But a wildcard that I'm expecting is the implosion of Finex.
Agree 100%. Like I said 1000x times before, the bitcoin price has mostly been controlld by a SINGLE ENTITY on Bitfinex ever since it was $200. If a market is almost entirely controlled by one person, it's not a market, it's a fucking scam. There is obviously very shady shit going on at Finex ever since they stole all those bitcoins during the halving then claimed they were "hacked".
All I hope for is that someone at Bitfinex goes to prison when this bitcoin bubble eventually implodes, except I wouldn't discount the idea that it's possible someone from Goldman Sachs or the US govt is involved and nobody goes to prison. It's impossible Fort Knox has over 2000 tons of gold in it (more likely probably 0), so they might be trying to distract people from buying metals by creating a bitcoin bubble. China and Russia are both in the process of re-monetizing gold though, so if the US is pushing that scam strategy, it's going to blow up in their face anyway.
In case anyone forgot about Bitfinex's lies about their "hack", I screenshotted and documented the whole thing as it occurred. The first picture in the second link also shows you how obvious it is Bitfinex price is controlled entirely by a single entity with a high probability of being the staff themselves:
http://steemit.com/news/@r0achtheunsavory/bitfinex-is-lying-about-the-hack-and-i-can-tell-you-exactly-what-likely-happened
http://steemit.com/money/@r0achtheunsavory/the-r0ach-report-vol-3-bitfinex-scamming-intensifies-and-more-on-the-silver-and-gold-markets