All posts made by betaknight in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 2494011 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
btc/usd is spiking UP at other exchanges.
2.
Post 2496612 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
got another joker flashing a bid for 1000btc @ 100.00 ... either it's bull bait or we're about to see some fireworks during the Euro session..
3.
Post 2500302 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
the action at the 101's is looking good; going to add some leverage to long positions via btc.sx
4.
Post 2500356 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
boom! timed that one just right, snuck in before a whale

Seeing size move up instead of being super patient like the past two days. We're shaping up for a breakout to the upside.
5.
Post 2500551 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
boom! timed that one just right, snuck in before a whale

Seeing size move up instead of being super patient like the past two days. We're shaping up for a breakout to the upside.
Friday or Saturday night showed a major buy that spiked price temporarily into mid 103, but market showed no momentum after that and was characterized by sell offs. This was also only a 1k buy.
I would look for considerably more confirmation before having any faith at all in price rising to even 105, let alone surviving 105 without being met by large sells.
There has been enormous amounts of confirmation. I was short from the $130s (play on 100 euro's being a barrier), and after seeing how well btc has held up in the $95-100 range, I'm comfortable getting into longs.
as for "This was also only a 1k buy." - what should I be hoping to see? Someone pushing 10k at a time? My fundamental view is that bitcoin's adoption rate can support $100 btc's. Anything above is gravy.
The #'s make sense. Those that think the market can't support the thousands of coins being mined everyday (~3600), are forgetting about the fact that we're seeing over 1.5 million Android activations per day. That's straight from Google's mouth.
6.
Post 2500657 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Numerous bids amounting from 100 to 400 all disappear at once just after a little rally..smells manipulation
No! Simplest explanation: They actually wanted to buy, think they lowballed too low, and are now reconsidering higher offers so they can still get back in at a decent price point.
Sure, some may be manipulative walls, but the simplest explanation is usually the safest one.
can't forget about the bots playing market makers. When the spread gets too thin they shut down and wait for easier chances to pick up nickels and dimes.
7.
Post 2500740 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
What exactly do you mean by this:
Those that think the market can't support the thousands of coins being mined everyday (~3600), are forgetting about the fact that we're seeing over 1.5 million Android activations per day. That's straight from Google's mouth.
http://www.engadget.com/2013/04/16/eric-schmidt-google-now-at-1-5-million-android-activations-per/The # of people joining the internet for the first time continues to grow at a rapid pace. The # of people joining the mobile web (perhaps their first experience with the web) is a strong driving force in the growth of internet technology, which includes bitcoin.
We're seeing more devices and new networks. It's getting cheaper and cheaper to build the infrastructure needed to grow the size of the internet community. Project Loon is just a novel idea at this point, but it's just one more sign of the growth that's still to come.
http://www.zdnet.com/googles-project-loon-uses-big-networked-air-balloons-to-fill-internet-black-holes-7000016887/
8.
Post 2501129 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
lucky ones getting bids filled at $100.xx, selling at $100.xx is a bad idea IMO; shorting it would be even worse.
9.
Post 2501288 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Just banged on the 100 dollar wall with a giant *BONG*. My speakers shook an ornament off the shelf.
Which one of you called a rally to 110??

patient buyers letting scared sellers fall into low bids. Over the past 3.5 days, someone has picked up a nice amount of coins between 97 and 98..then 98 and 99.. now 99 and 100. The market is just working off the fear caused by "the dumper" from 130s, but sellers are still panicky. The longer this small range churns, the more likely we are to see a bounce towards 110 rather than a dive to 90, imo.
10.
Post 2502091 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Anyone see another negative divergence? We are again having an up day on lower volume then the day before. That happened on the rise last week (and then we came down to current levels).
Careful careful here though, you never know when another move will happen. But that negative divergence is a warning sign, quite reliable...
The recent action below $100 a coin skews volume imo. Doing less volume after a sizeable gain (off the low of 88) might not be as ominous as it seems. The fundamentals of bitcoin keep chugging on positively, despite short-term trading noise.
11.
Post 2502329 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
I've seen enough to pull the triggers, I'm now 100% leveraged long via btc.sx @ an avg of 100.6, with 4 days of funding left as cushion. Targets are in the 104-105.xx's and I'll cut losses if we see 98.xx's again.
game on

12.
Post 2502462 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
I've seen enough to pull the triggers, I'm now 100% leveraged long via btc.sx @ an avg of 100.6, with 4 days of funding left as cushion. Targets are in the 104-105.xx's and I'll cut losses if we see 98.xx's again.
game on

Trading with leverage! "Man, I like your balls!"
haha, just making a play. It is very top heavy at the ask right now, particularly between $102.0 and $102.5, but it looks more like a scare tactic aimed at drawing action to bids. Feels like big bag holders trying to stuff their bags even more by stocking up at $100
13.
Post 2502670 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
I've seen enough to pull the triggers, I'm now 100% leveraged long via btc.sx @ an avg of 100.6, with 4 days of funding left as cushion. Targets are in the 104-105.xx's and I'll cut losses if we see 98.xx's again.
game on

Trading with leverage! "Man, I like your balls!"
Is there another way to trade ?

Yeah, the 'All in!'. You don't need that car, savings account, alcohol, retirement account... do you?

haha, "all in" with regards to what I can afford to lose and not have quality of life affected

14.
Post 2502692 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
I've seen enough to pull the triggers, I'm now 100% leveraged long via btc.sx @ an avg of 100.6, with 4 days of funding left as cushion. Targets are in the 104-105.xx's and I'll cut losses if we see 98.xx's again.
game on

Trading with leverage! "Man, I like your balls!"
Is there another way to trade ?

It would be interesting for whales to pump/dump on MtGox and leverage at
http://www.plus500.com/Instruments/BTCUSD 4:1
1. go short CFD at plus500
2. dump at gox
3. take 4x more profit at plus500
4. go long at plus500
5. pump gox
6. take 4x bigger profit at plus500
can get 100:1 at other shops like btc.sx, but slippage and spreads are still an issue.
15.
Post 2503093 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
duly noted but vetoing

i'm trusting a read on the flow of the order book. The action is painting a picture of a reversal in recent pessimism. Still a bull(shit?) market haha
16.
Post 2503301 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
duly noted but vetoing

i'm trusting a read on the flow of the order book. The action is painting a picture of a reversal in recent pessimism. Still a bull(shit?) market haha
I'm split. You are right - the order book is looking good and has been for days (at least within $5-$10 of the current price). But notice when we start moving in those sells just hit us down again?
It just happened a few minutes ago as I was watching the Gox market. Maybe 350 - 400 BTC sells came through in batches of 50-100 or so. That has been happening for a while, so I don't
exactly trust the order book.
True, but those batches could also just be market makers who are happy to earn a couple nickels on the spread. The bids have been dropping quickly when those hammers come down, but even at their lowest, they've been creeping higher compared to previous lows
17.
Post 2504825 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
it was nice to see the bundle @ $102.00 get eaten up swiftly.

18.
Post 2505016 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
not expecting much more action until the Euro session gets going, probably a good time to grab a meal, stretch, etc

19.
Post 2505119 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
the spread is still crazy huge
this tells me, buyers are not in a panic to get bitcoins no matter what the cost, and sellers are not in a hurry to unload.
if you ask me what this means for price i will say:
180 in 9 business days

still so much fear in the market. People look at their charts and the past few days look like a repeat of the price action leading up to another episode of "the dumper"
20.
Post 2506202 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Wow, some nice buys coming in.
yup, Europe woke up.
21.
Post 2506635 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Propped up to 104 by a wall for a fall?
i took off some of my longs a point before my intended targets because it looks so sketchy. The tape does not feel right considering the situation. It makes very little sense for the those bid walls to go up (1000 @ $102.3? really?) and stay there. Not if their intention is to actually buy... I mean, they are just letting smaller orders front-run them..driving up the price.
22.
Post 2506761 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
It makes very little sense for the those bid walls to go up (1000 @ $102.3? really?) and stay there. Not if their intention is to actually buy... I mean, they are just letting smaller orders front-run them..driving up the price.
Why not? it could be the same person(s) who bought decent sized blocks today. They could be waiting for sellers to step up before they resume buying. Decent sized Bid walls have been enticing sellers lately. No need to run the price up too high with their purchases
Exactly. They ARE running up their purchases by doing this. If they wanted to acquire 1000 coins, it'd be better to split the order. By posting a bid for 1000btc, lots of smaller orders are bidding up the price in anticipation of the whale's purchase and sellers are less likely to move asks down. As it stands, it's the same tactic used three weeks ago to headfake bulls before "the dumper" came to play. If it is indeed the same buyers as earlier today, all they are doing is pumping up the price a little higher (maybe into their own asks), thus making it easier to take profits on their recent acquisition.
23.
Post 2506906 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
bid wall pulled
yup.. i'm bailing on my longs. I was leveraged up, so it was a nice ride from 100.xx's but i wouldn't feel comfortable going to sleep with those still riding. Now i'm just considering whether or not to put on a short before heading to bed

24.
Post 2507062 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
Most of you guys are crazy. Every time the price goes down, "all is well". Any bids or upward movement.... "OMG manipulators".
If you don't think manipulation is a part of the market, whether it be bitcoins or equities, you're gravely mistaken.
25.
Post 2507143 (copy this link) (by betaknight) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.05h):
I'm not closing my long position yet, this baby is going up at least to 110 this week.

I might regret this tomorrow, but I've entered some shorts in the $103.xx's and am headed off to sleep. I'll either wake up to some stop losses being hit, or it's back to $100 tmrw.
Best of luck gentlemen
