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February 24, 2014, 09:23:10 PM

my guess:

mtgox and karpeles are under criminal investigation by u.s. authorities and by japanese authorities (either the same cases or additional cases)

they told him he is not allowed to give any statement about solvency (thatīs why he started is saying it is confidential; and i cannot imagine under which other circumstances it would be confidential for a company to say it is solvent).

the foundation knows about the investigations and that is why the same step down took place as with shrems investigations.

gox may not be insolvent, but the investigation may cause freezing of all funds on gox for months/years/ever.

some early adopter (foundation?) knows all this and is very angry with gox and sells parts of his trapped goxbtc for any price, bringing the goxbtc rate down.

some insiders knows all this and they will dump & dump (& dump) on stamp.




disclaimer: this is not meant to be fud. i just want to figure out what is going on. just speculating... Wink


My speculation is you are right except for the insolvency part.   My guess is anyone who is trying to be anonymous on MtGox and hide money (coins) from prying eyes will have a really hard time getting coins back.   Anyone who is verified or premier will be ok since they can track their funds to a name (they might ask for proof on how this wealth was accumulated)...this is pure speculation on my part!!! Guessing.  But I think they have been under investigation and likely before any transfer can occur they want to know who people are and where the money came from.   When I moved large amounts of US cash to Bitstamp, they asked me where the money came from and asked for proof.  If you have nothing to hide and plan to report transactions and your identity, my guess is you will be ok.   If you are looking to hide money, those are probably the folks on bitcoinbuilder dumping now.  I'm just wildly guessing.  truth is though they are not anonymous on bitcoinbuilder, and anyone who thinks they wont eventaully catch up to you is likely to be dead wrong.   Bitcoinbuilder has to report large transactions.

I do have speculative coins on Mtgox now.  I'm also upgrading to premier to make sure I can move coins if this is the case.