adamstgBit
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February 11, 2014, 02:16:44 AM

the market is saying that there is an ~84% chance that GOXERS will be able to withdraw bitcoin soon

It's a little lower than that - and it depends how you quantify 'soon'.

I was looking for about 82.5% on Sunday and couldn't sell mine at that.

I was offered 60% and some were publicly offering 70% 'real BTC' for 'GoxBTC' - which was too low for me.  

Anyway - I never thought they would open the doors on Monday.

Firstly, because their track record of keeping promises on things like this is woeful.

Secondly, because it would have meant a huge flight out of GoxBTC, likely to be rather damaging to the reserves.

I think it can't be soon, and would require balls of steel to say 'ok you can all withdraw now'.   Does that man look like he has them?

Maybe a zero fee offer, and of course a rising price as GoxBTC rises in price when people buy to get out would save them, but it's a big gamble.

well, once again they beat me to the punch....