of 0.0001 BTC? The Btcpay or coinbase fee? I think maybe mining cost / transaction count? Then it has nothing to do with the merchants or customer.
122.
Post 10192792 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Bottom lineis if i pay you $100 in BTC you'll get $99.99 worth of BTC. If i pay you $100 via credit card you'll get about $97 and it'll come with additional risk of chargeback if i decide to dispute that transaction as a bonus
why $0.01 less? I suppose you will pay the miner's fee.

normally buyers pay it. So merchants pays nothing unless they want to convert to fiat.
123.
Post 10202250 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.51h):
Buys are coming in because Bitcoin will soon be in the faces of every Facebook user via ChangeTip. Lots of new Bitcoiners will soon enter the space due to this increased exposure.
Does changetip provides pay by PayPal or credit card
? Otherwise, don't think the Facebook user will bother open an exchange account or coinbase account just because they see some tips in BTC.
EDIT:
Just tried by myself. New users get $0.5 for free and then they have to either top up by BTC or have to register a coinbase account. Really wish them to provide a BTC purchasing service by themselves, otherwise I don't think that will attract many non-bitcoiners.
124.
Post 10290888 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.54h):
It will be even better if we do go up significantly again, proving the uptrend to be real and sustainable this time. The market is still completely paralyzed and shattered after a year of bleeding out. Regaining trust takes some time!
Personally I think that Coinbase pump and dump removed a significant amount of confidence and trust that was being slowly rebuilt. Lotta people got burnt AGAIN by obvious insider trading
OKCoin is still sitting with 14,000 futures contracts they need to liquidate at $275 and above ...
Their insurance fund is now annihilated and traders there will be taking a significant haircut this week on their gains unless we get above that level by Friday morning
Anyone who buys futures there today or tomorrow has a high chance of buying into a guaranteed socialised loss
Well it was disappointing, yeah, but if we actually overcome it, things will be looking even more bullish. What if everyone expects the market to go down... It goes up - we all know Bitcoin, don't we? But I agree that the debacle on OKCoin doesn't look good. But keep in mind: Coins/FIAT doesn't "disappear", it merely changes its owner who may invest it again.
What do futures mean and do to the "real" market? I dont really understand what they are or why they are traded -- if you dont mind explaining
Simply a gamble on the future BTC price (e.g. every Friday) winner gets the BTC deposited by the loser. The effect to real market: the most important one is that now people have chance to gain from price going down. With high leverage, they can dump in the real market and earn more than their loss from shorting on the future market. With the earned BTC, they can dump again...
125.
Post 10425782 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
you know that hong kong is not china?
It's not correct. Hong Kong is a special administration district of China.
126.
Post 10476558 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):
I don't buy this Bter hacked shit. It's clearly an inside job.
Guys, I know most of you are not that familiar with exchanges like BTER so let me share my experiences. I know BTER very well. Most of my BTC holdings have come from trading ALTs on BTER, just lately I have started daytrading bitcoin since ALTs have been pressed so hard into the ground and there is no much action there.
BTER worked like a charm until some strange things didn't start happening. First is a NXT hack of about 50 million NXT (4000 BTC at the time) that happened 6 months ago. The situation surrounding the hack, negotiations, moves that were being drawn after the hack are least to say bizarre. It can completely compare to the ''my cold wallet got hacked'' from yesterday. But OK, it can happen to anybody we said!
Than there was a BITBAY fiasco 3 months ago. BITBAY was a new breakthrough smart contracts technology by the David Zimbeck's blackcoin DEV and the others. IPO was held by BTER. Coin was literally dumped. Many people lost money. Some days after Skype transcripts came out to show that Lin, owner of BTER was heavily involved into this scam.
Now this raised many red flags in the community, why would a reputable exchange be doing this kind of crap. Everybody that was doing business on BTER after this event, were scared and in a sense BTER was a wreck waiting to happen. Every time I deposited coins after this to BTER was just to buy and GTFO. Of course, this too was sometimes day or two long in order for orders to go through. On Friday, a night before alleged hack, I withdrew my last 2 BTC from BTER since the order was standing there for too long, guess I was lucky.
Conclusion: All of us in ALT community was suspecting that BTER was on fractional reserves since the BITBAY fiasco. This is probably what happened. Two days ago he realized that this won't last much longer, he moved the funds and said how he was hacked! If you are asking me, yes, this was an inside job!
I withdrew all my coins there after the BitBay scandal. It seems sometimes we get paid when we stop working with the scammers.
127.
Post 10485934 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.59h):
Cannot understand why Apple succededs does not make you look smart, if not the other way around.
128.
Post 10600592 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.01h):
It is the upper limit, not the block size itself being increased. Block size increases when the transaction increases. Without a proper upper limit, some day no one can send or receive BTC.
129.
Post 11308517 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.14h):
Miners and full nodes owners decide whether to go 20M or not. Devs (mostly only bug fixing) has no more power than normal users.
130.
Post 11530114 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.16h):
FWIW I'm seriously thinking to cut my loose at $200. I want to be ready for $1xx.

This rift in the core developer camp is really starting to eat at me. I honestly don't know on what side of the debate I fall. I like Gavin, but tell me we're not becoming Ripple. Someone please tell me that.
Wasn't there some talk about an 8MB compromise? For regular users there is no "side" to take. If a hard fork lasts for more than a few hours we are really going to see both double and single digits. But they can't be that stupid.
Yes there is a side to take. If BTC can be hard-forked, how can it be totally trusted as a Store of Value? Currency, in and out, sure, no problem. But if someone has the power to hard fork, we are back to centralisation again, which is the antithesis of BTC. Does not matter if it is put out there as 2 options for people to choose between. Fact remains, there is the power to change the parameters, push out a fork, and the value of your savings is dependent upon what the majority choose. Does not sound like the trustless currency that I thought BTC was.
Everyone can do a hard fork to BTC. Just fork the code and do your change. The point is how many followers you could have. Moreover, your value of BTC does not change at all and they are the same on the two blockchains.
That said, Gavin has said again and again that there will be a soft fork acts as voting before any hard fork. The hard fork will only happen when the most majority has decided to accept large block.
People who want to do big investment have to do due diligence instead of just read news written by others. I am really surprised how brave someone can be by investing big money on something they don't know much and don't want to spend time on studying.
131.
Post 11639173 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
The next bubble will be the bubble of altcoins. Those, who know what they're doing, have already positioned themselves under select altcoins.
The excitement and crazy gains will be in the alts. Bitcoin will slowly implode on the weight of it's wasteful mining network. Speculators will stay away from bitcoin for the same reason - the mining network just siphons too much speculator money from the market. Some corporate fools will try to keep the bitcoin hype going, but nobody will eventually care. Money has moved into the bitcoin market mainly because of speculation, and the odds are currently very bad for everyone, because it's not even a zero-sum-game anymore, it's a game where the speculators have to feed large mining farms whose contributions are marginal in return.
LMAO.
Mining isn't wasteful. The more hash power, the harder it is to mount a 51% attack. This clown is a miner who can't compete, so he mines shitcoins and talks them up and bad-mouths the only crypto that's truly scarce.
Pure PoW is a failed concept, because the main threat lies in software vulnerability and increasing hashrate doesn't solve this threat. General hashrate of the network doesn't secure the network from software vulnerabilities that could plague the major mining pools or even the majority of users. PoW security concept is gimmicky, because it depends on the notion that the software is 100% secure. Piece of software doesn't only have to depend on it's own security properties, but also on the security properties of other software it depends on. A similar vulnerability to the heartbleed bug could could compromise the security of the entire cryptocurrency network. Some cryptocurrencies that have adopted PoS into the equation, can offer the same level of security but with A LOT cheaper costs. This means that the odds of winning are a lot better for the speculators, because they don't have monkeys mining on their back. Monkeys whose "work" has very little real use.
Any PoS coin can be easily copied by others, so no big money will invest on it. Currently, with the huge hash power, only BTC cannot be copied overnight. That's the reason why most fund are invested on BTC related business.
132.
Post 11639340 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
Any PoS coin can be easily copied by others, so no big money will invest on it. Currently, with the huge hash power, only BTC cannot be copied overnight. That's the reason why most fund are invested on BTC related business.
It's not necessary to have a huge hashrate, because huge hashrate just isn't necessary when the main security threats lie in somewhere else. It's like having iron bars on your windows while your front door is still secured by linen cloth.
Most of the BTC related businesses aren't only BTC related. They are related to cryptocurrencies in general, because most of these companies can offer the same services while quickly adopting new innovating cryptos. The owners of these companies and their investors know that the future is in the field of cryptocurrencies in general and this (r)evolution won't end with bitcoin.
Things are valuable not just because it is good. Anything good but can be easily copied or replaced does not have value. PoS coins are just like this. You can have a very advanced coin, but tomorrow other guy can just copy your idea and create a clone. BTC has its drawbacks (security is not one of them), but due to the huge hash rate, it cannot be easily replaced or copied. The huge hash rate is the key of the real scarce, and is the key of the value of BTC. Those who claim PoS is more advance, more environment friendly have just overlooked this most important point.
133.
Post 11639571 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
Things are valuable not just because it is good. Anything good but can be easily copied or replaced does not have value. PoS coins are just like this. You can have a very advanced coin, but tomorrow other guy can just copy your idea and create a clone. BTC has its drawbacks (security is not one of them), but due to the huge hash rate, it cannot be easily replaced or copied. The huge hash rate is the key of the real scarce, and is the key of the value of BTC. Those who claim PoS is more advance, more environment friendly have just overlooked this most important point.
Yes, now you are starting to understand what the crypto scenery is all about. It's about an idea and it's constant improvement by better innovative software solutions.
The lazy fortune seekers just want to find THE COIN, so they can buy it and sit on their ass, so they can just be rich while doing nothing. In reality, the scenery will remain highly dynamic for the coming decades, before more refined solutions come out, that can't be perfected much more. But in the closer future, cryptos will start to get old quicker and wealth will start to move around quickly to new and better solutions. It's a nightmare for all the bartenders and and cab drivers who came to the crypto world seeking easy riches. It means that they actually have to understand the bigger picture of things to predict the winning outcome.
Scarce creates wealth. If digital coins keeps being replaced by new one and the wealth keeps being redistributed, then it is just a gamble game. No economy can be established on it. It's fine to keep looking for the black horse if what you want is just speculation on new coins. Most investors, however, are looking for a real one coin for the future economy. This coin may evolve, but cannot be completely replaced. Otherwise, it will be a disaster.
134.
Post 11812090 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.20h):
Disappointing that we seem to be getting dumped on. Really hope we can hold in the 260's. I don't want to see 250's & 240's ever again to be honest. The next move is kind of critical, I have literally no idea which way we'll go though.
It doesn't seem as clear as it was looking a day or two ago.
Zoom out. Look at the 3day or even the week line. Then you will have a better idea.
135.
Post 11866026 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):
Now think about how thin the bid order book was in Bitfinex after the pump and how thick it was before, I kind of think this pump and dump was probably just an one-man show.
136.
Post 11866073 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):
Now think about how thin the bid order book was in Bitfinex after the pump and how thick it was before, I kind of think this pump and dump was probably just an one-man show.
Like always? aha-moment just happend for you?
This time a little bit different. This was the first time I saw that the bid side became much weaker after a big pump.
137.
Post 12154176 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
OK finally...
Why did the market wait a whole week to dump 10K coins for 3 dollar discount?

Is this it? Or will we dump another 10k and get our $255 coin?
because the fork is actually happening now. This isnt going to be good for the price.
As I understand it the fork is a very slow process.
It is until it isnt. The writing is on the wall now. I am of the opinion this is going to be very bad for bitcoin.
This fork only makes difference when majority (75%) miners have switched to the new fork. Actually, since everyone can see the progress in the blockchain, once it is close to 75%, most of miners and nodes will switch already. So in my opinion, there will be no noticeable fork happen at all.
138.
Post 12168453 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
Nodes, not miners. (?)
From what I read, the threshold is 75% of the previous 1000 blocks mined by XT-compatible miners, but in January 2016 at the earliest
Kinda,
The trigger to allow larger blocks is dependant solely on miners.
Activation is achieved when 750 of 1,000 consecutive blocks in the best chain have a version number with bits 3 and 14 set (0x20000004 in hex). The activation time will be the timestamp of the 750'th block plus a two week (1,209,600 second) grace period to give any remaining miners or services time to upgrade to support larger blocks. If a supermajority is achieved more than two weeks before 2016-01-11 00:00:00 UTC, the activation time will be 2016-01-11 00:00:00 UTC.
Of course, as we've seen recently, the rules that the miners pretend to follow, and the rules they actually follow, are two different things.
Also, if the blocks created by the miners are not accepted by a similar "supermajority" of the clients, then those rewards from creating the blocks will be difficult to spend.
It's gonna be a big, hot, mess.
Add into that prorogation time of the conflicting clients, ie if the vast majority of clients are running core and not relating bigger blocks then propagation of xt blocks would be slower and there is the chance that they wont be relayed before a core block is propogated and begun to built upon.
Mining pool will follow the nodes. To secure their profit, most of them will only switch to XT after majority full nodes do. Therefore, there will be no mess at all. Either majority of nodes switch to XT and then pools follow, or nothing happens.
139.
Post 12191644 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):
This is an attempted coup alright, but it's from idiot miners who want a bigger slice of a smaller pie. If we cave on this, they will never allow our network to become competitive enough to disrupt the banksters.
Bloating the blockchain to DOA levels will disrupt bitcoin, not the banksters.
Besides, 8mb blocks, or even 80mb blocks, aren't enough to scale to such levels. You'd need enormous storage (and bandwidth) per day to compete with the volume of banks and credit cards.
Visa does 2000 tx/s. Bitcoin needs 300-700mb/blocks to do that, not accounting for spam.
If you add mastercard, bank transfers, swift, paypal, and, finally, cash transactions from person to person that could be digitized with btc, not even 1gb blocks would scale.
Exactly. And BitcoinXT looks like an altcoin IMHO.
All Gavin fanboys are screaming: Scale or die. They just don't understand that increasing the block size is not a permanent solution. It's a quick fix.
And like every quick fix in your life, its consequence is always bad.
Quick fix is to survive. XT is a backup in case we run out of time and the perfect solution still stays on paper.
140.
Post 12226470 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):
I'm glad I moved everything I had off Bitfinex before this downtime and the flash crash before it. I'm annoyed I missed a chance for cheap coins during the flash crash, but relieved my coins aren't stuck on Bitfinex now. I was toying with the idea of moving my coins back to Bitfinex in case there was another flash crash. Thankfully I never did it. will there be another crash if/when Bitfinex starts trading again?
What's the usage of coins during a flash crash?
141.
Post 12314317 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.25h):
My personal impression is that hash rate is dictated by price and (more importantly?) technology, with rate reacting to price and not the inverse. The two big ramps were directly related to a paradigm shift in mining tech, CPU to GPU, and GPU to ASIC. With ASIC gear becoming increasingly efficient we will probably see a rise in hashrate even in the face of a flat or modestly declining price. The upcoming halving should be pretty interesting for those watching this relationship.
Agreed. Hashrate
should follow price, but it seems like during those two massive increases it was the price chasing the hashrate....

Someone better suited to scientific analysis of data sets would do a better job of analyzing this relationship ( hint, hint, Professor Stolfi )

Anyways, I don't expect any further large expansions in mining technology or efficiency, certainly nothing on the scale of cpu>gpu>asic.
Many people mocked me many pages ago for my concern that the block size could not simply scale exponentially for the next 20 years, but I still believe we are reaching the limits of physics and any further significant exponential type gains in computing power beyond asic will likely take us beyond the singularity. I just hope our new synthetic overlords accept bitcoin. (Ok, yes, I've been watching too much humans (tv show))
Block size has almost nothing to do with the hashing. The concern is the bandwidth and storage space, not the CPU. Validation of transactions is much faster than mining, and even today's PC can handle validating all transactions in 20M block. So the main question is whether the network bandwidth and storage space will increase exponentially for next 20 years, not the CPU.
142.
Post 13758839 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.43h):
Didn't see 'new coins' were mentioned in the link you provided.
143.
Post 13970510 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):
Can't we make a thread called "let everyone one fight over bitcoins issues and developments" and let this one for TA and graphs about speculation?

The design of this forum makes new threads very difficult to survive.
144.
Post 14001536 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):
I've said that all along. It's the people who could point guns at the miners any time they want. That's what censorship is
... and then what, they shoot the blockchain into pieces?! omg bitcoin doomed
Shut them down if they are stupid, but they aren't stupid. The Chinese have a higher average IQ than Europeans and Americans. They would do what the Chinese do: they would manipulate the currency. 51% attacks, double spends or merely threaten to do so.
This is the part where we change the PoW… just like some are threatening to do if 75% of the blocks start voting for 2MB.
The important difference… it would be
unanimous in the case of chinese govt takeover of mines,
far from it with a simple upgrade to 2MB max blocks with miners using soft limits along their supply curve.
15000, and a big delete buffer

How long would that take? How soon could we agree on a different hashing algorithm? How much hashpower would secure the new fork? Face it, the ChiComs could damage Bitcoin beyond repair, or at least destroy our firstmover advantage and crash the price to pennies.
It'd be a nightmare for sure, but not insurmountable I think. As gmax likes to say, the candidate code is ready. The chances of you seeing it are probably much higher than a hostile takeover by the PRC.
The probability of a hostile takeover by the PRC goes up as $/BTC goes up. So if we continue on our upward trajectory, the only question is what's gonna kill us first, the commies or fullblocalypse?
I feel in your imagination, China is a city and all miners are inside one room, and the government is a man with a gun who can shoot anyone he want at anytime.
145.
Post 14001562 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):
Aaaand... the debate has risen to the tenor of "accusations of cockgobbling"

Way to go Samson Mow, CTO of BTCC
Bobby Lee must be proud.
Clown
146.
Post 14001573 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):
Aaaand... the debate has risen to the tenor of "accusations of cockgobbling"

Way to go Samson Mow, CTO of BTCC
Bobby Lee must be proud.
LN promises to take away >90% of the fees generated per block, of course Samson Mow hates it...
i agree with the other guy
yes, we need R&D on LN and sidechains
just don't force me to
buy it. pre-order
I think you make a mistake of Mow's position. He's supporting LN.
147.
Post 14001856 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.45h):
Aaaand... the debate has risen to the tenor of "accusations of cockgobbling"

Way to go Samson Mow, CTO of BTCC
Bobby Lee must be proud.
LN promises to take away >90% of the fees generated per block, of course Samson Mow hates it...
i agree with the other guy
yes, we need R&D on LN and sidechains
just don't force me to
buy it. pre-order
I think you make a mistake of Mow's position. He's supporting LN.
you sure?
well in that case i'll just say that, i'll take Gavin's thing over Mow's thing...
Look at the debating. Mow is saying the other guy oppose LN but cannot point out its drawbacks. Then the other guy say although it's good, does not like to be forced, then Mow said those dirty words. Hope this clarifies his position on LN.
148.
Post 20279373 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.14h):
The bip91 has been locked in. However, miners still need to come to a concensus on the HF part. After SW is activated, there's nothing to prevent the miners switching back to core version with signal 1. Only around 80% signed NYA and nobody knows whether anyone will quit.
Keep monitoring signal 4 may help to check who switched back to core version, but after SW is activated false signal 4 needs only a trivial patch on core version.
149.
Post 20440221 (copy this link) (by BitThink) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.15h):
Bitcoin, like any so-called crypto currency, is the old like world scheme of Ponzi. Only in the new high-tech pack.
Want an example? You are welcome:
1. Assume that all people in the world convert half of their savings from ordinary national currencies to crypto-currencies. What does it mean? This means that the producers of crypto-currency, received half of the world's volume of national currencies - half of the total world currency bascet.
2. After a while, the fictitious value of investments in crypto-currencies increased 4-fold (as we see in the case of Bitcoin and the mass of other crypto-currencies). What does it mean? This means that now, every person in the world, reasonably expects to receive in exchange for his crypto currency (as a return on his genius) in 4 times more volume of the national currency.
3. Let's assume that all these people, at the same time, decide to fixed their investment profit-to exchange their crypto-currencies that went up four times, (if they take profit in the form ordinary national currencies).
All of them expect to receive now 4 times more national currency than they used to, they spent on buying crypto-currencies.
QUESTION: Where does this whole currency come from? From producers or producers of crypto-currency? But they simply do not have such volumes of ordinary currency, and never were. Because, previously selling the Crypto currency, in exchange for the usual currency, the organizers and the receivers only received the initial value of the crypto currency in the usual currency. Which was at the time of the transaction only - 1/4 of the amount of currency, which is now payable to all owners of the crypto currency.
CONCLUSION: Bitcoin, like any so-called crypto currency, is the old world scheme of Ponzi. Where each participant can receive a gain of the investments only one way - due to those new participants who have entered this pyramid later.

If half the world is using cryptocurrency, is there any possibility that people still need to convert their cryptocurrency to fiat before they can use it?