All posts made by runam0k in Bitcointalk.org's Wall Observer thread
1.
Post 2478552 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):
So how long before the price manipulators start selling? Next couple of hours, right?

2.
Post 2478822 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.04h):
That's some high end custom trade data analysis software you're running. Really highlights the trends. Love it.

3.
Post 2610759 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.07h):
Here is a chart I follow from that Twitter guy I mentioned - Sir Bits a lot...
I'll keep an eye on his points...

Bit of a daft chart. Why not extend those purple lines back to Arpil/May - then they would look almost flat and pointing at the current price!
4.
Post 2636119 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):
The proposed ETF is a positive statement of intent IMO. The Winkelvii aren't going anywhere. They're market making.
Bitcoin is not nearly liquid enough for big players. A listed ETF could represent a bona fide, legit trading opportunity (notwithstanding taxes and fees - which, incidently, evidence legitimacy!)
5.
Post 2642872 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.08h):
I predicted a stable $65 a little while back, but I don't think it's imminent. Plenty more ups and downs to come.
You, on the other hand, are like the guy on the street corner harrassing people with his "end of the world" sign.

6.
Post 3573340 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.23h):
Countdown to him dumping his coins?
7.
Post 3629564 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
Murke just got better
8.
Post 3632419 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.25h):
You should all chill and watch the coindesk BPI instead - a much tamer $750 at the mo.

9.
Post 3683890 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.28h):
That is incredibly sage advice and I just might take it. Really. Some people should read this carefully. You are absolutely right, being a billionaire overnight is not healthy. Not even being a millionaire overnight is healthy.
Agreed. All I need now is 1000btc.
10.
Post 4238885 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.49h):
One question related to those funds is if some of them might belong to people who committed no crimes (or at least have not been convicted of them). I'm have little doubt (in fact, I pretty much know for sure) that there's precedent for the cops just keeping the whole lot but still.
I'm still wondering how they got the coins. If he's claiming them back, it suggests he didn't hand them over (i.e. as part of deal). So, weak password?
11.
Post 4286279 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):
We need a bot that auto posts choo CHOO pics on any sustained price increase pls
12.
Post 4315416 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):
Does anyone do "choo choo motherfuckers" t-shirts?
13.
Post 4315830 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.50h):
Mofo is a US law firm. I'm not kidding. mofo.com
Works for the t-shirt though!
14.
Post 4331922 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.51h):
I'd really like a vintage, faded look T. This might have to be a custom design job.
Possible secondary tag line: Trains in space!
Not for T, just for amusement:


15.
Post 4347625 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.52h):
1 BTC bet. huge sell offs happen and price goes below 750 on gox with the next 48 hours??
Ill take that bet.
Shake
New thread required.

16.
Post 4708388 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_11.58h):
Buy the Rumour Sell the News.
News:Tiger Direct
Thoughts?
I think I don't recall seeing a Tiger Direct rumour, otherwise I might have bought.

17.
Post 4834985 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
Except I am more than a day trader. That's only how I hedge. A dramatic drop would slow merchant adoption, which is more important in the long term than a new ATH soon. We're creating a new payment system, not a casino.
Merchants don't fucking care, they're using BitPay.
18.
Post 4835185 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
Those of us with substantial holdings will not deplete them by buying stuff at a low exchange rate. We didn't get where we are by buying high and spending low, so price needs to go up gradually and then we'll share with merchants. Overstock bitcoin sales went down because the exchange rate went down. If it goes up, more bitcoiners will buy stuff there and then more merchants will jump on board.
If Overstock sales went down it's because the initial rush of bitcoin buyers has passed.
And anyone with substantial holdings of BTC almost certainly acquired it more than a few months ago (ie when BTC was < $150). In the context of the gains made, the exchange rate has barely moved.
19.
Post 4835797 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
I started buying when it was less than $10/BTC and I still am going to wait. You seem to think it was easy money. It wasn't. Everybody was screaming at us to sell when it jumped to $50, $100, $200, etc. We held. and we held through the crashes too. Easy money spends easy. Hard money is hard to part with.
But you just said people had stopped spending because rates had gone down. And that merchants would now think twice. So are you saying $900 is the magic number for you and others to start spending? Or are you holding regardless?
I have nothing against you holding, btw.
20.
Post 4836430 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
But in the next 24-36 months, bitcoin is somewhere between 10k-50k. It simply has to be. The scale at which the entities getting involved now operate scale wise, bitcoin will be forced there. And 17 year olds that mined this useless Internet money will have their minds blown.
To be fair, you're taking a bet that e.g. the US government won't ban the use of Bitcoin in the US. Look at India and China, for example. Bans can be quite effective. If the US government banned Bitcoin tomorrow - not beyond the realm of possibility given the US Treasury Secretary's recent remarks and the difficulties regulators and the IRS will have addressing Bitcoin - it simply will not have the chance to grow to the size you want it to be.
I'm long Bitcoin too, but it's a gamble nonetheless.
21.
Post 4837061 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
Not that much of a gamble. If the USG bans bitcoin, the FBI will have to destroy their private keys and that would be very bullish. It would still be traded here, just underground. An outright ban is very unlikely, even if regulation tightens to the point of scaring institutional investors and certain whales off. I think that is unlikely as well.
The US governement does not care about the FBI's bitcoins - it certainly would not take them into account when considering a ban on Bitcoin.
You say "not that much of a gamble", but how do you think the US government and TBTF banks will react when they inevitably come to the conclusion that Bitcoin is not something they can control? What happens when the IRS realises FATCA and other tax rules and collection policies are basically impotent when it comes to Bitcoin? Are you so sure they will sit back and do nothing?
A ban on Bitcoin in the US would be a tragedy, no doubt, but it would not necessarily surprise me. If the US acts, Europe will too. Russia, India and China are already half way there.
(For the record: still long Bitcoin, still holding some myself, still have BTC tied up in BTC denominated investments, etc)
22.
Post 4837197 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
It is absolutely beyond most realms of possibilities at this point.
Do you live in the US? It doesn't matter I suppose given how many people here are paranoid about our government, but the truth is the US doesn't go around banning technologies. And there is no indication they will ban bitcoin. They aren't banning gay marriage. They aren't banning bitcoin. The NY regulators lead these type of financial decisions in the US. And the hearings made it clear they will support bitcoin and bitcoin innovation. The US takes pride in being world leaders and bitcoin is no different.
It's happening. It's no longer if. It's when.
Well, I appreciate your confidence.

(I don't live in the US, FYI, but I am a US citizen paying US taxes.)
Gay marriage does not threaten TBTF banks or the government's control of money and taxes (unless you're a homophobe, in which case you might think it does

). That's a pretty important difference.
This is the same government that promptly squashed e-gold, etc. Right now, IMHO, they're starting to realise they can't effectively control or tax Bitcoin. What happens then is anybody's guess/gamble.

23.
Post 4863642 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.01h):
had some fun with charts.

I want expancive coins.
Are they like colored coins? Or something new?
24.
Post 4910597 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.02h):
Agreed, Gox doesn't add anything to the equation any more. We need bona fide exchanges where large amounts of fiat can move in and out relatively quickly. More liquidity, less volitility.
25.
Post 5117532 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):
26.
Post 5117763 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):
Wishing for another Cyprus?
No, not wishing for another Cyprus. A lot of Europeans think Cyprus was a one-off, which IMO is incredibly naive. Maybe this report will prompt people to consider how safe their money really is. If even a small % of savings are moved to Bitcoin, it's choo choo, whether another Cyprus happens or not. Personally I think another Cyprus - or a Europe-wide measure as described in the report - is inevitable.
27.
Post 5124260 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.07h):
I can't help but think that when this non-issue is officially fixed - tomorrow? - it's going to fly.
28.
Post 5131064 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.08h):
http://www.coindesk.com/mt-gox-bitcoin-price-falls-post-china-low/"The most direct contributor to the day’s decline was the revelation that more than 4,500 BTC were reported stolen from online black market Silk Road 2.0, which failed to adequately respond to transaction malleability issues that were earlier reported by
Mt. Gox, Bitstamp and other exchanges."
All coins might be stolen! Even Stamp. Oh my God!
Edit: Gox below 450$!!!!!!
Edit: China below 3700
Top FUD spreading dude, very entertaining. Love the "malleability will steal all your coins" angle!
29.
Post 5139398 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):
BTC-e has confirmed it is processing bitcoin withdrawals again.
Sauce
30.
Post 5140318 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):
China finally banned Bitcoin? Huobi out of business? Trading stopped.

The only reason I don't have you on ignore already is because whenever I read your posts the price of BTC nudges up a little. Coincidence, possibly, but you've become a BTC good luck charm! Keep up the
fud good work!
31.
Post 5142868 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):
MORE BAD NEWS. IT´S JUST ANOTHER TRAP!
Yay!

32.
Post 5143727 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.09h):
I think it was a false bottom, created 100% by fear. People feared that maybe the exchanges were outta business. That fear' been alleviated, now its back to business as usual...IMHO.
I'm inclined to agree. /I said as much yesterday.
33.
Post 5222230 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.12h):
Is it possible to transfer USD between MtGox users?
It might be worth buying some MtGox USD (for real world BTC), converting to MtGox BTC and if all goes well and MtGox hasn't lost all the BTC, withdrawing the BTC at a later date.
Anyone brave enough?
34.
Post 5507101 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
Does anyone else think this social media discussion before the bitcoin stuff is INCREDIBLY relevant. Talking about how we use social media for entertainment, but for people in other countries with less stable political situations, social media is revolutionary and disruptive. Places where government can control and shut down the media, having a decentralized source like twitter is hugely important...
Everything they're saying about the benefits of social media and the importance of it in these countries is exactly why bitcoin is important.
Indeed.
35.
Post 5551395 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.24h):
Please add CCMF!

36.
Post 5578390 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.25h):
Wow, she really is pathetic, isn't she? And the interviewers know it.
I like the long pauses and stares they give her after they ask her to say something she said 2-3 times already. Stunned from their point of view.
She does not come across well at all.
That said, if I thought after months of research that I had successfully tracked down Satoshi and when I asked the guy point blank his response was, "I'm not involved with that any more. It has been passed on to other people.", well, I'd be pretty confident I had the right guy.
Did she twist his words or take them out of context? I don't know.
Do I think Dorian is Satoshi? No. But that doesn't mean he isn't.

37.
Post 5940706 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.29h):
Confirmed source... of an opinion. Jeez, guess people gonna want cheap coins.

38.
Post 6164135 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.35h):
Love the poll results - through the roof or through the floor.

39.
Post 6169188 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.36h):
There are plenty of people who pull the same nonsense. If you keep calling the bottom/top all the way down/up, you're eventually going to be right, and then you can brag about it while editing posts in which you were wrong.
Easy to call him out by pointing to his original posts on the mirror site.
40.
Post 6227161 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.37h):
time to short
Good luck with that.

41.
Post 7251921 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):
What is your source ?
Expedia.

42.
Post 7276764 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.52h):
silk road coins are moved. Dont know what it means.
Probably just moving it to cold storage.

I wonder why they left 0.00113651 behind.
43.
Post 7456112 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.54h):
1. can anyone confirm that the US Marshalls won't sell a batch of 29k BTC to a single bidder, but smaller batches to multiple bidders? I can't really tell from the auction listing.
2. would the auction act like a primer of a panic rally?
1. They will sell to the highest bidder or bidders, period.
2. Tough to tell. On the one hand, these are super clean, easy to acquire coins. It's blind bidding from people long on Bitcoin, so I'd expect higher than market. That said, we may never know exactly what was paid and by whom. Either way, the sale further legitimises Bitcoin. It's good press.
44.
Post 7503226 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.55h):
Beartrap and manipulation of prices for the auction... just as spected before the rally
Bulltrap(600) in an extended bulltrap(680) has been closed, nobody cares about the auction, decline to 250$ is in progress. Nothing to see here.
$250

Good one. I don't usually find you funny, at all. Maybe I'm high on coffee.

45.
Post 7675977 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_12.57h):
The EBA report is of almost no consequence right now. Banks don't hold or sell bitcoins and why would we want them to?
Newsflash: using bitcoins does not require banks! You only need a bank for your fiat money and the EBA report says very clearly that banks should not be disuaded from offering fiat current accounts to Bitcoin businesses.
46.
Post 8886639 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
Maybe I'll finally get to buy back all the coins I lost to crappy BTC securities.

47.
Post 8886689 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
Have we hit the low for the year yet?
48.
Post 8887745 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.14h):
This pop simply isn't happening fast enough for it to be fatal.
We're not even close to where we were this time last year. Heck, we haven't even reached this year's low.
$100 is even further away than that.
49.
Post 8955120 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.15h):
As a distributed clearinghouse with many actors within its own closed network, Ripple works great, as long as XRP stays cheap enough.
Not wishing to turn this into a Ripple thread, but it works great until someone somewhere fails and the bag holders realise they are bag holders (which can be through no fault of their own).
50.
Post 9054862 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.18h):
no one with a college degree will invest any serious sums into bitcoin after MTGOX fiasco
No one with a college degree would have left bitcoins in MTGOX.
51.
Post 9077901 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):
If you still think people telling others to get out are just trolls, RIP.
To be fair, a lot of us have seen this at least 2-3 times before. Price dropping, lots of bears (old and new) calling the end of Bitcoin, RIP this, RIP that and each time... BOOM.

Good luck shorting though.
52.
Post 9088583 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.19h):
300 about to break

Arbitrary number about to break!

53.
Post 9140176 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.22h):
Off topic heads up, Irelands morning TV show on RTE 1 had a fairly brief piece on a show to be broadcast this evening about the dark web (9.35pm GMT). This mornings clip put more emphasis on connecting bitcoin with child paedophilia than drugs and Irelands media channels aren't exactly unbiased in their reporting so hoping the ex-spooks at Thomson Reuters Special Services and the Center for Missing and Exploited Children aren't testing out their pre-packaged scare campaign from the congressional hearings of June last year. Think its only viewable from within Ireland, starts at about 1.02:
http://www.rte.ie/player/ie/show/10331958/did catholic priests start to accept bitcoin ? or where is the link ?

54.
Post 9196753 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.24h):
I can't handle this shit anymore. I'm out. I just sold all my coins. Fuck it.
The market appears not to have noticed.

55.
Post 9488582 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.30h):
What if price and news are not very correlated?
There's a near perfect correlation: seeming bad news, price rises; good news, price falls.

(SR2 being bad news because one less place to spend bitcoins and bad press.)
56.
Post 10175047 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.50h):
Bitcoin has been great, but recent events (not to mention Bitcoin facilitating all the illegal stuff) have been very damaging for crypto in general.
Yes and no. Public perception can change quickly and I'd guess that 90% of people who take the time to look at Bitcoin quickly realise that MtGox, scams and hacks are not Bitcoin's fault, and that Bitcoins use on Silk Road merely evidences some of it's (very desirable) core strengths (financial privacy, freedom to transact).
Besides, I'm not convinced people's perception of Bitcoin is any worse than people's perception of banks and bankers. It's about even and only because people don't really understand what Bitcoin is.
No crypto will replace national currency any time soon, but a globally accepted form of money - maybe even a reserve currency - who knows?
57.
Post 10415273 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_13.57h):
do you guys think sub $100 coins are still possible?
It's a "no" from me.
58.
Post 10577344 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.00h):
NotLambchop you are extremely annoying. What's the catch for you to spam on here? Close your shorts already.
I put you on my ignore list for now.
The ignore button still works, even if the glow is gone.
59.
Post 10666721 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):
I'm hoping we may even see a price rise after the auction if a known and respected person buys.
I fully expect it will be the usual crowd doing the buying - if only to lower the average cost of their bitcoins i.e. the bitcoins they picked up in the last couple of auctions.
60.
Post 10669332 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.02h):
This user is currently ignored.
This user is currently ignored.
This user is currently ignored.
This user is currently ignored.
This user is currently ignored.
Keep creating them doofus, whatever makes you happy.

61.
Post 10716490 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.03h):
295 on Finex.
Where are all the pictures of trains?
No bears to piss off
oh they are here. they are just to scared to speak.
Indeed. Wait for a $2 drop and they'll be all over the thread again.
62.
Post 10809814 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.05h):
So they had some sort of multisig escrow, except that withdrawals/spends from funded wallets did not require users signatures?

63.
Post 12154270 (copy this link) (by runam0k) (scraped on 2020-04-04_Sat_14.23h):
So is everyone supposed to sell their coins and then repurchase them on Bitcoin XT?
And where do you go to buy Bitcoin XT coins?
You need not do anything until the actual fork i.e. once 75% of miners are using XT. At that point, QT is unlikely to recover; miners will quickly switch to mining the longest chain (XT).
For regular users running Bitcoin software (i.e. a node), there's really no reason not to switch to XT (except as a not-taken-into-account protest vote). If XT wins, you'll be on XT. If XT doesn't achieve 75% or miner support, nothing changes.