bitserve
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March 06, 2018, 08:20:09 AM



Just a little hypothesis I am playing around with. Its the ol' 1,2,3,4,1,2,3,BOOM maneuver.

1% adoption of bitcoin is 100% of what I expected in a good scenario. Most national currencies are used by less than 1% of the world. The idea of a whole world that uses bitcoin is a fantasy.

No back sliding! You were doing so good. Tongue

Ok.... .so where are we currently?  Let's say anyone that uses, used, holds or has held more than $100 in bitcoin (or crypto for that matter) in the last year would count as an "adopter"... are we at .2% or .5% or something approaching 1%, currently?

"... are we at .2% or .5%."    0.390625%=$18620.3849896875      <  We are around here. Not even .4%

Bingo..I calculated around .4%..but was informed I was off by a factor of 20 so that would take us down to .002%. Dividing that by 7 billion leaves us with about 14 million users. Which to me sounds pretty damn close.

Except because 14 million is more or less the number of users coinbase alone have. Granted it is probably the one with the biggest userbase thoug.