aminorex
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1568
Merit: 1029


Sine secretum non libertas


View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
March 14, 2014, 11:41:12 PM

I like your numbers better than mine (that were pulled out of my ass to some extent), but I do NOT know what is ristos calculations... so I guess, I am shooting from a position of disadvantage.

It's just an exponential curve.

Others have observed that the better empirical fit, on an R^2 basis, is to an exp(exp(t))+k model, which would put the numbers higher still.  Not sure whether that "double exponential" fit is still better.  It has to be deteriorating now.