All posts made by CEG5952 in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 3381369 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
seems we'll just keep climbing until the Chinese have decided they've had enough? then crash time?

2.
Post 3381395 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
so if the price keeps rising, how would we ever use it as a real currency to buy stuff?
i'm pretty sure everybody who has them has them for buy and hold or making profit, not for purchasing goods - I certainly don't because in two months the price might have doubled, and I would curse myself for giving them away "back then" instead of using real currency.
Your question is hard to understand.. why would the price rising affect its usefulness for purchasing goods?
he's saying he doesn't want to use it as currency since it is such a volatile investment vehicle (commodity)
3.
Post 3381477 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.18h):
so if the price keeps rising, how would we ever use it as a real currency to buy stuff?
i'm pretty sure everybody who has them has them for buy and hold or making profit, not for purchasing goods - I certainly don't because in two months the price might have doubled, and I would curse myself for giving them away "back then" instead of using real currency.
Why buy a laptop? Because if you wait a year it would be a lot more powerful, touchscreen, better camera etc for cheaper. There comes a time when people need to buy stuff almost regardless of future price performance. And of course some people are always thinking we are near the top. And also the price isn't going to keep rising like this forever. It'll flatten out eventually and at that time exchange of BTC we become more common.
assuming 100% of my real-life assets aren't in bitcoin, i would just use USD and hold my bitcoin....
4.
Post 3827990 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Capital Gains.
god damn it, i should of never sold anything

i need to learn how to hide my Capital Gains, should i dump it in BTC?

Dude, we have a $750k capital gains personal exemption here in Canada....use it.
I'm going to move to New Zealand (from Australia) for a year when I sell mine. Fuck giving 45% of my BTC to the government.
If anyone wants to throw out a good tax strategy for an American, I'm all ears. I'm dreading having to pay on my BTC profits.
There isn't one. You either cheat or pay. Oh and moving won't help you. Americans are taxed on their worldwide income and you can't give up citizenship for tax reasons. You have to pay an exit tax on your entire holdings.
Wrong!
Live in Puerto Rico for 183 days out of the year and you do not pay captial gains tax, OR federal income tax.
We see another month like November and I'll be moving there.

can you point me to a source for this? i have family in PR and this interests me greatly.

5.
Post 3829014 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
EM for poster of the year
6.
Post 3829868 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
doesnt really say anything. the dollar is ubiquitously recognized, why would people be googling it?
7.
Post 3830072 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
This is The Great Crash!
I WAS RIGHT!!!
Yep, crashed right back up to 1230+ LOL
Someone (or a few people) dumped over 1000 coins and we are almost back to where we started on GOX. That seems impressive to me. I don't know. I think in the past a dump like that would have caused more panic.
Absolutely. I think the market is starting to grow up.
nope, just too much buy pressure at the current juncture imo. nothing to do with "growing up".
8.
Post 3830081 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
This is The Great Crash!
I WAS RIGHT!!!
Yep, crashed right back up to 1230+ LOL
Someone (or a few people) dumped over 1000 coins and we are almost back to where we started on GOX. That seems impressive to me. I don't know. I think in the past a dump like that would have caused more panic.
Absolutely. I think the market is starting to grow up.
I think it has serious implications for Bitcoin as a currency. The size of the market seems to be reducing volatility.
If it's large enough to demonstrate a resistance to manipulation and crashes, that makes big holders less likely to dump. That further stabilizes the currency.
At some point that positive feedback makes things stable enough that the general public feels good about sticking a couple toes in the water to try this thing out as a medium of exchange... and from there who knows where we go.
Ummm, I'm not sure but it seems like 100s if not 1000s of businesses are signing up daily to accept bitcoin. I think more than a few are braving more than a few toes.
are you sure about that? any sources? i didnt get that impression.
9.
Post 3830870 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Completely legit beating of gold would be to take the global weighted average when all major exchanges are reporting/working.
https://bitcoinaverage.comWtf?
That says BTC-e has the most volume.
Huh, good point. I never paid much attention. Do you think BTC-E is Faux volume of trades or perhaps just crazy bot trade?
I honestly don't know.
MtGox is well known to be a clusterfuck of incompetence but I'd expect their business to go to Bitstamp, not BTC-e.
Maybe it's bot-trade, the alt currencies have been going nuts.
BTCE has decent volume when times are volatile, bots too
10.
Post 3831205 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.32h):
Completely legit beating of gold would be to take the global weighted average when all major exchanges are reporting/working.
https://bitcoinaverage.comWtf?
That says BTC-e has the most volume.
why does this shock you?
its the only exchange i will even use...
true that!
11.
Post 6821322 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):
must be getting close to a bottom of some sort if chart buddy can have 3 posts in a row....
interest is waning!!!
Interest been waning for months and months. Need a bit more than that to get me excited!

12.
Post 6823603 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.45h):
Do the folks at BTC-e know something that Bitstamp doesn't? There is now a $10 difference in price with BTC-e dropping.
Some times the folks over there decide to go off on their own. Often dumps lower for no reason.
BTC-E also has a very thin order book. A 100 BTC dump can go much further there. And also, people make the mistake of having tight stops on MT4 -- which, due to liquidity, get triggered on otherwise low volume moves. BFX has same problem, but not as bad.
13.
Post 6924528 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.46h):
This consolidation is looking pretttty bullish.... I was planning on waiting for a swing down to 500 or a bit below, but I think I might jump on the train while we are hovering around $560. This is getting crazy!
14.
Post 7021349 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.48h):
I got a small deposit (100) in yesterday at Bitstamp and now they want me to answer 5 questions.
[ ... ]
Probably it is not Bitstamp that selects the unlucky customers who will get those questionnaires. There may be some agency that checks all deposits (by hand or through some algorithm) and picks the "suspicious" ones, that Bitstamp is required to question further.
"Artificial intelligence" algorithms are now routinely used by banks to spot possible card theft, and by governments to spot possible tax evasion.
100E? Is this for real? I'm not gonna send money to Bitstamp again. Any fiat will go through Bitfinex for now, until better options arise. Too many reports of this. I have become too fearful that they will freeze my funds to keep money there. What if they don't like my answers? What if they try to say my coins are from SR or something?
15.
Post 7086920 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.49h):
On today's menu, our bullish members will be mainly eating...

Dont think so drop kick .... Pplz gotta take profits and back we go up
I bet my left nut that we wont break 600

I am certainly bullish in my sentiments about the current state of bitcoin; however,
it is truely idiotic in my thinking to be talking in such absolutisms regarding the bitcoin price. That's what gets people into trouble, and who the fuck really knows what kinds of manipulations can take place in the short term to affect BTC prices beyond expectations. So don't be betting your left nut on anything related to bitcoin prices b/c you may need that later in life, especially if you plan on having kids in the future.
Agreed regarding the absolutism. Bitcoin blows everyone's minds when it goes both directions. And it's
never a good idea to go around betting testicles. Just my two cents.
16.
Post 7203430 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):
Now we are waiting for the chineses to make them move. The next raise will depend on Huobi and Okcoin, bitstamp canīt grow more without a hit of China. But this seems pretty good, the 650 floor itīs solid and only can go up. When? Well, thatīs the question in here.
I'm thinking similarly -- it's sleepy time for another couple hours. We bounced at Huobi's triangle bottom, so I'm hoping we'll finally break out of this range to upside when they do make a move.
17.
Post 7205006 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.51h):
light blue uptrend indeed invalidated. We are on the new dark blue uptrend. We followed the downtrend for a brief moment, but I think we will try to keep the exchange rate in the "black band". Thoughts?
Well, I'm long from $638 and added a bit of margin long at $645... so I'm certainly hoping you are right. I've been expecting a breakout back to the $680 zone for a couple days now.
18.
Post 7421844 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
huobi looks bouncy. up from here?
Yep, looks bouncy to me as well. Hourly bullish RSI divergence, lower low on falling volume, stochastics are very oversold. We should see some up now.

19.
Post 7423692 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
The USD swap demand at Bitfinex has been extremely high recently. People want to borrow $5 million or possibly even more.
I'm not sure if this is real demand, as it occasionally disappears without being fulfilled. Would people be crazy enough to try and influence the price of bitcoins by posting a fake swap demand wall? I doubt it. Also the Bitfinex swaps have been acting very strange with very short spikes in demand - probably due to people trying to influence the swap rate.
People who are already long are paying very high interest rates. They are trying to take out new swaps at lower rates, while keeping positions open. That is my suspicion. It's not new demand for new longs.
20.
Post 7425215 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
416BTC just dumped off on Stamp at $485. Pricing held pretty strong, as we stuck at $592

20
BTC strong bid holdin above 590$
87
BTC strong bid holdin above 585$
Market definitely looks strong

All depends on China, though. No one dares follow because Huobi didn't even flinch at that dump. And we all know once Huobi turns, it'll be a race to panic buy.
21.
Post 7425318 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
If we would just start rallying up, that'd be great.
I'm getting sick of all the sideways (not)movement.
I think we all do. But it can't all be massive swings every day, all the time. Those indicators need time to recharge, and traders need time to question their fear/greed-driven moves.

22.
Post 7425365 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
416BTC just dumped off on Stamp at $485.
and not a single f is given.
Yep, and just a few seconds ago, a > 250 BTC buy to $597 on BFX. Bulls and bears fighting it out in this excruciating sideways action....
23.
Post 7425858 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
I'm starting to wonder if I should be following finex instead of stamp.
That's what I do. I chart Huobi mainly, and BFX tends to stay in lock step, more or less. Stamp is becoming irrelevant, in my opinion.
24.
Post 7425934 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
finex looks the same to me on bitcoinwisdom (as stamp)
whats the difference?
If you look at structural highs and lows, BFX has diverged considerably from Stamp. They used to move in tandem, since BFX shared Stamp's liquidity, but that is not the case anymore. It's actually kind of fucked up -- BFX doesn't have a thick enough order book to support all its margin trading.
25.
Post 7457347 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
Still looking pretty bullish. Bears couldn't push it down even with those big ask walls on Huobi. There's a lot of support here. I'm holding, and considering a small leveraged long.... if I can get swap that isn't outrageous.
26.
Post 7458569 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
The price is fine for now, but i'll be a little worried if the price fail to rise (and stay) above $600 by July 1st.
Why it was only $420 last month. Now is $595 that is a 45% increase. And last year the price was only $80
It's a matter of holding the trend. The trend started getting real choppy in the high $600s before breaking down -- preferably, after this rebound, we don't stagnate similarly and break downward once again.
27.
Post 7458708 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
It's easy to regret staying put a bear market once you've been mired in it for a long time. Trying to trade it is going to be a bit more hair raising.
More difficult to me is trading this type of sideways. The run-up and correction through February were very volatile, and trends were very easy to follow. With all this sideways and choppiness, it's pretty frustrating trying to stay on top of the trend.
28.
Post 7495039 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
It depends if you actually wanted to win the auction. If I wanted to win Id put my bid somewhere between $600 and $630.
So you are pretty confident that the coins will be sold above the exchange rate? I can see arguments for both sides, but it's all very murky to me.
29.
Post 7553252 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):
Not sure I'm convinced of this rally. Feels like a relief rally. Hidden bearish divergences continue. I could see this going sideways a while, then failing. I think it might be a boring weekend.

30.
Post 7553305 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):
Timeline:
1) Large Buyers are slowly accumulating Bitcoin as exchange depth allows, trying not to run the price up on themselves while they try to fill their accounts to their planned levels of exposure.
2) They find out about the SR Seized Coin auction. Some may have found out before the public announcement.
3) They stop buying on exchanges and save their funds for later bids at the auction.
[ ... ]
No sane manager would change his firm's financial strategy on account of the possibility of winning a closed-bid auction -- especially one where every moderately rich bitcoin enthusiast in the world can bid. The chances of winning such an auction with a financially responsible bid price are way too small.
From a business perspective, bidding at such auctions is an opportunistic activity: winning would be great, but one must be prepared to lose many times before scoring a win -- or even to lose every time.
Irrelevant. Every single bidder that showed up at this auction has funds reserved for a bid of at least 1 lot of 3,000 coins. Many have funds for more, and some for all lots. Many losing bidders will be left without coins. At some point these bidders made the decision to be buyers of Bitcoin. This decision is unlikely to change as a result of this auction. So we can expect most of the buyers to move their bids elsewhere rather than remove them entirely. This is a great deal more purchasing power than is required for the purchase of these <30K coins.
However, there will be more coins auctioned by the US government in the future. And there is an OTC market -- only the perma bull case asserts that these buyers need to buy NOW.
31.
Post 7569730 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Looking at Huobi's chart, I see a 5-wave up. The last attempt up was very weak, seems time for a corrective down. I'm looking at $575-580 area on Bitfinex, maybe a spike lower on BTCE, over the next day or so.

32.
Post 7585940 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
They're going for a premium, surprise surprise!!
Honestly though, I don't think anyone with some sense in their head thought they would go below the market price.
I don't think anyone with sense in their head thinks they are going for $1800 a pop either.

Who is this guy anyway? I can't imagine he's serious with a statement like that...
33.
Post 7586060 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
lol, that's a little too optimistic.
I don't think it's less than $600, but i don't think it's over $800 either. But on the other hand,
they go on localbitcoin for over $1000 sometimes so it's actually maybe not that much of a stretch.
But it would be nice if it was that high though.
I wouldn't put too much into numbers that you see on Localbitcoins. Anyone can set up two accounts on Localbitcoins, and as long as the trade is carried out through their site, it will register as having happened. So, if you were interested in people thinking there was demand at > $1k......

34.
Post 7587151 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
As the price of these coins are the most important thing this year (considering it's the only thing people talked about the last 10 days) the price will go down or up by huge amounts when we know the outcome, right?
Right?
What do you think the chances we even find out the outcome are?
Personally, I think they are low. It's a closed auction. I don't think any official channel (government) will release anything. And I wouldn't be surprised if the bidders have to seal their lips based on some terms of the auction. No experience here obviously, but that is what my gut is telling me.
so all the FUD and speculation is fruitless because we might never know the price they sold for?
Maybe -- I think the auction in the first place was a good chance to FUD the price down.

Now we recover and then some. When you get past the miniscule amount of coins at stake here, the auction news is quite bullish. Government stamp of approval, whale investors and all that.
35.
Post 7587567 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Maybe -- I think the auction in the first place was a good chance to FUD the price down.

Now we recover and then some. When you get past the miniscule amount of coins at stake here, the auction news is quite bullish. Government stamp of approval, whale investors and all that.
we will likely know the price if it is high, we will not know the price if it is low unless it is leaked.
and being so confident about a bull run because it is over is not the best position to be in IMHO
The courts will sell the other 100k+ coins eventually and we do this all over again. We are in the dark ages of Bitcoin right now. We haven't hit the age of enlightenment yet. I think it is q3 next year before we see serious positive developments.
I am only holding though

On the short term I am actually bearish. Price action is sleeping right now though. Tempted to get my coins back with small profit now, but I think we could dip to the 570-580 area before the auction is no longer hanging over our heads. I don't know about a big bull run, but I see some upside here.
36.
Post 7587852 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Look, you can market buy 3000 coins right now on Bitfinex with a top price of $632. Remind me again why someone would pay $1800 for a single lot?
You will find out on Tuesday when EBay auctions off 3000 genuine, U.S. certified, Silk Road (TM) Bitcoins as collectibles for $2400 each. A critical cultural artifact, a piece of history, which will retain elevated value even after the sun becomes a red dwarf.
I know that I would be tempted to pay 4 BTC for such an artifact. Ideally, one which is tracable by the shortest possible path to the earliest possible block reward.
Yeah..... I guess you and I have different priorities here. I can't imagine they could be come to worth 4x the value of a bitcoin -- after all, they are..... bitcoins -- but to each his own.
37.
Post 7588094 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Yeah..... I guess you and I have different priorities here. I can't imagine they could be come to worth 4x the value of a bitcoin -- after all, they are..... bitcoins -- but to each his own.
I imagine that by the time the sun is a red dwarf, if they are worth 1% more than 1 BTC, the gain in value is quite enormous. That kind of wealth preservation is hard, very hard, to find.
The art market is quite volatile. It's easy to make or lose a fortune on Cremonese violins or Faberge eggs. Easy to lose, if you have a forced sale. Easy to win, if you have infinite patience.
They may be worth more, but who would actually care enough to pay the premium?
That's what I'm thinking. At this point, if you're that bullish on bitcoin, you could put those extra $$ into buying more bitcoin. Seems pointless to me, but I've never been into collecting things so much.
38.
Post 7588536 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Action heating up a bit. Bid whale on BFX back to pumping. 500 ask still there on Stamp, slowly getting eaten but no real damage yet. Meanwhile, Huobi is still asleep and drove this with bots on no volume almost....
39.
Post 7588635 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
Yep, another $10 move and no follow-through. We could very well get an up-leg, but this looks nothing like the start of some of the crazy pumps we've seen in the past few months. Might still just fizzle out and bleed down. Huobi did stop right at descending triangle top (short term).
40.
Post 7588658 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
When the stamp wall is gone and it passes $615 im satisfied.
When BTC-E gets beyond $605 im satisfied.
For now.. it's just a shitstorm that can go 3 ways. Up,down or sideways.
My thinking as well. Have not seen a clear breakout yet. We see so many fakeouts/whipsaws these days, I try not to get too excited over a $10 jump anymore. Like you said, up, down or sideways....
41.
Post 7588760 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
That rise in the Chinese exchanges was almost predictable: now is 6:40 am in China, about the time when the first traders "wake up". I have not checked statistically, but somehow I got the impression that the early-risers tend to be more bullish than average. So the Chinese day tends to begin with a price rise, that may be reversed later. But, again, this is only an impression.
I often get this impression as well when watching Huobi in their morning hours. Often we see a small pump, which fizzles out after a relatively short time, and often we see a reversal.... fakeout.
42.
Post 7589118 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.56h):
The 500 BTC wall has been there for like a day. Unless it was pulled in between the hours I checked, it never left. It's real and has been getting chewed on a bit. But it hasn't been pulled..... we'll see if anyone is willing to buy it.
43.
Post 7679893 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
I'm back all in. I think we could have another weak leg down, but generally, we are in bounce territory. Indicators look to me a lot like prior to the ~6/29 pump. It's time to get bullish.
44.
Post 7681498 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
look like LTC moves btc now :-D
Too much panic surrounding ltc now, i couldnt resist to buy some
Hmmm, not sure. I keep some lowball bids in now after seeing that $2 spike the other day. But I think LTC might have a slow slide down to retest that level, or at least much lower than here. Good luck....
45.
Post 7696951 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
The breakout doesn't look super strong, but it could still materialize. If not, I think at worst Huobi will retest its lows before we launch. Bullish divergence everywhere, the whales can't keep spending so much coin driving price down so little. Some fiat whales are gonna squeeze them.
46.
Post 7697231 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
Slow steady grind to 1k?
Not sure about $1k. I think we'll see an explosive movement into the $700s, though. There's some big resistances in that area, I think. If we can break it convincingly, I could see $1k, but not before we are rallying strongly above $800.
47.
Post 7699659 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
now that everyone is waiting for a bubble and yelling that this is going to be soon or maybe it will start now....it is the perfect reason for a bubble to not start for a long long time, hell maybe Bitcoin is still overvalued from the last bubble and this is why we see selling pressure each time the price go up for $10.
Totally agree. I think bulls might be blind-sided if/when this thing turns south in a major way in the next couple months. But, that's just my gut reaction to everyone predicting the same thing. Who knows? I got my cold storage -- so if I sell at the wrong time... oh well. I'll still be enjoying the ride.

48.
Post 7706599 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
Was that action on CampBX an API glitch? Or did somebody exploit the trade engine in some way? Pretty sure no one bought it up to $10k. But maybe they wanted to paint the chart that way.

49.
Post 7706917 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
Was that action on CampBX an API glitch? Or did somebody exploit the trade engine in some way? Pretty sure no one bought it up to $10k. But maybe they wanted to paint the chart that way.

Was only 100 coins.
It was ~ 132 from looking at Wisdom. That's likely well over a million bucks on a 132 coins. And CampBX is now offline.

My guess -- someone found an exploit, bought all the coins on the book with fake USD, then made off with as much as they could from the hot wallet.
50.
Post 7773869 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
Seems I went bull too early.

Staggered bids and still all in $8 above the low here. Hope we can get some bounce soon, bulls are still looking weak...

51.
Post 7801237 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
Nice panic buy from a large investor.
Hehe, yeah that's a nice long shadow on that candle. There's definitely some buying pressure here, we're just at a resistance level. This looks like a pretty natural pullback, haven't even made it to the .382 on any of the exchanges. No panic selling here.
Not panic selling indeed. Just people taking every little profit they can. We go up 8 bucks and everybody dumps straight into it. It really shows that a big rally up is not something they are expecting anytime soon.
We've had some large buys the last few days and instead of it motivating people to buy it motivates them to dump.
People started trading more and more and now they want to profit all the time. I seem to think they aren't in BTC for the long run anymore.
That's just traders. I think that's partly a reflection of the current market -- retail may be waiting to jump in, but they're still on the sidelines. All recent movements are mostly short term speculators/traders, not the bubble-driving average joes.
52.
Post 7814874 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
The correct action then, is not to short BTC (which continues its inexorable exponential rise) but to short mankind, which apparently peaked around 1969.
Haha, okay I am sort of with you on this. But how does one short mankind, exactly? I've got some funds set aside.

53.
Post 7825214 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
Trying to force some sells but it's just not happening. He's gonna have to pull the walls and do some market selling to make anything happen. Bulls aren't budging yet.

54.
Post 7847849 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
Everybody and their mother is bearish on TradingView, all calling for 500s and 400s at this point. Everyone going short. Tell me this means we are going to the moon soon.

55.
Post 7848030 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
Everybody and their mother is bearish on TradingView, all calling for 500s and 400s at this point. Everyone going short. Tell me this means we are going to the moon soon.

Correction -- everyone there is bearish
except DanV.

He thinks the $615 level will hold and that we'll see a bullish leg to the $680-720 zone still.
56.
Post 7848413 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
If true, then oh crap. DanV is notorious for calling it wrong, lol.
He revised his extreme $200 bear calls around 530 and has been temporarily bullish since then. Now he wants to see 700 before retest of the lows.
Ahhh, LOL. Now he just published a new short position. He has given up on the 700 calls and sees a topping formation in the current chart.
57.
Post 7848523 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.58h):
I won't lie, any bounce attempts have been extremely weak. So I'm nervous, currently holding bags from 623$ BTCE and $629 BFX. But hold them I will!
58.
Post 7852378 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):
I could see another leg down, but I'm seeing a lot of bullish divergences across all exchanges. And 4hr indicators are getting pretty low. Not a good time to be selling, IMO.
59.
Post 7878843 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.59h):
What's with Huobi/Okcoin charts on Wisdom being so screwy/laggy lately? And now Tradingview charts have gone down several hours multiple times in the past couple days.
60.
Post 8048642 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.01h):
I think we're hitting bottom at the $590 level. OBV and Accumulation/Distribution have broken their down trends and 4hr indicators are all quite low w/ bullish divergences. Bears could always show up again, but it's looking exhausted, and we're sitting on very strong support (38.2% retrace of May rally, 100 Daily EMA)
61.
Post 8326115 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.04h):
Who can get me clear what caused this such panic, only leverages? Absolutely the answer will be no
No, simply no buy pressure to be found. No bulls to fuel a bounce. I'm starting to think we really need a good plunge, into the $400s perhaps, to provide momentum for a strong rally. Bulls are nowhere to be found -- except those holding from higher up.
62.
Post 8361765 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.05h):
Whoa, what happened last night? I haven't been looking at the charts the last couple days. But I had a bids fill in the 460s and 470s.... I guess some forced liquidations? Anyone know what started it? (Bitfinex)
63.
Post 8530582 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
Bitshares X on a crazy pump, almost $ 100,000,000 marketcap
Meanwhile expecting another btc dump, 6-12h macD look pretty disastrous
Stochastic RSI on daily range looks negative aswell.
Indicators say we will have a minor upsurge in the oncomming hours in the daily downtrend.
What indicators would those be? My daily shows that we're being pushed under all my major moving averages. We are not even oversold (stochastics or RSI) on the daily anymore. And I don't see a reversal candle.
64.
Post 8531548 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
movement incomming
Bitstamp 4 Hr. MACD flashing on & off...
Hopefully some fresh fiat will ignite a rocket this week
Bitstamp 4h has been looking bullish last day or so, and someone's been placing bid walls to hold it up. However, Huobi looks bearish, and the bid side has half the coins to the $480 level that Stamp does. That's kind of scary considering Huobi's potential volume....
65.
Post 8558921 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
Seems both LTCUSD and LTCBTC have broken their major up trend channel. BTC has obviously been following LTC this last week or two, if you've been following both. We heading down then?
66.
Post 8560157 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
LTC BABY! I bought another 4000 @ 5.35. Ready to lift off!
Can I see what chart you are looking at? o_O
Looks to me like LTCUSD and LTCBTC both just broke major up trend lines. What makes you think it's moon time? Maybe a bounce to test the broken trend but I'd be ready to bail quickly....
67.
Post 8560234 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
Edit: There are still 140k shorts on Finex btw.
Is that a lot for BFX? I suppose I've always heard their LTC market is very illiquid. Never looked into it. I wouldn't bother paying attention to BFX for LTC especially -- clearly that market is dictated by Okcoin. That's where the pumpers play.
68.
Post 8560867 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
If you havenīt bought days ago, you clearly are doing it wrong .
there still plenty of time to buy, years infact.
but times up for sub 500 it seems.
Times up? No sub-500 ever again? Hmmm, when did I hear that talk last? Oh yeah, it was in the TV chat, right before we retested 490s before rallying to 523.... that was 2 days ago.

69.
Post 8561023 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
LTC has no developer. How can you buy a coin with zero developers?
LTC has very strong fundamentals. I don't know what you mean -- it has an extremely dedicated development team. They just don't have much to do much because LTC is already the perfect coin. Oh yeah, and intrinsic value. LTC has intrinsic value, dude.

70.
Post 8561287 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.08h):
I am a greedy bastard, I should buy some at $3.xx I was under the impression that it would go even lower, I keep falling into this mistake, instead of buying in batches I try to catch the bottom or somehow a bit above the bottom, but for now I don't think that we will see a major drop, whoever bought between $3-5 did really good, I think dropping below that (not in a flash crash event) give the impression of LTC going down and never recovering.
Exactly -- that's what is on everyone's mind. We're in the same "litecoin is dead" situation as November 2013 -- except this time, BTC is in the throws of long term bear market, instead of a bubble, suppressing the alt markets with it. I think a prudent approach would not have been to average down in an LTC bear market, but to wait for bullish reversal. Averaging down in LTC is far more dangerous than doing so in BTC. (Just ask those who averaged down all the way from $50....)
71.
Post 9421320 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.28h):
Looks like we're ready to dump again. 300-310 looks good for a bounce.
72.
Post 9969207 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.41h):
Breaking $300 seems inevitable at this point, but at this rate, we may have a short squeeze first.
73.
Post 11731927 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.18h):
I was looking at the entire bitcoin price chart, kindly provided by some posts here, and I realized... there are two ways one can present it or look at it.
As a failure... or success.
I chose to see success.
If it goes 250 again in the next 24-48 hours, I would assume that it will be on the success chart but not not that kind of speculation I assume. It might go bumpy first before reaching back to the best peak.
74.
Post 11907451 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):
It's going up up and up again soon!
75.
Post 11959462 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.21h):
Prices are again rising up! Bitcoin is going into the Earth 2.0 which we can fill with bitcoin farms. Kepler-452b here we go!
76.
Post 11989465 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Well as much as possible, let's abuse the cheap coins and HODL! But the problem is I don't have any coins to hold

So sad. I wish someone could send me some coinz for hodling
/sarcasm
77.
Post 12025401 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Ya. You take financial advice from this place, you are going to have a bad time.
You might be surprised to find out who reads this thread and there net worth...rumor has it the composite operator reads this on a regular basis!
Lol he obviously don't know who are the ones reading this thread or lurking around here. This bitcoin thread in particular has helped a lot of people before and still doing so.
78.
Post 12029793 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Generally just report your posts to the moderators for summary deletion.
No sir. We hodl. We hodl like the mighty Nile hodled the baby Moses. We hodl like the manic winds rustle the earth against the waters. We hodl until star-systems far beyond our moon.
We hodl. We are immune to trolls. We are right.
Is this the right time to buy more? Give us some insights on why should we hodl on our precious lovely coins.
79.
Post 12069083 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Looks like we're going down? I really hope we don't fall fellw 275 USD, I'm not in the mood for another downward spiral to sub 270 & even below. Come on people these are still cheap coins, I'm absolutely at a loss as to ahy we're not getting new money pumped in right now. The fair price of 1 bitcoin is surely 350 USD +.
With this price, I'm winning! I've got enough coins to hodl until it pumps up again to $300 above. I smell popcorns popping by next week. Or probably just the caramel melting.
80.
Post 12069223 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Looks like we're going down? I really hope we don't fall fellw 275 USD, I'm not in the mood for another downward spiral to sub 270 & even below. Come on people these are still cheap coins, I'm absolutely at a loss as to ahy we're not getting new money pumped in right now. The fair price of 1 bitcoin is surely 350 USD +.
With this price, I'm winning! I've got enough coins to hodl until it pumps up again to $300 above. I smell popcorns popping by next week. Or probably just the caramel melting.

Yep. I'm bi-winning and it's auto tuned winning

81.
Post 12075568 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Oh boy oh boy. Hope it could recover today or before the week ends. I could really use some good 'ol fiat.
82.
Post 12075739 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
This is THE END.
What makes you say that? Any basis? Or just trolling? Probably just trolling... Mhmm.
83.
Post 12085601 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
How long will this last?
84.
Post 12085749 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Massive dump happening.
85.
Post 12086086 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Hold on tight everyone! Cheap coins brigade incoming
86.
Post 12086156 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Who to blame with this ruckus? Brainwallet?
87.
Post 12086285 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
Rough times friends. Rough times. I thought it was all because of brainwallet bullcrap?

88.
Post 12086335 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.22h):
is crypto done??


Is that.... FIAT in the middle? Geddemit fiat!
89.
Post 12087423 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
Well...therefore we will stay now between 250 and 275 the rest of the year.

Waiting for that $250 price to hit sometime next week. I'll bag some coins up

90.
Post 12092247 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
Chartbuddy is back with his charts! Hooray!
91.
Post 12100334 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
So the $300 dream is good as dead now? But the $500 dream still intact in my brain. I don't know why. Maybe because of the incoming halving?
92.
Post 12108977 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
Bitcoinwisdom down?
The site loads for me but no data...
Aaaand it's back

Working fine here for the past 30 mins or so.
93.
Post 12471656 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.26h):
I'm currently monitoring prices from ecoin.eu trading platform.
http://www.ecoin.eu/en/arbitrage/index
94.
Post 12517329 (copy this link) (by CEG5952) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.26h):
According to ecoin.eu charts at the moment, the price are good and might continue to rise for awhile. Or am I wrong?