I think extrapolation of the historical chart patterns is a stronger argument than extrapolation of risto's bets....
just launched my bet on bitbet.... $4000 before $400. should be approved tonight
just launched my bet on bitbet.... $4000 before $400. should be approved tonight

Bold. Size of bet?
You consider ~1000% appreciation more likely than ~15% depreciation?
It's a derivative. Even if you believe it's going to appreciate to that level, you still always bet on it depreciating as a form of insurance.