All posts made by GBattaglia in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 9003278 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.16h):
There is only ONE chance to save Bitcoin only: price has to start to raise, and I mean REALLY raise, and REALLY soon, otherwise it's game over.
This.
The problem is: Price won't rise as long as merchants and miners dump thousands of coins every day. There simply isn't enough demand for all of that supply. That's why the price will continue falling until Bitcoin finds its "true price", which is somewhere in the single digits, probably very close to zero.
We're slowly coming out of the delusional bubble sparked by Markus, Willybot and other Karpeles manipulation schemes. Gox was, for a long time, the only BTC exchange. And it was by far the largest, for several years. With Gox gone, the veil of illusions is slowly fading away, and people are gradually realizing that internet funbux simply aren't worth several hundred dollars.
If BTC was guaranteed to be a good store of value and unit of e-commerce, I'm unsure how many people would still be interested.
If Bitcoin was steady at say $300 and fluctuated by at most 2% daily [always returning to the original $300 in these fluctuations] and say
it gained 3% in value yearly; I highly doubt a lot of people would be here.
A large group of people don't actually want to use BTC I think, they just want to speculate the price and "get rich quick".
2.
Post 9019253 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.17h):
We are still heading down.
3.
Post 9074194 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):
I wish BTC would just stop falling. I'm not asking for a bubble here, I'm asking for it to find a value point and cease losing it.
I'm not even a (big) holder of alternative cryptocurrency anymore, I just want BTC to become a reliable currency people feel safe
value wise holding onto.
4.
Post 9091272 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):
Microsoft purchased Mojang for 2.5 Billion USD. Bitcoin's total market cap is hovering around 4 Billlion USD.
So it looks like all Bitcoin in circulation is roughly worth the company that produced Minecraft.
Yeah. We are chump change in comparison to the world.
5.
Post 9104323 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.21h):
Lets see what happens.
6.
Post 12233421 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.24h):
Holy shit it broke $200. Panic sells inbound.
7.
Post 17529628 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
the panic sellers that didnīt want to slide down in agony with their live savings a second time around after nov.2013 are now getting the FOMO. some of them may have left btc for good, but most of them were just scared. they will jump back the closer it gets to their prior sell level.
because for a bitcoiner it is painful to see a 30% drop in price. but it is much more pain to even lose some btc when it rises again , and they havenīt bought back in.
so expect more of those 5% upward jumps. fuck yeah.
edit: $870/Y6000 will be resistance for a while, tough.
edit2: it was resistance for about 3 minutes, lol
Was coming here just to say that resistance didn't resist very long. China soon to be 6200 and BTC-E pushing $880.
China isn't leading very much in this rise though which I think is a good thing. Really I was expecting the rise to resume
when and if the PBOC says their inspection of BTC-China came out all clear.
8.
Post 17605086 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
I feel $890 will be the resistance point for this drop, but I question whether we will be able to hit it.
I think if we drop to $880 then a large sell off will occur. Funny thing is the drop isn't coming from china, but they are following.
9.
Post 17605168 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
I feel $890 will be the resistance point for this drop, but I question whether we will be able to hit it.
I think if we drop to $880 then a large sell off will occur. Funny thing is the drop isn't coming from china, but they are following.
I'm not ballsy (read: stupid) enough to have fiat sitting around on exchanges to take advantage of little dips like this.
I know there are ways of insta-buying BTC, but none of them are available to me, so I'll be watching from the sidelines again...
What I'm saying is it could be more than a little dip if something spooks people enough for it to go down to $880. Making profit off of
$10 dips with fees is hardly worthwhile unless you have at least 10BTC or so laying around
10.
Post 17605220 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
I feel $890 will be the resistance point for this drop, but I question whether we will be able to hit it.
I think if we drop to $880 then a large sell off will occur. Funny thing is the drop isn't coming from china, but they are following.
I'm not ballsy (read: stupid) enough to have fiat sitting around on exchanges to take advantage of little dips like this.
I know there are ways of insta-buying BTC, but none of them are available to me, so I'll be watching from the sidelines again...
And that's precisely the reason for higher volatility. As people become wiser and not letting their funds on exchanges, the order books become thinner.
Fat order books = High risk for exchange "hacking" / lower volatility due to inertia (=fat order book)
Thin order books = Better prepared for exchange "hacking" / bigger volatility
I have to admit I don't have a huge fear of "hacking" with BTC-E. It is always a risk and I wouldn't store life savings there or anything, but they have been one of the most reliable in that regard for a very long time aside from the temporary DDOS downtimes that happen every now and then.
11.
Post 17687783 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
You are a joke roach. Consider yourself worthlessholed.
I don't have time for you leftist cuckolds who are trying to sound cool by calling yourselves "anarchists", which just means destabilize your own nation so someone else can take it over.
I don't really care for the whole Bitcoin-Anarchists sentiment as it is obvious Bitcoin's primary means of use is as a means of obtaining and transferring fiat currency and when a single government action such as China's investigation of exchanges causes a large price dip we can't say government has no influence over bitcoin. But I have to ask what attracts you to bitcoin [I mean something since you are a member here].
Also, you hold all the values on that website I take it? Anti-LGBT, anti-immigration, etc?
12.
Post 17688006 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
Also, you hold all the values on that website I take it? Anti-LGBT, anti-immigration, etc?
If it offends you sure, because Marxism (aka political correctness) is just a political weapon to brainwash people into accepting globalism and world government. ANYTHING Marxists don't like is ALWAYS good. The MORE Marxists don't like something, the MORE you should do it. But otherwise I give no flying shit what "LGBT" people do.
So what about the Bitcoin question?
Also, you hold all the values on that website I take it? Anti-LGBT, anti-immigration, etc?
donīt forget pro-racism, anti-semite and a high level of assholism.
Didn't think there were many people who held those beliefs on a Bitcoin forum.
13.
Post 17690657 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
rant
Well I suppose as a German you have
learned from your history

i havenīt seen that one. spot on.
(i guess this happens when you genuinely ask yourself what the fuck has happened to your grandma and grandpa that made them kill millions of completely innocent people
industrial style efficiently as if it was an engineering task. they were either all coldblooded sinister killers or blinded by inhuman indoctrination. i do not know the answer, but i know that if indoctrination played a role it was exactly the kind of ideology that this fucking nazi is pouring into here and that gets discussed and quoted as if it was some technicality.
I too have been shocked no one had spoken up.
Just assumed it was all Americans here who are (since we in the Trump era) more relaxed about extreme right wing thuggery.
American here: Frankly I was a bit taken back no one pointed out what was being said here.
14.
Post 17696348 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
I think we will hit or at least come within striking distance of $1,000. I think the biggest thing right now is Segwit/Scaling-issues. As soon as this is resolved, we will see the market choose a direction. It will definitely make a shift, but we will have to see whether that is up or down.
15.
Post 17696734 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
I think we will hit or at least come within striking distance of $1,000. I think the biggest thing right now is Segwit/Scaling-issues. As soon as this is resolved, we will see the market choose a direction. It will definitely make a shift, but we will have to see whether that is up or down.
^up and awayyyyy :-D
Frankly I would prefer the scaling debate to come to an end more than I would want us to go on a moon shot. The worrying thing is Segwit is stalling for adoption. The current 25% mining power going to Segwit is nowhere near enough, and I have strong doubts any scaling solution will gain that much marketshare. With Bitcoin major mining pools making up more than 5% of the network [per pool] just one owner of a pool is all it takes for the change not to go through. That is insane for something as "decentralized" as Bitcoin [I know the centralization of Bitcoin has long been acknowledged].
16.
Post 17697036 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.02h):
With Bitcoin major mining pools making up more than 5% of the network [per pool] just one owner of a pool is all it takes for the change not to go through.
Almost makes one wonder why the oh-so-prescient core devs/blockstream employees/AXA proxies choose a 95% activation rate.
Why is it though? I mean it is the change they wish to implement so why roadblock it?
17.
Post 17824892 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
Keep in mind all these guys are mostly in for making money. I doubt that even one of them is a true Bitcoin lover.Also the Winklevoss bros are only business men, 100%.
my guess is that this bitcoin thing is - if it gets mainstream traction - their only chance to dwarf zuckerbergs social media empire. they have got 100k btc. (worth $100mio) one must have some sympathy for the coin to keep so many, imho.
zuckerberg is worth $56 billion. lol, bitcoin has to 560fold for them to catch up. hm... long shot.

^This.
For all the people who talk about Bitcoin being a global economic force and so on, they really need to put things in perspective. Bitcoin's market cap is at about $16,000,000,000 which is by averaging all coins at $1000. Now we all know that even if a fraction [say 1/4] of those coins were all sold off; the price would drop drastically. But lets look at the glass half full and say Bitcoin is worth $16Billion.
- AOL Bought Time Warner for $186 Billion.
- Vodafone Airtouch acquires Mannesmann $185.1 Billion
- Pfizer Acquires Warner-Lambert $87.3 Billion
- SBC Acquires AT&T $83.1 Billion
- Exxon Acquires Mobil - $80 Billion
Or Microsoft purchased Lumia for $7.6 Billion which they just wrote off as a failure.
Bitcoin is chump change in the grand scheme of things.
18.
Post 17824993 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
Keep in mind all these guys are mostly in for making money. I doubt that even one of them is a true Bitcoin lover.Also the Winklevoss bros are only business men, 100%.
my guess is that this bitcoin thing is - if it gets mainstream traction - their only chance to dwarf zuckerbergs social media empire. they have got 100k btc. (worth $100mio) one must have some sympathy for the coin to keep so many, imho.
zuckerberg is worth $56 billion. lol, bitcoin has to 560fold for them to catch up. hm... long shot.

^This.
For all the people who talk about Bitcoin being a global economic force and so on, they really need to put things in perspective. Bitcoin's market cap is at about $16,000,000,000 which is by averaging all coins at $1000. Now we all know that even if a fraction [say 1/4] of those coins were all sold off; the price would drop drastically. But lets look at the glass half full and say Bitcoin is worth $16Billion.
- AOL Bought Time Warner for $186 Billion.
- Vodafone Airtouch acquires Mannesmann $185.1 Billion
- Pfizer Acquires Warner-Lambert $87.3 Billion
- SBC Acquires AT&T $83.1 Billion
- Exxon Acquires Mobil - $80 Billion
Or Microsoft purchased Lumia for $7.6 Billion which they just wrote off as a failure.
Bitcoin is chump change in the grand scheme of things.
Here. Even did some basic speculative calculations to put Bitcoin's real marketcap in perspective.
First 1/4 of BTC sold off at $1,000: $4 Billion
Second 1/4 of BTC sold off at $700: $2.8 Billion
Third 1/4 of BTC sold off at $400: $1.6 Billion
Fourth 1/4 of BTC sold off at $200: $800 Thousand
Grand total market cap with these numbers of sell off depreciation: $9.2Billion. About the cost of buying a small failing smartphone manufacturer [Nokia].
19.
Post 17825138 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
Now we all know that even if a fraction [say 1/4] of those coins were all sold off; the price would drop drastically.
Try selling 1/4 of the total stock of a company and see what would happen with it's market price.

Bitcoin is chump change in the grand scheme of things.
That's just another sign of the underlying potential (price wise).
was is the lesson we can have if ETF gets approved? that little time before that the price was manipulated to buy some cheap coins and after sell 2 times more about, if not more.
You should just remain patient.
Yeah, a company sell off should have the same thing as Bitcoin's market cap. The problem is Bitcoin is not a company but is supposed to be looked at as a currency. Most people look at the $16Billion market cap and think that is the real worth of all Bitcoin in circulation, when in reality it is probably half that value as shown by the little break down I just did.
Now lets look at Bitcoin as a currency [and Bitcoin's use as a currency depends on its ability to make transactions]: Mastercard and Visa together can handle about 80,000 transactions per second, keep in mind those two probably only makeup about 80% of the market. Bitcoin handles about 3 transactions per second. Bitcoin can currently handle about 1/26,000 what Visa and Mastercard can. Or if we convert that into a decimal: 0.00003846153846153846
20.
Post 17825298 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
Yeah, a company sell off should have the same thing as Bitcoin's market cap. The problem is Bitcoin is not a company but is supposed to be looked at as a currency. Most people look at the $16Billion market cap and think that is the real worth of all Bitcoin in circulation, when in reality it is probably half that value as shown by the little break down I just did.
Try selling off 1/4 Dollars into metal and other currencies and see what happens. This perspective is really weird and unnecessary IMO.
Grand total market cap with these numbers of sell off depreciation: $9.2Billion. About the cost of buying a small failing smartphone manufacturer [Nokia].
Why the market cap rush? It's obviously severely undervalued considering what it offers.
Is it really severely undervalued? Look at my post above with the transaction bandwidth edit. How is Bitcoin severely undervalued without diving into speculative growth? Bitcoin's primary draw is as an investment tool for speculation. How many of you here regularly use Bitcoin as a
currency to buy and sell goods for?
21.
Post 17825527 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
Is it really severely undervalued? Look at my post above with the transaction bandwidth edit. How is Bitcoin severely undervalued without diving into speculative growth? Bitcoin's primary draw is as an investment tool for speculation. How many of you here regularly use Bitcoin as a currency to buy and sell goods for?
Bitcoin isn't just a currency, and that's the whole point of it. If you think that this is all there is to it, then you don't truly understand where the underlying value stems from. How many people regularly use Gold in a similar fashion?
Bitcoin's intent was to be a digital form of cash. It is both a currency and a means of payment processing. This was pointed out right in the whitepaper. Even if Bitcoin now fills a different space, its outward intention was to function as both a currency and payment processor.
Now don't get me wrong, Bitcoin can scale [not to the level of Visa I don't think], but it is highly likely it will not in any substantial way. If a dynamic block size is implemented along with blockchain pruning then we could see many times more transactions processed per second, but just a basic increase [not even looking at pruning] has not made any meaningful progress towards consensus. And even if the network could handle it, how many of you actually use Bitcoin to buy and purchase goods and why not just use any other payment processing network?
22.
Post 17827901 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
Is it really severely undervalued? Look at my post above with the transaction bandwidth edit. How is Bitcoin severely undervalued without diving into speculative growth? Bitcoin's primary draw is as an investment tool for speculation. How many of you here regularly use Bitcoin as a currency to buy and sell goods for?
Bitcoin isn't just a currency, and that's the whole point of it. If you think that this is all there is to it, then you don't truly understand where the underlying value stems from. How many people regularly use Gold in a similar fashion?
Bitcoin's intent was to be a digital form of cash. It is both a currency and a means of payment processing. This was pointed out right in the whitepaper. Even if Bitcoin now fills a different space, its outward intention was to function as both a currency and payment processor.
Now don't get me wrong, Bitcoin can scale [not to the level of Visa I don't think], but it is highly likely it will not in any substantial way. If a dynamic block size is implemented along with blockchain pruning then we could see many times more transactions processed per second, but just a basic increase [not even looking at pruning] has not made any meaningful progress towards consensus. And even if the network could handle it, how many of you actually use Bitcoin to buy and purchase goods and why not just use any other payment processing network?
GBattaglia. You seem to be purposefully attempting to create a strawman argument with your emphasis on payment systems (which is only one part of bitcoin).
I will admit I am playing devils advocate to some extent, but that is due to some of my disillusionment with how Bitcoin has evolved over the past 4+ years I've followed it. I believe most people would have very little interest in Bitcoin if its price remained stable or if it just increased in value slowly [will say 10% year, which is still pretty fast but about the value gold has risen over the past 15 years]. Most people's interest in Bitcoin itself is as a speculative tool it seems. And that part of Bitcoin I'm focusing on does seem like what Satoshi intended to be the primary draw of Bitcoin in his whitepaper; digital cash.
23.
Post 17926577 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.03h):
What are the chances of another "China bans bitcoin for the 97th time" story sometime between now and $1242....

i think this story not find readers any more

they will come up with something new

maybe they will try to promote disapproval of the ETF as a catastrophe (if it will not get approved)but we all know, no matter what, Bitcoin road long term is only UP!
Indeed. I'm considering shorting before the allegedly 'catastrophic' ETF news causes the inevitable selling, just so I can accumulate more coins prior to the impending shot at the moon!
I think even if the ETF passes price might go down because so many are probably buying on the hopes that it will moonshot if it goes through. No moon, big sell off. Just my opinion. Granted we are pushing ATH now.
24.
Post 17930396 (copy this link) (by GBattaglia) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_15.04h):
We need a Blockchain ETF! And an HTTP ETF!! And an IOT ETF! ETF all the things!
Don't forget the TCP/IP ETF. I hear TCP/IP's the latest thing.

The Dilbert cartoon below is based on the level of knowledge most business people have about the blockchain. I bet the people at the SEC have been told 'blockchain' will revolutionise business, and if they don't approve the ETF then 'blockchain' will be distressed.

Very true. You notice a handful of companies shoe-horning "blockchains" into systems that really would see no additional benefit from it? Have a feeling a few "blockchain installation" companies will be popping up offering their expertise to company heads on how the "blockchain" will simply make everything better for their field of work.
And the thing is, those managerial type people tend to be clueless about a variety of topics when you go into a specific enough niche. I work in retail floor maintenance and some of the stupid ass shit you hear from retail employees all the way up to store managers is quite baffling. So I can easily see someone pushing a "blockchain agenda" into a few managers heads at a variety of businesses.