The Chinese Slumber Method Prediction
almost worked this time!!!
Checking the prediction for HuobiPrediction posted: Tuesday 2014-02-18, 01:14 UTC
Prediction valid for: Tuesday 2014-02-18, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price: 3860 -- 3920 CNY (3890 plus or minus 30)
Huobi's actual price (L -- H): 3810 -- 3824 CNY (3817 plus or minus 7)
Error center-to-center: 73 CNY
The prediction is the rightmost blue rectangle in the chart below, just above the red/green price bars.
The big dots on top of the price plot are the Slumber Points (prices at 19:00 UTC every day). The True points (yellow) are those which had nearly zero trading volume at 19:00; the False ones (olive-brown) are those where Huobi's clients and/or their robots kept trading through the night.
The yellow line is the least-squares-fitted trend line that was used to make the prediction.
Checking the prediction for BitstampThe Bitstamp predicition is the Huobi prediciton divided by 6.12
Bitstamp's predicted price: 625 -- 645 USD (635 plus or minus 10)
Bitstamp's actual price (L -- H): 617 -- 625 USD (621 plusor minus 4)
Error center-to-center: 14 USD
In the chart below, the dots are Huobi's Slumber Point prices divided by 6.12 (or 6.40 for feb 7--9)

I appreciate your combined use of regression analysis and volume analysis
Houbi's artificially inflated trading activity is well known by now, and I am glad to see someone using a creative fit of analytical tools to play of off this information. By combining the points of a linear regression trend line with the understanding that the best time to measure the underlying direction of Houbi is at points of low-activity, you have really created a good understanding of the general trend of the asset in that exchange.