7) Even if in that scenario it seems that BU would be at an advange with its increased TPS over BTC, that will lead to more BUcoins arriving at the exchanges and being dumped by BTC supporters. The price of BUcoin will be much lower than BTC, at least for some time (days, weeks, months, maybe forever).
There is already several 10s of thousands transactions waiting for confirmation at most times. As you said, the chaos of a contentious hard fork would possibly increase transaction rates for a time (there will definitely be a lot of people disassociating their bitcoins coins from BUtcoins, which requires transactions). Also, there is the potential for additional spam attacks on both chains. I expect that should BU fork, they will go with the default size of 16 MB at first, just because who changes default settings? I fully expect those BU blocks to be full for a long time (they may even increase soon because of that, I mean, that is their MO). That means, in 60 days the BU chain will have doubled the size of the existing 8 year old chain, plus some.
Just something to ponder.
default setting for BU is 1MB
My mistake, I was remembering this post from PeterR.
I'm signalling to miners that I'm ready for bigger blocks by running a node which permits up to 16 MB today.
...and I somehow was under the impression that was default.
Still, BU will increase the size, because there will be a back log of transactions (one already exists in most cases), and blocks will be slower than normal because the hash rate will be divided (further increasing the back log). I mean, that's the goal of BU, isn't it? Scale on chain to get rid of this back log and reduce fees for coffer drinkers?
nodes default at 16MB
miners default at 1MB EB and generation size.
what the individual members of BU want is only a small influence that will guide BU miners to set a good EB
its not like miners will simply forgot about all the reasons to keep blocks small.
Miners will include everything that contains a transaction fee, even one satoshi. Why? Because even one satoshi is one satoshi. And then came spam...................
One could add 100GB to the BU blockchain, just by spending 1 BU coin.