Have you ever been to Thailand, or do you merely traffic in stereotypes?
I spent time in Thailand two years ago.  I visited Bangkok and took the train to Chiang Mai, among other things.
And I spent some time last year visiting friends in Stavanger, on the western coast of Norway.
When I read the kind of thing I see in this thread, it makes me wonder who is doing the talking, and why they're saying such things.  I'd bet 0.001 XBT that the guy who says he's Norwegian hasn't been to Thailand, and that you haven't been there either.

You are so harshing my mellow!

Bitcoin's biological analogues extend beyond animals like the honey badger, into the plant kingdom.

Meet the Overcompensators, Plants That Get Tougher and Meaner When Attacked



Damaging some plants sets off a molecular chain of events that causes them to grow back bigger and produce more seeds and chemical defenses simultaneously.

If plants could be stars in a cowboy film, the scarlet gilia would be one of the meanest wildflowers west of the Mississippi.  You can find it standing tall among the sagebrush on mountainsides, its red flowers blazing. Drought can’t always stop it. Shade won’t faze it. And when mule deer and elk start grazing on it early in the season, it comes back bigger and stronger, with more defenses and a posse of new plants.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/20/science/plants-defenses-overcompensators.html

She has Asperger's, a mild form of autism.

The concept of putting time on a log scale is... interesting.
Generally, you would use a log scale for something that accumulates, grows or shrinks.  Such things as stock and commodity prices, the mass of a pile of rocks, and absolute temperatures Kelvin don't exhibit negative values; they have a well defined zero point, and positive values are the only values to consider.  It makes sense to use logarithms on scales where zero is fixed, accounting for changes in proportion.
Time doesn't have this proportional quality.  One doesn't say there was twice as much time in the year 2000 as there was in the year 1000.  And to use a log scale at all, you have to set a point for time zero.
Coinmonks didn't state what point he uses as time zero for his log axis, which led me to do a little mathematical forensics on his chart to find out.
You'll notice that the distance from 2011 to 2012 is the same as the distance from 2013 to 2015.  so:
(2012-t_z)/(2011-t_z) = (2015-t_z)/(2013-t_z)
and
time zero = 2009

edit:  InTheLoop made a comment on Coinmonk's Medium post that bears directly on the matter of defining bitcoin's time zero for the price model

Thanks Harold. You are using time in days since 2009, likely based on bitcoin’s genesis block on 3 Jan 2009. However, in the beginning there wasn’t a great deal of trading and thus price discovery,
so it’s natural to introduce the starting day as an additional parameter in the model. Together with slope and intercept this leads to a three-parameter power-law model, exactly what I have described in my article.
That shift parameter then turns out to be 312 days before 17 July 2010 (the origin of your and my price data), so based on current full historic data, bitcoin’s starting date of the power-law is estimated at 8 September 2009.
Using such 3-parameter fit will increase the quality of the fit even further. See: https://medium.com/@intheloop/when-moon-rational-growth-ranges-for-bitcoin-ffaa94c9d484

If blow-off tops continue the phase relationship established with the last two halving cycles. then we're looking at late 2021.
See my post, "secular and cyclic model with forecast"
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5198154.msg52962479#msg52962479

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5198154.msg53272496#msg53272496
 

Speaking of parabolic...

The red and green traces show the transform of bitcoin's price through the quadratic on the vertical axis. The blue curve is hopium  
The hopium curve bottoms at the halvings and shares their periodicity.

You are correct.  The bottom is in.  Corn won't dip much at all below the current price.  And volatility may be low for nearly a year.  Slow rise.

Those peaks represent transients.  With very few data points, less than half a dozen in bitcoin's entire history, it's hard to gin up the confidence to make predictions about the magnitude of the next peak, if any.

In contrast, there's underlying support in the form of a parabola with a horizontal axis, which has dozens or hundreds of data points (red curve, below).
It's a pleasant coincidence that a time-shift of the support curve produces another curve that just touches the tops of the bubbles that followed the first two halvings (green curve).



Extrapolating the timing of the halvings predicts the next peak between $150k and $200k.

What hole did you crawl out of?
Asians clean their asses with actual water after taking dumps, instead of taking a piece of paper and smearing the shit around.  Have you used a toilet in Southeast Asia?  There's a hose with a spray nozzle.  We expats like to call them "bum guns."  It's fkn great to have a CLEAN ASS.
Asians take their shoes off indoors.
Asians don't go around spitting, sneezing and whatever your perfervid racist imagination requires.  Most of them cover their mouths just to use a toothpick, out of politeness.

Smile when you say that 

But we like colored pictures!



It's either gonna happen or it isn't.  Sounds like 50-50 to me!

horizontal line, USD 0.0224:  begin global liquid price discovery
Just my two cents

Coffee cost averaging.

This chart reflects the March 8 close on Bitstamp at $8033.70. As you can see, we are close to touching historical support. Vertical axis uses a quadratic transform.

The sun doesn't close, but it sets.

Toilet paper is the new shitcoin.

Ready for liftoff, all systems go

Bitcoin IS going to be halved in two months.

What happens to those coins when Paul LeRoux gets out of prison depends on whether he used a brain wallet and remembers the phrase.

And more sanitary.  Trying to clean your crappy crack with dry paper is barbaric.  Clean yourself with water, for chrissake.

Looking to YouTube videos for proof that the world is real...  now that's a cognitive malfunction.

Yes, totally.

The virus jumped from slaughtered wildlife to humans at a wetmarket in Wuhan.
The Chinese would go a long ways toward stopping "this kind of thing" by coming down like a ton of bricks on the wildlife market.
According to the New York Times,
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/science/coronavirus-pangolin-wildlife-ban-china.html
The coronavirus epidemic prompted China to permanently ban trade of wild animals as food, but not for medicinal use.
Oops!  Evelybody know shalk fin and pangorin good fo you!
There goes the Chinese ban on the wildlife trade.
And Africans need to stop eating apes.

Maybe somewhere in between.  Not all in, but not wimpy 50/wk DCA.  Perhaps model a decaying exponential to determine purchases, which would bias contributions in the near future and then tail them off.

Yeah, you need a 4 year horizon at minimum.  The market has followed a 4 year cycle since the first halving came along.

Is there anything to this?
https://cointelegraph.com/news/why-todays-btc-difficulty-adjustment-may-cause-the-price-to-plunge

It looks like a feature now.

I know you're on the wrong side of an argument when you're in league with a clamoring majority.

Satan?  
I kid, I kid!

Edit:  to be fair, the table Roger tweeted compares corona deaths at a fairly early stage of this epidemic versus other death causes that have been going on for many years (forever, some of them), and have stabilised.  In other words, possibly corona could deaths could ramp up until they overtake other death causes in the table.  This is just to show that I'm fair-minded enough to see all sides of the question.
Nevertheless, in principle I think that a lot of what you see is panic and people engaging in something like virtue signaling, for lack of a better way to describe it.  Everybody has to scream noble-sounding things.
Don't scream anything, stop the group-think, step back and reboot the old critical faculties.  Atrophied critical faculties.  And exercise them.  It takes some effort to just chill like that when the urge is to go full Chicken Little.

#Never go full Chicken Little.

Don't forget the drop in carbon-intensive activities and pollution in general.
Perhaps this virus is just Mother Earth defending herself.

Bitcoin broke ten-year support and struggles to get back on track

Don't know about you, but...
I keep my food in the food pantry, and do my fucking in the fucking pantry.


Greed dildos FTW