We have a new 3-day low. That's not so bullish. Unfortunate.
Im not sure what you mean by that, yesterday we visited 486 on stamp, not seen that again. BTC china is in a contracting range/wedge. The bullrun is losing momentum but the bias is not bearish.
You answered yourself with your last sentence. If we can make a new 3-day low once, we can make it again pretty easily. The next major line of support is at 472.50. If we breach that we're in bear territory, with the next major supports at 454, 400, and 355.50. If we bounce off 472.50 and break above 515, that would be a pretty good bull sign.
Between 472.50 and 515 is no-man's land. We float with no conviction in either direction.
We edge closer and closer to 472.50. I expect to find some support there. If we break through, we will head down quickly and finally reach capitulation. If we remain above 472.50, I expect more boring drift.