All posts made by fairlay in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread



1. Post 8611744 (copy this link) (by fairlay) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

some user on our site are pretty sure that price will be <$500 for the next month (they offer 1:5 odds)
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/bitcoin-price-500-on-oct-1st/

is their a significant wall at $500? And does a wall has an effect over a month? Or is it only relevant for day trading?



2. Post 8611871 (copy this link) (by fairlay) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 31, 2014, 04:21:17 PM
some user on our site are pretty sure that price will be <$500 for the next month (they offer 1:5 odds)
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/bitcoin-price-500-on-oct-1st/

is their a significant wall at $500? And does a wall has an effect over a month? Or is it only relevant for day trading?

Interesting bet, i like those odds!

Pretty sure that they will change pretty soon. It obv. could be that BTC is <$500 on Oct 1. but I think there is no reason to be sure about that. It should be more like 50:50 instead of 20:80



3. Post 8611991 (copy this link) (by fairlay) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.09h):

Quote from: adamstgBit on August 31, 2014, 04:28:32 PM
some user on our site are pretty sure that price will be <$500 for the next month (they offer 1:5 odds)
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/bitcoin-price-500-on-oct-1st/

is their a significant wall at $500? And does a wall has an effect over a month? Or is it only relevant for day trading?

Interesting bet, i like those odds!

Pretty sure that they will change pretty soon. It obv. could be that BTC is <$500 on Oct 1. but I think there is no reason to be sure about that. It should be more like 50:50 instead of 20:80

its just impossible to say.

free market says the odds should be 5:1 ish so be it.

i think i'd place the bearish bet just cuz the odds are soo good, who the F knows what price will do. lol

Actually the bullish odds (yes - Bitcoin will be >$500) are very good. The "<" in the first post was right. The prediction says >$500 but user did bet on "no" - this is why I wrote "<"... Now I am confused as well...



4. Post 8629958 (copy this link) (by fairlay) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.10h):

actually the odds changed back to a "normal" level regarding $500 at Oct. 1st. 50/50 if above or below is pretty much what you would expect at the current price level.

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/bitcoin-price-500-on-oct-1st/