JayJuanGee
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How much alt coin diversification is needed? 0%?


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May 11, 2017, 09:30:46 PM

weekend dumps beginning?

What are the odds of a dump beginning within the $1,800 to $1,900 range?  

55% down / 45% up ?  


What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $1,900 to $2,000 range?

45% down / 55% up ?  


What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $2,000 to $2,200 range?

40% down / 60% up ?  


What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $2,200 to $2,500 range?

60% down / 40% up ?


What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $2,500 to $3,000 range?

53% down / 47% up ?  


What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $3,000 to $4,000 range?

51% down / 49% up ?  


What are the odds of a dump that starts after going within the $4,000 to $5,000 range?

75% down / 25% up ?  
 

Unless we happen to be a real giant manipulator (and even those guys might be lacking confidence), we should be considering odds of direction, no?   Surely, sooner or later we gotta go down - yet if we make it past a certain threshold, we have to recalculate the odds, no?  

Right now, the odds of going into the $4k to $5k price range within the next 6 months is probably less than 10% - however, if we were to get passed $4k, then the odds of going either up or down change, no?