JorgeStolfi
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February 18, 2014, 11:56:58 PM

Here is the Chinese Slumber Method predicition for tomorrow:


Prediction valid for: Wednesday 2014-02-19, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after)
Huobi's predicted price:  3725 -- 3825 CNY (3775 plus or minus 50)
Bitstamp's predicted price: 605 -- 625 USD (615 plus or minus 10)

The prediction for Huobi above was obtained by fitting a weighted least squares straight line to the last three True Slumber Points, namely the mean prices at February 15, 17, and 18, 19:00--19:59 UTC (rightmost three yellow dots in the chart below), and extrapolating that trend line for one more day.  The prices are ~3961, ~3905, and ~3817, respectively; which extrapolate to ~3775 CNY. 



The prediction for Bitstamp, as usual, is that for Huobi divided by the normal currency factor R = 6.12.

NOTE 1: Those predictions are conditional to Huobi's clients and their robots being all in bed by Feb/19 19:00 UTC.  Otherwise the Method offers no prediction.