JayJuanGee
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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July 23, 2017, 04:06:57 AM

... more like 18 days until possible bip141 (actual segwit) lock in .... ~144 blocks per day

I think it feels like we might get a pump here to a new ATH in the next 24 hrs ... smart crypto money front-running the wave of dumb fiat stuck in the legacy banking system (and gold 3rd party accounts) until Monday mornings.


O.k.  If I recalculate based on 144 blocks per day, then you are correct, 18-ish days, which would bring us to segwit locking in on August 10th - ish... although we may be able to see whether it is appearing to be inevitable on August 8 or 9... otherwise another two weeks at another attempt to lock in segwit.

I just don't understand any realistic scenario in which segwit is not locked in during the first lock-in period, especially given the apparent punitive nature of BIP91.  So, absent some strong FUD or otherwise dramatic controversial play coming from the big blockers, we are likely looking at August 8, 9 or 10 to have a decently high level of confidence that segwit is locked in.